827  
FXUS64 KMRX 090543  
AFDMRX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
143 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 134 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
- CANNOT RULE OUT A SPRINKLE OR TWO TODAY IN SOUTHEASTERN  
TENNESSEE NEAR THE GEORGIA STATE LINE. DRIER AIR ARRIVES AS  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. MOSTLY CLEAR SKY AND DRY WEATHER  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
- FALL-LIKE, COOL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH  
THIS WEEKEND. A SLIGHT WARMING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 134 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
ISOLATED PATCHY FOG OR LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING THANKS TO THE  
RECENT RAINFALL, BUT MUCH OF THE AREA CURRENTLY LOOKS CLEAR ON  
NIGHTTIME SATELLITE IMAGERY AND GUIDANCE DOESN'T APPEAR FAVORABLE  
FOR FOG FORMATION, ESPECIALLY WITH THE OVERNIGHT BREEZE. A WEAK  
SHORTWAVE WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE WIDER REGION TODAY, CAMS ARE  
SPLIT ON THE IDEA OF A FEW SPRINKLES TO LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS SOUTH  
OF SAY SWEETWATER OR ATHENS INTO GEORGIA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS  
SYSTEM, NOTHING IMPACTFUL THOUGH. OTHERWISE WE ENTER WHAT APPEARS  
TO BE ANOTHER EXTENDED DRY PERIOD.  
 
THE DRIER AIR MASS THAT'S MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL  
ALLOW FOR BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING AT NIGHT WITH LOWER DEWPOINTS,  
SO A FEW LOCATIONS IN NORTHEASTERN TN INTO SOUTHWESTERN VA ALONG  
WITH THE MOUNTAINS NEXT COUPLE OF MORNINGS MAY SEE SOME 30'S ON  
THEIR THERMOMETERS, BUT OTHERWISE THIS IS IN LINE WITH A TYPICAL  
OCTOBER. HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK A STRENGTHENING ANOMALOUS RIDGE WILL  
BUILD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INCREASE HEIGHTS OVER  
US. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE INDICATES A GENTLE INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES  
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH THE RIDGE ALSO ALLOWING FOR THE DRY  
WEATHER TO CONTINUE. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ON THE HORIZON AS WE  
HEAD INTO THE MIDDLE OF OCTOBER.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1216 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
THERE WILL BE VARYING AMOUNTS OF CLOUDS AROUND 5KFT ESPECIALLY  
CHA AND TO A LESSER EXTENT TYS, BUT VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
FOR THE PERIOD ALL SITES.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 72 54 75 52 / 10 0 0 0  
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 72 50 74 49 / 10 0 0 0  
OAK RIDGE, TN 72 49 73 48 / 0 0 0 0  
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 72 42 71 43 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NC...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  
VA...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...WELLINGTON  
AVIATION...99  
 
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