252  
FXUS64 KOHX 161120  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
620 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2019  
   
UPDATE
 
 
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT IS JUST NOW ENTERING MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THE  
NORTHWEST, WITH A BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS RIDING  
JUST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT SHOULD EXIT THE MID  
STATE BY 12Z, WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS LASTING INTO THE  
MORNING BEFORE DRIER, COOLER AIR MOVES IN. THIS WILL USHER IN A  
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER THAT WILL LAST UNTIL THE WEEKEND.  
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DIP INTO THE 30'S MOST AREAS, WITH  
PATCHY FROST LIKELY IN THE COOLER LOCATIONS. WE WON'T SEE ANY  
APPRECIABLE WARMING UNTIL FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT, THE NEXT  
ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES ACROSS  
THE REGION, AND RIGHT BEHIND THAT THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH  
THROUGH MONDAY OR MONDAY EVENING. GIVEN THE WARMTH OF THE  
ATMOSPHERE THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF MONDAY'S COLD FRONT, SOME  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS  
WILL REMAIN LOW AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST  
THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.  
 
WHILE WE'RE STILL DEALING WITH A CLOUD DECK AT KBNA/KMQY/KCSV,  
CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING. KCSV WILL BE THE LAST TO GO VFR, BUT SKC  
IS EXPECTED AT ALL MID-STATE TERMINALS BY 18Z.  
 
WHAT WON'T GIVE UP IS THE WIND. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AND GUSTS  
TO 20 KTS WILL BE COMMON UNTIL SUNSET.  
 

 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION......08  
AVIATION........UNGER  
 
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