975
FXUS64 KOHX 241033
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
533 AM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 529 AM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
- PLEASANT WEATHER WEDNESDAY.
- SEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER WITH ON AND OFF CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING THURSDAY.
- MODERATE HEAT RISK EARLY NEXT WEEK AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1002 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026
PLEASANT WEATHER CONTINUES TONIGHT, WITH TEMPS IN THE MID 60S.
AREAS OF PATCHY FOG ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
PLATEAU, THOUGH CHANCES WILL BE LARGELY INHIBITED BY INCREASED
CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING SHORTWAVE. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIMILARLY PLEASANT WEDNESDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
AND LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
TEMPERATURES BEGIN A GRADUAL WARM-UP THURSDAY, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SPOTTY RAIN CHANCES RETURN WITH
A LOW (30% OR LESS) POTENTIAL FOR POP-UP AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER
THE SOUTHWEST.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1002 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026
WE WILL ENTER INTO A MORE ZONAL PATTERN AS WE FINISH OUT THE WEEK.
WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL PERIODICALLY RIPPLE THROUGH THIS FLOW,
KEEPING LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN AND STORM CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE PASSAGES WILL MOVE NORTH OF MIDDLE TN,
KEEPING THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES THERE, BUT AREAS ALONG AND NORTH
OF I-40 WILL HAVE A 30-50% CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
THE HEAT WILL BE THE MAIN STORM AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RISE EACH DAY THIS WEEK AS AN
EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TREKS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL PUSH INTO THE 90S THIS WEEKEND WITH MID 90S
FORECAST SUNDAY. BY MONDAY, HIGHS WILL REACH IN TO THE MID TO
UPPER 90S, AND THIS HEAT DOESN'T LOOK TO GO ANYWHERE FAST. UPPER
90S ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES DURING THIS TIME WILL REACH INTO THE 100S,
SO PLEASE KEEP THIS IN MIND IF YOU HAVE ANY OUTDOOR INTERESTS
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 529 AM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS HIGH CLOUDS MOVE OVER THE
REGION. SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT, BUT NOTHING
WIDESPREAD AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT (FAVORING A NORTHERLY COMPONENT) AND EVEN VARIABLE
AT TIMES TODAY. WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY AFTER 12Z THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 85 66 89 72 / 0 0 10 30
CLARKSVILLE 85 66 88 71 / 0 0 20 40
CROSSVILLE 80 60 84 66 / 0 0 10 20
COLUMBIA 84 64 88 70 / 0 0 10 10
COOKEVILLE 81 62 85 68 / 0 0 0 30
JAMESTOWN 81 59 85 66 / 0 0 10 20
LAWRENCEBURG 83 64 86 69 / 0 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 85 64 89 70 / 0 0 10 20
WAVERLY 84 66 88 71 / 0 0 10 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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