888  
FXUS64 KHUN 261417  
AFDHUN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
917 AM CDT SUN MAR 26 2023  
   
..NEW NEAR TERM
 
 
   
NEAR TERM
 
 
(REST OF TODAY)  
ISSUED AT 916 AM CDT SUN MAR 26 2023  
 
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED OVER CENTRAL AL WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTH  
TODAY, LEADING TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER MUCH OF  
CENTRAL AND SOUTH AL. MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REMAINS UNDER  
THE INFLUENCE OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT  
NORTHEAST OVER THE APPALACHIANS TODAY. BECAUSE OF THIS, A FEW  
SHOWERS/STORMS COULD EXTEND INTO NORTHEAST AL ALONG AND EAST OF  
THE TN RIVER, BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY  
TODAY. DID ADJUST HIGH TEMPERATURES UP BY A FEW DEGREES TODAY  
AFTER LOOKING AT LATEST OBS AND TRENDS, MAKING FOR A WARM SPRING  
DAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 80 DEGREES. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES  
WERE MADE DURING THE MORNING UPDATE.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT SUN MAR 26 2023  
 
SHOWERS, ALONG WITH A FEW EMBEDDED TSTMS, WILL INCREASE OVER THE  
AREA THIS EVENING, AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS MORE TO THE NORTH, BEFORE  
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD THRU THE REGION LATE TONIGHT  
BRINGING AN END TO THE RAINFALL. HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE PLAINS  
STATES WILL THEN GRADUALLY BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH  
VALLEY AREAS HEADING INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN  
SLIGHTLY COOLER/MORE SEASONAL LIKE AIR/CONDITIONS FILTERING INTO  
THE CENTRAL TN VALLEY FROM THE N/NE. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS A WEAK  
UPPER DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED WITHIN A NEAR ZONAL FLOW PATTERN MOVING  
THRU THE REGION EARLY TUE, WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPING  
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BECOMES REINFORCED  
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK, TRANSLATING INTO QUIET/NEAR  
SEASONAL LIKE WX CONDITIONS. HIGHS ON MON IN THE LOWER 70S WILL  
FALL INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S TUE/WED. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TONIGHT  
WILL ALSO FALL INTO THE 40S MON/TUE NIGHTS.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 150 AM CDT SUN MAR 26 2023  
 
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP AFTER MID WEEK, AS THE  
SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA AND A RETURN FLOW PATTERN FORMS  
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL ALSO SPREAD BACK INTO THE  
AREA BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, AS AN UPPER TROUGH PATTERN DIGS  
INTO THE SW/SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. THIS UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL  
QUICKLY LIFT TO THE NE THIS WEEKEND. AN ATTENDANT SFC LOW OUT OF  
THE PLAINS STATES WILL ALSO LIFT INTO THE OH VALLEY SAT, DRAGGING  
ANOTHER COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION. HOWEVER, A WEAK UPPER RIDGE  
AXIS IN PLACE OVER THE GULF REGION MAY EITHER SLOW/DEFLECT THE  
FRONT MORE TO THE N/NW SAT. IN ANY CASE, INCREASING SHOWERS, ALONG  
WITH A FEW TSTMS, ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG/WELL AHEAD OF  
THIS NEXT FRONT FRI/SAT, BEFORE RAINFALL TAPERS OFF TO THE EAST  
SUN WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. WITH THE WARMING TREND, HIGHS  
LOOK TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE LOWER/MID 70S THU/FRI, BEFORE HIGHS  
TREND MORE IN THE UPPER 60S/NEAR 70F SAT/SUN. LOWS WILL ALSO CLIMB  
WELL INTO THE UPPER 50S/NEAR 60F THU/FRI NIGHTS, BEFORE LOWERING  
BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 40S SAT NIGHT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT SUN MAR 26 2023  
 
OTHER THAN SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING INTO THE AREA FROM THE  
SW, VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING HRS. MVFR CIGS THEN  
LOOK TO DEVELOP NEAR 03Z, AS SHRA/TSRA SPREAD INTO THE AREA FROM  
THE SOUTH. A PROB30 GROUP HAS BEEN ADDED IN THE 04-09Z TIME RANGE  
TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY CIG/VIS REDUCTIONS DUE TO THE ONCOMING PRECIP.  
PRECIP WILL THEN TAPER OFF TO THE EAST LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD  
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT, WITH MVFR CIGS LINGERING  
THRU 12Z MON. LIGHT/VAR WINDS WILL ALSO TURN TO THE SW NEAR 7-8KT  
THIS EVENING, BEFORE TURNING NW LATE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
 

 
   
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AL...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
NEAR TERM...25  
SHORT TERM....09  
LONG TERM....09  
AVIATION...09  
 
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