826
FXUS64 KOHX 280102
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
802 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 701 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
- VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS THIS WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY. OPEN
BURNING IS DISCOURAGED.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK WITH MEDIUM CHANCES FOR
RAIN/STORMS WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 701 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
NO MENTIONABLE FORECAST CHANGES WERE NEEDED FOR THE SHORT-TERM
THIS EVENING. MAINLY WATCHING A NARROW BAND OF DETERIORATING RAIN
SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN. LOOKS LIKE RAIN TOTALS TODAY
WERE VERY SCANT OVERALL. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
STILL LIKELY TOMORROW DUE TO LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES AND WIND
GUSTS.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1046 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SOUTH THROUGH MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING, AND
WITH IT, POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS ARE STILL NOT EXPECTED TO AMOUNT TO MUCH.
HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS WILL FAVOR AREAS NORTH OF I-40, BUT EVEN THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 0.20 INCHES. WITH THESE BEING POST-
FRONTAL SHOWERS, NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AND EVEN THE CHANCE
FOR LIGHTNING IS VERY LOW.
BEHIND THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE 30S AREAWIDE, AND HIGHS TOMORROW WILL
ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER-50S TO LOW-60S. MAIN WEATHER CONCERN FOR
THIS WEEKEND WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO LOW
HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS. OVERALL THOUGH, IT'LL BE A PLEASANT
WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE
UPPER-60S TO 70S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1046 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD TO THE SOUTH THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEK, AND WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING, TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK INTO THE 80S. THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE LOOKS TO BREAK DOWN BY
WEDNESDAY WITH A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN SETTING UP. A FEW SHORTWAVES
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO LATE WEEK WILL BRING MEDIUM
CHANCES FOR RAIN AND STORMS TO THE AREA. THIS FAR OUT, THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING DETAILS AND IF WE'LL HAVE ANY HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUT OF IT. BUT HOPEFULLY WE CAN GET SOME NEEDED RAIN NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
MVFR TO VFR CIGS CURRENTLY THROUGH MIDDLE TN. WIDESPREAD VFR
CONDITIONS RETURN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH
SRB/CSV BEING THE LAST TERMINALS TO SEE CLEARING. WINDS WILL
REMAIN GUSTY, HOWEVER. NORTH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH TONIGHT AND WHILE EXPECTED TO RELAX A LITTLE TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 36 61 41 72 / 10 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 35 59 39 72 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 31 57 37 64 / 20 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 35 61 39 71 / 30 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 33 57 39 66 / 10 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 30 56 37 65 / 10 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 35 61 40 70 / 30 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 35 61 40 71 / 10 0 0 0
WAVERLY 35 60 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......SIZEMORE
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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