160
FXUS64 KOHX 301725
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1125 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1125 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
- VERY COLD TODAY AND TONIGHT.
- DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL NYE AND NEW YEAR'S DAY.
- NEXT RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
MOST OF THE LOW CLOUDS HAVE DISPERSED THIS MORNING, LEAVING US UNDER
A FULLY SUNNY SKY. THOUGH THE SUN IS OUT, SURFACE NORTHWEST WINDS
ARE KEEPING THINGS COOL WITH TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE 20S IN
MANY SPOTS. IT LOOKS LIKE TEMPS WILL ONLY MAKE IT INTO THE LOW 30S
TODAY, DROPPING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S AGAIN OVERNIGHT. DRIP
THOSE FAUCETS! A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
THROUGH TOMORROW RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHER 500MB HEIGHTS WILL ALSO MOVE OVER THE AREA,
HELPING WARM TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 40S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
FOR NEW YEAR'S EVE NIGHT, THE WEATHER WILL BE QUIET, BUT COLD.
TEMPERATURES AROUND 12AM WILL BE AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING FOR
MOST, SO BE SURE TO GRAB A JACKET IF YOU'LL BE HEADING OUT TO
CELEBRATE. THE FIRST DAY OF 2026 WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES AROUND
50 DEGREES WITH INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY AS FLOW ALOFT
TRANSITIONS WESTERLY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT DISTURBANCE. A LOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR SOUTH ON
FRIDAY, TRACKING A SURFACE LOW OVER CENTRAL/NORTH ALABAMA. THE
BULK OF HEAVIER PRECIP LOOKS TO REMAIN SOUTH OF MIDDLE TN, BUT WE
ARE STILL SLATED TO RECEIVE A LITTLE MORE THAN A QUARTER OF AN
INCH IF YOU'RE SOUTH OF I-40; QPF VALUES ARE MUCH LOWER NORTH OF
THERE. WITH US BEING ON THE COOLER SIDE OF THIS LOW, NO
INSTABILITY IS NOTED ON SOUNDINGS, SO WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM,
THOUGH WE'LL ONLY DROP A FEW DEGREES SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOW 50S. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM RIGHT BACK UP HEADING INTO NEXT
WEEK AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL US. THERE IS A GOOD
DEAL OF DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE LONG TERM MODELS WITH REGARDS TO
THE FUTURE UPPER AIR PATTERN, BUT THERE ARE HINTS AT ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING MORE RAIN CHANCES BACK BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
CLEAR SKIES TODAY WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AROUND. WINDS OUT OF THE
NW SWITCHING TO BE OUT OF THE WEST AROUND 5-10 KNOTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 36 27 49 32 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 35 27 47 30 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 31 21 42 27 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 37 25 49 30 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 33 22 43 27 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 30 22 41 27 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 36 24 49 28 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 36 24 48 27 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 35 26 46 29 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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