178  
FNUS74 KMRX 271246  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN_CNF_NZ_BRUSH CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
846 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 27.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SCATTERED CLOUD COVER ALREADY MOVING IN ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS  
MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATER TODAY. INCREASING  
CLOUDS EXPECTED BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS LIGHT AND SCATTERED  
SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO  
BE LIGHT, WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY AROUND 0.1 INCHES. WINDS WILL BE  
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND THEN TRANSITION  
TO NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING.  
NORTH WINDS CONTINUE TOMORROW AND MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE  
REGION, WITH MIN RH VALUES DOWN AROUND 20%.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY  
(85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO  
22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.13 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 26 53 54 63 58 69 75 92  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............62 67 71 73 75 74 74 73 68  
RH..............75 63 57 53 50 51 51 49 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 7 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 18 18 17 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.2 3.7 2.6 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 24 23 24 22 21 20 18 16  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........93 95 94 96 92 88 85 72 63 48 51 51  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............64 59 56 55 52 49 47 44 42 40 39 36  
RH..............56 64 74 72 77 83 79 82 79 79 76 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 17 17 16 16 16 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 10 13 14 15 18 17 17 18 17 18 20  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 35 29 14 9 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 34 33 34 37 41 45 48 51 54 55 56  
RH..............75 75 75 69 56 46 38 31 27 23 21 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 11 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.1 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 17 16 14 14 14 14 14 15 14  
 
 
FORECASTER...SAM ROBERTS  
REQUESTED BY...MAXWELL WHITE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608119.0/MRX  
.DELDT 03/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MAXWELL.WHITE@USDA.GOV  
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