611
FXUS62 KGSP 262232
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
632 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY HIGHER FOR THE COMING
WEEKEND.
UPDATED THE AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER OUR REGION THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE
THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER OUR REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL. RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE THIS WEEKEND.
RELATIVELY PLEASANT WEEK AHEAD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING PARKED
OVER THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. THIS KEEPS RAIN CHANCES
AWAY AND CONDITIONS DRY. AFTER A SMALL DIP IN DAYTIME HIGHS OVER THE
PAST WEEKEND, TEMPS SLOWLY CREEP BACK TO NORMAL AND A TICK OVER
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SURFACE MOISTURE WARMS OVERNIGHT LOWS GRADUALLY,
KEEPING FREEZING TEMPS AND FROST CHANCES AWAY.
BY SATURDAY, GUIDANCE DEPICTS A KINK IN THE GENERAL UPPER FLOW TO
THE WEST, DEVELOPING A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES THAT COULD CROSS THE
CWA AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES. AT THIS TIME, IT LINES UP WITH A
SURGE IN MOISTURE AT THE SURFACE AND COULD BRING SOME RAIN. AT THIS
TIME, THE CHANCES FOR RECEIVING 1 INCH OF RAIN OR MORE ACROSS ANY
LOCATION IN THE AREA IS ONLY 25-30%. HIGHEST CHANCES ARE FOR SUNDAY.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS POTENTIAL SYSTEM REMAINS LOW TO MEDIUM.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A FEW INSTANCES OF PATCHY MOUNTAIN VALLEY
FOG CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT EARLY TUESDAY MORNING, BUT SHOULD
MIX OUT QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE. WINDS WILL REMAIN WEAK AND OUT OF THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST.
OUTLOOK: MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. MOUNTAIN
VALLEY FOG AND LOW STRATUS POSSIBLE EACH MORNING. RESTRICTIONS MAY
RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
CP/TW
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