013
FXUS64 KOHX 111135
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
635 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 630 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
- LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH RAIN CHANCES ENDING FROM
WEST TO EAST TODAY.
- WARM, DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WELL
ABOVE-NORMAL MOST DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE AREA TONIGHT
WITH THE SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR THE TN/AL BORDER. THE LOW WILL
LIFT THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR SOME CONTINUING LIGHT
ACTIVITY. AS THE LOW LIFT AWAY FROM THE AREA IN THE MORNING, RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG WITH A LOT OF THE
CLOUD COVER. AREAS WEST OF THE PLATEAU SHOULD SEE THE RETURN OF
THE SUN PRIOR TO SUNSET. THE ENTIRE AREA WILL BE RAIN FREE SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 50S. SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL
QUICKLY BUILD INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES BACK TO
WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH MIDWEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL TRY TO PUSH SOUTH TOWARD
THE AREA BUT THE UPPER RIDGING WILL BE STUBBORN. IF THE BOUNDARY
IS ABLE TO PUSH FAR ENOUGH SOUTH, THERE WILL BE SOME LOW RAIN
CHANCES ALONG THE TN/KY BORDER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A STRONGER
TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES LATE IN THE WEEK WHICH
WILL PUSH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE AREA ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO FALL BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR MID OCTOBER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
POOR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS MORNING FOR ALL
MIDDLE TN TERMINALS. AN IFR TO LIFR STATUS DECK WILL BRING VARYING
CIG HEIGHTS BETWEEN 300-600 FT, GRADUALLY LIFTING THROUGH THE
MORNING AS THE STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. DRIZZLY AND
HAZY CONDITONS WILL BRING PERIODS OF RESTRICTED VIS. VFR
CONDITIONS LOOK TO RETURN THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
FOR ALL TERMINALS AROUND 00Z WITH THE EXCEPTION OF CSV WHERE
CLOUDS MAY HOLD ON A LITTLE WHILE LONGER. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED OUT
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO SUSTAINED
SPEEDS BETWEEN 5-10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 74 56 87 63 / 20 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 78 56 89 63 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 64 52 79 57 / 70 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 77 55 88 60 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 67 53 81 60 / 80 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 66 54 80 59 / 90 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 74 54 87 59 / 10 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 75 54 88 60 / 30 0 0 0
WAVERLY 76 57 87 62 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....BAGGETT
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