667
FXUS64 KOHX 120520
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1120 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1114 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
- DRY, COOL CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND.
- HIGH RAIN CHANCES (<90%) SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES. FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FORECAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 928 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND SLIDING EAST. LOCALLY, LIGHT NORTH WINDS CONTINUE WITH SOME HIGH
CLOUDS PASSING THROUGH. TONIGHT LOOKS LIKE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE
NEXT SEVEN DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. TOMORROW
WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S
WITH A LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WIND. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP A
SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT RAIN MAKER. THIS
WILL INCREASE HIGHS ABOUT 5 DEGREES OVER THURSDAY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 928 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
THERE ARE NO SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES TO THE WEEKEND SYSTEM. MODELS ARE
A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH WITH THE SURFACE LOW WHICH MAY SLIGHTLY
INCREASE THUNDER CHANCES, BUT DOES NOT INTRODUCE A THREAT FOR ANY
SEVERE WEATHER. RAINFALL TOTALS REMAIN ABOUT THE SAME WITH A
20-30% CHANCE OF 2 INCHES OR GREATER. GIVEN THAT IS A 36-48 HOUR
WINDOW, I AM NOT EXPECTING ANY FLOODING CONCERNS. SHOWERS WILL
DEPART SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND IT, UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD IN WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK. IT LOOKS LIKE WE'LL STAY DRY MONDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST MID NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT NNE
THURSDAY MORNING WITH PASSING HIGH CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 32 55 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 30 54 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 27 49 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 31 55 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 29 50 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 26 47 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 31 55 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 30 54 32 61 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 32 54 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....BAGGETT
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