287
FXUS64 KOHX 101040
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
540 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 539 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS BUILD AS HEAT INDICES REACH THE 100S
WEST OF THE PLATEAU WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
- MORE RAIN COMING AND A AIRMASS CHANGE ON FRIDAY, BUT RAIN
CHANCES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
AS WE QUIET DOWN FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, EXPECT HUMID CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. IF WINDS DECREASE IN
AREAS NORTH OF I-40 THIS EVENING, WE COULD SEE SOME VISIBILITY
ISSUES DUE TO PATCHY FOG. CAMS ARE NOT CONFIDENT IN THIS OUTCOME,
BUT THE POSSIBILITY IS THERE.
WE COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY, MAINLY ALONG THE KY STATE LINE IN THE
MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE, HIGHS WILL GET INTO THE MID 80S TO MID
90S. HEAT INDICES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS AS SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES TO ADVECT MOISTURE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
IN THE WORDS OF GLENN FREY, THE HEAT IS (UNFORTUNATELY) ON FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. WE TRIED TO RUN FROM SUMMER, BUT SHE CAUGHT US FOR A
SHORT TIME. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST THROUGH
THURSDAY, PUTTING HEAT INDICES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS AND ACTUAL AIR
TEMPERATURES NOT MUCH LOWER. MAKE SURE YOU ARE STAYING HYDRATED AND
TAKING BREAKS IF YOU HAVE ANY OUTDOOR PLANS!
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
FRIDAY A COLD FRONT WILL INVADE MIDDLE TENNESSEE, BRINGING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. SEVERE THREAT LOOKS LOW WITH THIS
SYSTEM, BUT WE COULD CERTAINLY SEE SOME STRONG STORMS WITH THE
INSTABILITY THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT. GUIDANCE IS ALSO
SUGGESTING HIGH PWATS ABOVE 2" AGAIN, SO WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE
ON MOISTURE AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IS ON THE LOWER
END WITH WHERE STRONGER STORMS COULD DEVELOP THOUGH.
PAST FRIDAY, THERE IS NOT A WHOLE LOT OF AGREEMENT IN THE MODELS.
LOOKS LIKE RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT
HARD TO SAY ANYTHING MORE SPECIFIC THAN THAT. AS THE SHORTER TERM
MODELS GRAB A HOLD OF THE SYSTEM, WE SHOULD SEE IMPROVEMENT IN THIS.
BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE GOING TO BE THE SUNNIEST WE
MAY SEE FOR A BIT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 539 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WITH OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON
GUSTS AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 94 75 95 76 / 0 0 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 92 74 92 75 / 0 0 0 20
CROSSVILLE 85 69 86 70 / 10 0 10 0
COLUMBIA 93 72 93 74 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 88 71 89 72 / 10 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 88 69 89 70 / 20 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 90 71 91 73 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 93 73 94 74 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 92 74 93 74 / 0 0 0 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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