582
FXUS64 KOHX 191121
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
621 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 618 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
- RAIN CHANCES DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY ARE
NEGLIGIBLE.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT, AND ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY. THE NEW DAY 3 CONVECTIVE
OUTLOOK PLACES A LARGE PORTION OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN A LEVEL 1
OUT OF 5 RISK OF SEVERE STORMS. MOST LIKELY TIME FOR IMPACTS
WOULD BE LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY OR POSSIBLY EVEN DURING THE
EVENING.
- DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES
ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS WEEKEND, THAN BACK OFF SOMEWHAT
BEGINNING ON MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
LINGERING LATE NIGHT SHOWERS AND PATCHES OF FOG WILL BE PUSHED
OUT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS A FRONTAL ZONE SLIDES SOUTH OF THE MID
STATE. DAYTIME FRIDAY WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY AND LESS HUMID AS A
LIGHT NORTH BREEZE BRINGS DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND WITH
A VERY PLEASANT FRIDAY NIGHT AND A MAINLY SUNNY, WARM SATURDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
A SHORTWAVE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS LATE SATURDAY, EVENTUALLY
PUSHING THROUGH MIDDLE TN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE
RETURN OF HIGH HUMIDITY WITH HIGH RAIN AND STORM CHANCES,
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH
GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR, BUT NO WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED.
BEYOND THIS SYSTEM, THE UPPER AIR PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEK FAVORS
CONTINUED ON AND OFF RAIN/STORM CHANCES AS A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN STATES BRINGS A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE MAINLY DIURNAL WITH A SEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID
PATTERN. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 60S AND HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
80S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
MVFR CIGS OVER THE PLATEAU WILL RISE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS BY 15Z AND WILL REMAIN IN
VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. FEW TO SCT MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 9
KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 84 64 88 68 / 0 0 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 83 61 87 67 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 79 57 82 62 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 85 62 88 67 / 0 0 10 10
COOKEVILLE 80 59 84 64 / 0 0 0 10
JAMESTOWN 79 57 83 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 83 61 85 66 / 0 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 85 62 88 67 / 0 0 0 10
WAVERLY 84 62 87 67 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....MUELLER
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