795
FXUS64 KOHX 191540
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1040 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1027 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
- EXPECT COOL NIGHTS AND PLEASANT DAYS THROUGH THE WEEK AND THIS
WEEKEND.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ARE GOING TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1027 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS SLIDING ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE TODAY,
AND HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. IN THE NEAR
TERM, TEMPERATURES ARE VERY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. DEW POINTS
ARE VERY LOW, AND AFTERNOON RH VALUES LESS THAN 40% (AND IN SOME
CASES LESS THAN 30%) ARE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY
WEST OF I-65, AND MOST OF THE MID STATE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE
35-45% RANGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1027 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND THIS
WEEKEND, BUT WE DON'T EXPECT TO STRAY TOO FAR ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMS AT ANY POINT. RAIN CHANCES FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS ARE
NEGLIGIBLE. IT IS UNCLEAR WHEN THE NEXT WEATHER-PRODUCING SYSTEM
MIGHT IMPACT THE MID STATE. MAYBE EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK? IN THE
MEANTIME, EXPECT DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO WORSEN FOR ALL
OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD WITH STABLE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE REGION. (EXCEPTION HAS BEEN CKV AND SRB WHERE
PATCHY AND/OR SHALLOW FOG IS IMPACTING OBSERVATIONS THIS MORNING.)
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT BNA, MQY, AND CKV TODAY WITH
THE SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED ON TOP OF NASHVILLE. WINDS SHOULD
FAVOR A NE DIRECTION AT SRB AND CSV.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 73 47 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 75 46 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 67 43 72 42 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 73 45 76 45 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 67 45 73 44 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 67 44 71 43 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 72 44 75 44 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 73 45 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 72 47 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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