452
FXUS64 KOHX 210557
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1257 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1256 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
- MILD, SUNNY DAYS AND COOL, CLEAR NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS, AND LIKELY
LONGER.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE GOING TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1056 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS SITUATED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE THIS EVENING, AND WILL TAKE ITS TIME SLIDING ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN
DRY AND STABLE, WITH ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND NO RAIN IN SIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1056 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
THE ARID CONDITIONS ARE UNLIKELY TO IMPROVE ANY TIME SOON. INDEED,
IT IS UNCLEAR WHEN OUR NEXT RAIN CHANCES MIGHT OCCUR. THE LATEST
NBM HAS SCANT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE MID STATE EVEN OUT THROUGH
DAY 10. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY STABLE THROUGHOUT THE 7-DAY
FORECAST, WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. UNFORTUNATELY, THE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1256 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
TAFS ARE VFR WITH EXCEPTION TO SRB AND CSV WHERE OVERNIGHT PATCHY
FOG MAY BRING BRIEF VIS REDUCTIONS. WINDS ARE NNE TOMORROW AT 5-7
KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 76 46 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 76 45 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 71 41 68 38 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 76 44 75 44 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 71 43 69 42 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 70 43 67 40 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 75 41 73 41 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 76 42 75 42 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 74 45 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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