784
FXUS64 KOHX 220542
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1242 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1236 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
- MILD, SUNNY DAYS AND COOL, CLEAR NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS, AND LIKELY
LONGER.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE GOING TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE TO OUR NORTH AND WEST WHILE WE
REMAIN IN NNW FLOW ALOFT. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL WORK ITS WAY
SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO, BUT LITTLE CHANGE
IN TEMPERATURE WILL OCCUR. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN
THE 30-40% RANGE TOMORROW, AND EVEN LOWER ON FRIDAY AS A BONE-DRY
AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACES ACROSS THE REGION.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST THROUGH DAY 7 WILL REMAIN QUITE STABLE AND
JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. INDEED, HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE, AND IT IS UNCLEAR WHEN OUR NEXT APPRECIABLE
RAIN CHANCES MIGHT OCCUR. PERHAPS THE END OF NEXT WEEK? RAIN
CHANCES SEEM TO GET PUSHED OFF WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN OF THE
NBM. AT ANY RATE, THE 7-DAY FORECAST IS COMPLETELY DEVOID OF ANY
RAIN CHANCES, AND SO DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TAFS ARE VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WINDS NE AT 5-7 KTS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. WILL WATCH FOR PATCHY FG AT SRB AND CSV AGAIN TONIGHT
AND AMD IF NECESSARY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 77 45 76 45 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 78 44 75 42 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 69 38 70 39 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 77 42 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 71 42 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 69 40 70 41 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 76 40 76 43 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 77 42 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 76 45 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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