020  
FNUS75 KGJT 182042  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FOSSETT GULCH RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
142 PM MST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1428 MST ON FEBRUARY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE PRECIPITATION  
POTENTIAL BEGINS TO DROP OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOOK FOR WINDS TO  
GUST UP TO 40 MPH THROUGHOUT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON  
THURSDAY, WEATHER BECOMES QUIETER, BUT WINDS COULD STILL BE BREEZY  
WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH. THIS IS LEADING TO VERY GOOD SMOKE  
DISPERSAL. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE SHOT (<10% CHANCE) OF SNOW SHOWERS  
BEGINNING AROUND NOON THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. SNOW  
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....2-7.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35  
MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (12000 KNOT-FT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH DECREASING TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...<10 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................<10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 3-6 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING SHIFTING TO  
WEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AT 0900 MST.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 25 MPH AT 0900  
MST.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...<10 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRAEDEN WINTERS  
REQUESTED BY...NATE CHRISTIANSEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602969.1/GJT  
.DELDT 02/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NOAH.DANIELS@USDA.GOV,KYLE.BONDY@USDA.GOV,NATHAN.CHRISTIANSEN@USDA.GOV  
 
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