907  
FNUS75 KGJT 111802  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SYLVAN LAKE RX...DFPC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
1102 AM MST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW BRINGING  
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE BURN SITE. DECENT MIXING WILL ALLOW  
GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL THROUGH 4PM THIS AFTERNOON.  
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES THURSDAY BUT MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE  
LOWER AS WILL WINDS ALOFT SO LESS MIXING IS EXPECTED. EVEN SO,  
FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED FROM 11AM THROUGH 3PM.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14000-15000 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST THROUGH WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.'  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR FROM 11AM THROUGH 3 PM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MCCULLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602466.0/GJT  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RYAN.MCCULLEY@STATE.CO.US  
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