560
FNUS71 KAKQ 241502
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD FIELD...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1102 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MAKE SLOW INLAND PROGRESS THIS AFTERNOON,
COMPLICATING BOTH THE WIND DIRECTION AND TEMPERATURE/RH FORECASTS.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL TRANSITION TO NE THEN E BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES LIKELY REMAINING EAST OF THE BURN SITE. A FEW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE WESTWARD-ADVANCING FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON. DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LOCALLY
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IN AND AROUND ANY SHOWERS THAT MANAGE TO
FORM THIS AFTERNOON. RH VALUES AROUND 45% THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11040 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (25069 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................14 TO 29.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 19 27 38 39 59 59
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20 20 40 40
TEMP............74 77 77 77 77 76 75
RH..............53 48 47 45 45 45 46
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE E SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.6 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.1 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE E E SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 6 8 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............14 15 15 16 23 26 29
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 11 12 13 18 24 25
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18630 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5520 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 TO 24.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51 51 53 54 57 60 57 55 53 54 55 55
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............71 68 64 61 60 58 57 57 56 55 54 54
RH..............51 57 63 67 69 75 75 72 74 77 80 80
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 12 12 12 13 14 15 15 15 15
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............24 11 11 11 10 10 11 12 13 14 10 10
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.18 12 6 5 6 5 7 6 9 7 9 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14489 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (38410 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 TO 42.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........61 66 71 81 80 79 80 81 82 84 85 87
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50
TEMP............53 54 55 58 60 62 63 64 64 64 64 63
RH..............83 80 80 72 69 67 65 63 63 63 60 62
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 14 14 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 18 18 18 17
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 21 21 33 38 40 42 35 36 36 35 33
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.14 16 16 26 31 33 34 37 38 37 35 32
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...JOHN FIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611637.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN_FIGGS@FWS.GOV
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