731
FXUS64 KOHX 041728
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1228 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1228 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
- EXPECT RAIN-FREE WEATHER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONAL BEFORE WARMING BACK INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 80S THIS WEEKEND, WITH SOME 90S POSSIBLE LATER
NEXT WEEK.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY AND EXTEND WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK. THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS VERY LOW FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1049 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
CURRENTLY, HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER MIDDLE
TENNESSEE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT, SO WE ARE ENJOYING SOME DEEP
SUBSIDENCE RESULTING IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND RELATIVELY LOW
HUMIDITY. WE WILL GET TO ENJOY THIS PATTERN FOR A COUPLE OF MORE
DAYS BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS EASTWARD AND ALLOWS FOR THE
NEXT ACTIVE WEATHER SYSTEM TO ENTER THE PICTURE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1049 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS BY THIS WEEKEND. RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY AS A DEEP UPPER
LOW LOOKS TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT PLAINS AND RESULTS IN
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE BEING PULLED INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THE
GULF. BY THEN, THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE MORE HUMID
AND SUMMER-LIKE, AND THIS MEANS AFTERNOON AND EVENING INSTABILITY
RESULTING FROM DAYTIME SURFACE HEATING. SO FROM SUNDAY ONWARD,
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION MOST
EVERY DAY AS OUR WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS UNSETTLED. THERE IS NO
EVIDENCE OF AN ACTUAL FRONTAL PASSAGE ANYTIME SOON, SO IT IS
UNLIKELY THAT WE WILL EXPERIENCE ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THUS,
THERE IS A VERY LOW RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AT LEAST DURING THE NEXT
7 DAYS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 62 86 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 61 85 65 88 / 0 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 57 79 60 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 58 84 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 59 81 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 57 82 61 85 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 58 82 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 59 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 61 85 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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