203
FXUS64 KOHX 301724
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1224 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1224 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
- HOT WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WEST OF THE PLATEAU THIS
WEEK.
- MAJOR TO EXTREME HEAT RISK IS EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
- VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MIDWEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1041 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
HIGH AND DRY IS THE THEME OF THIS FORECAST. THE WESTERN UPPER RIDGE
INFLUENCES CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. DEW POINTS ARE
ALSO A COUPLE OF DEGREES HIGHER WHICH WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT LOW IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S TONIGHT. MONDAY LOOKS VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING IN, THE AREA
WILL REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1041 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD DURING THE MIDWEEK PERIOD WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES CREEPING UP TO AROUND 105 BY TUESDAY AND
CONTINUING IN THE 100-107 RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY. RELIEF OVERNIGHT
WILL BE LIMITED WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MINIMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE WILL START TO
LOSE SOME STRENGTH ON THURSDAY WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR A COUPLE OF
ISOLATED STORMS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT THE UPPER RIDGE
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD NEXT WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL
BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE ALONG WITH SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT ALL SITES. VFR
CIGS AND LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH AROUND 5 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 73 95 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 72 95 73 97 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 67 88 69 90 / 0 10 0 10
COLUMBIA 72 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 71 91 71 93 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 70 89 70 91 / 0 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 71 93 71 95 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 72 96 72 98 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 72 94 73 96 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...REAGAN
LONG TERM....REAGAN
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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