572
FXUS61 KRNK 191041
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
641 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED REST OF THE AREA AT 4AM.
AVIATION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRYING OUT TODAY.
2) DRY WEEKEND FOLLOWED BY MORE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRYING OUT TODAY
SHOWERS EXIT THIS MORNING, AS REMNANTS OF ARTHUR AND FRONT
PASSES EAST. WE DRY OUT TODAY WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING WEST TO
EAST, WITH A NORTHWEST BREEZE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO
NORMAL WITH MID 80S EAST TO 70S WEST. HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD
DROP OFF BY THE AFTERNOON AS WELL.
KEY MESSAGE 2: DRY WEEKEND BUT MORE STORM CHANCES EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS THE FRONT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. MODELS
AGREE ON A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MID-MS
VALLEY HEADING INTO MONDAY SWINGING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS FEATURE WITH THE FRONT AND GOOD MOISTURE
ADVECTION SHOULD PROVIDE ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS, BUT LIKE PREVIOUS SYSTEMS, FRONTS THAT COME FROM THE
NORTHWEST FAVOR THE MOUNTAINS (ESP WESTERN SLOPES) FOR RAINFALL
AND TO A MUCH LESSER EXTENT EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SOME LOW CIGS THIS MORNING WILL START TO LIFT TO VFR BETWEEN
14-16Z. VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD, EXCEPT FOR
FOG LATE TONIGHT AT LWB/BCB. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO 20KT
MOST SITES TODAY.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES RAMP UP MONDAY SO EXPECT SOME SUB-VFR
WEATHER. STILL SOME SCATTERED STORM ACTIVITY TUESDAY BUT MAINLY
VFR OUTSIDE ANY STORMS.
OTHER SUB-VFR POSSIBILITIES MAY BE SOME LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING
MOUNTAIN VALLEY/RIVER FOG DURING THE WEEKEND.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PM/WP
AVIATION...PM/SH/WP
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