002
FNUS71 KAKQ 220738
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR NASSAWANGO RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
338 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE TODAY AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT TO SEA. BEHIND IT, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE LOCAL AREA SLOWLY FROM TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES TODAY APART FROM A FEW CIRRUS CLOUDS EARLY
THIS MORNING. WINDS REMAIN N/NNW TODAY, INCREASING FROM AROUND 5-7
MPH EARLY THIS MORNING TO AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15-20
MPH FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS BECOME N
AROUND 5 MPH ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
FROM THE LOW-MID 40S AT SUNRISE TO THE MID-UPPER 60S BY THIS
AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE, DEW POINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 30S WILL ALLOW
FOR MIN RH VALUES OF 30-35% (MOST LIKELY AROUND 30%) THIS
AFTERNOON. RH INCREASES TO AROUND 100% TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
COOL BACK DOWN TO THE LOW-MID 40S.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4024 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (52094 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 57 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 43 48 53 57 62 64 66 66 67 64
RH..............86 86 71 59 53 43 38 34 34 33 37
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 14 16 16 16 16 17 18 18
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............9 10 13 26 38 44 48 51 54 57 56
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 10 19 30 36 42 47 50 52 50
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (30704 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3334 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 TO 39.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 57 54 52 50 49 49 49 49 48 47 47
RH..............41 51 59 66 71 77 77 80 80 86 89 93
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 8 9 9 11 11 11 11 11 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 8
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 6 6
ADI.............39 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.30 13 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 14
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4370 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69230 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 66 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 12 17 19 21 23 24 24 24 17 11 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 46 48 51 55 58 60 61 61 61 60 59
RH..............96 93 86 80 69 64 58 56 53 51 51 51
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 15 16 15 15 15 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.5 2.4 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.4 4.1 3.8 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 13 16 18 18 17 16 15 15 14
LVORI...........8 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 9 10 25 46 64 66 64 61 58 55 49
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 5 19 39 62 68 69 68 63 57 49
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD FR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...MILLER
REQUESTED BY...NATASHA WHETZEL FIRE MANAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624294.0/AKQ
.DELDT 10/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NATASHA.WHETZEL@TNC.ORG
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