850
FXUS62 KILM 170010
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
710 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED AVIATION 00Z TAF DISCUSSION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS
EXPIRED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS MID TO LATE WEEK, POSSIBLY REACHING RECORD
LEVELS INLAND FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS MID TO LATE WEEK, POSSIBLY REACHING
RECORD LEVELS INLAND FRIDAY
DEEP HIGH PRESSURE, INCLUDING ANOMOLOUSLY HIGH MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS,
WILL PREVAIL WHICH SHOULD ALLOW SURFACE TEMPS TO BE WELL ABOVE
NORMAL WED THRU SAT, POSSIBLY REACHING RECORD HIGHS ON FRI (SEE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS). THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE EXTENT OF THE WARMING THOUGH GIVEN SOME CLOUD/RAIN/FOG
COVERAGE AND HOW MUCH COOLING INFLUENCE THERE WILL BE FROM THE
ATLANTIC BUT LOWER 80S ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE AWAY FROM THE
COASTAL AREAS ON FRI. RECORD HIGHS ONLY APPEAR POSSIBLE AT OUR
MORE INLAND CLIMATE SITES (KILM/KLBT/KFLO), BUT MOST LIKELY WELL
INLAND AT KFLO/KLBT.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ONGOING ATTM WITH LIGHT N TO NE WINDS WHICH ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY CALM OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD INTO
THE AREA. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT S TO SW BY THE END OF THE PERIOD
AS VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE. THE ONLY POTENTIAL ISSUE IS A CHANCE OF
PATCHY FOG EARLY FOR A FEW HOURS TOWARD DAYBREAK TUESDAY.
EXTENDED FORECAST...PREDOMINANTLY VFR DURING THE DAY THROUGH MID-
WEEK, WITH A CHANCE OF FOG/STRATUS EACH NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND MIGRATES OVER THE WATERS THROUGH MIDWEEK. SCA
CONDITIONS WILL SUBSIDE OVER ALL WATERS BY THIS EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH INTO TONIGHT AND WILL BECOME MORE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS THE HIGH SHIFTS CLOSER OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO 10 KT OR LESS AS THEY BECOME MORE VARIABLE AND SLOWLY
VEER AROUND FROM NORTHERLY TO SOUTHERLY THROUGH TUES AS THE HIGH
SHIFTS FARTHER EAST.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...NO BIG CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING OFFSHORE WITH AN
EVENTUAL INCREASE IN PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
LATE WEEK, WITH WIND GUSTS NEAR SCA LEVELS (25 KT). SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHTS SHOULD MAINLY STAY BELOW SCA LEVELS (6 FT) BUT MARGINAL SCAS
ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE, MAINLY WED AND AGAIN ON FRI. ANOTHER MARINE
CONCERN WILL BE SEA FOG AS WARMER AND MOISTER AIR MOVES INTO THE
AREA OVERTOP THE COOL NEARSHORE WATERS, HOWEVER WINDS MAY
ULTIMATELY BE TOO STRONG FOR MUCH FOG.
CLIMATE
RECORD HIGHS FOR 2/20:
WILMINGTON - KILM (81 LAST SET IN 1991)
LUMBERTON - KLBT (80 LAST SET IN 2018)
N. MYRTLE BEACH - KCRE (77 LAST SET IN 1949)
FLORENCE - KFLO (83 LAST SET IN 2014)
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...RJB
DISCUSSION...RJB
AVIATION...31
MARINE...RJB/RGZ
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