259
FXUS61 KRNK 232248
AFDRNK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
648 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN DRY AND MILDER WEATHER FRIDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN SHOWERS, DRIZZLE, AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY. DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR
THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: RAIN SHOWERS, DRIZZLE, AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK.
COOL WEDGING PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY, FEATURING AREAS OF
LIGHT RAIN, DRIZZLE, AND PATCHY FOG. COOL, BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL ALSO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. RAIN
RATES TODAY SHOULD BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY FLOODING
CONCERNS...IN REALITY, RAIN TODAY WILL BE BENEFICIAL. COVERAGE
OF RAIN WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, BUT CLOUDS
SHOULD REMAIN MOST OF THE DAY.
WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO DRIER WEATHER ON FRIDAY AS FLOW
TURNS MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND A DRIER AIRMASS FILTERS INTO THE
REGION. THIS WILL FEATURE FALL- LIKE, CLOSE TO NORMAL
TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW MORNINGS COULD FEATURE
LOW 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND PERHAPS A FEW UPPER 30S IN
SHELTERED VALLEYS.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VARIABLE FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS IN THE MVFR TO LIFR RANGE LOOK TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOME IMPROVEMENTS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS TERMINALS
STARTING BETWEEN THE 17-21 UTC TIMEFRAME ON THURSDAY. VSBYS
SIMILARLY LOOK TO IMPROVE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME AS WELL ON
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND ENOUGH DRY AIR LOOKS TO PUSH INTO
THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TO END ALL RAIN ACROSS THE REGION.
THIS WILL ALLOW BREAKS IN THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUD DECK TO
DEVELOP. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST,
WITH GUSTS PICKING UP AT TERMINALS LIKE LYH AND DAN DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THURSDAY. VFR WILL
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR SOME MORNING
VALLEY FOG THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...BMG/EB
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