456
FXUS64 KOHX 271141
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
541 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 531 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
- AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING.
- SPRING-LIKE WEEKEND WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS.
- MOSTLY LOW RAIN CHANCES WITH MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NEXT
WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 531 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS ISSUED, VALID UNTIL 10AM. FOG/STRATUS IS
THICK AND LOCKED IN OVER THE PLATEAU, ELSEWHERE, THE FOG IS
PATCHY, AND GENERALLY FOCUSED ALONG THE RIVER VALLEYS. METRO
VISIBILITIES WERE NOT BAD EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT DRIVERS WHO
ENCOUNTER PATCHY FOG WILL EXPERIENCE VERY SUDDEN/DRAMATIC VSBY
DROPS. AFTER THE FOG LIFTS, WE WILL HAVE A BEAUTIFUL SUNNY DAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 935 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
A WARM FRONT REMAINS CLOSE BY TO THE SOUTH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE MID STATE FROM THE WEST, SO
THERE HAS BEEN SOME LINGERING CONVECTION AS FAR NORTH AS THE TN/AL
BORDER THIS EVENING. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY HAS DISSIPATED OR MOVED
OUT OF THE MID STATE AS COOLER, MORE STABLE AIR TRICKLES INTO THE
REGION NOW THAT HIGH PRESSURE IS STARTING TO BUILD OVER US. SO
LOOK FOR DECREASING CLOUDINESS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WHILE PATCHY
FOG LOOKS TO DEVELOP (AND ALREADY HAS IN A FEW LOCATIONS) OWING TO
THE WET GROUND AND COOLER AIR ADVECTING INTO THE AREA. TOMORROW,
WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO ENJOY ABUNDANT SUNSHINE, ESPECIALLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON, AS TEMPERATURES WARM WELL INTO THE 60S, OR ABOUT
25-30 DEGREES WARMER THAN THE FORECAST MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN FOR MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND, AS SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE EVEN WARMER THAN FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 935 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
WE CAN EXPECT A SOMEWHAT COOLER SUNDAY, OWING MAINLY TO INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AS WE START TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF THE NEXT ACTIVE
WEATHER SYSTEM. RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY AS A WARM FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS IN THE VICINITY
OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. IN FACT, THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGHOUT NEXT
TO WEEK LOOKS TO BE SOMEWHAT AMPLIFIED AND UNSETTLED SO THAT LOW
TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WILL STAY WITH US FOR THE DURATION. DESPITE
THIS, TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK WILL BE POSITIVELY
SPRING- LIKE AS WE GET TO ENJOY SEVERAL DAYS WITH READINGS
SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. QPF TOTALS THROUGHOUT NEXT
WEEK ARE FAR FROM EXCESSIVE, AND THE RISK OF ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS VERY LOW FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. LOOKING AHEAD, BOTH THE
6-10 DAY AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS STRONGLY FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES, AND ALSO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 531 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
BNA...NASHVILLE HAS HELD VFR OVERNIGHT EVEN WITH AREAS OF FOG
NEARBY. A TEMPO GROUP WILL BE INCLUDED EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
BRIEF MVFR FOG AROUND DAYBREAK. OTHERWISE, THE TAF PERIOD AT BNA
WILL FEATURE VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS.
CSV/SRB WILL STAY LOCKED INTO LIFR WITH FOG/STRATUS UNTIL 15Z,
THEN CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR. THESE SITES WILL DROP TO MVFR
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH PATCHY FOG.
CKV/MQY WILL BE VARIABLE FROM MVFR TO LIFR UNTIL 15Z, THEN VFR
WITH LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 66 41 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 69 42 72 44 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 61 37 67 44 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 67 40 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 61 40 67 44 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 59 37 66 43 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 66 40 73 45 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 66 38 72 45 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 67 43 72 45 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TNZ005>011-
023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.
UPDATE.......13
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....13
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