279
FXUS64 KHUN 112249
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
449 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 908 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
- GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND COLD FRONT TODAY.
- SEASONABLY COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO THIS WEEK.
- LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS RETURN ON WEDNESDAY WITH A VERY LOW
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
NEAR TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 231 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THAT HAVE BROUGHT 20-30MPH GUSTS AT
TIMES ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WILL SLACK WITH SUNSET THIS EVENING.
THE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND ALMOST CALM WINDS TONIGHT WILL ALLOW
FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 20S. THIS WILL BE THE
COLDEST NIGHT OF THE YEAR SO FAR, SO BE SURE TO BUNDLE UP TONIGHT
AND FOR YOUR MORNING COMMUTE TOMORROW.
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND GULF
COAST EARLY THIS WEEK, KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY. ON MONDAY, BE SURE
TO GRAB THAT COAT FOR SCHOOL AS WE WILL BE BELOW FREEZING FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE AND DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER 40S TO
50 DEGREES. WE WILL BE A BIT WARMER ON TUESDAY AS DAYTIME HIGHS
REACH THE UPPER 50S AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
AS WE HEAD INTO MID WEEK, AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIVE DOWN
ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE TN AND OH VALLEY. THE ASSOCIATED
SFC LOW WILL BE UP TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES AND WILL PULL A COLD
FRONT INTO THE TN VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. WE WILL
SEE LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES (20-40%) OF SHOWERS RETURN ON WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND PRECIP CHANCES WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
ANOTHER ROUND OF COLD AIR WILL ADVECT IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING 15-20KTS, DROPPING LOWS INTO
THE LOWER 20S AND WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS. THE CAVEATS TO THE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FORECAST IS THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT ARRIVAL
VS WHEN THE RAINFALL EXITS THE FORECAST AREA. IF THE PRECIP
DOESN'T GET OUT FAST ENOUGH AND THE COLD AIR FUNNELS IN EARLY
ENOUGH, THIS WOULD PROVIDE FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN AND NE AL WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. IF THERE ARE ANY ACCUMULATIONS, THEY SHOULD BE LIGHT, BUT
MORE DETAILED INFORMATION WILL BE DETERMINED AS WE GET CLOSER AND
BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT OCCURS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 932 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
ANOTHER COLD DAY IS IN STORE THURSDAY AS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
SITS ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. NORTHWEST
WINDS CONTINUE TO USHER IN A COLD AIRMASS KEEPING AFTERNOON HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHES OFF THE EAST COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
A BRIEF WARM UP WITH HIGHS ON FRIDAY REACHING THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. HOWEVER, ANOTHER DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST
TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL US. AS A SFC LOW EJECTS
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION, A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWING
THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. TIMING OF THIS FRONT IS
STILL UNCERTAIN AND THEREFORE KEPT THE BLENDS FORECAST OF DRY
CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 449 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD UNDER CLEAR SKIES.
NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10-15 KNOTS AT THE START OF THE TAF PERIOD
WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING UNDER 5 KNOTS.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...JMS
SHORT TERM....JMS
LONG TERM....GH
AVIATION...GH
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