805
FXUS64 KOHX 290532
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1232 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1228 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- DRY AND GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL LINGER INTO SUNDAY. USE CAUTION
WITH OUTDOOR BURNING.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK WITH MEDIUM TO
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN/STORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND LOOKS NICE AND CALM. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A BIT CHILLY TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S. SUNDAY, WHILE
WE WON'T BE UNDER ANY ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS FROM SPC, IT WILL STILL
BE DRY AND COULD BE GUSTY AT TIMES. IT LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER RISKY DAY
FOR FIRE WEATHER IN SOME AREAS, SO USE CAUTION AND PREFERABLY AVOID
OUTDOOR BURNING IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. HIGHS WILL GET INTO THE 60S AND
70S SUNDAY, SO IT WILL BE ANOTHER MILD DAY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
RIDGING EARLY THIS COMING WORK WEEK COMBINED WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL MEAN WARMING TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF MARCH. HIGHS WILL GET
INTO THE LOW 80S BY TUESDAY.
AS WE ENTER APRIL, THIS CALM WEATHER WILL BE DISRUPTED BY SHORTWAVES
PASSING THROUGH THE AREA, ULTIMATELY SHIFTING OUR PATTERN TO THE
WETTER SIDE. THIS PATTERN SHIFT WILL BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL
TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTING A FEW INCHES OF RAIN
AROUND THE AREA BY THE TIME THE FIRST WEEKEND IN APRIL COMES AROUND.
PROBABILITIES FOR OVER AN INCH ARE NEAR CERTAIN, WITH PROBABILITIES
FOR OVER 1.5 INCHES ARE 40 - 70%, WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY
AROUND CLARKSVILLE. WITH ALL OF THESE CHANCES FOR RAIN, WE WILL HAVE
TO WATCH FOR THUNDERSTORMS, BUT NOT SEEING ANY SIGNS OF SEVERE
WEATHER RIGHT NOW WITH THESE SHORTWAVES. TEMPERATURES WILL STAGNATE
IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, SO
LET'S HOPE THAT SPRING IS REALLY HERE THIS TIME!
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE IS SLIDING ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE TONIGHT. WINDS
HAVE ALREADY SHIFTED TO THE EAST, AND WE EXPECT RETURN SOUTHERLY
FLOW TO BECOME ESTABLISHED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AT THE SAME
TIME, NEAR SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO ACCELERATING, SO WE'VE ADDED
LLWS REMARKS TO THE TAFS FOR EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE SURFACE WINDS
BEGIN TO INCREASE. OTHERWISE, TAFS ARE VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 72 56 79 63 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 72 56 80 64 / 0 10 0 0
CROSSVILLE 64 50 71 57 / 0 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 71 54 79 62 / 0 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 66 53 73 61 / 0 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 65 51 72 58 / 0 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 69 54 77 61 / 0 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 71 55 79 63 / 0 10 10 0
WAVERLY 72 56 79 64 / 0 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....ROSE
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