857
FXUS64 KOHX 291145
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
545 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 541 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
- WINDY TODAY WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS
AROUND 40 MPH POSSIBLE PLATEAU WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST.
- VERY COLD THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWS
IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
- QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL FOR NYE AND NEW YEAR'S DAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
THE LONG-AWAITED COLD FRONT THAT IS SUDDENLY GOING TO MAKE IT
WINTER AGAIN IS CURRENTLY SWEEPING THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE. IT
SHOULD EXIT THE MID STATE AROUND 07Z. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE NO
ACTUAL THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING WITH THE FRONT, THERE ARE
WIDESPREAD 40-50 MPH GUSTS OCCURRING RIGHT ALONG THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY, WITH A FEW POCKETS OF 50+ WIND GUSTS, ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF I-40. CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD BE QUITE RAPID. ALL
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE GONE BY 12Z, AND MOST AREAS CAN EXPECT
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. BUT THIS WILL NOT DISPEL
THE COLD TEMPERATURES. DESPITE NASHVILLE TYING ITS DAILY RECORD
HIGH TODAY OF 75F, WE WILL NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S MONDAY, AND
A BRISK NORTHWEST BREEZE WILL KEEP WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS AND
20S THROUGHOUT THE DAY AREA-WIDE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN FOR MOST OF NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO REBOUND FOLLOWING THE FROPA.
BUT WE DO EXPECT TO RETURN TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY WEDNESDAY. AND
THAT'S WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL MORE OR LESS LEVEL OFF AND REMAIN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT ACTIVE
WEATHER SYSTEM LOOKS TO BRING RAIN CHANCES TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE
FRIDAY, FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. BUT QPF VALUES ARE RUNNING 1/3"
OR LESS ACROSS THE REGION WITH THIS EVENT, SO NOTHING TOO
IMPACTFUL IS ON THE HORIZON AFTER TONIGHT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 541 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
AFTER A COLD FRONT PASSAGE LAST NIGHT, DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
MOVING INTO THE REGION. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TODAY,
ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING WITH FREQUENT GUSTS 25-30KT. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BNA/CKV/MQY WILL
HAVE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. CSV/SRB WILL HAVE VFR
CIGS THROUGH 15Z, THEN IMPROVE TO VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 36 22 37 27 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 34 20 37 26 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 34 16 32 20 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 36 21 38 24 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 33 19 32 21 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 34 16 31 21 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 37 21 37 23 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 36 21 37 23 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 34 20 36 25 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR TNZ005>008-
023>029-056>063-075-077-093>095.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TNZ009>011-030>034-
064>066-078>080.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....13
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