672
FXUS64 KOHX 152352
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
652 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 638 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
- LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS(~20% OR LESS) TOMORROW AND TOMORROW
NIGHT.
- AFTERNOON HIGHS REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MOST
OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY, WITH
A DECREASING TREND IN TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 638 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
CLOUDS ARE CLEARING OUT AND TEMPERATURES WILL SETTLE INTO THE
UPPER 60S TONIGHT. SOME AREAS OF PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT, MAINLY ALONG THE PLATEAU AND NEAR ANY BODIES OF WATER.
ENJOY YOUR MONDAY EVENING!
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
THE SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT MOVED NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS PERRY AND
WAYNE COUNTIES THIS MORNING HAVE DISSIPATED WITH THE SUNRISE. DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY
FOG...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE PLATEAU AND BY BODIES OF WATER
TONIGHT.
THE /DIRTY/ 500 MB RIDGE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
MOISTURE TO CREEP BACK UP INTO THE FORECAST AREA AS WINDS TURN
MORE SOUTHERLY TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. IT DOESN/T LOOK ALL
THAT UNSTABLE SO NOT REALLY EXPECTING MUCH THUNDER...JUST SOME
NEEDED RAINFALL. WITH THE AREA BEING SO DRY THE FEW HUNDRETHS TO A
QUARTER OF AN INCH THAT SOME LOCATIONS MIGHT RECEIVE WILL BE MORE
OF A WELCOME THAN A FLOODING THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
WARM AND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK IS LOOKING DRY ONCE THE WEAK RIDGE
BUILDS BACK IN AND TEMPERATURES STILL LOOK ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOOKS TO APPROACH IN TIME FOR THE
WEEKEND BRINGING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
BNA/MQY/CKV ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR FOR THE TAF PERIOD.
RADIATIONAL FOG IS POSSIBLE AGAIN AT CSV/SRB BUT THE CONFIDENCE
ISN'T AS HIGH AS LAST NIGHT DUE TO MORE UPPER CLOUD COVER TONIGHT.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (<20%) OF A SHOWER OR STORM IMPACTING A
TERMINAL ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 5
KTS OR LESS FOR THE FORECAST AND VARIABLE IN DIRECTION. AMD NOT
SKED WILL CONTINUE AT SRB DUE TO ISSUES WITH THE VISIBILITY
SENSOR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 68 92 66 92 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 66 94 64 93 / 0 10 0 0
CROSSVILLE 60 80 58 81 / 10 40 0 0
COLUMBIA 64 90 65 91 / 0 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 62 84 61 84 / 0 30 0 0
JAMESTOWN 62 82 59 82 / 10 30 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 64 87 63 89 / 0 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 65 90 64 90 / 0 10 0 0
WAVERLY 65 91 64 91 / 0 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......BAGGETT
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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