592
FXUS64 KOHX 212341
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
541 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 540 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
- COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
- SHOWERS RETURN TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE CHRISTMAS DAY (LESS THAN
0.10" FOR MOST). NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BEGINNING LATE WEEK AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
AN OVERCAST MORNING WILL MAKE WAY FOR A LITTLE SUNSHINE THIS
AFTERNOON AS LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS PUSH ON OUT AHEAD OF BUILDING
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW. TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOW 20S
TONIGHT, UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE PLATEAU, WITH THE DECREASED CLOUD
COVER. SUNDAY WILL BE A PRETTY QUIET WEATHER DAY WITH SUNNY AND
DRY CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. LIGHT NE WINDS
SHIFT TO THE SE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
THE LONG TERM FORECAST STILL LOOKS RATHER MILD WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AND MULTIPLE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. AS THE UPPER
RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE E, OVERALL S FLOW WILL BRING INCREASING
MOISTURE OVER MIDDLE TN. THE FIRST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
ARRIVES BY CHRISTMAS DAY, BUT OVERALL, JUST LOOKS LIKE SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS AT THIS TIME. THE NEXT BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN
LOOKS TO BE FRIDAY AS A MORE ORGANIZED BAND OF SHOWERS DEVELOP.
HAVE BEEN MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY STRONG STORMS WITH
THIS. IT SEEMS THE OVERALL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER HAS LOWERED
SINCE PREVIOUS MODEL SOLUTIONS AS THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH WEAKENS AS
IT MOVES E OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS ALWAYS THOUGH, WE WILL
SEE HOW THE NEXT SEVERAL MODEL RUNS SHIFT AS WE GO INTO NEXT WEEK.
TOTAL QPF VALUES FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS RANGE FROM ROUGHLY 1/4" TO
3/4" ACROSS THE MID STATE. AND LOOKING AHEAD, BOTH THE 6-10 DAY
AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE
NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SO 2024 IS LIKELY TO END
ON A WARM NOTE FOR US.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 540 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
VFR CONDITIONS FORECASTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS UNDER 6 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 25 46 30 53 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 24 44 29 52 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 18 41 24 46 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 23 46 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 20 43 27 49 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 18 40 25 48 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 21 46 28 51 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 20 46 27 53 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 25 45 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....MUELLER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page