264
FNUS71 KAKQ 101816
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEPHERDS LANDING BURN...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
116 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED, ASIDE FROM A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS PRIOR TO
THE BURN START TIME. RH VALUES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY TO A
MINIMUM OF 40-45% IN THE AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14489 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106374 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................18 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 120 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 61 41 33 24 27 26 20 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 51 53 55 58 57 57 56 52
RH..............89 77 66 55 45 42 38 37 43
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 13 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 17 20 21 23 23 23 20
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............18 26 47 74 99 112 120 120 86
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.14 20 38 60 83 94 103 106 70
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39215 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO FAIR (15754 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 TO 8.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6 7 11 8 5 8 11 14 15 17 18 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 44 42 40 38 36 34 33 32 32 31 30
RH..............49 55 57 59 62 64 69 69 69 69 69 72
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 13 12 10 12 13 15 17 17 17 17 18
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............7 6 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.39 17 15 15 17 20 24 27 27 26 25 26
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...JESSE BANDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602337.0/AKQ
.DELDT 02/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JESSE.BANDER@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page