293
FNUS71 KRNK 031036
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEAL RUN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
636 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE, WITH THE GREATEST
CHANCE FROM 1PM THROUGH 6PM. OUTSIDE OF ANY POSSIBLE STORMS, MOSTLY
SUNNY AND WARM WITH HIGHS INTO THE UPPER 70S. SHOULD SEE RH FALL INTO
THE MID 40 PERCENT RANGE WITH WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST...POSSIBLY
GUSTING TO AROUND 15MPH AT TIMES.
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY WILL BE CLOSE TO A REPEAT OF TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 75 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 46 50 51 45 49 54 62 60 57 60
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20
TEMP............56 56 58 63 68 71 74 76 77 77 76
RH..............84 85 83 72 63 56 50 46 46 45 47
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.9 4.1 5.0 5.6 5.9 5.8 5.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..10 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 16 15
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............8 11 21 24 50 75 51 56 55 52 46
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 8 16 24 41 63 83 97 99 92 75
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................49 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........69 74 55 20 27 28
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............74 68 65 62 59 57
RH..............49 62 69 75 81 86
20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 6 6 6 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 1000 900 700 700 600
MIXING WIND......SW 15 S 14 SW 13 SW 9 SW 6 SW 3
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5
ADI.............49 6 6 4 3 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.48 14 11 7 4 2
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
12 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (77700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 66 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........38 35 24 31 65 65
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 50 50
TEMP............56 57 65 75 78 78
RH..............89 89 74 53 45 46
20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 1 SW 2 SW 4 S 6 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 7 12 14 16
MIX HGT (FT)....600 500 1800 4000 5500 5300
MIXING WIND......W 2 W 2 W 9 W 13 SW 12 S 16
LVORI...........6 6 3 1 1 1
ADI.............1 2 21 61 37 49
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 17 51 63 83
FORECASTER...GRUVER
REQUESTED BY...JOE JARRELLS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608921.0/RNK
.DELDT 04/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSEPH.JARRELLS@USDA.GOV
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