833
FNUS71 KRNK 132117
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
517 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEGUN TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH, KEEPING DRY
WEATHER IN PLACE HEADING INTO THIS EVENING. ANY SHOWERS WILL REMAIN
OFF TO THE SOUTH, MOVING AWAY FROM THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
TEMPERATURES STAY COOL THIS EVENING, IN THE 70S, FALLING INTO THE UPPER
50S OVERNIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR, POTENTIALLY LEADING TO SOME PATCHY DENSE
FOG TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BECOMES THE DOMINATING FEATURE FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK.
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THIS WEEKEND, WHEN THE NEXT
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES INCREASE INTO THE 80S
TOMORROW, AND INTO THE 90S FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THE LATE WEEK WITH CLEAR
SKIES. MINRH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 30-40% RANGE STARTING WEDNESDAY.
DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE BEING OVERHEAD, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT,
WITH GUSTS STAYING BETWEEN 10-15 MPH AT HIGHEST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 1
MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
2 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (30100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................42 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........56 51 32 33 48 33 27 14 13 17 17 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 73 71 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 62 61
RH..............64 68 73 77 81 84 86 87 88 91 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E SE N N E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 2 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE S S W NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..9 9 8 6 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
ADI.............42 4 4 3 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.35 16 6 3 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2
TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 18.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........21 16 2 2 4 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 66 73 77 80 82
RH..............90 83 67 56 49 47
20 FT WIND......N 0 NE 1 N 0 E 2 E 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 2 5 6 6
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2300 4300 5100 4900
MIXING WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NE 3 E 3 E 2 S 1
LVORI...........7 5 3 2 2 2
ADI.............1 2 10 18 15 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 7 14 12 6
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 10.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........8 5 5 6 3 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............80 76 71 68 67 65
RH..............49 63 68 71 74 77
20 FT WIND......NE 2 S 1 S 1 SW 1 W 1 W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600 400 400 500 400 500
MIXING WIND......S 2 S 5 SW 3 W 3 W 5 W 3
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 4
ADI.............10 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 2 2 2 2 2
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 0 TO
3 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO 2 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................0 TO 15.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........2 0 3 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 73 85 89
RH..............77 69 48 40
20 FT WIND......W 1G5 N 1G5 NW 1G5 S 2G5
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 3700 5300
MIXING WIND......NW 3 N 2 NE 2 N 0
LVORI...........4 3 2 2
ADI.............1 4 11 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 3 9 2
FORECASTER...BURROUGHS
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.2/RNK
.DELDT 07/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV
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