116
FXUS64 KOHX 030526
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1226 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1223 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
- DAILY LOW TO MEDIUM SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS WEEK,
PRIMARILY FOCUSED ALONG THE PLATEAU. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.
- COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SITTING OVER MIDDLE TN. THIS IS BRINGING
LOW CLOUDS, PERIODS OF DRIZZLE, AND SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. THIS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS MONDAY.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S. THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BECOME A CLOSED OFF LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST US ON
MONDAY AND WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF THE
WEEK. THIS WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENINGS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL START TO CLOSE OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST AND THAT WILL
MAINLY KEEP THE RAIN CHANCES TO THE PLATEAU. WE WILL SEE SOME WEAK
CAPE DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT OVERALL IT WON'T BE FAVORABLE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL REMAIN COOL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. THE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK UP
SOME MONDAY NIGHT AND THAT WILL HELP TO BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY AS WE SHOULD GET A LITTLE BIT OF SUN, HIGHS WILL PUSH INTO
THE LOW TO MID 80S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY KEEPING
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR
MAINLY THE PLATEAU. CAPE WILL ALSO START TO TICK UP AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL THEN PHASE INTO THE FLOW LATER WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND THE BERMUDA
HIGH PUSHES WEST SOME. EMBEDDED SHORT WAVES WILL SPIN AROUND A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SET UP TO OUR EAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST EACH DAY. BY THE END OF THE WEEK WE
WILL SEE QUITE A BIT OF CAPE IN THE AFTERNOON BUT WE WILL LACK
WIND SHEAR AND OVERALL FORCING WILL BE MARGINAL. THIS WILL KEEP
THE SEVERE THREAT VERY LOW. HIGHS WILL BE MORE SEASONAL BY
WEDNESDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S AND THEY WILL STAY THERE
INTO THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
LOW CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT BNA/MQY/SRB/CSV THROUGH THE REST
OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IN ADDITION, PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AND FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE AT CSV/SRB. VFR CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY RETURN
DURING THE MORNING AT ALL TAF SITES. WINDS WILL RANGE FROM NNW TO
NNE WITH WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 5-10 KTS FOR THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE BELOW 5 KTS AFTER 04/00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 86 66 89 70 / 10 0 10 10
CLARKSVILLE 86 64 88 67 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 80 62 83 66 / 30 0 50 20
COLUMBIA 86 65 89 68 / 10 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 81 63 84 67 / 20 0 40 10
JAMESTOWN 80 63 84 66 / 20 0 40 20
LAWRENCEBURG 84 64 87 68 / 10 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 85 65 89 68 / 10 0 20 10
WAVERLY 85 65 88 67 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MUELLER
LONG TERM....MUELLER
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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