120
FNUS71 KRNK 110809
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
409 AM EDT SAT JUL 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT ANOTHER DAY WITH MORE CLOUDS THAN SUNSHINE, AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. SHOWERS/FEW STORMS WILL BE SCATTERED AROUND, HIT
AND MISS VARIETY. ANY STORM COULD BRING GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
BUT AT THE SAME TIME TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.
BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY AS A FRONT ENTERS THE AREA. SHOWER
CHANCES TO DIMINISH NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING BACK UP
BY MIDWEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 15 TO
18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (42100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 59 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 75 76 72 69 65 66 67 68 70 72 74
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 30 50 50 50
TEMP............66 67 69 71 73 75 76 77 78 79 80 78
RH..............93 90 90 88 82 76 74 71 69 67 65 69
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.2 4.1 3.3 3.3 2.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 7 6 5 5 9 15 18
LVORI...........7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1
ADI.............1 3 4 8 19 28 21 17 17 30 59 48
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 2 6 15 23 22 18 19 30 48 40
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST 1 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................0 TO 33.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........80 92 77 75 86 90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CWR.............50 40 30 30 30 30
TEMP............77 74 71 69 68 67
RH..............72 81 88 91 92 94
20 FT WIND......N 4 NE 2 NE 1 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 4 4 5 4 4
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 500 400 500 400 500
MIXING WIND......NW 18 N 12 N 5 NW 1 NW 1 NW 1
LVORI...........3 4 6 7 8 8
ADI.............33 5 2 1 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 6 2 1 0 1
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT INCREASING 70 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (17700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 TO 24.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........90 88 77 78 88 88
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............30 40 30 60 60 60
TEMP............66 66 69 70 71 73
RH..............95 96 92 90 84 80
20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 4 NE 3 NE 4 E 4 E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1100 1400 2000 2100 2100
MIXING WIND......N 3 NE 6 E 8 E 9 E 9 E 9
LVORI...........8 6 5 4 4 3
ADI.............1 8 16 23 23 23
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 6 12 19 19 19
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617019.2/RNK
.DELDT 07/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PHILIP.BRASS@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,MARCUS.SEWELL@USDA.GOV
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