858
FXUS61 KRNK 291722
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
122 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
BUMPED UP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY TO MATCH OBSERVATIONS.
18Z AVIATION UPDATE COMPLETED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WEATHER REMAINS QUIET THROUGH FRIDAY, RAIN CHANCES RETURN THIS
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: WEATHER REMAINS QUIET THROUGH FRIDAY, RAIN CHANCES
RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, DUE
TO SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING ALOFT. TEMPERATURES STAY IN
THE 70S/80S, RIGHT AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. DEWPOINTS
IN THE 50S TO LOW 60S WILL MAKE THE AIR FEEL DRIER AND MORE
PLEASANT FOR LATE JULY STANDARDS. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED TODAY, GUSTING TO AROUND 20-25 MPH IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS, LOWERING SLIGHTLY TO 15-20 MPH FOR THURSDAY BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S/80S, WITH SIMILAR
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
RAIN CHANCES STAY AWAY UNTIL SATURDAY, WHEN THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST,
ALLOWING FOR SOUTHERLY FLOW TO RETURN TO THE AREA. THIS WILL
INCREASE MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM
THE GREAT PLAINS ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SCATTERED TO
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN SATURDAY AFTERNOON, CONTINUING
EACH DAY INTO NEXT WEEK, DUE TO CONSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING
OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE. DUE TO
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES, TEMPERATURES REMAIN
RELATIVELY COOL, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR IS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON, AFTER SOME MORNING LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE CLEARED OUT OF THE AREA. VFR IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD, ASIDE FROM SOME PATCHY
MORNING FOG, PARTICULARLY FOR LWB DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS
THROUGH DAYBREAK TOMORROW MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON, GUSTING BETWEEN 20-25
KNOTS AT TIMES FROM THE NORTHWEST AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE
AREA. WINDS REDUCE SLIGHTLY TOMORROW, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 15-20
KNOTS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE IN THE ABOVE FORECAST IS HIGH.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
VFR FIGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY, THOUGH PATCHY MORNING FOG COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY EACH
MORNING. RAIN CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY AFTERNOON, AS WINDS SHIFT TO
THE SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 15-20 KNOTS AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING
SYSTEM FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL BRING LIKELY STORMS TO ALL TERMINALS
AT TIMES EACH DAY THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH LIKELY
SUB-VFR WHEN IMPACTING A TERMINAL.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCB
AVIATION...JCB
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