509
FNUS71 KAKQ 162051
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKY HOCK PILE...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
351 PM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
VERY DRY AND COOL LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WSW WIND OF 5 TO 10
MPH OCCASIONALLY GUSTING UP TO 15 MPH UNDER A SUNNY SKY. RH WILL
REMAIN 15-20% THROUGH SUNSET, BEFORE GRADUALLY RECOVERING THIS
EVENING. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL NOT BE AS LOW SATURDAY, MAINLY
35-45%. RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, AND
COULD MIX WITH WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25069 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (41745 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................30 TO 43.
TIME (EST) 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0
TEMP............44 43
RH..............19 22
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10
LVORI...........1 2
ADI.............43 30
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.41 25
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2645 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 2 2 3 3 6 9 12 15 18 20 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 38 38 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37
RH..............31 40 42 48 52 54 56 61 61 64 64 67
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.11 9 11 11 12 12 11 11 11 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............6 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 7
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3104 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78430 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 69 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27 31 33 36 38 39 41 42 45 48 51 54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 38 42 45 49 52 54 57 58 59 60 57
RH..............67 67 62 58 54 48 45 42 42 42 42 49
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 9 9 8 6
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 16 15 14 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 13 16 20 23 24 20 14 9 7
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............5 6 8 17 28 49 69 60 62 40 22 14
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 7 13 21 39 61 78 57 34 17 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD FR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN
REQUESTED BY...JASON ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2600366.0/AKQ
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL D7OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV
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