653
FXUS64 KOHX 241048
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
548 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 546 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
- MILD, SUNNY DAYS AND COOL, CLEAR NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS LOCKED IN PLACE TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE, SO THERE HAS BEEN ABSOLUTELY NO CHANGE IN AIR
MASS CHARACTERISTICS, AND NONE IS EXPECTED ANY TIME SOON. IT DOES
APPEAR THAT THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE MID STATE DURING THE
NEXT 24-36 HOURS, BUT THIS WILL HAVE ABSOLUTELY NO IMPACT ON OUR
WEATHER WHATSOEVER. THE AIR MASS REMAINS BONE-DRY AROUND THE MID
STATE, WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE
25-35% RANGE TOMORROW FOR A GREATER PORTION OF THE REGION, AND IN
THE 30-40% RANGE ON SUNDAY MOST AREAS. INDEED, THE PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUE ON THE 00Z SOUNDING AT OHX IS 0.35", WHICH IS BELOW
THE 10TH PERCENTILE CLIMATOLOGICALLY AND VERY CLOSE TO A DAILY
MINIMUM VALUE.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
THE BEAT GOES ON. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE NEXT DAYS
WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS WHILE MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RIGHT AROUND NORMAL VALUES. SO THE PERSISTENT
DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO YIELD RELATIVELY LARGE DIURNAL RANGES.
AT THIS TIME, THE NEXT APPRECIABLE RAIN CHANCES VIA THE NBM WON'T
HAPPEN UNTIL NEXT SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, WHICH IS BEYOND THE
7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD, AND EVEN THOSE INITIAL RAIN CHANCES KEEP
GETTING PUSHED FARTHER INTO THE FUTURE WITH EACH MODEL RUN. SO
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN FOR NOW..
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 546 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL HAVE A
GENERAL SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AT BNA/CKV/MQY AND REMAIN AT 6 KTS OR
LESS. WINDS AT CSV/SRB WILL BE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AT LESS THAN
5 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 78 49 78 47 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 78 47 79 46 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 71 43 71 40 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 78 47 78 45 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 73 47 73 44 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 71 45 72 42 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 76 46 76 43 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 78 47 78 44 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 76 49 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....REAGAN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page