116
FXUS62 KILM 111819
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
219 PM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
DISCUSSIONS UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN TODAY, WITH EVEN HOTTER WEATHER
LIKELY NEXT WEEK. NO MEASURABLE RAIN IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1... ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN TODAY, WITH EVEN
HOTTER WEATHER LIKELY NEXT WEEK. NO MEASURABLE RAIN IS FORECAST OVER
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING ALOFT WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK.
EXPECT A SLIGHT COOL DOWN ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S NEAR THE
COAST AND LOW 80S INLAND ON SUNDAY AS A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT NUDGES
INTO THE AREA. THEREAFTER, A WARMING TREND ENSUES WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING RESULTING IN WELL-ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MID-UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE
COAST WITH LOW 90S POSSIBLE WELL-INLAND, NEARING RECORD TEMPS DURING
MID-LATE WEEK AT FLORENCE AND LUMBERTON.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
MOSTLY VFR THROUGH THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
INLAND, WHILE A SEABREEZE AT THE COAST WILL VEER THE WINDS TO THE
ESE HERE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. DRY FRONT MOVES IN TONIGHT,
AND MAY TRY TO BRING IN A FEW CLOUDS AT 5000-7000 FT, BUT CONFIDENCE
IS LOW. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME BRIEF MVFR FOG INLAND HEADING TOWARDS
SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING, BUT THAT DOESN'T LOOK TOO FAVORABLE EITHER.
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS OFFSHORE BY SUNDAY MORNING, ALLOWING WINDS
TO VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE UP TO 10 KTS NEAR THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD.
EXTENDED FORECAST...PREDOMINANTLY VFR. HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE
DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
MARINE
THROUGH SUNDAY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 10 KTS WILL CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A DRY FRONT HEADING IN FROM THE NORTH. FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS TONIGHT, ALLOWING THE WINDS TO BACK TO THE
ESE. SEAS REMAIN LOCKED IN AT 2-3 FT, PERHAPS SOME 4 FT WAVES OUT 20
NM FROM SHORE FROM CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT LIFTS
AWAY, EXPECT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ON SUNDAY NIGHT TO VEER TO
SOUTHERLY ON MONDAY. AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY IN THE
WEEK, EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO PREVAIL WITH SPEEDS
VARYING BETWEEN 5-15 KTS, WITH NEARSHORE GUSTINESS LIKELY DUE TO THE
SEA BREEZE.
SEAS IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE THIS WEEKEND WILL SUBSIDE TO 2-3 FT FROM
MONDAY ONWARD. THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTOR TO THE WAVE SPECTRUM WILL
REMAIN EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY SWELLS WITH A PERIOD AROUND 9-10 SEC
WHILE SOUTHERLY WIND WAVES BECOME MORE NOTICEABLE STARTING ON MONDAY
IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...ABW
DISCUSSION...IGB/ABW
AVIATION...IGB
MARINE...IGB/ABW
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