266
FNUS71 KRNK 111317
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIZPAH LLC...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
917 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
QUIET WEATHER FOR THIS MORNING, BUT WINDS PICK UP BY 12:00 PM EDT
AND GUST UP TO 30 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON TO BE IN
THE MID-50 PERCENT RANGE. A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
LATER THIS EVENING, BUT THE GREATEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE OVERNIGHT
AS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PASS THROUGH. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE AND
HAVE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AS A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH
BY THURSDAY MORNING AND WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST BUT TRANSITION FROM
THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST. SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
THURSDAY MORNING, BUT LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH
INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 114200 KNOT-FT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................15 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 82 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51 49 51 47 48 56 52 55
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............62 64 66 67 68 69 69 68
RH..............80 75 71 66 61 59 57 56
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 12 12 12 13
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 19 22 23 23 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 2.6 3.5 4.3 5.1 5.5 5.4 5.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..9 13 17 21 24 25 25 24
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............15 37 44 60 74 82 82 77
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 33 59 90 122 142 139 131
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (35-80 PERCENT) THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................53 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 8 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........61 48 54 40 53 68 73 88 90 94 93 93
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 30 50 60 60 80 90 80 90
TEMP............67 66 62 62 61 60 59 57 55 53 51 47
RH..............56 56 61 63 66 69 75 82 88 91 97 99
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 13 14 14 14 15 15 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 21 22 23 25 25 25 26 26 28 29
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 1.8 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..20 15 10 9 9 9 9 8 9 12 15 17
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5
ADI.............53 16 9 8 8 10 10 10 8 10 13 15
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.75 26 5 8 11 15 13 12 11 13 18 20
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 34 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (108700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................17 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 82 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 96 94 90 88 86 81 75 70 52 35 17
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............70 70 40 40 40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10
TEMP............42 38 36 33 31 31 31 32 32 33 34 34
RH..............100 100 92 98 94 89 84 77 70 62 56 51
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..18 19 21 21 20 20 19 19 18 18 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.30 32 33 34 34 33 32 31 30 30 29 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..18 20 21 21 21 22 24 26 29 30 30 28
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1
ADI.............17 30 31 34 35 39 50 62 73 79 82 81
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.23 26 26 32 32 39 56 76 96 111 121 125
FORECASTER...GROVER
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW HARSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605404.0/RNK
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.HARSEY@NCAGR.GOV
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