886
FXUS64 KOHX 061718
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1218 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1216 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY WITH COOL NIGHTS AND WARM
DAYS.
- MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES (<60%) THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1123 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
CLEAR SKIES CONTINUE FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES
OVER AT THE SURFACE. TODAY, WHILE DRY AND SUNNY, IS LOOKING BETTER
ON THE FIRE WEATHER FRONT THANKS TO MUCH LIGHTER WINDS IN THE AREA.
HIGHS TODAY WILL GET INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S AS WE CONTINUE TO
BOUNCE BACK TO ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AFTER THAT COLD FRONT.
OVERNIGHT EXPECT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S AND CLEAR SKIES.
COOLEST SPOTS EACH MORNING WILL BE IN THE VALLEYS AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. WEDNESDAY LOOKS MUCH THE SAME AS TODAY, WITH A FEW MORE
CLOUDS AROUND MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1123 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
MOSTLY BENIGN WEATHER FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD, STARTING WITH A
MOISTURE DEPRIVED TROUGH THURSDAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS SO
WEAK THAT WE'RE NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A CHANGE, IF ANY, IN
TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND. GUIDANCE HAS BECOME MORE CLEAR ON OUR
NEXT RAINMAKER, WHICH LOOKS TO BE TROPICAL IN NATURE. WITH THE
INFLUX OF GULF MOISTURE THIS WEEKEND, THIS LOOKS TO BE A GOOD
DROUGHT BUSTING EVENT, AT LEAST CURRENTLY. QPF LOOKS LIKE OVER 0.75
INCHES AREAWIDE, WITH SOME AREAS GETTING A FEW INCHES. HOPEFULLY,
THIS TREND KEEPS ON AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. WINDS WILL
SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AFTER 15Z WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 58 85 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 54 85 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 51 79 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 56 86 56 89 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 55 80 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 54 79 55 80 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 56 85 56 88 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 56 86 55 88 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 56 82 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....BAGGETT
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