322
FXUS64 KOHX 031711
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1111 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1111 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S BY TUESDAY.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TO
END THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG SETTLED INTO THE SOUTH AND THE VALLEYS IN THE
EAST THIS MORNING BUT VISIBLE SATELLITE HAS SHOWN A MIXING TREND
OVER THE LAST HOUR. I EXPECT THE LOW CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TO
DISSIPATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS. THERE ARE
STILL SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS THAT WILL BE AROUND THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR THIS EVENING WITH
LIGHT NORTH WINDS OVERNIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER THE
MIDWEST. LOWS SHOULD BE ABLE TO DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S
FOR THE LARGE MAJORITY OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. SUNDAY WILL
BE DRY ACROSS THE AREA WITH SUN TO START THE DAY. SOME MID AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TO FILTER
SOME OF THAT SUNSHINE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
WE WILL START THE NEW WORK WEEK WITH WEAK UPPER RIDGING BUILDING
INTO OUR AREA. THIS WILL HELP ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN ONCE
AGAIN. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL TRY TO ORGANIZE OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY WITH WAA INCREASING LOCALLY. THIS WILL
INTRODUCE A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS IN OUR
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE THE TEMPERATURES FURTHER INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 60S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL DEVELOP TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK INCREASING
THE RAIN CHANCES BUT THERE'S STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTIES
REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM. RIGHT NOW, I FEEL CONFIDENT
THAT THE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF
STORMS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE CONTINUES TO RESULT IN MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS. CLOUDS WILL IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON WITH DRIZZLE COMING
TO AN END SO THAT ALL TERMINALS ARE VFR BY 00Z. VFR EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. OTHERWISE,
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT LESS THAN 10 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 51 29 51 35 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 46 26 48 32 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 56 28 50 33 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 52 28 50 33 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 52 27 49 34 / 10 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 52 25 48 33 / 10 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 53 28 50 34 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 52 27 51 33 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 47 27 48 34 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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