083
FXUS61 KRNK 250932
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
532 AM EDT SUN OCT 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. LOOKING AT DRY WEATHER
THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.
AVIATION DISCUSSION FORECAST UPDATED TO REFLECT
PERIOD OF MORNING CLOUDINESS AND SOME RIVER FOG
IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER THROUGH HALLOWEEN.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1:DRY THROUGH HALLOWEEN
LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW BRINGING SHALLOW MARINE MOISTURE INTO THE
AREA RESULTING IN LAYER OF STRATO-CU FOR SOME AREAS. THIS CLOUD
LAYER IS THIN AND TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION.
SIMILAR TO SATURDAY, THIS CLOUD LAYER SHOULD THIN AND BURN OFF
FOR THE AFTERNOON LEAVING US WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
IN GENERAL LOOKING AT DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST THIS UPCOMING WEEK
WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN CHANCE THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. THE
DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE COOL NIGHTS AND WARM
AFTERNOONS. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FROST AT NIGHT OTHERWISE
NO WEATHER HAZARDS THAT ARE NOTEWORTHY. THE AIRMASS WILL PROMOTE
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY SO VERY CONDUCIVE FOR DRYING OF LEAF
LITTER AND SUPPORTIVE OF PRESCRIBED FIRE.
SYSTEM OUT WEST...STORM WHICH HAS BEEN IMPACTING THE ROCKIES...
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE TOP OF THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE OVER OUR PART OF THE COUNTRY. AS SUCH, SHOULD SEE
SOME INCREASE IN MID/UPPER CLOUDS FOR WEDNESDAY, BUT NO RAIN.
AFTER THAT NEXT FEATURE TO BRING APPRECIABLE CLOUD COVER AND
CHANCE FOR RAIN WOULD BE AFTER THE 1ST OF NOVEMBER.
AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
AREA OF STRATOCUMULUS HAS DEVELOPED VCNTY OF THE BLUE RIDGE.
SIMILAR TO SATURDAY, THIS MVFR CLOUD ELEMENT WILL LINGER THROUGH
MID-LATE MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING. THERE IS ALSO SOME FOG
ALONG THE NEW AND GREENBRIER RIVERS WITH IMPACTS TO VSBY AT LWB.
THIS FOG WAS GENERALLY CONFINED TO THE RIVERS AND NOT
WIDESPREAD. ASIDE FOR THESE MORNING HAZARDS, EXPECTING
WIDESPREAD VFR FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE OR NO CLOUD
COVER. WINDS TODAY WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST OR EAST WITH
SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 6 KTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK AS HIGHER
PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE OF ANY
PRECIPITATION MAY NOT BE UNTIL THE START OF NOVEMBER. EARLY
MORNING RIVER FOG MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH IMPACTS MAINLY TO
KLWB FOR A FEW HOURS EACH MORNING.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PM
AVIATION...PM
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