543
FXUS64 KOHX 061038
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
538 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 535 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
- SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY. MEDIUM (30-50%)
CHANCES EAST OF I-65 WITH LOW (10-20%) CHANCES WEST OF I-65.
- NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED, BUT A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE
GUSTY WINDS (UP TO 40 MPH) AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
- HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90 TO LOW 100S EACH AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1033 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
WELL, ON THE WHOLE, IT WAS A RELATIVELY BENIGN DAY. HOWEVER, ONCE WE
STARTED TO GET THUNDERSTORMS ROLLING THIS AFTERNOON EAST OF I-65 AND
OUTFLOWS BEGAN PUSHING WESTWARD, I THINK THERE ENDED UP BEING A
LITTLE MORE COVERAGE THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT -- TO THE POINT OF
LAWRENCE COUNTY SEEING A COUPLE OF HEALTHY RAINFALL BULLSEYES WHICH
LED TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE TOWN OF LAWRENCEBURG. SINCE
THEN, THE RADAR HAS QUIETED DOWN AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THE
CASE UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHEN ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED.
UNTIL THEN, LOOK FOR WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH PATCHY
DENSE FOG FOR THOSE WHO SAW RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
TODAY'S ACTIVITY REVOLVED AROUND A WEAK UPPER TROUGH THAT HAS
PLAGUED THE REGION FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE GOOD NEWS IS
THAT WE SHOULD FINALLY LOSE THE INFLUENCE OF THAT TROUGH TOMORROW.
THE LESS-GOOD NEWS IS WE'LL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF TWO RIDGES TOMORROW
WITH WHAT LOOKS TO BE GENERAL TROUGHINESS ACROSS THE REGION STILL.
THAT MEANS MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON,
THOUGH COVERAGE SHOULDN'T BE AS WIDESPREAD. AS FAR AS ANY SEVERE
THREATS, WITHOUT ANY REASON FOR ORGANIZATION, HEAVY RAIN AND SUB-
SEVERE GUSTY WINDS SHOULD AGAIN BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR ANY OUTDOOR
INTERESTS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1033 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
AS FRIDAY ROLLS AROUND AND WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND, I DON'T SEE ANY
REASON THINGS ARE GOING TO CHANGE MUCH. THE PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY
STAGNANT. AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING STORMS EACH AFTERNOON WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS REACHING THE LOW 90S WEST TO MID 80S EAST - A VERY
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN. AS FAR AS COVERAGE EACH DAY, IT'LL BE
LIKE SPINNING A WHEEL ON WHETHER YOU SEE RAIN, BUT IF YOU DO, JUST
LIKE ANY OTHER SUMMERTIME DAY, HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS CAN'T BE
RULED OUT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 535 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP AFTER 18Z WITH COVERAGE
MAINLY FOCUSED NEAR SRB/CSV. IF A TERMINAL IS IMPACTED, VIS MAY BE
REDUCED TO IFR/MVFR. RAIN/STORM PROBABILITIES AT BNA/MQY/CKV ARE
TOO LOW TO MENTION. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE S/SW THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD AROUND 5 KTS OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 93 74 94 74 / 10 10 30 30
CLARKSVILLE 93 73 94 74 / 10 10 20 40
CROSSVILLE 84 67 84 68 / 50 10 60 20
COLUMBIA 93 72 93 72 / 10 10 30 20
COOKEVILLE 86 69 87 70 / 40 10 40 20
JAMESTOWN 85 68 86 69 / 40 10 50 20
LAWRENCEBURG 90 71 91 72 / 20 0 30 20
MURFREESBORO 92 72 93 72 / 20 10 40 20
WAVERLY 93 73 94 73 / 0 10 20 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...UNGER
LONG TERM....UNGER
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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