370
FXUS64 KOHX 031719
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1219 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1203 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WARM,
BREEZY AFTERNOONS.
- HIGH CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS LOW.
- COOLER, MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
IT'S ANOTHER PLEASANT SPRING DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES
APPROACHING THE 80S WEST OF THE PLATEAU. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
(<20%) OF A SCATTERED SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON, OTHERWISE LOOK FOR WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS. IT WILL BE MILD TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.
WE'LL START THE WEEKEND DRY BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THE
FURTHER WE GET INTO THE DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS AHEAD OF IT. INSTABILITY CONTINUES
TO LOOK LIMITED BUT THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE OF A COUPLE STRONG
WIND GUSTS WITH STORMS GIVEN SOME INITIAL DRY LOW LEVELS AND
STEEPER THAN AVERAGE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES PROVIDING SOME
INCREASED DCAPE. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN COMING TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST. RAIN
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE AROUND 0.75"-1" WITH THIS
SYSTEM.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
EASTER WILL BE DRY AND COOLER FOR THE AREA. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
OF A LINGERING SHOWER ON THE PLATEAU DURING THE EARLY MORNING.
HIGHS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL MORE CLOSER TO SEASONAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S AND LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S. SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW MAKES A RETURN ON WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY,
ONCE WE GET PAST SATURDAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE, WE WON'T HAVE ANY
OTHER ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
VFR EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE VAST MAJORITY OF THIS TAF CYCLE WITH
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH 00Z/SAT. WINDS WILL RELAX TO AROUND
10 KTS OVERNIGHT THEN PICK UP AGAIN AROUND 14Z/SAT. TSRA EXPECTED
INTO MIDDLE TN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE 30-HR
BNA TAF WINDOW, INCLUDING THE START OF LOWER CIGS/VIS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 66 83 48 67 / 0 80 100 0
CLARKSVILLE 67 80 45 65 / 10 90 90 0
CROSSVILLE 60 77 46 61 / 0 50 100 30
COLUMBIA 64 83 46 65 / 0 80 100 10
COOKEVILLE 63 80 47 61 / 0 70 90 20
JAMESTOWN 61 80 45 60 / 0 60 90 20
LAWRENCEBURG 64 82 47 64 / 0 80 90 10
MURFREESBORO 65 84 47 64 / 0 80 90 10
WAVERLY 67 80 45 64 / 10 90 90 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....UNGER
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