993
FNUS71 KRNK 232007
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
407 PM EDT THU JUL 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SITUATED OVER THE CAROLINAS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, AND EASTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA, THOUGH SOME DRIER AIR IS WORKING ITS WAY
INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SHOWERS WILL BE CONFINED MOSTLY
SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY, BUT A FEW STRAY SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP OVER
THE MOUNTAINS. CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
STORMS INCREASE FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCES OVER THE MOUNTAINS. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO AND COOLER AIR WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 22.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........31 27 33 27 24 32 41 27 35 40 55 48
WEATHER COV..... PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 69 68 66 65 64 63 62 62 61 61 61
RH..............65 68 71 75 76 78 79 79 79 81 80 79
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 4
ADI.............22 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.17 9 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO
15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (41300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 61 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........50 46 68 50 72 76
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............60 63 66 69 71 72
RH..............81 79 78 71 67 66
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 E 3 E 3 E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 7 6
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 2300 3200 3800 3700
MIXING WIND......NE 2 NE 6 E 13 E 15 E 12 E 10
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 1 1
ADI.............1 6 36 61 53 48
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 5 29 47 44 39
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 3
AM.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT THEN 0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 27.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........69 86 75 87 86 87
WEATHER COV..... S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 20 0
TEMP............70 68 67 65 64 63
RH..............68 74 77 79 82 87
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 1 E 1 E 1 N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 4
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 500 500 400 400 400
MIXING WIND......E 9 E 8 SE 6 SE 3 SE 2 E 3
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 5 6
ADI.............27 4 3 2 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.22 4 3 2 1 1
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 TO 15.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........71 81 82 72
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CWR.............0 20 20 30
TEMP............62 64 68 71
RH..............88 91 84 76
20 FT WIND......N 0G2 N 0G2 S 2G5 S 2G6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1400 2300 2900
MIXING WIND......NE 3 NE 5 NE 3 N 3
LVORI...........6 5 4 4
ADI.............2 8 10 14
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 6 8 12
FORECASTER...GRUVER
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.18/RNK
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV
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