577  
FNUS74 KMRX 232201  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN-CNF-SZ BEAVERDAM...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
601 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 24.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW RH'S WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO A  
MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH THE  
BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN BEING BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY  
MORNING. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT ANY RAIN TOTALS WILL BE PRETTY  
LIGHT (0.05" OR LESS) AND THAT RAIN WILL NOT LAST LONG. AFTER THE  
RAIN MOVES THROUGH, WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM A MORE NORTHERLY  
DIRECTION AND BECOME MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
THURSDAY WILL BE DRIER AGAIN BUT WITH LIGHTER WINDS.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12  
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........77 81 77 65 57 57 34 27 28 23 22  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CH CH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 51 51 53 54 55 59 59 59 60 58  
RH..............74 74 80 80 80 77 67 64 60 55 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.4 4.1 4.5 4.2 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 12 10 10 10 10 13 14 13 12  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........13 16 19 21 16 11 6 6 7 7 8 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 53 51 49 47 46 45 44 42 42 42 43  
RH..............66 66 68 74 76 76 76 76 82 82 82 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 12 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 13 12 10 9 8 7 6 6 6  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........10 10 9 9 10 12 13 19 25 31 35 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 49 54 59 62 63 64 65 66 66 64 62  
RH..............73 66 57 49 44 43 41 40 38 38 43 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE S S SW SW W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.6 6.3 6.6 6.3 4.6 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE S S SW W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 8 8  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRANDON WASILEWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL HAISTEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411966.0/MRX  
.DELDT 04/23/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LISA.LONCAR@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.HAISTEN@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page