524
FNUS71 KRNK 052255
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR RED BANK FIRE...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
655 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST INTO TONIGHT AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT, WITH RAIN BEGINNING TO FALL ON THE BURN
LOCATION BEGINNING AROUND 5 AM WEDNESDAY. AROUND 0.75" OF RAINFALL
IS FORECAST TO FALL ON THE BURN LOCATION BETWEEN SUNRISE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY EVENING, WITH RAINFALL BECOMING SPORADIC IN MULTIPLE
ROUNDS INTERMIXED WITH BREAKS IN THE ACTIVITY THROUGH MOST OF ITS
DURATION.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) EARLY THIS EVENING,
THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) LATE.
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (35400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (7400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 TO 21.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........46 46 51 54 55 41 43 63 52 77 92
WEATHER COV..... CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 40
TEMP............68 66 66 64 63 63 62 60 59 58 57
RH..............43 47 47 48 50 52 55 59 64 68 73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 12 10 10 11 10 10 10 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S
MIXNG WIND SPD..15 12 12 14 16 17 17 17 17 17 16
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
ADI.............21 10 11 12 14 11 12 15 15 15 14
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.41 10 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 15 14
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21
TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (47700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 64 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........96 99 99 94 96 99 98 97 96 100 89 85
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............40 60 50 20 10 20 30 50 70 90 60 60
TEMP............57 57 57 59 61 63 66 69 70 71 72 70
RH..............75 77 80 78 76 74 72 68 66 67 65 69
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 12 14 16 16 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.1 1.8 2.1 2.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
MIXNG WIND SPD..15 13 12 12 13 14 13 13 13 16 21 23
LVORI...........3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 1 3
ADI.............13 12 15 24 30 35 40 40 41 37 53 64
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 11 12 19 24 29 36 38 39 30 43 55
FORECASTER...FILLO
REQUESTED BY...MATTY RICHARDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612846.0/RNK
.DELDT 05/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL D2OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV
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