689  
FNUS76 KPDT 172139  
FWSPDT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEHEKIN FLOODING ASSESSMENT...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR  
139 PM PST WED DEC 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PST ON DECEMBER 18.  
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***  
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10-MINUTE AVERAGES***  
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER***  
***VENTILATION INDEX IS DERIVED FROM THE  
TRANSPORT WIND MULTIPLIED BY THE MIXING  
HEIGHT IN 100'S OF FEET. INDEX CATEGORIES  
ARE A GENERALIZED INDICATOR ONLY.***  
 
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, PLEASE  
CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (541) 276-8134.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WA CASCADES THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND. THURSDAY SNOW AMOUNTS ARE 75% PROBABILITIES OF 5 INCHES.  
MOVING ONTO FRIDAY THERE IS A 75-95% PROBABILITY FOR 5-7 INCHES.  
SATURDAY AN 85-95% PROBABILITY OF BETWEEN 8-10 INCHES. SUNDAY  
THE PROBABILITY OF ANOTHER 5 INCHES OF SNOW DROPS TO BELOW 60%  
PROBABILITIES WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3-5 INCHES SUNDAY AND  
ANOTHER 4-8 INCHES MONDAY WITH 75-95% PROBABILITIES. TOTAL SNOW  
ACCUMULATIONS OVER SNOQUALMIE PASS IS 15-27 INCHES. WINDS WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS 6-10  
MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 25 MPH (70-80% CONFIDENCE). WINDS WILL  
BEGIN TO DECREASE FRIDAY AFTER 4 PM RETURNING TO MORE DIURNALLY  
DRIVEN.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING. SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.9 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND  
22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............32 31 31 31 32 33 33 34 37 38 39 40  
RH..............100 99 99 100 99 98 100 98 97 100 100 100  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 5 5 5 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
SURFACE WND GST.10 13 13 13 16 16 16 21 21 21 22 22  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING.  
SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.9 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SNOW.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.9 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-34.  
MIN HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO 10 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
 
SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BENNESE  
REQUESTED BY...T. CAVENDISH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2527891.0/PDT  
.DELDT 12/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KEVIN_DILLON@NPS.GOV  
 
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