099  
FOUS54 KMRX 160627  
PFMMRX  
 
POINT FORECAST MATRICES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
226 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TNZ017-162000-  
TRI CITIES AIRPORT-SULLIVAN TN  
36.50N 82.41W ELEV. 1536 FT  
226 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
DATE FRI 10/16/26 SAT 10/17/26 SUN 10/18/26  
EDT 3HRLY 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
UTC 3HRLY 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00  
 
MAX/MIN 80 46 55 34 64  
TEMP 64 62 74 79 74 61 53 49 47 46 47 52 54 48 41 39 36 35 48 61 63 53  
DEWPT 63 62 65 63 63 57 52 47 45 45 45 41 38 36 35 34 32 31 32 34 35 35  
RH 97100 74 58 69 87 96 93 93 96 93 66 54 63 79 82 85 85 54 36 35 50  
WIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE E NE E  
WIND SPD 2 3 11 14 16 11 11 9 9 10 16 14 13 8 5 3 4 4 5 6 8 8  
WIND GUST 19 20  
CLOUDS FW FW CL FW SC OV OV B1 B1 B1 B2 SC SC CL FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL  
POP 12HR 70 70 10 5 0  
QPF 12HR 0.02 0.02 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS S C L C S S  
 
DATE MON 10/19/26 TUE 10/20/26 WED 10/21/26 THU 10/22/26  
EDT 6HRLY 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MIN/MAX 35 67 39 70 43 73 44 72  
TEMP 40 36 65 56 43 40 67 59 47 44 71 61 48 45 70 61  
DEWPT 32 30 41 42 40 38 45 45 44 41 48 46 45 43 50 49  
PWIND DIR E NE NE N NE NE NE NE  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW CL CL CL FW CL  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
 
TNZ071-162000-  
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT-BLOUNT TN  
35.80N 83.98W ELEV. 979 FT  
226 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
DATE FRI 10/16/26 SAT 10/17/26 SUN 10/18/26  
EDT 3HRLY 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
UTC 3HRLY 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00  
 
MAX/MIN 82 49 59 40 66  
TEMP 68 66 77 81 73 62 55 52 50 49 51 57 59 53 48 45 42 40 50 62 66 57  
DEWPT 64 63 64 65 62 55 50 47 46 46 45 43 41 39 38 37 37 36 39 40 41 41  
RH 87 90 64 58 68 78 83 83 86 89 80 59 51 59 68 73 82 85 66 44 40 55  
WIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
WIND SPD 6 8 12 13 17 9 10 8 8 12 18 18 17 10 10 9 8 8 8 4 5 3  
WIND GUST 21  
CLOUDS FW FW CL SC B2 OV B2 B1 B1 B1 SC B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL  
POP 12HR 50 40 5 0 0  
QPF 12HR 0.05 0.01 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS C C C  
 
DATE MON 10/19/26 TUE 10/20/26 WED 10/21/26 THU 10/22/26  
EDT 6HRLY 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MIN/MAX 41 68 43 72 47 74 47 75  
TEMP 45 41 65 59 48 44 69 62 51 48 72 64 53 48 73 65  
DEWPT 39 36 43 44 44 42 48 48 47 45 51 50 48 46 52 51  
PWIND DIR E NE NE NE NE NE E NE  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL FW CL  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
 
TNZ036-162000-  
OAK RIDGE-ANDERSON TN  
36.00N 84.24W ELEV. 913 FT  
226 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
DATE FRI 10/16/26 SAT 10/17/26 SUN 10/18/26  
EDT 3HRLY 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
UTC 3HRLY 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00  
 
MAX/MIN 81 48 58 40 65  
TEMP 65 64 75 79 69 59 52 50 48 49 51 56 57 50 46 44 42 40 50 62 65 55  
DEWPT 64 63 66 66 60 53 49 46 46 46 44 43 41 39 38 37 36 35 38 40 40 41  
RH 97 97 74 64 73 80 89 86 93 89 77 62 55 66 73 76 79 82 63 44 40 59  
WIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E NE  
WIND SPD 2 2 5 11 13 8 5 3 4 8 13 13 11 6 5 4 4 5 6 5 3 2  
WIND GUST 18 18 13 17 20 18 19 17 14  
CLOUDS FW FW CL SC B1 OV B2 SC SC B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL  
POP 12HR 20 30 0 0 0  
QPF 12HR 0.02 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS S C S  
 
DATE MON 10/19/26 TUE 10/20/26 WED 10/21/26 THU 10/22/26  
EDT 6HRLY 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MIN/MAX 39 68 43 72 46 74 47 75  
TEMP 45 40 65 58 48 44 69 62 51 47 72 64 52 48 72 65  
DEWPT 38 36 44 45 42 41 49 48 46 45 52 50 47 46 53 52  
PWIND DIR NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL FW CL  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
 
TNZ099-162000-  
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT-HAMILTON TN  
35.03N 85.22W ELEV. 688 FT  
226 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
DATE FRI 10/16/26 SAT 10/17/26 SUN 10/18/26  
EDT 3HRLY 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
UTC 3HRLY 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00  
 
MAX/MIN 83 50 62 43 66  
TEMP 66 64 77 82 72 61 55 52 50 50 54 59 62 56 50 47 45 43 52 63 66 58  
DEWPT 63 62 64 64 61 52 46 44 44 45 44 43 41 41 40 39 38 38 40 42 42 42  
RH 90 93 64 55 68 72 72 74 80 83 69 55 46 57 68 74 76 82 63 46 42 55  
WIND DIR S S W W NW NW N N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
WIND SPD 2 2 5 10 14 13 13 10 11 12 17 17 16 11 11 9 8 8 4 3 3 3  
WIND GUST 24 20 23 23  
CLOUDS CL CL CL FW SC B2 B1 SC SC SC SC SC CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL  
POP 12HR 10 10 0 0 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 10/19/26 TUE 10/20/26 WED 10/21/26 THU 10/22/26  
EDT 6HRLY 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MIN/MAX 42 68 45 72 48 75 49 76  
TEMP 47 43 65 61 50 46 69 63 53 49 72 65 54 50 73 67  
DEWPT 38 36 45 48 45 43 49 51 48 47 53 52 50 48 53 54  
PWIND DIR E NE N N N NE N NE  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS CL CL CL CL FW CL FW CL FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
 
NCZ060-162000-  
TUSQUITEE RAWS-FORESTRY-CHEROKEE NC  
35.07N 84.12W ELEV. 1600 FT  
226 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
DATE FRI 10/16/26 SAT 10/17/26 SUN 10/18/26  
EDT 3HRLY 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
UTC 3HRLY 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00  
 
MAX/MIN 81 43 58 33 67  
TEMP 61 59 72 79 74 59 51 47 44 43 47 55 57 49 42 39 36 34 50 64 65 53  
DEWPT 61 59 63 62 62 58 49 45 41 41 44 43 40 39 38 37 35 33 37 38 38 39  
RH 100100 73 56 66 96 93 93 89 93 89 64 53 68 86 92 96 96 61 38 37 59  
MIN/MAX RH 54 100 53 100 34  
WIND DIR N N W W NW NW NW NW N NW N N N N N N N N N E SE E  
WIND DIR DEG 0 0 26 27 30 31 32 32 33 32 34 0 34 34 2 0 0 0 0 10 12 11  
WIND SPD 0 0 3 9 11 12 12 10 10 9 12 12 11 6 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 1  
WIND GUST 26 27 25 25 25 25  
CLOUDS FW FW FW FW B1 B2 B1 B1 B2 B1 SC SC CL CL CL FW FW FW CL CL CL CL  
CLOUDS (%) 18 24 7 25 55 70 67 61 79 58 35 29 5 1 3 11 10 18 3 3 0 1  
VSBY 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
POP 12HR 20 20 5 0 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS S S  
WIND CHILL 38  
MIN CHILL 38 37 39 33 38  
CHANCETHUNDER 5 0 0 0 0  
MAX MIX HGT  
AGL MIX HGT 5500 4400 3700  
MAX VENT RT 81800 57600 18800  
T WIND DIR W N E  
T WIND SPD 12 13 4  
ADI 82 58 18  
MAX LVORI 10 6 9  
STABILITY G B C E E C B G G B B  
CEILING NONE NONE 8900 NONE 5500 6300 NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
STA PRES 27.93 27.85 27.89 27.93 28.02 28.08 28.15 28.19 28.25 28.24 28.22  
 
DATE MON 10/19/26 TUE 10/20/26 WED 10/21/26 THU 10/22/26  
EDT 6HRLY 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MIN/MAX 36 69 39 72 42 74 43 74  
TEMP 41 37 66 56 44 40 70 58 47 43 72 60 48 44 73 61  
DEWPT 34 31 43 44 42 38 49 48 46 41 50 49 46 42 51 50  
PWIND DIR E NW N NW N NW N NW  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS CL FW FW CL CL FW FW FW CL FW FW CL CL CL FW CL  
POP 12HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY, AND IS  
NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT FORECAST  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
Main Text Page