268
FXUS64 KOHX 251048
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
548 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 547 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
- WARM, SUNNY DAYS AND COOL, CLEAR NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT THE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL HOPEFULLY BEGIN TO SHIFT NEXT WEEKEND.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN IN THE NEAR-TERM.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN PARKED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE HAS FINALLY COME THROUGH AND NOW TRAILS ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS. SURFACE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH AND DEW
POINTS HAVE STARTED TO COME UP. IT APPEARS THAT RADIATION FOG MAY
BE A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT AS DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS
SHRINK TO NEAR ZERO IN MANY SPOTS. BUT WE STILL DON'T EXPECT ANY
MEANINGFUL PATTERN SHIFT IN COMING DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION BOTH AT THE SURFACE
AND ALOFT. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE LOW FOR
THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, SO THERE IS OBVIOUSLY AN INCREASED FIRE
RISK AS AVAILABLE FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY OUT. HOWEVER, LIGHT WINDS
WILL ALSO PREVENT THE FIRE RISK FROM BEING FURTHER ELEVATED.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL WARM VERY
GRADUALLY. WE'LL STILL ENJOY RELATIVELY COOL NIGHTS AND WARM
AFTERNOONS FOR MOST OF THE WEEK, WITH LARGER-THAN-NORMAL DIURNAL
SPREADS. HOWEVER, THE PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL FINALLY START
TO BREAK DOWN BY WEEK'S END, AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A
WEATHER-PRODUCING SYSTEM WILL IMPACT MIDDLE TENNESSEE NEXT
WEEKEND. IN THE NEAR-TERM, EXPECT DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
WORSENING. HOWEVER, THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL NEXT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY THAT WOULD BRING MUCH-NEEDED
RELIEF FROM THE DRYNESS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 547 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
5 KTS OR LESS AND VARIABLE IN DIRECTION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 77 49 76 47 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 79 48 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 70 43 71 41 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 77 47 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 73 46 72 45 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 72 45 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 76 46 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 78 46 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 76 49 74 47 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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