491
FXUS64 KOHX 070328
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1028 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
- LOW RAIN CHANCES FOR AREAS EAST OF I-65 MONDAY AFTERNOON.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 90S
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- DRY TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY, BUT RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
OVERALL, A QUIET NIGHT IS AHEAD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS. THIS DOES GIVE A LOW CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG TONIGHT,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE PLATEAU. FOR MONDAY, MIDDLE TN REMAINS
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND TROUGHING OVER THE EAST. A
WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE GIVES A LOW CHANCE FOR RAIN & STORMS FOR
AREAS EAST OF I-65 DURING THE AFTERNOON. BUT FOR MOST, IT'LL BE A
DRY LABOR DAY WITH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS.
BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW-90S WILL STILL RUN ABOVE NORMAL. BY
TUESDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH SHIFTS BACK OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
US AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM IN RESPONSE. LOOK FOR HIGHS ON TUESDAY
TO BE IN THE UPPER-80S FOR THE PLATEAU AND INTO THE LOW AND MID-90S
ELSEWHERE. WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD, IT'LL BE A DRY DAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
THE HIGH REMAINS IN PLACE ON WEDNESDAY, LEADING TO ANOTHER DRY DAY
AND HIGHS IN THE 90S FOR MOST OF THE AREA. WE'LL HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL
THURSDAY FOR A PATTERN CHANGE AS TROUGHING TO THE NORTH SUPPRESSES
THE HIGH AND SENDS A FRONT SOUTH. MOISTURE WILL BE STREAMING INTO
THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, AND RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO TREND
UP WITH EACH FORECAST PACKAGE FOR THURSDAY AND NOW RANGE FROM
ABOUT 40 TO 60 PERCENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DON'T SHOW MUCH TO BE
CONCERNED WITH RIGHT NOW WITH VERY POOR LAPSE RATES AND SHEAR LESS
THAN 30 KNOTS. LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES GO, THEY'LL COOL SOME
LATE WEEK, BUT WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. NORTHERLY WIND
GUSTS WILL CEASE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS LEAVING 3-8 KT NNE WINDS
OVERNIGHT. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NE AFTER 15Z AND INCREASE TO 5-8 KTS
FOR THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE PATCHY FOG IMPACTS
CSV/SRB AFTER 09Z BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAF
AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 69 92 71 92 / 0 0 10 0
CLARKSVILLE 66 90 70 92 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 63 85 63 85 / 0 30 10 0
COLUMBIA 68 93 70 93 / 0 0 10 0
COOKEVILLE 65 88 67 88 / 0 30 10 0
JAMESTOWN 64 86 65 86 / 0 20 10 0
LAWRENCEBURG 67 91 68 91 / 0 10 10 0
MURFREESBORO 68 94 70 93 / 0 10 10 0
WAVERLY 67 90 70 91 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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