150
FNUS75 KGJT 240210
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD FIRE 2.0...EAGLE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
810 PM MDT THU JUL 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A MINIMAL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS AT THE SPOT
LOCATION BEFORE STORM PROBABILITY DROPS TO NEAR-ZERO INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RESUME FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH
STORMS MOST LIKELY BETWEEN 1300-1700 MDT. SHOULD STORMS NEAR THE
SPOT LOCATION, GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS OF 25-30 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR WINDS TO GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND
TERRAIN-DRIVEN. CHANCES OF RAIN REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BY 1400 MDT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................<10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (3000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...<10 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...BRAEDEN WINTERS
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD CORNELIUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617998.1/GJT
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RCORNELIUS@ROARINGFORKFIRE.ORG,EMERGENCY@EAGLECOUNTY.US
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