691
FXUS64 KOHX 230523
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1223 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1218 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026
- PLEASANT WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- SEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER WITH ON AND OFF CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING THURSDAY.
- WARMING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MID TO UPPER 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1005 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS THE PLATEAU TONIGHT, BUT
WILL BE COMING TO AN END AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES
ITS DIVE SOUTHEAST, AND WITH IT COMES DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIR AS WE HEAD INTO TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE
LOW 60S WITH A NICE NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY, MAKING FOR PLEASANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW 80S WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES, LIKELY RESULTING IN DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS TEMPERATURES CREEP UP JUST SLIGHTLY
INTO THE MID 80S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1005 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
A MORE ZONAL PATTERN WILL SETUP STARTING THURSDAY THAT WILL CARRY
INTO THE WEEKEND. WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL PERIODICALLY RIPPLE
THROUGH THIS FLOW, RESULTING IN LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES BETWEEN 30-50% IN THE FORECAST EACH DAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BY
THE START OF NEXT WEEK, BRINGING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO MIDDLE
TN. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THIS
FEATURE APPROACHES WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO IN THE
LOW 90S. BY MONDAY, WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 90S APPEAR LIKELY WEST
OF THE PLATEAU. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RISE INTO THE 100S THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK, SO KEEP THIS IN MIND IF YOU HAVE ANY
OUTDOOR EVENTS PLANNED. THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT IN THIS HIGH
PRESSURE INFLUENCING OUR WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1218 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026
MVFR CIGS TONIGHT CLEAR TO VFR THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH WINDS INCREASE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON,
GUSTING AROUND 15 KTS THEN BECOME CALM AFTER 00Z. PATCHY FOG WILL
BECOME POSSIBLE AS WINDS GO CALM, BUT WITH DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS
ABOVE 2-3 KEPT THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THIS TAF CYCLE. WILL
REASSESS WITH THE 12Z ISSUANCE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 81 61 85 66 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 82 59 84 65 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 75 54 80 60 / 20 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 81 59 84 64 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 77 57 81 62 / 10 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 76 54 81 59 / 20 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 79 58 82 63 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 81 59 85 64 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 81 60 84 65 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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