510  
FNUS74 KMRX 061155  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BALLPLAY SCHOOL RD FIRE...TDF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
755 AM EDT SUN SEP 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
 
SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY  
COMPARED TO THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. BUT WITH BOTH DECREASING THE  
OVERALL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL STAY SOMEWHAT CONSISTENT.  
EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ON AND  
NEAR THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS, POSSIBLY NEAR THE WILDFIRE SITE.  
CURRENTLY EXPECT STORMS TO START TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MOUNTAINS IN  
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND COULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET.  
STORMS WILL BE VERY ISOLATED IN NATURE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 18 12 12 9 9 15 30 33 47  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............71 75 80 84 86 89 90 91 92 90  
RH..............97 90 82 72 68 61 58 56 52 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 2 3 3 4 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 5 6 6 7 8 8 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 25 27 17 9 25 34 32 42 43 52 65  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............90 87 82 78 76 75 74 73 72 72 70 70  
RH..............58 61 72 82 87 87 87 90 93 90 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 8 8 6 6 5 2 2 2  
   
LABOR DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 78 62 52 32 31 40 38 55 75 68 68  
WEATHER COV..... CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............69 68 69 71 76 80 82 85 86 86 87 85  
RH..............100 100 97 100 87 77 72 67 63 63 61 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW N NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6  
 
 
FORECASTER...ANDREW MOULTON  
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY KLASSEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2621313.0/MRX  
.DELDT 09/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JACQUELINE.BROEKER@TN.GOV,GARRETT.ALLEN@TN.GOV,ZACHARY.KLASSEN@TN.GOV,BROOKE.COUCH@TN.GOV  
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