103
FXUS65 KGJT 150841
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
141 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH
THE SEVEN-DAY FORECAST.
- MODELS HINT AT A PATTERN SHIFT LATE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
WARM DAYS, COOL NIGHTS, AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINING CENTERED TO OUR WEST. FLURRIES CANNOT BE
RULED OUT OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS FROM TIME TO TIME WITH
PERSISTENT NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. OTHERWISE, A VERY BENIGN
WEATHER WEEK CONTINUES.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST WED JAN 14 2026
THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
LEAVING US WITH DRY AND WARMER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS. THEREFORE NOT
MUCH PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AND TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BOTH ENSEMBLE MEANS AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL DATA
ARE STILL SHOWING POTENTIAL FOR A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN LATE NEXT
WEEK AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO TRACK OVER OUR REGION.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT,
TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...KAA
LONG TERM...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page