475  
FNUS74 KMRX 161624  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APPALACHIA FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
1224 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 16.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR MUCH  
OF THE WEEK, GUSTY WINDS EACH AFTERNOON...  
 
MUCH OF TODAY WILL BE DRY AND VERY WARM, BUT SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN MOVING LATE THIS AFTERNOON  
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR  
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND.  
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY COOLER  
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 21 15 22 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............80 82 82 83 82  
RH..............39 35 35 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 14 14 14  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........27 27 46 55 61 52 39 46 34 23 24 27  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............82 80 75 71 69 68 66 65 63 62 60 60  
RH..............37 38 45 53 63 68 75 78 84 87 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW W W SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 11 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 2  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 39 52 36 33 30 25 20 15 13 10 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 60 59 63 69 75 79 81 83 85 86 86  
RH..............93 93 96 84 68 56 45 39 36 31 29 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N S SE SW NW NW NW NW NW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...DAVID HOTZ  
REQUESTED BY...W. SULTEMEIER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610549.0/MRX  
.DELDT 04/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.MATOY@USDA.GOV,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.MCTAGGART@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.SULTEMEIER@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page