137
FXUS61 KRNK 290608
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
208 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION UPDATED.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MILD AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER, WITH A
FEW CHANCES FOR RAIN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 460.
KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGE 1: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MILD AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER, A
FEW CHANCES FOR RAIN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT WHICH PUSHED THROUGH YESTERDAY HAD ALREADY REACHED
GA AND AL THIS MORNING. IN ITS WAKE, DRIER AND COOLER AIR HAD
REACHED THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE SPILLED SOUTHEAST
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY, OUR AREA WILL
BE IN NW FLOW. AN UPPER LOW DIGS SOUTH INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY
AND TOMORROW, THEN SHIFTS EAST OFF THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST,
HEADING OUT TO SEA.
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE TROUGHING, PLENTY OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY
WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST AND SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND.
BY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, SOME OF THAT ENERGY WILL BEGIN TO REACH
US AS WE TRANSITION TO A MORE RELAXED WNW FLOW. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THIS TIME, AND A FEW SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 460 WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE MOISTURE
TO WORK WITH, WITH DRIER AIR LINGERING TO THE NORTH. FORCING
FOR ASCENT WILL BE MINIMAL AND WE ARE NOT ANTICIPATING ANYTHING
STRONG OR SEVERE.
ANOTHER POTENT SHORT WAVE FOLLOWS THE INITIAL PATH OF THE FIRST
ONE, DROPPING OUT OF CANADA EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK, BUT INSTEAD
THIS TIME FOLLOWS THE EASTERN SEABOARD SOUTHWARD. THIS IS IN
FACT THE KICKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GUIDE THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
WEAK COLD FRONT SOUTH. BY TUESDAY THIS SYSTEM DRIFTS INTO THE
OPEN OCEAN OFF VA. WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT FRIDAY, EXPECT MORE DRY
WEATHER UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY RAIN LOOKS
TO BE BEYOND THE END OF THIS STRETCH.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND
SATURDAY, THEN DROP OFF A BIT WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND
THE OCCASIONAL SHOWER. STILL HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S
THIS WEEK, WITH LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S FOR THE MOUNTAINS,
AND THE 50S FOR THE PIEDMONT.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE EARLY
MORNING FOG THIS MORNING AT LWB, WHICH MAY BE DENSE AT TIMES.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT WSW
TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH. TONIGHT
EXPECT MORE CALM OR VARIABLY LIGHT WINDS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS WEEKEND, AS
HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A FEW DAYS OF QUIET WEATHER. FOG LOOKS LESS
LIKELY SATURDAY MORNING AT LWB AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN. LIGHT
SHOWERS/ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 460,
IMPACTING POSSIBLY BCB AND DAN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER THAT IS BEYOND THE 7 DAY FORECAST. WINDS
REMAIN LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AT ALL TIMES, SAVE FOR A POSSIBLE
T-STORM WIND GUST AT BCB/DAN MONDAY PM.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SH
AVIATION...SH
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