002
FXUS65 KGJT 081725
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1125 AM MDT WED APR 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES ARE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
- PERIODIC SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
PRECIPITATION WILL FAVOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
- A SERIES OF STORMS WORK ASHORE OUT WEST LATE THIS WEEKEND,
SPELLING OUT COOLER, WETTER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEST SLOPE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 945 PM MDT TUE APR 7 2026
THIS WEEK
THE MOISTURE THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTH TODAY WILL SLIGHTLY DECREASE TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH THE LACK OF
FORCING. IF A SHOWER IS ABLE TO DEVELOP NOT MUCH PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED. THE JET FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS WILL CLIP OUR AREA TOMORROW. THIS WILL RESULT IN
GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL RH AND THESE WINDS WILL
CAUSE LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS IN SPOTS MAINLY IN THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. ZONAL FLOW ON THURSDAY WILL
ADVECT MORE MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, SO THERE WILL BE AN UPTICK IN
OROGRAPHIC SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. ON FRIDAY
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF A STRONG OVER THE WEST COAST.
THIS FLOW USHERS IN ANOTHER PUSH OF MOISTURE, WHICH WILL SUPPORT
ANOTHER ROUND OF OROGRAPHIC SHOWERS AND STORMS. DUE TO THE
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE THE GRADIENT INCREASES SO EXPECT A GUSTY
AFTERNOON.
THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK
THE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WEST COAST WILL MAKE LANDFALL, WEAKEN INTO
A WAVE AND TRACK INLAND ON SATURDAY. FOR NOW IT LOOKS TO TRACK OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. THAT ALONG WITH THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL RESULT
IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS. ANOTHER WEST COAST LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED, BUT HOW IT EVOLVES AND WHERE IT TRACKS ONCE IT MAKES
LANDFALL IS NOT CERTAIN. SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW ATTM, BUT THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
OF COURSE, THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES THAT
ARE ACTUALLY CLOSER TO NORMAL.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT WED APR 8 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH FEW TO SCATTERED MID-LEVEL CLOUDS AND
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TAF
PERIOD. THE BIGGEST IMPACTS WILL BE GUSTS OF 20-28 KTS THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF THIS STRENGTH ARE LESS LIKELY AT KMTJ,
KVEL, AND KCNY, THOUGH ARE LIKELY AT ALL OTHER TERMINALS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
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