950
FXUS64 KOHX 111040
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
540 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 539 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2026
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS TODAY WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES
REACHING THE 100S WEST OF THE PLATEAU.
- SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY ON FRIDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT. SOME
STORMS COULD BE STRONG DURING THE AFTERNOON.
- MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS SUNDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1148 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
A CLEAR NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 70S IS IN STORE FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE
THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS
EVENING , PUTTING HEAT INDICES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS AND ACTUAL AIR
TEMPERATURES NOT MUCH LOWER. IF YOU HAVE ANY OUTDOOR PLANS, MAKE
SURE YOU'RE STAYING ADEQUATELY HYDRATED AND TAKING BREAKS OUT OF THE
HEAT TO PREVENT HEAT ILLNESS.
FRIDAY MORNING, A COLD FRONT WILL INVADE MIDDLE TENNESSEE, BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. SEVERE THREAT LOOKS LOW WITH
THIS SYSTEM, BUT WE COULD CERTAINLY SEE SOME STRONG STORMS WITH THE
INSTABILITY THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THAT HAS BEEN SEEN IN SOME PIECES
OF GUIDANCE. RIGHT NOW, CAMS ARE NOT EXCITED ABOUT THE DEVELOPED
SQUALL LINE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE AREA. HOWEVER, DAYTIME HEATING
AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH COULD HELP BOLSTER DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. GUIDANCE IS ALSO SUGGESTING HIGH PWATS ABOVE 2"
AGAIN, SO WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON MOISTURE AS WE GO INTO
FRIDAY. WITH ANY STRONG STORMS, MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1148 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
PAST FRIDAY, A DRIER AIRMASS ENTERS THE FORECAST AND PROVIDES A
BREAK IN THE HUMIDITY FOR AT LEAST PART OF THE WEEKEND. LOOKS LIKE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. INITIALLY INTO THE WORK WEEK,
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE LOW 80S FOR HIGHS, BUT BY MID-WEEK,
THEY START TO CREEP UP ONCE AGAIN INTO THE MID AND UPPER 80S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 539 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF
15-20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON, BUT CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE TOWARDS THE END OF THIS
TAF PERIOD AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 95 77 90 67 / 0 10 50 10
CLARKSVILLE 92 75 85 63 / 0 30 30 0
CROSSVILLE 87 70 85 63 / 10 0 80 10
COLUMBIA 93 74 90 66 / 0 10 60 10
COOKEVILLE 90 72 86 64 / 0 0 80 10
JAMESTOWN 89 71 86 61 / 0 0 80 10
LAWRENCEBURG 90 73 88 66 / 0 0 80 10
MURFREESBORO 94 74 91 66 / 0 10 80 10
WAVERLY 93 74 86 65 / 0 30 40 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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