908  
FNUS74 KMRX 060236  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 6, 2020 FLOODING...SEVIER COUNTY EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
936 PM EST WED FEB 5 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 EST ON FEBRUARY 05.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE...PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THURSDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LENGTHY PERIOD OF MODERATE TO SOMETIMES HEAVY RAINFALL  
WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF A STALLED  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LIGHT RAIN WILL LINGER THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. SOME  
FLOODING IS LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO INCREASINGLY SATURATED GROUND.  
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL FINALLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY  
BRINGING A PERIOD OF DRIER WEATHER AND COLDER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...63.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...MISSING.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
DISPERSION..........  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....1.16 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM  
SKY (%).........98 100 98 94 97 93 95 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 100 100 60 60 60 80 90 90  
TEMP............61 62 61 61 62 62 62 63 62  
RH..............81 81 87 87 84 84 87 84 87  
APARNT TMP (F)..61 62 61 61 62 62 62 63 62  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.15 15 16 16 16 18 18 13 11  
SURFACE WND GST.24 24 25 25 25 28 28 21 18  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...61.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...3853 MSL.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..3852 FT AGL.  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3852 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION..........19.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....1.28 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
TEMP............61 60 61 61 61 61 60 60 61 60 60 58  
RH..............93 93 93 97 97 93 96 93 84 84 84 83  
APARNT TMP (F)..61 60 61 61 61 61 60 60 61 60 60 58  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 5  
SURFACE WND GST.14 14 14 14 14 12 12 12 12 12 9 6  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...MISSING.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
DISPERSION..........  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.54 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM  
SKY (%).........95 95 95 95 95 95 92 92 92 92 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70 70  
TEMP............57 55 54 53 52 51 49 47 45 43 40 38  
RH..............86 90 90 89 89 86 89 89 89 89 92 92  
APARNT TMP (F)..57 55 54 53 52 51 46 43 40 38 34 31  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 5 5 6 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10  
SURFACE WND GST.5 6 6 8 9 9 12 12 14 14 14 16  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...26.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...5065 MSL.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..5064 FT AGL.  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....5064 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 22 MPH.  
DISPERSION..........64.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........89 89 89 89 89 89 80 80 80 80 80 80  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............38 35 36 35 36 36 37 37 37 37 36 35  
RH..............85 92 85 89 82 79 72 70 67 67 67 66  
APARNT TMP (F)..31 27 28 26 28 28 29 29 29 30 29 28  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 11 11 13 13 13 13 13 11 10 9 8  
SURFACE WND GST.16 17 17 20 20 20 20 20 17 16 14 12  
 

 
FORECASTER...RICK GARUCKAS  
REQUESTED BY...JAY AYERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2001827.0/MRX  
.DELDT 02/05/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL JAYERS@SEVIERCOUNTYTN.GOV  
 
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