629
FNUS71 KRNK 250837
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...U S FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
437 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0507 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL PASS ACROSS THE INCIDENT THIS MORNING, BUT
LOW CONFIDENCE THEY WILL PRODUCE WETTING RAINFALL. OTHERWISE, CLOUDY
AND COOL TO START THE DAY, BUT BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON, MAKING FOR PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ABOVE 70 PERCENT, AND WINDS
ARE FORECASTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH, WITH DIRECTION POSSIBLY
DRIVEN BY LOCAL TERRAIN. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINFALL WILL
BE LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY, AND POSSIBLY AGAIN ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING
TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING, DECREASING
TO 0 PERCENT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................3 TO 13.
TIME (EDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........70 83 80 81 81 79 74 68 70 67 58 47 31
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 60 60 50 30 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 63 63 63 63 64 66 67 69 70 70 71 72
RH..............96 96 96 96 95 93 91 89 85 83 82 79 75
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.4 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SW SW SW SW SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 6 5 3 3 5 5 3 2 2
LVORI...........8 8 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............3 3 8 8 8 6 6 9 11 13 10 9 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 3 4 5 5 4 6 7 9 8 6 6
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT, THEN PATCHY
FOG AFTER 3 AM.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 TO 9.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........25 28 32 35 24 32
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............72 67 65 64 63 63
RH..............76 89 94 95 96 97
20 FT WIND......S 4 S 4 S 3 S 2 SW 2 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 4
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 700 400 500 500 500
MIXING WIND......SW 3 S 6 S 6 S 5 SW 3 W 2
LVORI...........4 6 6 8 8 8
ADI.............9 3 2 2 2 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 4 3 2 1 1
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (27400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 TO 38.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........39 24 21 20 34 34
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............62 63 68 74 77 77
RH..............98 96 87 73 65 63
20 FT WIND......W 1 NW 1 N 3 NW 3 W 2 SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 5 4 6
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2300 4500 5400 5300
MIXING WIND......W 2 NW 2 N 7 N 6 N 1 SW 5
LVORI...........10 8 4 3 3 2
ADI.............1 2 20 34 8 32
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 18 26 6 19
FORECASTER...FILLO
REQUESTED BY...B. FOLTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617900.3/RNK
.DELDT 07/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ADAM.CHRISTIE@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV
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