512
FXUS62 KILM 101907
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
307 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED WITH 18Z TAFS ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEKEND WITH EVEN HOTTER
WEATHER POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK. NO MEASURABLE RAIN IS FORECAST OVER THE
NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1... ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEKEND WITH
EVEN HOTTER WEATHER POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK. NO MEASURABLE RAIN IS
FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING ALOFT WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK. IT
APPEARS THE SOLE CHANCE FOR ANY RAINDROPS TO REACH THE GROUND IS ON
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT NEARS OR NUDGES
INTO THE CAPE FEAR AREA BEFORE STALLING AND LIFTING BACK NORTH.
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT OR SLIDE IN FROM
THE ATLANTIC JUST BEHIND THE FRONT, BUT LIMITED MOISTURE AND FORCING
WILL KEEP COVERAGE VERY LOW AND INTENSITY LIGHT.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO ARRIVE STARTING
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW-MID 80S AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. WHILE THE BACKDOOR FRONT AND EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
SHOULD BRING HIGH TEMPS DOWN A TAD ON SUNDAY, MOST INLAND AREAS
SHOULD REACH THE LOW 80S. THEREAFTER, HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE, LEADING TO PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-
LEVEL FLOW WHICH WILL HELP BOOST HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL-ABOVE
NORMAL, POTENTIALLY REACHING 90F WELL INLAND OF THE COAST BY
WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA. LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND
SLIGHTLY INCREASED DEW POINTS COULD PRODUCE SOME FOG FOR
COASTAL LOCATIONS LATE TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE IN FOG REMAINS LOW.
EXTENDED FORECAST... PREDOMINANTLY VFR.
MARINE
THROUGH SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD THROUGH SATURDAY WILL
RESULT IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS. SEAS DROP
TO 2-4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY, DOMINATED BY A LINGERING EASTERLY
SWELL AROUND 10 SECONDS.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW ON SATURDAY NIGHT, ALTHOUGH AN
APPROACHING BACKDOOR FRONT MAY HELP TO FOCUS EASTERLY FLOW INTO THE
WATERS AROUND CAPE FEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. ON SUNDAY, THIS FRONT
WILL STALL EITHER NEARBY OR OVER THE NC WATERS, RESULTING IN A
PERIOD OF EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5-10 KTS. AS THE FRONT
LIFTS AWAY, WINDS WILL VEER TOWARDS SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE VEERING TO SOUTHERLY ON MONDAY. AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
OFFSHORE EARLY IN THE WEEK, EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO
PREVAIL WITH SPEEDS VARYING BETWEEN 5-15 KTS, WITH NEARSHORE
GUSTINESS LIKELY DUE TO THE SEA BREEZE.
SEAS IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE THIS WEEKEND WILL SUBSIDE TO 2-3 FT FROM
MONDAY ONWARD. THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTOR TO THE WAVE SPECTRUM WILL
REMAIN EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY SWELLS WITH A PERIOD AROUND 10 SEC
WHILE SOUTHERLY WIND WAVES BECOME MORE NOTICEABLE STARTING ON MONDAY
IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ108.
SC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ056.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ABW
KEY MESSAGES...ABW
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...CRM
MARINE...ABW/CRM
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