883
FNUS71 KAKQ 041843
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOZER TRAINING...VDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
243 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
REACH THE LOWER TO MID 80S TOMORROW. AFTERNOON DEW POINTS
WILL INCREASE SOME, BUT LIKELY NOT ENOUGH TO OFFSET THE WARMER
TEMPERATURE'S EFFECT ON AFTERNOON RH. RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT AT 25-30%
ACROSS THE AREA. DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF THE LOW RH VALUES AND WINDS GUSTING TO
20-25 MPH, AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TUESDAY
FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (154560 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................110 TO 117.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 15 9 11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............83 83 83 84
RH..............32 32 32 31
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 25 25 24
LVORI...........1 1 1 1
ADI.............110 115 117 113
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.154 162 166 161
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD VGD VGD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (99014 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (6899 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................85 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 7 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........18 33 41 43 47 50 52 53 55 56 56 57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............82 79 77 72 69 68 66 65 64 63 62 62
RH..............34 41 45 53 59 61 68 70 73 75 78 78
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..11 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 16 16 18 18 18 18 18 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 17 14 13 13 14 13 12 10 12 13 14
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............85 11 9 11 12 9 8 7 7 7 8 9
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.99 46 11 10 10 10 8 7 6 7 8 9
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 18
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14604 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80270 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 81 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 69 75 77 78 80 81 81 82 79 77 74
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............62 62 63 66 68 71 73 75 77 78 79 79
RH..............78 81 78 73 70 66 62 60 56 54 54 54
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 18 19 20 20 21 21 21 21 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 15 16 17 21 23 25 24 22 18
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............9 26 32 36 41 48 60 71 80 81 77 69
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.14 19 25 29 34 41 52 65 74 80 79 74
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD
FORECASTER...BARNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...HEATHER ROSSER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612656.0/AKQ
.DELDT 05/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HEATHER.ROSSER@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
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