709
FXUS61 KRNK 261102
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
702 AM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED AVN FORECASTS. FOG COVERAGE IN THE NEW RIVER AND JAMES
RIVER VALLEYS IS A LITTLE GREATER THIS MORNING COMPARED TO OVER
THE WEEKEND. MAY TAKE UNTIL 9-10AM TO BURN OFF.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. GUIDANCE MAINTAINS
DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEK IN SPITE OF SOME PERIODIC
CLOUD COVER.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEK.
PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PROMOTE DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEK. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AT NIGHT SO TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE SOME
LARGE SWINGS WITH LOWS IN THE 30S/40S AND HIGHS IN THE 60S/70S.
THE UPPER FLOW IS PROGGED TO GET TO BE MORE ZONAL BY MIDWEEK
WITH CONTINUED SFC RIDGING SO MORNING LOWS WILL BE HIGHER WITH
GENERALLY 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS AND MID 40S TO LOW 50S IN THE
PIEDMONT. MID/UPPER MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE, SO
THERE IS OPPORTUNITY FOR MORE CLOUD COVER BY WEDNESDAY...BUT
NOTHING AVAILABLE FOR PRECIP PRODUCTION.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME BY NEXT SUNDAY
WITH A POSSIBLE UPPER SHORTWAVE AND INCREASED MOISTURE FIELD.
FOR NOW MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD BE DRY FOR HALLOWEEN FESTIVITIES
ON SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S
NEAR SUNSET.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
DENSE FOG IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS THIS MORNING. EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BETWEEN 13-14Z.
ASIDE FROM THE FOG, VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE 24 HOUR
VALID TAF PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE PROGGED MID-MORNING
AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE. WILL HAVE
TYPICAL MORNING MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG FOR A FEW HOURS PRIOR TO
DAYBREAK AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. A LAYER OF
HIGH CLOUD IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH CLOUD
BASES AOA 20KFT. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION MAY
NOT BE UNTIL SUNDAY NOV 1ST ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD SUB-VFR. STILL LOOKING AT DAILY EARLY MORNING IMPACTS
FROM RIVER FOG THROUGH THE WEEK WITH TEMPORARY IMPACTS TO VSBYS
FOR MAINLY MOUNTAIN VALLEY TERMINALS SUCH AS KLWB AND KBCB.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PM
AVIATION...PM
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