735
FNUS71 KRNK 120818
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
418 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FORECAST CENTERS AROUND A FRONT AND RAIN CHANCES THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. EXPECT ELEVATED HUMIDITY LEVELS TODAY. SHOWERS, POSSIBLY SOME
THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO IMPACT IN/NEAR THE SITE BETWEEN NOON AND
8PM. POTENTIAL FOR A QUARTER TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN IF
STORMS MOVE OVER THE SITE. TODAY LOOKS TO BE THE BEST CHANCE OF WETTING
RAINS.
MONDAY REMAINS HUMID BUT TEMPERATURES ARE COOLER THAN NORMAL WITH
MORE CLOUDS. SOME SUNSHINE PEEKS OUT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES
ARE LESS BUT STILL COULD SEE SOME WETTING SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
TUESDAY IS DRY WITH SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 80S.
RH VALUES DROP TO ABOUT 45 TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS TODAY THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE LIGHT UNDER 10KTS
AND MAINLY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST.
MID TO LATE WEEK FORECAST IS FAIRLY DRY WITH HOTTER TEMPERATURES DURING
THE DAY. COULD START TO SEE SOME STORMS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (23600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................4 TO 34.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
SKY (%).........87 94 94 95 96 97 96 95 97 96 95 94
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 20 30 40 40 40 60 60 60 60
TEMP............69 67 69 70 71 70 71 71 71 72 72 71
RH..............89 97 93 90 89 88 89 88 88 88 85 88
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 7 8 10 13 14 14 12 10 9 8 8
LVORI...........6 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............4 5 10 15 23 31 33 34 29 27 22 18
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 8 12 18 24 26 27 23 21 17 14
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................3 TO 20.
TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT
SKY (%).........83 91 90 86 79 77
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............70 80 60 60 50 50
TEMP............70 68 68 67 67 65
RH..............88 91 92 92 92 95
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 3 E 3 E 3 E 3 NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 8 8 8 10
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 900 800 500 600 500
MIXING WIND......E 9 E 10 E 8 E 7 E 7 E 7
LVORI...........4 6 6 6 6 8
ADI.............20 5 4 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.15 9 6 3 4 3
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (26800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6 TO 34.
TIME (EDT) 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON
SKY (%).........69 74 73 70 63 52
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........ CHANCE
CWR.............50 40 50 50 40 0
TEMP............64 65 65 67 69 70
RH..............95 94 97 93 84 80
20 FT WIND......E 4 E 4 E 4 E 4 E 5 E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 10 11 11 11
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 1500 2400 3000 1600
MIXING WIND......NE 8 E 12 E 12 E 12 SE 10 E 7
LVORI...........7 5 5 4 4 4
ADI.............6 13 22 32 33 15
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 11 17 27 31 12
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617019.3/RNK
.DELDT 07/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV,MARCUS.SEWELL@USDA.GOV,PHILIP.BRASS@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV
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