764
FXUS64 KOHX 141111
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
611 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 611 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER-80S AND NEAR 90 THIS
WEEKEND.
- LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SATURDAY, BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH MIDDLE TN, LEAVING THE AREA COOLER
AND STILL DRY. WITH HARDLY A CLOUD IN THE SKY TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP INTO THE MID-40S TO LOW-50S. A BEAUTIFUL DAY IS IN STORE
THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES A BIT COOLER IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE MID-60S ALONG THE PLATEAU AND INTO THE LOW
AND MID-70S ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES WILL STAY COOL THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING WITH LOWS STILL MAINLY IN THE 40S. BUT THEN TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN THEIR REBOUND ON FRIDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL TURN
SOUTHERLY AGAIN, AND HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL WARM INTO THE LOW AND MID-
80S WEST OF THE PLATEAU. STILL, CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THEIR UPWARD TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AND
IT'S EVEN POSSIBLE THAT NASHVILLE HITS 90 DEGREES FOR THE FIRST TIME
THIS YEAR WITH THE NBM GIVING ABOUT A 70% CHANCE OF REACHING THAT
MARK, PARTICULARLY ON SUNDAY. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT
BRINGS A LOW CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY, MAINLY
FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-40. AS FAR AS THE NEXT APPRECIABLE CHANCE OF
RAIN THOUGH, THAT LOOKS TO COME DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A
LARGE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 611 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
A QUIET TAF PERIOD AHEAD FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WITH WINDS OUT OF
THE NORTH AROUND 5-10 KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, DECREASING TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 0Z FRIDAY UNDER CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL
PICK UP OUT OF THE SE AROUND 12Z WITH CLEAR SKIES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 73 48 82 62 / 0 0 0 20
CLARKSVILLE 73 47 82 65 / 0 0 10 20
CROSSVILLE 66 41 75 53 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 74 45 81 61 / 0 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 67 43 77 56 / 0 0 0 10
JAMESTOWN 66 40 77 54 / 0 0 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 72 45 79 60 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 73 45 81 60 / 0 0 0 10
WAVERLY 74 49 83 66 / 0 0 0 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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