140
FXUS64 KOHX 251151
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
651 AM CDT THU APR 25 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CDT THU APR 25 2024
WE ARE GOING TO SEE GREAT WEATHER TODAY WITH HIGHS PUSHING INTO
THE LOW TO MID 70S. SKIES WILL START OUT CLEAR BUT AS THE
AFTERNOON GOES ON WE WILL START TO SEE INCREASING MID TO HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE AND WARM FRONT. THIS SHORT WAVE
AND WARM FRONT WILL MOVE IN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
AND WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS. CAPE WILL BE
LIMITED AND THAT SHOULD KEEP THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOW. QPF
WILL BE VERY LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH JUST A FEW
HUNDRETHS POSSIBLE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CDT THU APR 25 2024
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH AN ACTIVE
PATTERN SETTING UP TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL KEEP THINGS QUIET IN
MIDDLE TN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH WARM DAYTIME HIGHS PUSHING INTO
THE MID 80S. WITH THE ACTIVE PATTERN OFF TO OUR WEST AND HIGH
PRESSURE JUST TO OUR EAST WE WILL SEE A GOOD PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER US BRINGING BREEZY WINDS. SATURDAY WILL BE THE BREEZIEST
WITH GUSTS 25-35 MPH.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PUSHES EAST LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF THE PLANES. THIS WILL PUSH
A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO MIDDLE TN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BRINGING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CAPE LOOKS TO REMAIN BELOW 500 J/KG ON
MONDAY AND LAPSE RATES LOOK POOR ON THE SOUNDINGS WITH OVERALL LOW
SHEAR. IF THIS HOLDS THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW.
ZONAL FLOW TO WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE MAY PUSH OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING SLIGHT
SHOWER CHANCES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT THU APR 25 2024
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. MID TO HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WHICH COULD CAUSE
SOME SHORT PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR FAR W CWA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 75 55 82 67 / 0 50 50 0
CLARKSVILLE 71 53 80 65 / 0 60 70 10
CROSSVILLE 72 50 71 60 / 0 20 40 0
COLUMBIA 75 55 82 65 / 0 50 40 0
COOKEVILLE 72 53 75 63 / 0 20 50 0
JAMESTOWN 72 49 72 60 / 0 10 40 0
LAWRENCEBURG 75 55 81 65 / 0 50 30 0
MURFREESBORO 75 54 82 67 / 0 50 50 0
WAVERLY 73 54 82 66 / 10 60 40 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MUELLER
LONG TERM....MUELLER
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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