599  
FNUS75 KGJT 281645  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FARMERS CABIN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
945 AM MST TUE JAN 28 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON JANUARY 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS  
SHOULD OCCUR DUE TO THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. GOOD DISPERSAL CAN  
BE EXPECTED IN SNOW SHOWERS HOWEVER. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND  
CHANGING DIRECTIONS THROUGH THE DAY AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS  
THE 4 CORNERS. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OUT  
OF THE NORTH BUT WARMER AIR ALOFT MAY LIMIT MIXING SOME...BUT GOOD  
DISPERSAL IS FORECAST AT THE MOMENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS.  
CWR.................70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD IN SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE FAIR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000-14000 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD IN THE PEAK HEATING HOURS AND IN SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS  
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA OAK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2501577.0/GJT  
.DELDT 01/28/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSHUA.OAK@USDA.GOV  
 
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