582
FXUS64 KOHX 210328
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1028 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1028 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
- DRIER WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND,
ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT, THEN NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES MID NEXT
WEEK.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
THINGS ARE MORE ACTIVE ALONG THE AL STATE LINE THIS EVENING, AS
STORMS RIDE A CAPE BOUNDARY EAST. ELSEWHERE IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE,
THINGS ARE CALMER. OVERNIGHT, EXPECT THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO PUSH
EAST OUT OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE MID
60S TO LOW 70S FOR LOWS.
FRIDAY WILL START OFF WITH SOME PATCHY FOG AROUND THE AREA. THERE
ARE SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON ON THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, BUT OVERALL THE TROUGH DIRECTLY OVERHEAD SHOULD
HELP KEEP THINGS RELATIVELY STABLE. HIGHS WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER IN
THE 80S WITH SOME SPOTS TOUCHING 90 DEGREES. MORE PATCHY FOG IS ON
THE DOCKET FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS WELL, WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
AS THE TROUGH SETTLES IN, THE PATTERN TURNS DRY FOR THE WEEKEND.
INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK, WE REMAIN IN NW FLOW ALOFT,
WHICH LOOKS TO BRING IN ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MID-WEEK. RAIN
CHANCES LOOK TO BECOME MORE SCATTERED INTO MID-WEEK AS NW FLOW
PERSISTS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 629 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
A FRONTAL ZONE CROSSING MIDDLE TN WILL BRING VARIABLE CONDITIONS
TO AREA TERMINALS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
FORM SOUTHEAST OF THE BOUNDARY THIS EVENING. IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED
TO STAY SOUTH OF BNA, BUT BRIEF SHOWERS WILL OCCUR AT CSV AND
SRB. OTHERWISE, ALL TERMINALS WILL HAVE SOME IMPACTS FROM LATE
NIGHT FOG AND STRATUS. BNA, CKV, AND MQY WILL DROP TO MVFR WITH
BRIEF IFR AT TIMES AROUND DAYBREAK. THE LOWEST CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP AT CSV AND SRB WITH LIFR CIGS/VSBYS. ALL SITES WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR BY 17Z. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NORTH 5-8
KT BY 17Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 69 89 65 91 / 40 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 69 88 65 90 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 66 84 64 84 / 50 30 10 10
COLUMBIA 71 91 68 92 / 50 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 68 84 66 86 / 50 30 0 20
JAMESTOWN 67 83 65 84 / 30 40 10 10
LAWRENCEBURG 70 89 67 90 / 60 20 0 0
MURFREESBORO 71 90 68 92 / 50 20 0 0
WAVERLY 70 89 67 90 / 20 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....13
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