508
FXUS64 KMRX 091718
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1218 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1216 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026
- WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN
THE 50S AND 60S IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY, THEN
AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK WITH RAIN BEING THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1232 AM EST MON FEB 9 2026
A RIDGE IS BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. TODAY. AT THE
SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE EAST COAST BRINGING SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER THIS WEEK
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S BUT TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TN VALLEY AND
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEY. DRY WEATHER WILL BE
IN PLACE UNTIL THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS A LOW NEAR THE GREAT LAKES BRINGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION. ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND INSTABILITY
WILL BE TOO LOW FOR THUNDER.
DRYING OUT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL TEMPS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES RETURN FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A LOW SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. PRECIP TYPE
WILL BE ALL RAIN EXCEPT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME FLAKES IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER,
INCREASING CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TOWARD DAYBREAK TUESDAY WITH
BROKEN CEILINGS AT CHA POSSIBLY DROPPING TO 3500-4000 FEET.
SURFACE RIDGING TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT WITH
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TUESDAY AS RIDGING MOVES EAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 46 73 51 62 / 0 0 50 50
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 43 68 46 57 / 0 10 60 50
OAK RIDGE, TN 41 68 44 58 / 0 10 60 40
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 34 61 40 51 / 0 0 60 30
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...DH
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