512
FXUS64 KOHX 050456
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1156 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1154 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
- RAIN-FREE WEATHER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S THIS
WEEKEND, WITH SOME 90S POSSIBLE LATER NEXT WEEK.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY AND EXTEND INTO
NEXT WEEK. THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS VERY LOW FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
WE ARE GOING TO GET TO ENJOY ANOTHER DAY OF GREAT WEATHER ON
FRIDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH A SURFACE
HIGH SET UP TO OUR SOUTHEAST. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN COMFORTABLE
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER
TO MID 80S ONCE AGAIN. A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL SPIN AROUND THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND PASS TO OUR NORTHWEST, THIS WILL BRING SOME
MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL START TO DRIFT SOUTH ON SATURDAY BUT WE WON'T SEE MUCH CHANGE
IN THE FORECAST. HIGHS WILL BE A TOUCH WARMER MAKING IT INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 80S AND DEW POINTS WILL TICK UP SOME BUT THEY STILL
WON'T BE TOO BAD. WE WILL SEE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER AS SHORT
WAVES PASS TO OUR WEST BUT IT WILL REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT SOUTH AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE OUT OF TX
INTO THE PLAINS. THIS WILL START TO PUSH MOISTURE NORTH AND WE
WILL SEE DEW POINTS CLIMB BACK TO SUMMER LEVEL IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. THE UPPER LEVEL SUBSTANCE WE HAVE BEEN SEEING THE LAST
SEVERAL DAYS WILL ERODE. THIS WILL BRING THE RETURN OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY
EVENINGS. OVERALL WE WON'T SEE MUCH FORCING SUNDAY AND THAT WILL
KEEP THE CHANCES LOW BUT CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR MONDAY AS THAT
UPPER LEVEL LOW LIFTS TO OUR NORTH. AFTER THAT FORCING WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE WEAK BUT WITH THE HOT AND HUMID AIR MASS IN PLACE WE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE CHANCES FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE VERY WEAK AND THAT WILL KEEP THE SEVERE
THREAT VERY LOW BUT PWATS WILL BUILD BACK ABOVE 1.50" AND HEAVY
RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S BUT AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK
CHANCES OF LOWER 90S WILL CREEP ABOVE 50%.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
OCCASIONALLY BE GUSTY AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH JUST SCATTERED MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 62 86 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 61 86 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 57 79 60 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 58 85 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 59 81 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 57 82 60 84 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 58 83 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 59 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 61 86 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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