347
FXUS64 KOHX 010548
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1248 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1217 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
- SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW STORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- EXPECT HAZY SKIES THIS WEEKEND AS SMOKE FROM CANADIAN WILDFIRES
SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION.
- LOOK FOR MUCH WARMER WEATHER NEXT WEEK. DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL
RETURN AFTER WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 936 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
A SURFACE RIDGE HAS SLIPPED ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING,
WITH SURFACE WINDS HAVING TURNED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY. A WEAK
SURFACE BOUNDARY HAS DEVELOPED TO OUR NORTHEAST, AND IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THOUGH THE MID STATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR NORTH. AS A RESULT, THE
00Z HRRR DEPICTS A BROKEN LINE OF CELLS DEVELOPING BETWEEN 20Z-21Z
IN AREAS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF NASHVILLE AND PERSISTING UNTIL
EARLY EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING ALTOGETHER. SO SOME LOCATIONS ARE
LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED BY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING PEAK-HEATING
HOURS TOMORROW, BUT MOST AREAS WILL STAY DRY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 936 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE FROM TOMORROW NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
ALSO START TO CREEP UPWARD NEXT WEEK, WITH 90 DEGREE READINGS
POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT
IS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE MID STATE LATE NEXT WEEK, AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BACK OFF SLIGHTLY AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL THEN STAY AROUND FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS
THE PATTERN BECOMES MORE UNSETTLED. AT THIS TIME, THE RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS IS VERY LOW THROUGH AT LEAST DAY 8.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1217 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
FORECAST TO MOVE OUT OF KANSAS AND MOVE WEST AND SOUTH OF
TN...HOWEVER THERE COULD BE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TOMORROW DUE TO THIS. HAVE INCLUDED A PROB 30 FOR ALL SITES AFTER
01/20Z ENDING BY 01/24Z. CONFIDENCE IS NOT ALL THAT HIGH ON THIS
HAPPENING. OTHERWISE HIGH CLOUDS WILL THICKEN UP AFTER 01/18Z WITH
WESTERLY WINDS 10 KTS OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 84 61 85 64 / 50 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 83 58 84 63 / 50 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 76 52 79 56 / 60 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 84 60 85 63 / 40 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 78 55 79 59 / 50 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 77 50 79 55 / 60 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 82 60 84 63 / 30 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 84 59 85 62 / 50 10 0 0
WAVERLY 82 58 84 64 / 40 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....12
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