915
FXUS64 KOHX 050001
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
701 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 658 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
- EXPECT RAIN-FREE WEATHER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONAL BEFORE WARMING BACK INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 80S THIS WEEKEND, WITH SOME 90S POSSIBLE LATER
NEXT WEEK.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY AND EXTEND WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK. THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS VERY LOW FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 658 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SET UP OVER US WITH A SURFACE HIGH OFF TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER NIGHT OF GREAT WEATHER TO
MIDDLE TN. DEW POINT WILL REMAIN COMFORTABLE WITH LOWS FALLING IN
TO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1049 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
CURRENTLY, HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER MIDDLE
TENNESSEE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT, SO WE ARE ENJOYING SOME DEEP
SUBSIDENCE RESULTING IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND RELATIVELY LOW
HUMIDITY. WE WILL GET TO ENJOY THIS PATTERN FOR A COUPLE OF MORE
DAYS BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS EASTWARD AND ALLOWS FOR THE
NEXT ACTIVE WEATHER SYSTEM TO ENTER THE PICTURE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1049 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS BY THIS WEEKEND. RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY AS A DEEP UPPER
LOW LOOKS TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT PLAINS AND RESULTS IN
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE BEING PULLED INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THE
GULF. BY THEN, THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE MORE HUMID
AND SUMMER-LIKE, AND THIS MEANS AFTERNOON AND EVENING INSTABILITY
RESULTING FROM DAYTIME SURFACE HEATING. SO FROM SUNDAY ONWARD,
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION MOST
EVERY DAY AS OUR WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS UNSETTLED. THERE IS NO
EVIDENCE OF AN ACTUAL FRONTAL PASSAGE ANYTIME SOON, SO IT IS
UNLIKELY THAT WE WILL EXPERIENCE ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THUS,
THERE IS A VERY LOW RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AT LEAST DURING THE NEXT
7 DAYS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
VFR WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE AIRFIELDS. WINDS
ARE SE AND LIGHT THIS EVENING AND SHOULD BECOME S TO SW TOMORROW
AT 5-10 KTS. OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE LATE MORNING AND
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SCT CU.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 62 86 67 89 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 61 86 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 57 79 60 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 58 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 59 81 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 57 82 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 58 83 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 59 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 61 86 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......MUELLER
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page