003
FXUS64 KOHX 021730
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1230 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1228 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
- DRY WEATHER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY THROUGH FRIDAY.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONAL BEFORE WARMING BACK TO ABOVE
NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
AFTER A LITTLE BIT OF FOG THIS MORNING, THINGS ARE WARMING UP
NICELY ACROSS THE MID-STATE. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT OUR
ACTIVE WEATHER YESTERDAY IS SPINNING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY,
AND WE REMAIN UNDER LINGERING EFFECTS OF NORTHWEST FLOW. AS SUCH,
WE HAVE SOME CLOUDS AROUND, BUT HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IMMEDIATELY
TO OUR WEST WILL START PUSHING IN LATER TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S THIS AFTERNOON WITH A NICE
NORTHEASTERLY BREEZE. A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH OR SO WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. SOME AREAS WILL DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT, MAINLY NEAR BODIES OF WATER, BUT WIDESPREAD FOG
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE DRIER AIRMASS. REALLY
NICE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S AND
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY, KEEPING
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AS THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVERHEAD, EVENTUALLY
LEADING TO AFTERNOON HIGHS BACK INTO THE UPPER 80S. THE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER WILL START TO BREAKDOWN THIS WEEKEND, AND MID-
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION BACK OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, RE-
INTRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE
FORECAST. VERY LOW RAIN/STORM CHANCES SATURDAY, LESS THAN 20%, BUT
BETTER MOISTURE WILL ADVECT IN BY SUNDAY, BRINGING THOSE CHANCES
UP TO 40-50%. AS MENTIONED ABOVE, TEMPERATURES BY THIS POINT WILL
BE BACK UP INTO THE UPPER 80S, AND WITH INCREASE HUMIDITY, IT
WILL FEEL PRETTY ICKY OUTSIDE, SO KEEP THIS IN MIND IF YOU HAVE
OUTDOOR PLANS THIS WEEKEND.
THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
MIDDLE TN BECOMES SANDWICHED BETWEEN AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF AND A DEEPENING LOW OVER THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST. FORTUNATELY, THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY ORGANIZED
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR MORE OF THE
SUMMERTIME-LIKE STORMS THAT WE'VE BEEN EXPERIENCING OVER THE LAST
WEEK OR SO.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THE EXCEPTION MAY
BE ACROSS THE PLATEAU INCLUDING CSV AND SRB WHERE THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
TAPERING OFF BETWEEN 00Z AND 02Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 57 82 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 54 82 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 51 77 54 80 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 55 81 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 54 79 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 51 79 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 55 79 57 81 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 55 82 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 55 82 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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