181
FXUS64 KMRX 051701
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
101 PM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 230 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
- THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOW
RAIN CHANCES RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS
WILL BE INCREASING THIS WEEKEND.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
EVERY DAY NEXT WEEK MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
IN THE UPPER LEVELS, A RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AT
THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-
ATLANTIC. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS WILL BE ON THE RISE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES. BY SUNDAY, A SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH
THE NORTHEAST BRINGS A COLD FRONT INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BUT IT FAILS
TO MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW GETS SOMEWHAT STUCK
NEAR KS/MO AS A BLOCKING RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST U.S. TO
ONTARIO, CANADA. THE REMNANTS OF THIS UPPER LOW WILL MAKE IT INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY TUES/WED.
RAIN CHANCES START TO INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY IN THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THEN ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE LIKELY EVERY DAY NEXT WEEK. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE HIT AND MISS AND MAINLY DURING THE PEAK HEATING
HOURS OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IT LOOKS LIKE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY MAY HAVE THE BEST COVERAGE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE PERIOD ALL SITES. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AND LESS THAN 10KTS
DURING THE DAY, WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 85 63 87 68 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 85 62 87 66 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 83 61 86 65 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 86 60 86 63 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCD
AVIATION...99
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page