481  
FNUS74 KMRX 170116  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALUM CAVE SAR...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 EDT ON MAY 16.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY DRY AND WARMER  
CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50 DECREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........66 53 54 57 58 66 61 45  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 59 58 58 57 57 57 56  
DEWPOINT........52 51 51 50 49 49 48 47  
RH..............75 75 77 75 75 75 72 72  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S SE S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST.10 12 12 12 12 12 12 10  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............49 INCREASING TO 58.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 54 64 27 19 10 7 12 17 11 12 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............57 58 59 64 70 73 75 77 78 79 77 77  
DEWPOINT........48 48 51 53 55 56 56 56 56 57 58 58  
RH..............72 69 75 67 59 55 52 48 47 47 52 52  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.10 10 10 9 10 10 12 12 13 13 13 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...JEANIE MCDERMOTT  
REQUESTED BY...ELIZABETH CACCIA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2613844.0/MRX  
.DELDT 05/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV  
 
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