273
FXUS64 KOHX 261044
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
544 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 542 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- PLEASANT WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
AND DRY CONDITIONS.
- WARMER BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN
CHANCES RETURNING FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
WHAT A DIFFERENCE A WEEK MAKES. THIS TIME LAST WEEK WE WERE IN THE
MIDDLE OF A 7-DAY STRETCH OF 98 TO 100 DEGREE TEMPERATURES AT BNA.
TODAY? ANOTHER GLORIOUS HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 83 DEGREES. THAT'S 4
DAYS IN A ROW OF 83 OR COOLER. WHY? BECAUSE WE FINALLY GOT RID OF A
VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND WE'RE NOW SANDWICHED BETWEEN A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD AND HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHWEST. THIS HAS SET UP A FANTASTIC WEEKEND FOR
MIDDLE TN WITH NO RAIN AND HIGHS OF 80 OR COOLER ACROSS THE WHOLE
AREA. IN FACT, THIS SHOULD BE THE CASE TO START OFF NEXT WEEK ON
MONDAY, AS WELL.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
AS WE GET INTO TUESDAY, THE STRONG SYSTEM IN NEW ENGLAND WILL START
TO PULL OFF INTO EASTERN CANADA AND OPEN THE DOOR FOR THE HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHWEST TO START HEADING THIS WAY. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL RESPOND TO THIS INCREASED RIDGING ACROSS THE
REGION, WARMING EACH DAY AND BY THURSDAY, EVERYONE IN THE MID-STATE
WILL BE WELL INTO THE 80S.
AT THIS POINT, YOU'RE PROBABLY ASKING, WHAT ABOUT RAIN?
UNFORTUNATELY, I DON'T HAVE ANY GOOD NEWS IN THAT CATEGORY FOR ABOUT
A WEEK. IN FACT, IT LOOKS LIKE THERE'S A HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT WE
WILL ONLY SEE A TRACE OF RAIN AT BNA FOR THE ENTIRE MONTH OF
SEPTEMBER. THE LAST (AND ONLY OTHER) TIME THAT HAS OCCURRED ON
RECORD WAS OCTOBER 1963. THE GFS AND EURO ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT
SHOWING THE MID-WEEK UPPER RIDGE SLIPPING TO THE EAST AND ALLOWING
FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN FOR WHAT LOOKS LIKE A WET WEEKEND NEXT WEEK.
THE NBM ISN'T SO SURE WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURNING THURSDAY.
UNTIL THEN, ENJOY THIS INCREDIBLE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 79 55 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 77 54 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 74 45 73 45 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 81 54 81 48 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 76 48 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 74 46 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 80 52 80 47 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 81 52 81 48 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 76 56 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...UNGER
LONG TERM....UNGER
AVIATION.....DIRKES
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