891
FXUS62 KGSP 051749
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
149 PM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
LOWERED TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR MONDAY FOR THE POTENTIAL OF WEAK
COLD AIR DAMMING.
THE AVIATION DISCUSSION WAS UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH
SATURDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DEEP LAYER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH SATURDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH PERIODS OF CIRRUS ARE
EXPECTED. MAX TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL THIS
AFTERNOON AND NUDGING UP A FEW TICKS ON SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD
MID TO UPPER 80S OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS AND MAJOR MOUNTAIN VALLEYS,
WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS FLIRTING WITH THE 90 DEGREE MARK ALONG AND
EAST OF I-77. DEWPOINTS ARE ON THE RISE, BUT STILL AT VALUES TO
MAKE CONDITIONS OUTSIDE FEEL FAIRLY COMFORTABLE FOR EARLY JUNE.
VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE EASTERN CONUS AND ALLOW
FOR THE RIDGE TO GRADUALLY BREAKDOWN, WHILE A SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS
OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK. A BACKDOOR FRONT SHOWN MOVING TOWARDS THE AREA AND COULD
ALLOW FOR WEAK CAD TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WITH THE
DAMMING HIGH IN PLACE WITH MORE CLOUDS AND HIGHER POPS, EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN BACK TO NORMAL VALUES OR EVEN SLIGHTLY
BELOW. A WARMING TREND RETURNS LATER NEXT WEEK AFTER TUESDAY WITH
90S POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CHANCES OF MAINLY
DIURNAL CONVECTION INCREASES NEXT WEEK AS WELL WITH BETTER MOISTURE
INFLUX FROM THE GULF AND A RELATIVELY ACTIVE SYNOPTIC SETUP.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH PATCHES OF THIN CIRRUS EXPECTED. THERE WILL
BE ANOTHER ROUND OF MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG/LOW STRATUS BY DAYBREAK
SATURDAY, BUT EXPECTED TO REMAIN AWAY FROM KAVL. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT. WINDS PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AGAIN BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AT 5-10 KTS.
OUTLOOK: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORNING MTN VALLEY FOG/LOW STRATUS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE EACH DAY. DIURNAL CONVECTION RETURNS NEXT WEEK.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
CAC
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