481
FXUS64 KOHX 081040
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
540 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 539 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
- DRY WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY WITH COOL NIGHTS AND WARM DAYS.
- REMNANTS OF ISAIAS WILL BRING HIGH RAIN CHANCES AND GUSTY WINDS
THIS WEEKEND. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-3" AND WIND GUSTS UP TO
30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
- WARM, DRY WEATHER RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
WE'RE STILL TAKING ADVANTAGE OF A BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
AND A DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS IS FAVORING WARM
AFTERNOONS AND COOL NIGHTS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. DAY TIME
HIGHS ARE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE-NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND
DROUGHT CONTINUES TO EXPAND.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
DESPITE A LENGTHY PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER, RAIN CHANCES MAKE A
SUBSTANTIAL JUMP ON SATURDAY THANKS TO WEAKENING ISAIAS MOVING
NORTH FROM THE GULF COAST. THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL BRING
ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO THE AREA ALONG WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT AS IT
MERGES WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE
ARKLATEX REGION. WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR
MIDDLE TENNESSEE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS
FORECAST ON SATURDAY. OVERALL RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1-3" ARE EXPECTED.
THIS WILL BE A BENEFICIAL RAIN EVENT TO OUR AREA EXPERIENCING
DROUGHT. AT THIS TIME WE'RE NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE, THOUGH WE'LL BE MONITORING FORECAST DETAILS
CLOSELY, ESPECIALLY THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30-40 MPH REMAIN POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
ONCE THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS DEPART TO THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY,
WE'LL RETURN BACK TO MORE STABLE, DRY WEATHER WITH WARM AFTERNOONS
AND COOL NIGHTS THAT REMAIN IN THE FORECAST INTO MID NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 539 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
VFR WILL CONTINUE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PATCHY DAYBREAK FOG AT
SRB AND CSV. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NNE 5-10KT STARTING
AROUND 15Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 86 57 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 86 54 90 60 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 80 54 80 57 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBIA 88 55 90 62 / 0 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 81 56 84 61 / 0 0 0 10
JAMESTOWN 79 54 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 86 55 88 61 / 0 0 0 10
MURFREESBORO 87 56 90 62 / 0 0 0 10
WAVERLY 84 57 88 63 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....13
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page