660
FXUS65 KGJT 142131
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
231 PM MST WED JAN 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSIST FOR MUCH
OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
- MODELS HINT AT A PATTERN SHIFT NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST WED JAN 14 2026
A WEAK PULSE OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY WORKING NORTH TO SOUTH DOWN THE
DIVIDE HAS PRODUCED SOME LIGHT CLOUD COVER, BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FOR THE WEST SLOPE TODAY. COOLER AIR ALONG
THIS WAVE WILL KNOCK HEIGHT FIELDS DOWN A TOUCH AND MORNING LOWS
WILL RETURN COLD AGAIN THURSDAY UNDER CLEAR SKIES. THE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OUT WEST WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY, KEEPING AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES NEAR RECORD VALUES. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WORKS SOUTH
THURSDAY, SPILLING OVER THE RIDGE DOWN THE DIVIDE AGAIN. LITTLE
MOISTURE WILL JUST BRING SOME CLOUDS AND MAYBE A SCANT FLURRY ABOVE
TREELINE. THIS WILL EAT INTO HEIGHTS AGAIN, BUT NOT BEFORE AFTERNOON
HIGHS CLIMB TO 10-15 DEGREES OVER NORMAL THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN WINDS
WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH THIS WAVE GUSTING UP TO AROUND
25 MPH, MOSTLY CONCENTRATED ALONG THE DIVIDE AND ACROSS THE
UINTAS.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST WED JAN 14 2026
THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
LEAVING US WITH DRY AND WARMER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS. THEREFORE NOT
MUCH PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AND TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BOTH ENSEMBLE MEANS AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL DATA
ARE STILL SHOWING POTENTIAL FOR A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN LATE NEXT
WEEK AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO TRACK OVER OUR REGION.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1001 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...LTB
LONG TERM...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
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