486
FXUS64 KOHX 190414
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1114 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1054 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
- DAILY ROUNDS OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HEAVY
RAIN RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING IS GOING TO BE THE MAIN
IMPACT, ALTHOUGH SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
- HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE LOW 100S WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL BE THE HOTTEST DAY OF
THE PERIOD WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING OR EXCEEDING 105 DEGREES.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR IS EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY
ONWARD.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
WE REMAIN IN A VERY HUMID SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH A MOIST AIRMASS
IN PLACE, SUPPORTING DAILY ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING, MAINLY LIMITED TO N OF I-40 AND ALONG THE UPPER
CUMBERLAND. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOW/MID 90S AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL
CONSISTENTLY APPROACH 100+ DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
STORMS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD EACH AFTERNOON, BRINGING HEAVY
DOWNPOURS, GUSTY WINDS, AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT REMAINS LOW.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
THE HOT AND HUMID PATTER WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY TO MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
TUESDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY, WITH FEEL LIKE TEMPERATURES
HOVERING AROUND 105 DEGREES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A HEAT ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED WITH FOLLOWING FORECAST UPDATES. SCATTERED STORM
CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SOMEWHAT
DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER PATTERN IS EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS. HIGHS WILL STILL REACH
THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED THIS EVENING. LOW
CHANCES (LESS THAN 30%) EXIST FOR ANY ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY TONIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF IFR FOG ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AT CSV AND
SRB AND ANY VIS RESTRICTIONS THAT MAY OCCUR WILL IMPROVE AFTER
SUNRISE. SUNDAY WILL FEATURE MORE WIDESPREAD SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN EXACT AREAS OF
DEVELOPMENT. PROB30S REMARKS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE TAF FOR
THIS UNCERTAINTY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 75 91 74 92 / 20 70 40 50
CLARKSVILLE 75 91 73 91 / 20 70 30 40
CROSSVILLE 69 84 68 85 / 30 70 20 50
COLUMBIA 73 91 72 91 / 20 50 40 50
COOKEVILLE 71 86 70 87 / 40 70 30 40
JAMESTOWN 69 85 68 86 / 40 80 20 50
LAWRENCEBURG 72 90 71 90 / 20 60 40 60
MURFREESBORO 73 91 72 92 / 30 70 40 40
WAVERLY 73 91 72 91 / 30 60 30 30
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....BAGGETT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page