041
FNUS71 KRNK 142113
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
513 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE WILDFIRE LOCATION THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL DOES NOT LOOK TO BE UNTIL FRIDAY OF
THIS WEEK, WITH ONLY A 40-50% CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. PRIOR TO THIS
CHANCE OF RAINFALL, TEMPERATURES LOOK TO INCREASE EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY,
WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. BY THURSDAY THE HIGH LOOKS TO
INCREASE TO AROUND 91-92 DEGREES. OVERALL, WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN VERY LIGHT AT
AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS; HOWEVER, WIND DIRECTION LOOKS TO SHIFT SEVERAL TIMES
THROUGHOUT THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO MAINTAIN A WEST/NORTHWEST
WIND, THAT LOOKS TO TRANSITION TO THE SOUTHWEST AT NIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING
TOWARDS THE WEST/NORTHWEST DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ON
THURSDAY. OVERALL, WHILE WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN LIGHT, MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE
QUITE HIGH, WHICH WILL LEAD TO OVERALL GOOD DISPERSIONS ACROSS THE BURN LOCATION.
MINIMUM RH VALUES LOOK TO DROP INTO THE LOW 40% RANGE AT THE FIRE LOCATION OVER
THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 9.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6 3 1 1 4 4 10 3 3 3 4 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............82 80 77 74 72 71 70 69 68 67 67 66
RH..............48 52 62 65 68 69 71 73 74 77 77 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S SW SW W W W W W W W W
MIXNG WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............9 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE WEST 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 17.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........6 16 6 7 19 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 70 80 85 89 90
RH..............78 73 57 49 42 40
20 FT WIND......NE 2 N 2 N 1 NW 1 W 2 W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 4 4 5 6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 400 1400 3400 4200 4300
MIXING WIND......W 3 NW 2 N 5 N 3 W 1 W 2
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 2
ADI.............2 2 7 16 6 13
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 1 6 12 5 11
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 15.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........33 10 37 61 27 39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 83 78 75 73 72
RH..............42 55 60 64 67 70
20 FT WIND......SW 3 S 3 SW 2 SW 2 N 1 N 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 400 500 500 400 500
MIXING WIND......W 5 SW 5 W 3 W 3 NW 5 NW 3
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3
ADI.............15 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 2 2 2 2 2
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 1
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (39300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........10 33 16 23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 79 88 91
RH..............71 63 47 39
20 FT WIND......N 1G5 NW 1G5 NW 2G6 S 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 4600 6200
MIXING WIND......N 3 N 2 SE 2 SW 6
LVORI...........3 3 2 1
ADI.............2 5 11 42
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 4 9 35
FORECASTER...BUNKER
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.4/RNK
.DELDT 07/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV
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