799
FNUS71 KRNK 271859
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR LICK MOUNTAIN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
259 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE RISING FOR SATURDAY AS THE POTENTIAL
FOR A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT
SEEMS TO BE DIMINISHING. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TOWARDS 20-30
MPH ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING, AND A DRY
AIR MASS SHOULD SEND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TOWARDS 20-30
PERCENT ACROSS THE SPOT LOCATION. WINDS SHOULD TURN LIGHTER BY
SUNDAY, BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10700 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................12 TO 14.
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........96 97 93
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............70 70 50
TEMP............60 57 54
RH..............69 72 77
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.9 1.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..W NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 7 8
LVORI...........3 3 4
ADI.............12 13 14
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 13 13
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (74000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (10700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 TO 40.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........93 87 85 79 64 55 52 50 49 48 29 24
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............40 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 49 47 44 42 39 37 36 33 31 29 27
RH..............76 80 80 78 78 77 77 74 72 71 67 65
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 12 13 14 14 14 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.9 2.5 2.8 2.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..8 8 9 12 16 20 23 25 28 30 31 31
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............13 5 6 8 21 26 30 34 37 40 21 21
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 14 16 23 34 41 46 62 79 74 85 84
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 20
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................20 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 105 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27 26 29 22 13 17 9 8 8 9 8 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............27 26 26 28 32 36 39 41 44 45 46 46
RH..............64 64 64 61 51 43 36 33 28 27 26 25
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.6
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..30 28 25 23 22 20 17 16 15 14 14 13
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............20 105 105 105 100 98 68 64 81 79 75 68
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.92 85 86 87 83 82 75 73 69 67 65 58
OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY APRIL 03 THROUGH THURSDAY APRIL 09
FORECASTER...GROVER
REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN URFFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608167.0/RNK
.DELDT 03/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL COLLEEN.URFFER@USDA.GOV
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