739
FXUS64 KOHX 262345
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
645 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 640 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- PLEASANT WEATHER WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH MONDAY.
- WARMING UP NEXT WEEK WITH MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES DEVELOPING BY THE
WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
PERFECT FALL NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE 50S FOR MOST
OF MIDDLE TN, UPPER 40S ON THE PLATEAU UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
MORE OF THE SAME IN STORE FOR TOMORROW!
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
AFTER A MOSTLY SCORCHING SEPTEMBER, A FINE FALL WEEKEND WAS
UNDERWAY. HIGHS EACH DAY WILL REACH THE SEASONABLE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80. LOWS WILL BE A LITTLE ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL WITH
MOSTLY LOWER 50S, EXCEPT 40S PLATEAU AND SHELTERED VALLEYS. THE
AIR WILL BE QUITE DRY AND THIS WILL ALLOW DEW POINT TO MIX DOWN
INTO THE 30S AND 40S EACH AFTERNOON. A 10 MPH NORTH NORTHEAST
BREEZE IS EXPECTED EACH DAY.
THE CURRENT PATTERN IS SPONSORED BY NORTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A STRONG
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE EAST COAST AND A RIDGE ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE EAST COAST LOW IS A NOR'EASTER PRODUCING
LOTS OF RAIN, WIND, AND WAVES FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO NEW
ENGLAND. HERE IN MIDDLE TN, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS IN PLACE
UNDER THE NORTHERLY FLOW. PATCHES OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS WERE
STREAMING DOWN INTO THE AREA, BUT DEEP BLUE SUNNY SKIES WERE SEEN
BETWEEN THE CLOUDS.
THE SUPER TERRIFIC HAPPY PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY KEEPING
OUR WX DRY AND PLEASANT.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
AS WE GET INTO TUESDAY, THE BIG STORM IN NEW ENGLAND WILL START
TO PULL OFF INTO EASTERN CANADA OPENING THE DOOR FOR HIGH
PRESSURE TO MOVE OUR WAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RESPOND TO
THIS INCREASED RIDGING BY WARMING WELL ABOVE NORMAL MID TO LATE
WEEK.
SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL CREEP INTO THE FORECAST, BUT I WOULD NOT
COUNT ON MUCH DROUGHT RELIEF THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PATTERN THROUGH
FRIDAY LOOKS DRY FOR MOST OF US AND MODELS ARE NOT CONSISTENT.
RAIN CHANCES DO LOOK MUCH BETTER NEXT WEEKEND, AND SOME MODELS
SHOW A WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINFALL. BUT, OTHER MODELS DO NOT, SO
WE WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO SOME MUCH-
NEEDED RAINFALL.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD,
WITH PASSING MID TO HIGH CLOUDS LINGERING THROUGH THE NIGHT. NO
RESTRICTIONS TO VIS OR CIGS EXPECTED, WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND
DIRECTION AND SPEED THROUGH TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 55 79 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 53 77 49 78 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 46 75 47 78 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 54 79 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 48 75 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 46 74 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 52 79 49 81 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 52 80 50 82 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 57 75 53 76 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......BAGGETT
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....UNGER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page