790
FXUS64 KOHX 121115
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
615 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 607 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026
- PATCHY DENSE FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING. A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM.
- WARM, DRY WEATHER THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE-
NORMAL, RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE TUESDAY-THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE DEVELOPED MAINLY EAST OF I-65 WITH ANY FOG
MUCH MORE PATCHY WEST OF I-65. MODELS HAVE BEEN PINGING THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE AREA FOR DENSE FOG, SO A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS ISSUED
EAST OF I-65. WE'LL HAVE TO MONITOR OBSERVATIONS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE NIGHT FOR THE NEED OF WESTWARD EXPANSION OF THE ADVISORY. FOG
WILL MIX OUT BY 15Z WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE 80S DURING
THE AFTERNOON THANKS TO STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGING. TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL BACK TO THE 50S AND 60S MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOWER FOG
POTENTIAL. RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO EXERT ITSELF ON TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS 2-3 DEGREES WARMER THAN MONDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
THE WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS THE
UPPER RIDGING REMAINS. WE'LL MAY SEE SOME RECORD HIGHS FALL
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE RECORDS AT NASHVILLE ARE 88, 89, AND
89 RESPECTIVELY. AT CROSSVILLE, THE RECORDS ARE 82, 81, AND 79.
WE'LL GET BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL ON FRIDAY AS SHORTWAVE SWINGS
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WHICH WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR
AREA. THE MOISTURE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS MEAGER, SO I'M
NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAIN WITH IT. NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS
LIKE REAL FALL WITH SOME TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S SHOWING UP IN THE
MORNINGS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026
PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS WILL BE DENSE
FOG IMPACTING ALL TERMINALS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF BNA WHERE
INSTANCES OF PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR. FOG WILL BURN OFF AFTER 15Z,
GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO
10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 87 62 90 65 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 89 61 91 68 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 79 56 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 88 59 91 63 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 81 59 84 62 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 80 59 84 61 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 86 58 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 87 59 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 87 61 89 67 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TNZ006>011-
026>034-059>066-075-077>080-095.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....BAGGETT
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