679
FXUS61 KRNK 052323
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
723 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES MID-WEEK... SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES
BECOMING MORE LIKELY DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS.
NO APPRECIABLE RAINFALL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGES
1. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AN EXTENDED DRY PERIOD FOLLOWS
TODAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AN EXTENDED DRY PERIOD FOLLOWS
TODAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE.
A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT THAT IS PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES OUT OF CANADA ON MONDAY, AND INTO
THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY TUESDAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO
EVENTUALLY SETTLE INTO PA/NY BORDER REGION, WHICH WILL LEAD TO A
WEDGE DEVELOPING, AND COLD AIR DAMMING ACROSS THE AREA. FLOW
WILL TURN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AND THIS WILL ADVECT COLD AIR
INTO THE REGION BOTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DAYS. A FROST/FREEZE
POTENTIAL EXISTS ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AS OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE
LIKELY TO FALL INTO THE 20S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND LOW 30S
EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. GIVEN THE RECENT WARMTH, ANY EARLY SEASON
SENSITIVE VEGETATION COULD BE IMPACTED IF PREVENTIVE MEASURES
ARE NOT TAKEN AHEAD OF TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BY THE
END OF THE WEEK, POTENTIALLY ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN.
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
NEXT WEEKEND. DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO
WORSEN AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS COULD POTENTIALLY INCREASE
GIVEN CONTINUED DRYING OF FUELS.
AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT TWENTY FOUR HOURS. THE
COLD FRONT WILL BRING IN GUSTY WINDS FROM THE WEST/NORTHWEST AND
GUST UP TO 35 KTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IN SPITE OF THE RAIN,
THE WIND WILL LIKELY BE STRONG ENOUGH AT THE SURFACE TO PREVENT
FOG DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE SKIES WILL BE CLEAR TO MOSTLY SUNNY
FOR ALL AIRPORTS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS TO LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE REST OF THE WEEK AS A
LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DOMINATES THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
UNITED STATES. PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN CLOSE TO ZERO UNTIL THE
WEEKEND WHEN ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY MOVE THROUGH. THERE IS A
SEPARATE COLD FRONT THAT LOOKS TO PASS AROUND MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING, BUT IT WILL BE A DRY FRONT AND THE ONLY EFFECT WILL
BE ANOTHER WAVE OF GUSTY WINDS.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...CG
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