659
FNUS71 KRNK 192007
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
407 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WEATHER LOOKS TO BE DRIER MONDAY AS FRONT SLIPS FURTHER SOUTH
BUT CANNOT RULE OUT A PASSING SHOWER. HUMIDITY STAYS ELEVATED
IN THE 60S. A STRONGER FRONT APPROACHES TUESDAY WITH A BETTER
CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS ARRIVING AS EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE SOME SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY WITH DAMAGING WINDS.
AS THE FRONT SLOWS DOWN ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN WEDNESDAY. LOOKING DRIER AND SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID
BY LATE WEEK.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (20300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 TO 30.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48 54 61 54 47 41 40 39 38 40 41 43
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 20
TEMP............65 64 66 68 70 72 73 74 75 77 77 76
RH..............89 91 86 83 80 75 74 73 70 68 66 70
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.6 4.2 3.9 4.1 3.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE NE NE E S SW SW SW SW SW S S
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 8 8 6 3 1 1 3 5 5 6 6
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............3 8 9 11 12 5 5 16 24 23 30 28
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 5 7 9 9 4 4 12 19 18 23 22
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 TO 24.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........45 50 73 61 56 63
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............10 30 60 40 20 30
TEMP............75 74 71 69 69 68
RH..............72 78 86 91 93 96
20 FT WIND......S 4 SE 5 S 3 S 2 SE 2 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 7 6 6 6
MIX HGT (FT)....2700 700 500 500 500 500
MIXING WIND......S 7 S 9 S 6 S 3 S 5 S 3
LVORI...........3 4 6 7 7 8
ADI.............24 6 3 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.19 6 3 2 2 2
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (67500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 82 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........65 56 66 67 87 87
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0 30 30 30 80 80
TEMP............67 70 73 76 79 80
RH..............98 94 90 80 73 69
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 12 14 16 17
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 2200 3200 3600 2500
MIXING WIND......S 5 SW 7 SW 7 SW 12 SW 21 SW 28
LVORI...........10 6 4 3 3 1
ADI.............2 7 18 38 73 79
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 5 16 36 75 69
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.14/RNK
.DELDT 07/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV
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