214
FNUS71 KRNK 260907
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...U S FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
507 AM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0522 EDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER ESTABLISHED OVER THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING WILL
DECREASE TO MIXTURE OF CLOUDS AND SUNSHINE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO THE PAST FEW DAYS,
WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY HOLDING JUST ABOVE 50
PERCENT. A DISTURBANCE WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDER-
STORMS, BUT INCREASING CONFIDENCE WITH THE LATEST FORECAST DATA THAT
ANY WETTING RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP EAST OF THE BURN, WITH LITTLE TO
NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ON THE BURN THIS EVENING. MOST OF MONDAY IS
FORECASTED TO BE DRY AS WELL, BUT POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN DURING
LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS A LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED APPROACH THE
INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR (WEST OF LEXINGTON) FROM THE NORTH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (23800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 TO 34.
TIME (EDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 60 56 53 40 27 27 20 29 47 37 41 44
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20
TEMP............66 65 64 66 69 71 73 75 77 78 79 80 80
RH..............90 92 95 88 83 75 69 66 61 58 57 55 56
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N NW NW NW W SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........7 7 7 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............2 2 4 5 8 20 31 34 28 22 21 22 19
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 2 2 6 15 24 27 23 18 17 17 15
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 1
TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 2 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 12.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........43 56 44 40 41 33
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............79 72 70 68 66 64
RH..............57 75 81 83 89 92
20 FT WIND......W 3 N 3 N 3 E 2 S 2 N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 4 5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 400 400 400 500 400
MIXING WIND......W 3 NE 3 NE 2 N 1 SW 2 W 3
LVORI...........2 4 6 6 7 7
ADI.............12 2 1 1 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 1 1 1 1 1
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3
TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (54700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 69 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........26 39 30 32 67 72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............64 67 73 77 80 81
RH..............92 87 75 63 55 54
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 NW 2 NW 3 W 3 W 3
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 5 6 6 6
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2200 4400 5500 6300
MIXING WIND......NW 3 NW 3 N 3 N 3 W 5 W 10
LVORI...........7 6 4 2 2 1
ADI.............2 3 10 19 29 69
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 7 15 25 63
FORECASTER...FILLO
REQUESTED BY...B. FOLTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617900.4/RNK
.DELDT 07/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ADAM.CHRISTIE@USDA.GOV,MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV
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