046
FXUS64 KOHX 181053
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
553 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 552 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
- PATCHY FROST THIS MORNING, ESPECIALLY FOR THE UPPER CUMBERLAND.
- COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS THROUGH THE WEEK. HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
70S, MAYBE SOME LOWER 80S LATE WEEK.
- DRY PATTERN FOR THE REST OF THE MONTH WITH DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WORSENING.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
FOR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, SKIES WILL BE CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS.
MANY AREAS WILL HAVE WAKE-UP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S.
PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY FOR THE UPPER CUMBERLAND.
DAYTIME SUNDAY WILL BE A PICTURE PERFECT FALL DAY WITH SUNNY
SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70.
MORE OF THE SAME SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY BUT JUST A DEGREE OR 2
WARMER.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
DRY WX WILL CONTINUE AS FAR THE EYE (AND FORECAST MODEL) CAN SEE.
NIGHTS WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL AND DAYS WILL BE SUNNY AND MILD.
HIGHS THROUGH THE WEEK WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE 70S, WITH
SOME LOWER 80S POSSIBLE LATE WEEK. LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 40S.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE RISK, BUT THANKFULLY WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT. DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
NO CHANGES COMING FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL
WITH LIGHT NE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING SE LATE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 70 44 74 44 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 70 41 74 41 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 64 39 68 39 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 71 41 74 41 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 67 41 70 40 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 66 40 69 39 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 71 41 73 40 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 71 41 73 40 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 70 44 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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