363
FXUS64 KOHX 241743
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1243 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1242 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
- LOOK FOR DRY, COOLER EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIODS THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE RIVER VALLEYS EACH
MORNING.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN AND STORM CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY. KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR
A FEW STRONGER STORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
- TEMPERATURES FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL STAY CLOSE
TO SEASONAL NORMS, THEN A LITTLE WARMER TO START OFF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DELIVER THE GOODS ACROSS MIDDLE TN.
THE COOLER, DRIER AIR THAT FILTERED IN BEHIND THIS WEEKEND'S FRONT
REMAINS FIRMLY IN PLACE, AND IT IS WELCOME CHANGE AFTER THE
PROLONGED STRETCH OF 90S AND STICKY HUMIDITY. THE AFTERNOON
REMAINS MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGHS
ARE SETTLING IN THE UPPER 80S FOR MOST OF THE MID-STATE, A FEW
DEGREES COOLER ON THE PLATEAU. DEWPOINTS ARE HOLDING IN THE UPPER
50S AND LOW 60S, SO IT ACTUALLY FEELS LIKE LATE AUGUST INSTEAD OF
MID-JULY. TONIGHT LOOKS EXCELLENT FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. EXPECT LOWS IN THE MID 60S FOR THE MAJORITY OF
THE AREA, WITH SOME UPPER 50S IN THE USUAL COOLER SPOTS ACROSS
THE PLATEAU. PATCHY FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AGAIN IN THE RIVER
VALLEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. NOTHING WIDESPREAD OR
DENSE ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY AT THIS POINT, BUT IT WILL BE
NOTICEABLE IN THE USUAL LOW-LYING SPOTS.
TUESDAY IS ESSENTIALLY A CARBON COPY OF TODAY. SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
NW WINDS, AND HIGHS RIGHT AROUND 90. HUMIDITY STAYS COMFORTABLE.
ANOTHER COOL NIGHT FOLLOWS WITH LOWS AGAIN IN THE MID 60S AND SAME
VALLEY FOG POTENTIAL. ALL IN ALL, A VERY QUIET AND ENJOYABLE
COUPLE OF DAYS.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
THE PATTERN BEGINS TO SHIFT MIDWEEK AS A WEAK SURFACE LOW TAKES
SHAPE NEAR THE ARKLATEX AND A RESIDUAL BOUNDARY TRIES TO LIFT
NORTH INTO THE TN VALLEY. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE, AND THAT
IS ENOUGH TO REINTRODUCE SOME RAIN CHANCES. WEDNESDAY LOOKS
MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY AS WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND THE
APPROACHING BOUNDARY PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH LIFT. HIGHS CLIMB INTO
THE LOWER 90S. COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD, BUT
ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS ARE JUST MARGINAL ENOUGH THAT A FEW
STRONG STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT KEEPS LOW CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S. THURSDAY
STARTS WITH LINGERING LOW CHANCES IN THE MORNING THAT GRADUALLY
DIMINISH. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST AND DRIER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER BACK
IN. HIGHS STAY IN THE LOWER 90S. FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
THE FORECAST SETTLES BACK INTO A QUIETER REGIME. MOSTLY SUNNY TO
CLEAR SKIES, DOMINATE, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. HUMIDITY RECOVERS A BIT BUT
STAYS MANAGEABLE. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
LOOKING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES TREND A LITTLE WARMER,
POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE MID 90S IN SPOTS BY MONDAY. THE OVERALL
PATTERN STILL LOOKS RELATIVELY QUIET.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OH VALLEY. MEDIUM CHANCE OF PATCHY
FOG OVERNIGHT, MOSTLY FOR THE SITES ON THE PLATEAU.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 63 91 66 92 / 0 0 0 30
CLARKSVILLE 61 89 65 91 / 0 0 0 20
CROSSVILLE 58 86 63 86 / 0 0 0 20
COLUMBIA 64 93 67 93 / 0 0 10 30
COOKEVILLE 60 87 64 88 / 0 0 0 20
JAMESTOWN 58 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 20
LAWRENCEBURG 63 91 67 91 / 0 0 0 30
MURFREESBORO 62 92 66 93 / 0 0 0 30
WAVERLY 64 90 67 91 / 0 0 0 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....DIRKES
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page