717  
FXUS64 KOHX 310456  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
1156 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1155 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025  
 
- DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES SUNDAY.  
 
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES LABOR DAY THROUGH THURSDAY, BUT  
DROUGHT LEVELS WILL WORSEN FOR SOME AREAS.  
 
- SHOT OF COOL AND DRY AIR LATE WEEK.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025  
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A BROAD UPPER LEVEL  
TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES. AFTER A  
PLEASANT START IN THE 50S, TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL INTO THE  
80S. SATURDAY HAD FULL SUNSHINE, BUT SUNDAY WILL BRING BROKEN HIGH  
CLOUDS, SO THAT MAY SHAVE A DEGREE OR 2 OFF HIGH TEMPS. HUMIDITY  
LEVELS WILL STAY LOW WITH A LIGHT NORTHEAST BREEZE.  
 
GENERALLY PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO LABOR  
DAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL FORM BRINGING LOW CHANCES FOR  
ISOLATED SHOWERS. A SHOWER WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR, BUT  
NOTHING TO GET EXCITED ABOUT IN TERMS OF HELPING THE WORSENING  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025  
 
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST  
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES  
COMING DOWN FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE TN VALLEY. SURFACE  
PATTERNS WILL BE FAIRLY WEAK, SO WE ARE NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH  
ORGANIZATION TO THE SHOWERS. MODELS VARY A BIT WITH THE TIMING OF  
THESE FEATURES, SO SPECIFIC TIMING FORECASTS FOR SHOWERS SEEM  
UNRELIABLE AT THIS POINT. RIGHT NOW THE GREATEST RAIN POTENTIAL  
IS SHOWN TUESDAY EVENING AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
UNFORTUNATELY, THE COMING RAINFALL MAY BE TOO LIMITED IN COVERAGE  
AND INTENSITY TO DO MUCH FOR DROUGHT LEVELS. MAYBE SOME SPOTS  
WILL HAVE A LITTLE RELIEF. WPC RAINFALL FORECASTS THROUGH THE NEXT  
7 DAYS ARE SHOWING MOSTLY LESS THAN 1 INCH TOTALS. MAINLY CLOUDY  
CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP HIGH  
TEMPERATURES LIMITED TO THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. THERE MAY BE JUST  
ENOUGH HEATING AND INSTABILITY FOR A SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCE  
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, BUT WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE  
STORMS AT THIS TIME.  
 
BY FRIDAY, A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A COLD FRONT PASSAGE.  
THE FRONT WILL USHER IN A SHOT OF COOL AND DRY AIR TO END THE  
WEEK. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ARE EXPECTED AND LOWS WILL  
DIP DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH INCREASING HIGH  
CLOUDS THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHERLY TO  
NORTHEASTERLY AT AROUND 5-10 KNOTS.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
NASHVILLE 60 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 30  
CLARKSVILLE 58 86 57 88 / 0 0 0 20  
CROSSVILLE 55 80 58 77 / 0 0 0 40  
COLUMBIA 58 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 30  
COOKEVILLE 56 81 59 79 / 0 0 0 30  
JAMESTOWN 55 80 57 77 / 0 0 0 30  
LAWRENCEBURG 57 85 59 83 / 0 0 0 40  
MURFREESBORO 58 86 61 85 / 0 0 0 30  
WAVERLY 58 85 57 86 / 0 10 0 20  
 
 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...13  
LONG TERM....13  
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS  
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