097
FXUS62 KILM 070108
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
908 PM EDT SAT JUN 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THE BEACHES FROM CAPE FEAR TO
SURF CITY. S-SW WINDS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE OVERNIGHT, AND
HEIGHTEN-SOME DURING SUN AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE SFC PG
TIGHTENS COMBINED WITH AN ACTIVE AND STRONG SEA BREEZE.
MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE BEACHES FROM CAPE FEAR TO SURF
CITY. ALONG WITH THE ADDITION OF HORRY COUNTY BEACHES.
SOME TWEAKING FOR THE OVERNIGHT WINDS AND TEMP/DEWPOINTS WITH
PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING UPHELD.
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOLLOWING THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH NO DROUGHT RELIEF FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH NO DROUGHT RELIEF
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY WILL BE TOO
WEAK AND HAVE TOO LITTLE SUPPORT ALOFT TO GENERATE ANY
MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION. THE BOUNDARY WILL ONLY TEMPER THE HEAT
FROM MID 90S TO LOW 90S TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY BEFORE LATE WEEK
AFTERNOONS START TO WARM AGAIN AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT AND MID
LEVEL HEIGHT RISES RETURN TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR WITH THIN TO OCCASIONALLY PATCHES OF OPAQUE CIRRUS THRU THE
PERIOD. S TO SW WINDS REMAIN ACTIVE OVERNIGHT, KEEPING THE FOG
THREAT TO A MINIMUM AT BEST. SFC PG TIGHTENS ACROSS THE AREA
DURING SUN INTO SUN NIGHT AIDED BY A CENTRAL CAROLINAS SFC
TROF, POSITIONED WELL AHEAD OF A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES CENTRAL VA BY 00Z MON. IN ADDITION, THE SEA BREEZE
WILL REMAIN ACTIVE AND ON THE STRONG SIDE, WITH GUSTS TO 20+ KT
AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS, INCLUDING ILM.
EXTENDED FORECAST...VFR TO GENERALLY PREVAIL THRU WED. VERY LOW
RISK FOR RESTRICTIONS FROM EARLY MORNING FOG MON AM WITH A BIT
BETTER RISK FOR AT LEAST MVFR CIGS STARTING MON NIGHT BEHIND A
PASSING SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT ALONG WITH SOME
SHOWERS/STORMS (MAINLY AT KLBT MON PM AND AT KLBT/KFLO TUE PM.)
MARINE
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... SW WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT. SEAS AND SUSTAINED
WINDS REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS AS THE BOUNDARY IS QUITE
WEAK AND HAS LITTLE TO NO ENERGY ALOFT, THE 925MB JET
COMFORTABLY TO OUR NORTH CROSSING HSE. THE EASTERLY SWELL WILL
BECOME A BIT SHADOWED BY THE INCREASED WIND CHOP. THE POST-
FRONTAL ONSHORE FLOW WILL LAST MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BEFORE A MORE
TYPICAL SOUTHERLY COMPONENT RETURNS WHILE SEAS SETTLE INTO THE
2-3 FT RANGE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 6 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR NCZ106-108.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...DCH
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...DCH
MARINE...MBB
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