591  
FNUS71 KRNK 181639  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILMOTH FARM...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
1239 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JUNE 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH CHANCE FOR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN  
1600 AND SUNSET WHICH MAY CONTAIN GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 ARE POSSIBLE IF YOU TAKE A DIRECT  
HIT FROM ONE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT AFTER 1400.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................65 TO 78.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 77 64 71 67  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 40 50 40 40  
TEMP............85 88 89 90 90  
RH..............52 51 53 51 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 10 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 6.2 5.3 4.3 3.3  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..22 21 22 23 23  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............68 69 68 65 78  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.117 129 115 99 76  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
NIGHT.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 12  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................54 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........74 90 91 91 88 90  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE  
CWR.............40 90 50 60 70 50  
TEMP............87 82 77 73 71 69  
RH..............56 65 77 83 87 88  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 W 7 SW 5 W 6 SW 5 SW 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 600 500 500 500 500  
MIXING WIND.....SW 22 SW 16 SW 10 SW 7 SW 7 SW 10  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 5 5  
ADI.............54 14 7 5 5 7  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.44 9 5 3 3 5  
   
JUNETEENTH
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10  
TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (115400 KNOT-FT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 150 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........80 61 45 49 45 16  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............40 20 20 20 0 0  
TEMP............67 69 76 79 83 83  
RH..............95 97 82 67 54 49  
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 3 NW 4 NW 6 NW 7 NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 10 12 14 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 2300 4200 6000 7400  
MIXING WIND......S 9 SE 5 S 5 SW 8 NW 13 NW 20  
LVORI...........6 7 4 3 1 1  
ADI.............6 6 14 38 84 150  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 4 10 32 75 141  
 

 
FORECASTER...MANUEL  
REQUESTED BY...LARRY ROBERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2615770.0/RNK  
.DELDT 06/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL D10OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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