068
FNUS71 KRNK 222035
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
435 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE PROGRESS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. WHILE THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE CLOSER TO
THE NC/VA BORDER, SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT INTO
AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ARE LIKELY
TO BE RAIN-FREE WITH THE FRONT FARTHER TO THE SOUTH, AND COOLER
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS, AND PERHAPS
A FEW STORMS, RETURN TO THE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (46900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................68.
TIME (EDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........47
WEATHER COV.....ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20
TEMP............79
RH..............63
20 FT WIND DIR..W
20 FT WIND SPD..5
20 FT WIND GUST.10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..13
LVORI...........1
ADI.............68
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.54
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER 3
AM.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2
TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (38500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................57 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........40 35 52 57 44 53
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR NONE RN/FG
TSTM COV........ISOLTD S CHC
CWR.............20 20 10 20 10 20
TEMP............78 72 68 65 64 62
RH..............65 81 88 91 90 87
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 2 N 2 NE 4 NE 5 NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 6 10 13 16
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 600 500 500 500 700
MIXING WIND......SW 14 SW 14 NW 6 N 2 NE 6 NE 8
LVORI...........1 4 6 7 6 5
ADI.............57 6 3 2 4 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.44 8 3 1 3 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (24500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 TO 36.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........55 50 44 44 51 35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 62 66 69 71 73
RH..............82 74 68 61 60 57
20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 6 NE 4 NE 4 NE 3 NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 12 10 6 6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 1700 2800 3600 3900
MIXING WIND......NE 12 NE 15 NE 14 NE 10 NE 7 NE 3
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 2
ADI.............8 19 30 36 30 16
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 14 23 28 25 13
FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.17/RNK
.DELDT 07/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV,MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV
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