260
FXUS64 KOHX 251109
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
609 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 600 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
- MEDIUM TO HIGH RAIN AND STORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY INTO
SUNDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER FRIDAY &
SATURDAY WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.
- TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID AND UPPER-90S WITH TRIPLE DIGIT
HEAT INDEX VALUES NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1018 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS SLIDING OFF TO THE EAST THIS EVENING, AND
THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE REGION REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY AND
STABLE. TEMPERATURES WILL CREEP A LITTLE HIGHER ON THURSDAY AS
WINDS TURN SOUTHWARD, BUT STILL NO RAIN CHANCES. ON THURSDAY
NIGHT, A WARM FRONT LOOKS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES OVER THE GREAT PLAINS. SO WE CAN
EXPECT MAINLY LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES ON FRIDAY AS THIS ACTIVE
SYSTEM BEGINS TO IMPACT OUR WEATHER.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1018 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
THE BEST STORM CHANCES WILL TAKE PLACE ON SATURDAY, MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE, AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONT DIPS A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND
INTRODUCES ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE. STILL,
DYNAMICS ACCOMPANYING THIS SURFACE BOUNDARY LOOK TO BE RATHER
WEAK, AND QPF VALUES ARE SIMILARLY UNIMPRESSIVE. AT THIS TIME,
MIDDLE TENNESSEE IS NOT OUTLOOKED FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS COMING UP.
IN FACT, THE MOST IMPACTFUL WEATHER THIS FORECAST IS A MODERATE
HEAT RISK THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR MOST OR ALL OF NEXT
WEEK AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CREEP INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S
ACROSS A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE REGION WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY
TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO
DEVELOP FRIDAY MORNING AFTER 12Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 89 71 91 76 / 0 0 30 40
CLARKSVILLE 89 71 90 75 / 0 20 40 40
CROSSVILLE 83 64 85 69 / 0 0 30 30
COLUMBIA 88 69 91 74 / 10 0 30 20
COOKEVILLE 85 67 86 71 / 0 0 30 40
JAMESTOWN 84 64 86 70 / 0 0 50 40
LAWRENCEBURG 86 68 88 73 / 0 0 30 20
MURFREESBORO 89 69 91 74 / 0 0 30 30
WAVERLY 88 70 90 74 / 10 20 30 30
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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