265
FXUS64 KOHX 060444
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1144 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1143 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
- FAIR WEATHER THROUGH TOMORROW WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MORNINGS.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES BEGINNING WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR-RECORD HIGHS
THIS WEEKEND.
- NO MEANINGFUL RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1110 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
HIGH PRESSURE AND NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND TOMORROW WHICH WILL DICTATE STABLE WEATHER.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY SEASONAL WITH COOL NIGHTS AND
MORNINGS. A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE/CLIPPER WILL RIPPLE THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST FLOW TOMORROW WHICH BRINGS DAYTIME TEMPERATURES DOWN A
COUPLE DEGREES FROM TODAY (MONDAY).
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW-LEVEL RIDGING WILL MOVE EAST OF TENNESSEE ON
WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A TRANSITION TO SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW AND HEIGHT RISES. THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING
PERIOD THAT WILL PERSIST INTO THIS WEEKEND AS DEEP-LAYER RIDGING
STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. AS SUCH, TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE-NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
UNFORTUNATELY THE RIDGE WILL BE FAIRLY STEADILY POSITIONED IN THE
REGION WHICH DISPLACES BETTER TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE/RAINFALL TO
OUR WEST. THE FORECAST IS DRY AND VERY WARM BY THIS WEEKEND WITH
HIGHS FLIRTING WITH RECORD VALUES. THIS IS NOT GOOD NEWS FOR
DROUGHT CONDITIONS. IN FACT, CURRENT MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE AND
ENSEMBLES ARE NOT TOO OPTIMISTIC FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN THROUGH THE
NEXT 10 DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION. WINDS
ARE N TO NNW THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON AT 7-10 KTS, AND
LESS GUSTY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 64 41 70 44 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 62 40 70 43 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 59 36 63 40 / 30 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 64 39 69 43 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 59 38 65 41 / 10 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 59 36 64 39 / 20 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 63 39 67 42 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 64 39 69 42 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 63 40 70 44 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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