539  
FNUS74 KMRX 120522  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEAVERS BEND PILES...USFS CHEROKEE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
122 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE...PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OVERALL WIND WILL BE LIGHT, AND WILL LIKELY BE HIGHLY CONTROLLED BY  
LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS. THE HEAT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH  
THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH MOST AREAS REMAINING DRY THE NEXT COUPLE OF  
DAYS. HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAVE BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS,  
AND LATE IN THE WEEK RAIN CHANCES RISE IN THE VALLEY AS WELL.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...7629 MSL.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....6375 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
DISPERSION..........24.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........19 20 21 22 23 23 23 23 23 23  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH  
TEMP............74 80 84 87 89 91 92 91 89 86  
RH..............74 60 54 51 48 44 42 44 47 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..E NE NE N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...MISSING.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
DISPERSION..........  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........23 25 27 29 31 33 35 35 35 35 36 36  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............78 75 72 71 70 69 69 68 68 67 65 65  
RH..............69 76 84 87 90 93 93 93 93 97 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...7444 MSL.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....6190 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
DISPERSION..........18.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........36 37 38 39 40 41 42 44 48 52 56 60  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............67 72 78 84 88 90 90 91 91 89 86 81  
RH..............93 81 67 55 48 47 47 45 45 48 53 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...GEORGE MATHEWS  
REQUESTED BY...ADAM KUNCE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1915284.0/MRX  
.DELDT 09/12/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL ADAM.KUNCE@USDA.GOV  
 
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