573
FXUS64 KOHX 171127
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
627 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 622 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
- COOL AND DRY WEEKEND WITH PATCHY FROST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 70S.
- DRY ALL NEXT WEEK, SO DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH MIDDLE TN FRIDAY MORNING HAD
BROUGHT AN END TO RECORD-BREAKING HEAT, GIVING US OUR FIRST TASTE
OF REAL FALL WEATHER. TEMPERATURES THIS EVENING WERE RUNNING 20
DEGREES COOLER THAN 24 HOURS AGO, AND THE COOLER, BREEZY TREND
WILL CONTINUE.
A FEW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG THE PLATEAU WILL MOVE OUT SOON WITH
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH AT TIMES. THE
WINDS WILL FINALLY DIMINISH BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS VERY DRY
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD. DAYTIME SATURDAY WILL BE THE
COOLEST OF THE FALL SEASON SO FAR WITH TEMPERATURES MAKING IT ONLY
TO THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S! THE BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ENHANCE THE FIRE RISK, SO BURNING IS DISCOURAGED, AND LIKELY
BANNED IN SOME AREAS.
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. THIS WILL ALLOW MANY AREAS TO DIP
INTO THE 30S. PATCHY FROST WILL DEVELOP, MAINLY IN VALLEYS AND
ALONG THE PLATEAU.
DAYTIME SUNDAY WILL BE A NICE FALL DAY WITH SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS,
AND HIGHS IN THE 60S. PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY
NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK. AS A RIDGE
BUILDS OVERHEAD, DAYTIME HIGHS WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE
70S, REACHING AROUND 80 BY THE END OF THE WEEK. NIGHTS WILL BE
CLEAR AND CONTINUED CHILLY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
AREAS OF MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS
MORNING, BUT THERE'S PATCHES OF CLEARING. KEPT MVFR (BKN025) IN
TAFS THROUGH ~13Z AT BNA, MQY, AND CKV. CIGS WILL STICK AROUND A
LITTLE LONGER AT SRB AND CSV. CLOUDS WILL CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH CONTINUED N TO NNE WINDS AT 8-14 KTS. EXPECT GUSTS UP TO ~25
KTS AT TIMES. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND VEER TO THE E
OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 62 40 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 62 37 69 38 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 55 34 63 36 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 63 37 69 38 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 57 36 66 39 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 55 35 65 37 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 62 36 69 38 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 63 37 70 38 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 60 39 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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