756
FXUS64 KOHX 230514
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1214 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1213 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
- MILD, SUNNY DAYS AND COOL, CLEAR NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
- NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS
AND A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT
LAKES TO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN THE BEAUTIFUL WEATHER ACROSS
MIDDLE TN. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL REACH THE 70S WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE QUITE CHILLY, BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 40S FOR MOST BUT
UPPER-30S ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
OUR CURRENT AIRMASS IS VERY DRY WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RHS
RANGING FROM ROUGHLY 20-30%. THANKFULLY, NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT (< 10 MPH), BUT CONDITIONS THIS DRY LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
THIS PATTERN OF WARM DAYS AND CHILLY NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT WEEK WITH NO PRECIPITATION IN SIGHT. UNFORTUNATELY, THIS
WILL CAUSE DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO WORSEN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
NE/ENE AROUND 7 KTS OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 76 47 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 75 44 77 45 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 69 40 70 40 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 77 46 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 72 45 71 44 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 70 43 71 42 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 75 46 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 77 45 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 74 47 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CAHILL
LONG TERM....CAHILL
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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