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FXUS64 KOHX 042337
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
637 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 637 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
- CLOUDS GRADUALLY CLEARING TONIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY WITH COOL NIGHTS
AND WARM DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
CLOUDS ARE SLOWLY CLEARING MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS MORNING, WITH FULL
CLEARING BY THE TIME WE GET INTO THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE 70S TODAY, WITH AREAS THAT SEE ADDITIONAL SUNSHINE AS
CLOUDS CLEAR FROM NW TO SE GETTING TO 80 DEGREES. OVERNIGHT, WE WILL
DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S AREAWIDE UNDER CLEAR SKIES, KICKING OFF
ANOTHER DRY PERIOD IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
THANKS TO THE REINFORCING COLD FRONT SWINGING THROUGH MONDAY, WE
WILL SEE NICE COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL INITIALLY BE IN THE 70S AND LOW 80S (MUCH LIKE
TODAY), AND SKIES WILL BE CLEAR AS HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP OVER THE
STATE ONCE AGAIN.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
UNFORTUNATELY THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WON'T LAST LONG. HIGHS WILL
SLOWLY WARM BACK INTO THE MID 80S AS THE WEEK WEARS ON. THE MORNING
LOWS ARE WHERE THE CHILLY AIR REALLY SHINES, AS TEMPERATURES WILL
DIP INTO THE 40S AND 50S ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP US DRY THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH THE NEXT LOW
CHANCE FOR RAIN ON THE WEEKEND. HOPEFULLY, WE CAN GET ENOUGH TO HELP
BUST MORE OF THIS DROUGHT, BUT WE'RE UNSURE ON SPECIFICS LIKE
AMOUNTS AND EXACT LOCATIONS AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 635 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD FOR ALL SITES
EXCEPT KCSV. SOME LINGERING STRATUS ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
REMAINS, BUT SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING. WITH WIDESPREAD
CIRRUS PERSISTING OVERHEAD AND A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING IN,
CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR FOG OR ADDITIONAL
STRATUS FORMATION. AFTER SUNRISE, NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS PICK UP
TO AROUND 10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 56 80 51 82 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 53 79 49 81 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 50 75 44 78 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 54 81 49 84 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 53 75 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 52 75 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 54 81 48 84 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 54 82 48 84 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 53 77 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....HUSTED
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