197  
FNUS71 KAKQ 051719  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EASTERN SHORE...EASTERN SHORE 911  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
119 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JULY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  
SOME INCREASE IN SPEED NEAR AND AFTER SUNSET CLOSE THE BAY. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (37700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................30 INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 50 47 37  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20  
TEMP............89 89 88 87  
RH..............48 48 50 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9  
LVORI...........2 2 1 1  
ADI.............25 30 34 37  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 30 35 38  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................33 DECREASING TO 5.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 29 30 32 35 38 38 38 38 35 33 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............86 83 80 79 77 76 76 75 75 74 74 74  
RH..............54 60 67 70 76 79 79 84 84 87 87 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 8 8 10 10 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6  
ADI.............33 6 6 6 4 4 4 6 6 4 4 4  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 19 8 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...ROGERS  
REQUESTED BY...FORESTRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2008980.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 07/05/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL SJONES@CO.NORTHAMPTON.VA.US  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab MD Page Main Text Page