551
FXUS64 KOHX 261049
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
549 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 545 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
- WARM, SUNNY DAYS AND COOL, CLEAR NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT THE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NEXT WEEKEND.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN IN THE NEAR-TERM.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE BISECTS MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING, WITH WINDS
HAVING GONE LIGHT OR CALM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MEANS OUR
EVENING TEMPERATURES ARE DROPPING QUICKLY GIVEN THE PERFECT
RADIATION COOLING CONDITIONS. ONCE AGAIN, WIDESPREAD FOG IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS DEW POINT SPREADS SHRINK TO NEAR ZERO. AND
TOMORROW LOOKS TO BE A CARBON COPY OF TODAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES
WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW, SO THERE IS SOME CONCERN ABOUT AN ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER GIVEN THAT AVAILABLE FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY OUT, BUT
SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, SO THIS WILL
PREVENT THE DANGER FROM BECOME ANYTHING MORE THAN MARGINAL.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE MAINTAINS ITS DOMINANCE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. BY
WEEK'S END, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OUT, AND THIS WILL ENABLE
US TO TRANSITION A MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN BY THE WEEKEND.
AT THIS TIME, IT APPEARS THAT OUR NEXT RAIN CHANCES WILL ARRIVE ON
HALLOWEEN, BUT BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. SO
WHILE WE EXPECT DROUGHT CONTINUES TO WORSEN EVEN MORE THIS WEEK,
PERHAPS THE INCREASED PROBABILITY OF MEANINGFUL RAINFALL CAN AT
LEAST PUT THE BREAKS ON ANY ADDITIONAL WORSENING AFTER THIS WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 545 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE LESS THAN 5 KTS AND VARIABLE IN DIRECTION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 76 49 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 77 47 78 49 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 70 44 73 45 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 76 46 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 71 47 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 71 46 75 49 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 74 45 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 76 46 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 74 49 76 50 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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