077
FXUS64 KOHX 131719
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1219 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- LOW CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
PLATEAU.
- HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S THROUGH FRIDAY, WARMING INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S THIS WEEKEND.
- DROUGHT CONTINUES WITH VERY LITTLE RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH THE
NEXT 7 DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
THERE'S A BAND OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
CROSSING MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THESE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK COLD
FRONT THAT WILL WORK ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. FOR
MOST, THE ONLY NOTICEABLE FEATURES WITH THIS FRONT WILL BE THE
SCATTERED CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TO THE WNW/NW. CAMS SHOW A LOW
CHANCE OF A COUPLE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A STORM ALONG THE
PLATEAU DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THE VAST MAJORITY OF
THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY. BEHIND THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES WILL COOL
OFF OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50 DEGREES
THURSDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PLEASANT ON THURSDAY WITH
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
WE'LL HAVE ONE MORE COOL NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING IN THE
LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND
WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW RAMPING UP ON FRIDAY. FOR THE WEEKEND,
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE EACH DAY WITH THE NBM SHOWING ABOUT A 50-
70% CHANCE THAT BNA REACHES 90 DEGREES FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 2026.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM ON SATURDAY WITH A WEAK
WAVE MOVING ACROSS ZONAL UPPER FLOW, OTHERWISE IT WILL FEEL LIKE AN
EARLY SUMMER WEEKEND. THE WARM PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK BEFORE RAIN CHANCES INCREASE DURING THE MID WEEK PERIOD AS A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE
MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE WNW AND EVENTUALLY THE NW BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE SRB/CSV IS IMPACTED BY A SHOWER THIS
AFTERNOON BUT PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE. NW/N WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE 5-10 KTS OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 51 74 49 83 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 47 74 48 83 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 45 66 41 76 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 49 74 46 81 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 46 68 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 44 66 41 78 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 49 73 46 80 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 49 73 45 82 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 49 74 50 83 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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