212
FNUS75 KGJT 210226
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR BABYLON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
826 PM MDT THU AUG 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FRIDAY'S FORECAST WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO WHAT WE
SAW ON THURSDAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AROUND MID DAY, WITH COVERAGE DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET.
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS OF
THUNDERSTORMS, WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AS WELL (30-50%
CHANCE). THE COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL INCREASE ON
SATURDAY, INCREASING THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOODING.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......410 INCREASING TO 750 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (6000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......680 DECREASING TO 60 OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.-
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......410 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...KATHRYN ABBOTT
REQUESTED BY...TIM SPURR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620127.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TIMOTHY.SPURR@USDA.GOV,APRIL.GROOVER@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page