170
FXUS62 KILM 231136
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
636 AM EST MON FEB 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE GALE WARNING SET TO EXPIRE SOON HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A SCA
THROUGH 7 AM TUESDAY. UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW FOR 12Z
TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) BREEZY AND CHILLY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS
THE UPPER TEENS AND RECORD LOWS POSSIBLE AT FLO AND CRE.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...BREEZY AND CHILLY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH WIND
CHILLS AS LOW AS THE UPPER TEENS AND RECORD LOWS POSSIBLE AT
FLO AND CRE.
CAA WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT BEHIND STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PUSHING OFF THE NE. RESULT WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPS...HIGHS IN THE MID/UPR 40S TODAY THEN LOWS TONIGHT IN THE
MID 20S, BOTH ~15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. RECORD LOWS APPEAR SAFE
IN THE TWO NC CLIMATE SITES, BUT THE TWO IN SC WILL BE CLOSE
(SEE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR MORE INFO). WIND CHILL VALUES
WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPR TEENS TO LWR 20S, SO A COLD ADVISORY
(FOR VALUES OF 15 OR LWR) IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR AND DRY THROUGH THE 12Z TAF PERIOD. MAIN ITEM OF NOTE IS
THE CONTINUED BREEZY NW WINDS TODAY GUSTING TO ~25 KT. THE
GUSTS WILL FINALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET, BUT 8-10 KT SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
EXTENDED FORECAST...VFR UNTIL THURSDAY, WHEN FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS
DUE TO INCREASING RAIN CHANCES RETURN.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT...THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A SCA
AS OF 7 AM WITH GUSTS NOW ONLY IN THE 25-30 KT RANGE, WITH
MODERATE CAA BEHIND STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE OFF TO THE NE.
GUSTS UP TO 25-30 KT AND SEAS MAINLY IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE
CONTINUE FOR TONIGHT.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BACK TO THE WEST AND
THEN SOUTHWEST THROUGH TUES INTO TUES NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
MIGRATES ACROSS FLORIDA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FROM 10 TO 20 KTS
DOWN TO 10 KTS OR SO BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES AND TIGHTENS UP THE GRADIENT FLOW ONCE AGAIN BY
WED. SEAS DROPPING DOWN TO 2 TO 4 FT WILL BUILD AGAIN REACHING
UP TO 4 TO 6 FT. SHOULD SEE SCA CONDITIONS RETURN BY WED.
ANOTHER BRIEF DROP IN WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD OCCUR THURS, BUT A
RETURN TO HEIGHTENED WINDS AND SEAS COMES BY LATE THURS INTO FRI
WITH APPROACH OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.
CLIMATE
RECORD LOWS FOR TUESDAY MORNING 2/24/2026...
WILMINGTON NC 18 SET IN 1901
LUMBERTON NC 18 SET IN 1978
N. MYRTLE BEACH SC 26 LAST SET IN 2009
FLORENCE SC 24 SET IN 1968
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ250-252-254-
256.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MAS
KEY MESSAGES...MAS
DISCUSSION...MAS
AVIATION...MAS
MARINE...MAS/RGZ
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