335
FXUS62 KILM 032053
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
453 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED DISCUSSIONS BELOW.
KEY MESSAGES
1) UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES, WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES, WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST
MIDWEEK.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. A SIMILAR PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK. ISOLATED
FLOODING COULD BE POSSIBLE SHOULD SLOW-MOVING, HEAVY RAINFALL MOVE
OVER THE SAME AREAS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THINGS WILL START TO SHIFT
INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND AS LESS MID-LEVEL
ENERGY TRAVERSES THE AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE ATTEMPTS TO BUILD
IN.
AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VARYING LEVELS OF RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AT
LEAST MVFR STRATUS WILL STICK AROUND WITH WORSENING CONDITIONS LATE
TONIGHT AS ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN PUSHES OVER THE AREA. THIS COULD
ALSO BE MIXED WITH LOW STRATUS/FOG, PARTICULARLY AT INLAND
TERMINALS. ACTIVITY WILL THEN SHIFT BACK TOWARDS THE COAST COME
TUESDAY MORNING, SIMILAR PATTERN TO TODAY.
EXTENDED FORECAST...PERIODIC SUB-VFR RESTRICTIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. THE MOIST
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WILL ALSO SUPPORT A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR MORNING
STRATUS EACH DAY. WIDESPREAD VFR MIGHT RETURN LATE WEEK.
MARINE
6 FT WAVES MAY LINGER NEAR 20 NM OUT BUT OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WITHIN
20 NM WILL FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS. SHOWER/STORM
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY IN
HEAVY RAIN. SUB-SCA CONDITIONS THEREAFTER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH S/SE FLOW AS BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCKED IN PLACE OFF
TO THE EAST, BUT PERIODIC HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LINGER THROUGH
MIDWEEK.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ106-
108-110.
SC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ054-
056.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...ILM
DISCUSSION...ILM
AVIATION...ILM
MARINE...ILM
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