021
FNUS71 KRNK 182051
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
451 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON JULY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DIMINISHING FOR THIS EVENING,
WITH LITTLE OPPORTUNITY FOR THE BURN LOCATION TO RECEIVE ANY
WETTING RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT. PERHAPS ANOTHER CHANCE OVERNIGHT
AS ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARRIVES FROM THE WEST,
BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL BRING ANY RELIEF. LOOKING
TO SUNDAY, ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP, BUT LATEST
DATA SUGGESTS THAT THESE WILL DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH, PERHAPS ONLY
BRIEFLY IMPACTING THE BURN LOCATION DURING EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE
MOVING ON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (30900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................44.
TIME (EDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........79
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CWR.............20
TEMP............78
RH..............84
20 FT WIND DIR..W
20 FT WIND SPD..6
20 FT WIND GUST.12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..W
MIXNG WIND SPD..13
LVORI...........3
ADI.............44
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.36
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17
MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH LATE
IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................5 TO 33.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........73 52 77 74 79 57
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE FOG
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CWR.............20 20 10 10 0 0
TEMP............78 77 74 73 72 71
RH..............82 82 81 83 86 88
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 6 SW 5 SW 5 W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 17 14 14 12 11
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 800 500 500 500 500
MIXING WIND......W 15 W 18 W 12 W 7 W 8 W 7
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 5 6
ADI.............33 12 8 5 5 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 15 6 3 4 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 1 TO
7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (38600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 56 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........70 49 32 33 53 48
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 30 20
TEMP............71 73 77 79 81 82
RH..............88 83 75 67 60 56
20 FT WIND......W 3 W 3 W 3 W 4 W 4 NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 8 10 7
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 2500 4100 5200 5400
MIXING WIND......W 12 W 18 W 15 W 10 W 7 NW 2
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 2 2
ADI.............5 23 49 56 29 16
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 19 38 44 36 13
FORECASTER...FILLO
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.12/RNK
.DELDT 07/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV
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