504
FXUS64 KOHX 021106
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
606 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 606 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.
- MAJOR TO EXTREME HEAT RISK THIS WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN
THE TRIPLE DIGITS. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
THE HOTTEST DAYS OF THE WEEK.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1019 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS ESSENTIALLY
CENTERED OVER MIDDLE TN, AND THIS WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HOT TEMPERATURES FROM TUESDAY WILL ONLY GET
HOTTER WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY REACHING INTO THE UPPER-90S FOR AREAS
WEST OF THE PLATEAU. NASHVILLE'S FORECAST HIGH IS 99 DEGREES WHICH
IS THE RECORD HIGH FOR THE DATE. SO THERE'S A HIGH CHANCE THAT
NASHVILLE AT LEAST TIES IT. AS FAR AS OUTRIGHT BREAKING IT, IT'S
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. NBM PROBABILITIES GIVE ABOUT A 40-50%
CHANCE OF HITTING 100 DEGREES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES AGAIN REACHING INTO THE UPPER-90S TO
NEAR 100. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES DUE TO
THESE HOT TEMPERATURES AND TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1019 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
THE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER PATTERN INTO
FRIDAY, BUT LOOKS TO MIGRATE TO THE WEST THIS WEEKEND. THIS GIVES A
LITTLE DIP IN THE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND, BUT HIGHS IN THE LOW TO
MID-90S WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER. AS FAR AS
RAIN GOES, WITH THE HIGH MOVING BACK TOWARDS THE WEST, THAT SETS UP
NORTHWEST FLOW WHICH REINTRODUCES LOW RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 606 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
VFR TAFS CONTINUE WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 99 76 99 76 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 98 75 98 75 / 0 0 10 0
CROSSVILLE 92 72 93 71 / 0 0 10 0
COLUMBIA 99 74 99 74 / 0 0 10 0
COOKEVILLE 94 74 96 73 / 0 0 10 0
JAMESTOWN 92 73 95 72 / 0 0 10 0
LAWRENCEBURG 97 74 97 73 / 0 0 10 0
MURFREESBORO 100 74 101 74 / 0 0 10 0
WAVERLY 98 75 98 75 / 0 0 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR
TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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