565
FXUS62 KILM 091816
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
216 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS CANCELED FOR GEORGETOWN COUNTY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. THE DROUGHT CONTINUES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY AND
CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THE DROUGHT CONTINUES.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GO FROM BEING CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA
TO SETTLING IN OVERHEAD. LOW LEVEL THERMAL ADVECTION WILL BE
MINIMAL BUT THE INCREASINGLY STRONG APRIL SUNSHINE WILL LEAD TO
MODIFICATION OF THE AIRMASS EACH DAY. A BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE
WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES JUST ABOUT PEGGED AT ZERO WHILE MOST OF
THE ENTIRE AREA REMAINS IN D2 DROUGHT.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS NORTHEAST WINDS AND DRY AIR
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. THE ONLY LOW PROBABILITY CONCERN IS FOR
MVFR VIS AT KLBT LATE TONIGHT AS WINDS GO LIGHT OR CALM FOR A TIME.
BETTER CHANCES FOR FOG ARE NORTH OF THE AREA, WHERE THE CORE OF HIGH
PRESSURE IS CENTERED.
EXTENDED FORECAST... VFR.
MARINE
THROUGH FRIDAY... HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE WATERS WILL MAINTAIN A
STEADY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE WINDS VEER TO
EASTERLY AND WEAKEN TO AROUND OR BELOW 10 KTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN THE 3-7 FT RANGE WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING TO BELOW 6 FT BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ENERLY SWELLS
WITH A PERIOD OF 10 SEC WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTOR TO THE
WAVE SPECTRUM.
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR THE
START OF THE PERIOD AS THE LONG FETCH THAT HAD BEEN SETUP LEADING UP
TO IT WILL BE INTERRUPTED. THIS IS DUE TO THE HIGH THAT HAD BEEN IN
THE NE SETTLING INTO THE CAROLINAS. WINDS WILL DROP OFF
PRECIPITOUSLY, WAVES A BIT SLOWER TO ABATE AS THEY WERE BOTH WIND
CHOP AND SWELL. THIS BRINGS A LIGHT ONSHORE WIND THAT ALLOWS SEAS TO
CONTINUE ABATING, WITH WIND SPEEDS LIKELY CAPPED AT 10KT OVER THE
WEEKEND (MINOR LOCAL SEA-BREEZE INDUCED MAXIMA POSSIBLE). ALSO OVER
THE WEEKEND THE NEXT HIGH WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE NE US TURNING
LOCAL FLOW LESS ONSHORE IN FAVOR OF A MORE S TO SW FLOW WHILE SPEEDS
REMAIN SIMILARLY LIGHT.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ106.
HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ108.
SC...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ054.
HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ056.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ250-252-254-
256.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MBB
KEY MESSAGES...ABW/MBB
DISCUSSION...ABW
AVIATION...ABW
MARINE...MBB/ABW
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