006
FXUS64 KOHX 271735
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1135 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1132 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
- SPRING-LIKE WEEKEND WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS.
- MOSTLY LOW RAIN CHANCES WITH MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND A TEMPERATURE OF 54 DEGREES HERE AT THE OFFICE,
IT IS SHAPING UP TO BE A GORGEOUS FRIDAY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. EXPECT
THIS PATTERN TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND, AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES. TEMPERATURE WISE, WE CAN EXPECT TO GET INTO THE 60S
TODAY: LOW 60S ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU TO UPPER 60S NEAR THE
TENNESSEE RIVER. MORE OF THE SAME SATURDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING EVEN FURTHER INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS
TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. ENJOY THE SPRING-LIKE
SUNSHINE!
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
SUNDAY MORNING, A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION. THE
ONLY WAY YOU'LL BE ABLE TO TELL IT EVEN CAME THROUGH IS THE SHIFT IN
THE WINDS AND THE LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS
WILL REAPPEAR AS THE COLD FRONT STALLS OUT JUST TO OUR SOUTH IN
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA. AS THIS STATIONARY FRONT WAFFLES BACK AND
FORTH OVER THE MID-SOUTH, WE CAN EXPECT SOME LIGHT RAIN THROUGH MID-
WEEK. WHILE PWATS ARE IN THE 90TH PERCENTILE CLIMATOLOGICALLY, QPF
AMOUNTS ARE NOT AS LARGE AS ONE WOULD EXPECT. THROUGH MID-WEEK,
WE'RE NOT EXPECTING TO EXCEED 0.75" OF PRECIPITATION, WITH A 20-30%
CHANCE FOR EXCEEDING 1" IN THE AREA ALONG AND NORTH OF US-79.
EVERYWHERE ELSE IN THE AREA ONLY HAS A 10-20% CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 1"
OF RAIN NEXT WEEK. YOU MAY HAVE HEARD SOME WHISPERS THAT SOME PLACES
COULD SEE SOME SNOW FLURRIES INSTEAD OF RAINDROPS, AND I AM PLEASED
TO REPORT THAT THE CHANCES OF THAT HAVE DROPPED TO VERY LOW IN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE (<10% CHANCE).
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, SPRING-LIKE TEMPERATURES ARE HERE TO STAY FOR
THE FORECAST PERIOD, GETTING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S BY MID-WEEK
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS 5KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AT CSV AND SRB AFTER 07Z,
WITH VIS REDUCTION NOT AS SIGNIFICANT AS IT WAS THIS MORNING. NO
FOG EXPECTED AT CKV, BNA, OR MQY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 67 42 73 49 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 68 43 71 47 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 62 38 67 46 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 67 40 73 48 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 62 40 67 46 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 60 38 66 45 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 66 41 71 47 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 66 38 72 47 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 67 43 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....05
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