411
FXUS65 KGJT 091119
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
519 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS AND WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. LOOK FOR A FEW HIGHER GUSTS EACH AFTERNOON.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE MORE USUAL
SEASONAL VALUES.
- THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE THIS WEEKEND AS
MOISTURE STARTS TO STREAM UP FROM THE SOUTH.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 940 PM MDT TUE SEP 8 2026
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST FLATTENS AS A TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND SOUTHERN CANADA. THE ONLY REAL
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FOR US WILL BE FLOW SHIFTING FROM
SOUTHWESTERLY TO MORE NORTH THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY. MODELS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE DRIER AIR ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
AND WITH NO DISTURBANCES, ANTICIPATE DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE
ENTIRE CWA. WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AS HIGHS REMAIN
ANYWHERE FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE MORE SEASONAL VALUES.
SOME DEEPER MIXING WILL BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS TO THE SURFACE
TODAY AND TOMORROW WHILE HUMIDITIES HOVER AROUND 10 TO 15%.
HOWEVER, THE GUSTY WINDS WILL BE MARGINAL AT BEST. SO DESPITE
THESE VALUES BEING CLOSE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS,
ONLY LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
MAINLY FOR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
AS FAR AS OUR NEXT MOISTURE PUSH, MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
PWATS REACHING UPWARDS OF 150% OF NORMAL FOR THE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ONWARDS. THIS REMAINS DEPENDENT ON THE EVOLUTION AND
TRACK OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE/TROUGH OFF THE PACNW COAST AND
THE RESULTANT MOISTURE ADVECTION THANKS TO A MORE SOUTHERLY WIND
FLOW. IF THIS PANS OUT, WE COULD SEE SOME SHOWERS AND A FEW
STORMS. TIME WILL TELL, HOWEVER, SO KEEP AN EYE ON THE LATEST
FORECAST IF YOU HAVE ANY BIG WEEKEND PLANS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 518 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AFTERNOON
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST/NORTHWEST TODAY. GUSTS UP TO 25
KNOTS ARE LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON AT MOST TERMINALS, ESPECIALLY
THOSE IN FAR SOUTHWEST COLORADO.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TGR
AVIATION...TGJT
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