425
FXUS64 KOHX 291053
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
553 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 553 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
- LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF, LOCALIZED
FLOODING.
- EXPECT DRIER CONDITIONS WITH NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
RADAR HAS SWITCHED OVER TO CLEAR AIR MODE OWING TO A DEARTH OF
ACTIVITY, AND IT IS EXPECTED THAT THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE, THERE
IS QUITE THE DEW POINT DISCONTINUITY ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WITH
VALUES ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE SEVERAL DEGREES
GREATER THAN ACROSS MORE NORTHERN PARTS. AT ANY RATE, CONVECTION
WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY TOMORROW ACROSS THE REGION,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, AS A
SURFACE AND UPPER TROUGH MORE OR LESS COMBINE FORCES TO PUSH A
BAND OF DEEPER MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST, THEREBY
GIVING US MUCH BETTER RAIN AND STORM CHANCES. REASONABLY HIGH
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY BEFORE DROPPING
BACK OFF SATURDAY NIGHT. TOTAL QPF VALUES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY (48 HOURS) ARE AVERAGING A MODEST 1/2" TO 1" ACROSS THE
BULK OF THE MID STATE. AND WE ARE CURRENTLY NOT OUTLOOKED FOR ANY
SEVERE STORMS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
LESSER RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FROM SUNDAY THOUGH
MONDAY NIGHT, AFTER WHICH DRIER AIR WILL FINALLY WORK ITS WAY INTO
MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SO NEXT WEEK'S WEATHER LOOKS TO BE MUCH LESS
ACTIVE THAN THIS WEEK'S PATTERN. AND TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE
7-DAY FORECAST ARE EXPECTED TO STAY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 553 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP WITH MEDIUM CHANCES OF IMPACTING THE
TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. CIGS ARE EXPECTED
TO DETERIORATE TO MVFR AFTER 03Z WITH LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES OF IFR
CIGS AFTER 06Z. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE ESE/SE AFTER 14Z WITH WINDS
SPEEDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 5 KTS OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 84 67 82 64 / 80 80 70 10
CLARKSVILLE 83 67 81 62 / 60 80 60 0
CROSSVILLE 81 63 76 58 / 50 90 70 10
COLUMBIA 82 65 82 63 / 90 70 80 20
COOKEVILLE 83 64 79 61 / 70 90 60 10
JAMESTOWN 84 62 78 56 / 60 90 70 0
LAWRENCEBURG 80 65 80 63 / 90 80 90 20
MURFREESBORO 84 66 82 63 / 80 80 70 10
WAVERLY 82 67 82 64 / 90 70 70 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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