775  
FNUS71 KRNK 152226  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 26CR00474...VA DEPT OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
626 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
   
..ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
 
TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE  
NORMAL. DRY WEATHER IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PERSIST WITH ONLY MODEST  
HUMIDITY RECOVERY AT NIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE FOR THE OVERNIGHT,  
BUT THEN PICK BACK UP AGAIN THURSDAY...BECOMING GUSTY DURING THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT, AND EVEN  
THEN, RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-55 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................2 TO 5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 23 30 44 39 44 50 47 48 50 51  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 82 80 77 75 74 73 71 70 69 68  
RH..............29 29 31 36 41 43 45 47 47 48 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 7 7 7 6 6 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W  
MIXNG WIND SPD..10 7 7 7 8 8 7 6 5 5 3  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............5 3 3 5 4 5 5 3 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 6 6 6 7 7 6 5 4 3 3  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 14 TO  
20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (115900 KNOT-FT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 160 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 48 45 37 33 33 30 29 18 19 18 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 65 68 72 75 79 81 83 85 86 87 88  
RH..............54 60 54 48 43 38 35 32 29 28 27 26  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 5 6 6 8 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 6 8 10 12 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 1.8 3.1 4.0 5.3 6.3 7.3 7.8 8.3 8.6  
MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 8 10 14 16 18 20 20 18  
LVORI...........2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............1 3 4 12 30 50 80 112 142 160 101 160  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 3 9 23 42 70 102 133 153 165 159  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS FOR THE  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 7 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (79500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................100 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 21 32 45 42 41 54 55 63 60 56 53  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............87 84 83 78 76 75 74 72 71 69 68 67  
RH..............27 29 30 35 37 40 43 47 52 56 60 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 4 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 13 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.6 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W  
MIXNG WIND SPD..14 9 6 5 6 8 13 17 20 16 12 7  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3  
ADI.............100 4 3 3 4 5 8 8 9 7 5 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.91 12 5 5 6 8 13 17 20 17 11 7  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14  
TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 152 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 51 33 33 33 33 33 33 25 19 19 19  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............66 65 66 69 73 78 80 82 83 84 85 85  
RH..............70 74 73 65 54 46 41 37 34 31 29 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.2 2.4 3.6 4.8 5.9 6.9 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.1  
MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..7 8 10 14 18 21 21 18 16 15 15 14  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............3 11 15 43 83 124 145 152 151 140 131 117  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 9 12 33 65 99 119 126 129 119 110 98  
 
 
FORECASTER...MANUEL  
REQUESTED BY...MARCEK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610479.0/RNK  
.DELDT 04/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LUCAS.MARCEK@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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