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FXUS64 KOHX 021724
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1224 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1222 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.
COOLER, MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY, INCREASING TO
HIGH CHANCES ON SATURDAY.
- THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS OR FLOODING IS VERY LOW.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
IT'S ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL, WARM DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH JUST SOME HIGH
CLOUDS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA. WINDS ARE PICKING UP DUE
TO A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DIURNAL MIXING. SOUTHERLY
GUSTS UP TO 30-35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A
SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN KS THIS MORNING WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL OK. THAT LOW WILL LIFT NORTH,NORTHEAST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. THE SURFACE FRONT WILL NOT GET TO
OUR AREA. MOST OF THE AREA WILL STAY DRY, BUT THERE ARE SOME LOW
RAIN CHANCES IN THE WEST OVERNIGHT AS A DYING LINE OF STORMS TRIES
TO MAKE IT INTO THE AREA. FRIDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM ONE WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WITH VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF POPS.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE FRIDAY INTO
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE SURFACE LOW
WILL FOLLOW THE SAME TRACK WITH A COLD FRONT ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER BY MIDDAY ON SATURDAY. THIS FRONT WILL MAKE IT FARTHER THAN
THE FRONT TODAY AND WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF
STORMS. THE PARENT LOW WILL BE OCCLUDED AND UP IN CANADA BY THE
TIME THE FRONT REACHES US WITH LESS THAN IMPRESSIVE SHEAR
PROFILES. THERE IS LIMITED INSTABILITY, BUT I DON'T THINK IT IS
ENOUGH TO BRING ANYTHING IN THE WAY OF STRONG STORMS. WE'VE BEEN
DRY LATELY, SO THE BIGGER QUESTION IS HOW MUCH RAIN WILL THE FRONT
BRING? RIGHT NOW, TOTALS GENERALLY BETWEEN 0.75-1" LOOK
REASONABLE.
THERE MAY BE A LINGERING SHOWER ON THE PLATEAU FOR ANY SUNRISE
SERVICES SUNDAY MORNING, OTHERWISE, EASTER IS LOOKING DRY BUT COOLER
WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHERLY SURFACE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR INSTEAD OF THE 80S WE'VE
GROWN ACCUSTOM TO OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. AS FAR AS LOWS,
THEY'LL DEFINITELY BE COOLER, BUT THERE WILL NOT BE ANY HARD FREEZES
OR ANY HEAVY FROSTS. UNFORTUNATELY, AFTER SATURDAY'S RAIN, IT LOOKS
LIKE WE'LL BE DRY THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
SOUTH WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO
25-30 KTS. THE WIND GUSTS SUBSIDE AFTER 00Z, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
DECREASING TO 5-10 KTS. VFR CIGS CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 67 85 66 83 / 20 10 10 80
CLARKSVILLE 67 85 67 81 / 40 20 10 90
CROSSVILLE 62 78 61 78 / 10 20 10 60
COLUMBIA 66 84 64 83 / 20 10 10 80
COOKEVILLE 65 80 64 80 / 20 20 10 60
JAMESTOWN 62 80 61 80 / 20 20 10 60
LAWRENCEBURG 66 82 65 82 / 20 10 10 70
MURFREESBORO 67 84 65 83 / 20 10 10 70
WAVERLY 67 85 67 80 / 30 20 10 90
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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