562
FNUS75 KGJT 272153
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK KNOB...U.S WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
353 PM MDT THU AUG 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING ON NEARBY
TERRAIN THEN REFORM AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WETTING RAINS ARE
UNLIKELY TODAY, BUT CHANCES INCREASE FRIDAY AND BEYOND AS MOISTURE
IMPROVES. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN MARGINAL ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, BUT ARE NOT LIKELY TO BECOME A WIDESPREAD
PROBLEM AS MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOWS TO AROUND 35 MPH. FLASH FLOODING IN
FAVORABLE TERRAIN REMAINS A POSSIBILITY BENEATH STRONGER SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT AT 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...LUCAS BOYER
REQUESTED BY...M.HERRERA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620539.1/GJT
.DELDT 08/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MDHERRERA@BLM.GOV
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