331
FXUS64 KOHX 011555
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1055 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1042 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
- LOW CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.
- DRY WEATHER WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITY
STARTS TUESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
AN MCS IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SOUTH/SOUTHEAST NEAR THE TN RIVER
WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS AHEAD OF IT ACROSS THE SOUTH. THESE
STORMS THIS MORNING HAVE MAINLY BEEN ELEVATED WITH THE MAIN
CONCERN CONTINUING TO BE STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAIN WILL
ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN AS THIS SYSTEM IS ABLE TO TAP INTO
PWATS OF 1.5 INCHES OF HIGHER. THE MCS WILL EXIT THE AREA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON, AND THEN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM, WE'LL BE
WATCHING FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS TO DEVELOP, PRIMARILY WEST OF I-65.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS STILL LOW GIVEN THIS MORNING'S SYSTEM AND
SEEING HOW THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER. THIS MORNING'S CAMS ARE
SUGGESTING THAT ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT WILL PRIMARILY BE TO THE WEST
AND SOUTH OF MIDDLE TN, BUT THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.
IF ANY STORMS DO DEVELOP, THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.
BY TUESDAY, DRIER AIR FINALLY MOVES INTO THE AREA, AND THIS WILL BE
THE START OF A NICE FEW DAYS. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL BE PRESENT
TOMORROW, AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP INTO THE UPPER-70S TO LOW-
80S WITH LOWS IN THE 50S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE PATTERN STARTING WEDNESDAY WHICH
KEEPS THE AREA DRY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK FROM HIGHS IN THE LOW-80S
TO THE MID AND UPPER-80S BY FRIDAY. THE RIDGE WEAKENS OVER THE
WEEKEND, ALLOWING FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN. THIS BRINGS LOW RAIN
CHANCES BACK TO THE AREA SATURDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HIGHS WILL BE SEASONABLY NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID AND UPPER-80S
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 545 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
IFR CIGS AND PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT CSV/SRB THROUGH
14-15Z. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE INTO MIDDLE
TENNESSEE MID TO LATE MORNING WITH THE CKV HAVING THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF BEING IMPACTED. FOR BNA/MQY/CSV/SRB, THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE OF BEING IMPACTED BY A STORM. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY 21-00Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE 5 KTS OR LESS THROUGH
02/12Z. AT BNA, NE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KTS AFTER
02/12Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 84 64 80 57 / 60 40 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 83 62 79 55 / 90 40 0 0
CROSSVILLE 79 57 76 52 / 70 30 10 0
COLUMBIA 84 64 80 55 / 80 50 0 0
COOKEVILLE 81 59 78 54 / 70 30 0 0
JAMESTOWN 80 56 77 51 / 40 20 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 82 64 79 55 / 70 50 0 0
MURFREESBORO 84 63 81 55 / 70 50 0 0
WAVERLY 84 64 80 56 / 90 40 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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