279  
FOUS54 KMRX 161827  
PFMMRX  
 
POINT FORECAST MATRICES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
127 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
TNZ017-170900-  
TRI CITIES AIRPORT-SULLIVAN TN  
36.50N 82.41W ELEV. 1536 FT  
127 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
DATE 02/16/26 TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU  
EST 3HRLY 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 36 64 43 62 53  
TEMP 59 52 43 40 38 36 47 61 63 56 49 46 44 44 53 60 62 59 56 55 54 53  
DEWPT 40 40 38 37 35 34 42 44 44 44 43 41 41 41 47 51 52 52 53 53 53 52  
RH 49 63 82 89 89 92 83 53 50 64 80 83 89 89 80 72 70 78 90 93 96 96  
WIND DIR NW N S SE SE E S W W SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
WIND SPD 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 8 14 12 6 4 2 2 2  
WIND GUST 18 25  
CLOUDS FW FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B1 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV B2  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 5 40  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0.12  
RAIN SHWRS C C C  
 
DATE 02/19 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26 SUN 02/22/26 MON 02/23/26  
EST 6HRLY 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 67 54 66 43 56 36 48 26 41  
TEMP 64 61 56 55 64 59 49 44 54 52 44 38 47 43 33 27 38 35  
DEWPT 56 54 53 53 48 43 42 39 41 40 37 35 34 30 25 20 18 17  
PWIND DIR SW S W W W NW W NW NW  
WIND CHAR LT LT GN LT LT LT GN LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS B2 B1 B1 B2 B1 SC SC SC B1 SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC  
POP 12HR 50 60 40 30 40 40 40 20 5  
RAIN SHWRS C C S L C S S C C C C C C C S S  
SNOWSHWRS S  
 

 
 
TNZ071-170900-  
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT-BLOUNT TN  
35.80N 83.98W ELEV. 979 FT  
127 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
DATE 02/16/26 TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU  
EST 3HRLY 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 39 67 53 65 58  
TEMP 60 55 48 44 41 39 48 62 66 61 55 54 53 54 59 63 65 63 61 59 58 58  
DEWPT 44 44 43 42 39 38 42 44 45 45 44 46 47 49 52 53 53 55 55 56 56 57  
RH 55 66 83 93 92 96 80 52 47 56 66 74 80 83 78 70 65 75 81 90 93 96  
WIND DIR NE S S SW E SW W SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND SPD 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 6 8 5 9 10 12 13 18 19 14 9 8 5 5 5  
WIND GUST 23 24 28  
CLOUDS CL FW SC FW SC SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 5 50  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0.08  
RAIN SHWRS C C C  
 
DATE 02/19 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26 SUN 02/22/26 MON 02/23/26  
EST 6HRLY 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 72 58 70 46 59 38 51 28 45  
TEMP 69 66 63 60 68 63 53 47 56 54 47 41 50 45 35 30 42 39  
DEWPT 58 56 57 55 48 44 44 42 42 42 39 36 33 29 25 21 18 18  
PWIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW W NW NW  
WIND CHAR GN GN GN LT LT LT GN LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS B2 B1 B2 B2 B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC  
POP 12HR 50 70 40 40 40 40 30 10 5  
RAIN SHWRS C S C L C C S C C C C C C S  
TSTMS S  
 

 
 
TNZ036-170900-  
OAK RIDGE-ANDERSON TN  
36.00N 84.24W ELEV. 913 FT  
127 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
DATE 02/16/26 TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU  
EST 3HRLY 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 39 64 53 64 57  
TEMP 62 55 47 44 41 39 49 61 64 59 55 54 53 54 58 62 64 62 60 58 57 58  
DEWPT 43 43 42 42 41 39 44 46 47 46 46 47 48 50 54 55 56 56 56 56 56 57  
RH 50 64 83 93100100 83 58 54 62 72 77 83 86 86 78 75 81 87 93 96 96  
WIND DIR E S SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND SPD 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 8 8 5 6 8 10 12 13 13 10 5 5 4 4 4  
WIND GUST 19 21 25 26 27 25 20 16  
CLOUDS CL FW FW FW SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 5 50  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0.10  
RAIN SHWRS S S C C C  
 
DATE 02/19 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26 SUN 02/22/26 MON 02/23/26  
EST 6HRLY 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 72 56 69 44 59 38 51 28 45  
TEMP 68 66 62 58 67 62 51 46 56 53 46 41 50 45 34 29 43 38  
DEWPT 59 57 58 55 46 43 42 41 41 41 39 36 33 29 24 20 19 18  
PWIND DIR SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND CHAR GN LT GN LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS B2 B1 B1 B2 B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 FW  
POP 12HR 40 70 30 40 40 40 30 10 5  
RAIN SHWRS C S C L C S S C C C C C C S  
TSTMS S  
 

 
 
TNZ099-170900-  
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT-HAMILTON TN  
35.03N 85.22W ELEV. 688 FT  
127 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
DATE 02/16/26 TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU  
EST 3HRLY 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 43 69 55 69 59  
TEMP 66 59 51 48 45 43 53 65 68 63 58 56 55 55 60 66 69 66 62 61 59 59  
DEWPT 45 47 47 44 43 42 46 48 49 50 50 50 51 52 55 56 57 58 59 59 59 59  
RH 47 64 86 86 93 96 77 54 51 62 75 80 86 90 84 70 66 75 90 93100100  
WIND DIR S SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW S S S S S  
WIND SPD 2 1 2 2 2 2 5 10 10 5 9 9 10 10 10 11 10 5 5 4 5 5  
WIND GUST 19 19 21 20 21  
CLOUDS CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 5 30  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS C C C  
 
DATE 02/19 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26 SUN 02/22/26 MON 02/23/26  
EST 6HRLY 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 76 59 74 49 64 40 55 30 50  
TEMP 72 70 65 60 71 68 56 50 61 59 50 43 54 49 37 32 47 42  
DEWPT 60 59 61 57 49 47 47 47 46 46 42 38 35 31 27 22 21 21  
PWIND DIR SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW N  
WIND CHAR GN LT GN LT LT LT GN LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS B2 B1 B2 B2 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW  
POP 12HR 30 70 30 40 40 40 30 10 5  
RAIN SHWRS C C L C C C C C C C C C S  
TSTMS S S S S  
 

 
 
NCZ060-170900-  
TUSQUITEE RAWS-FORESTRY-CHEROKEE NC  
35.07N 84.12W ELEV. 1600 FT  
127 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
DATE 02/16/26 TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU  
EST 3HRLY 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 36 67 48 64 55  
TEMP 66 57 47 42 38 36 48 63 66 58 52 50 48 49 55 62 64 62 57 56 55 55  
DEWPT 42 44 41 39 37 36 41 42 42 42 44 45 46 47 52 53 53 54 54 54 55 55  
RH 42 62 79 89 96100 77 46 42 55 74 83 93 93 90 72 67 75 90 93100100  
MAX/MIN RH 100 42 96 67 100  
WIND DIR SW SW SE SE SE SE SE S S SE SE SE S S SW SW SW S S S S S  
WIND DIR DEG 23 22 15 12 12 12 14 18 18 15 15 15 16 17 20 21 21 18 18 18 18 19  
WIND SPD 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 6 3 3 3 3 3 5 8 6 2 2 2 2 2  
WIND GUST 16  
CLOUDS CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC B1 B2 B1 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUDS (%) 4 10 9 26 34 30 41 47 60 77 67 74 82 91 94 91 94 94 91 91 93 94  
VSBY 10 10 10 10 10 8 10 10 10 10 10 10  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 5 40  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0.02  
RAIN SHWRS C C C  
CHANCETHUNDER 0 0 0 0 5  
MAX MIX HGT  
AGL MIX HGT 3200 2900  
MAX VENT RT 41000 31900  
T WIND DIR S SW  
T WIND SPD 10 10  
ADI 41 32  
MAX LVORI 9 6  
STABILITY B G G B B F D C B D D  
CEILING NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
STA PRES 27.99 28.02 28.06 28.00 27.98 27.92 27.88 27.82 27.78 27.77 27.74  
 
DATE 02/19 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26 SUN 02/22/26 MON 02/23/26  
EST 6HRLY 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 71 55 70 46 62 36 51 25 46  
TEMP 67 64 59 56 67 64 52 47 60 56 46 38 50 46 32 26 42 37  
DEWPT 57 55 56 56 50 45 45 44 44 43 40 36 34 28 24 20 18 17  
PWIND DIR SW S W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS OV B1 B2 B2 B2 SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW  
POP 12HR 40 70 40 40 40 40 30 10 5  
RAIN SHWRS C C L C S S C C C C C C S  
TSTMS S S S S  
 
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY, AND IS  
NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT FORECAST  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page