661
FNUS76 KPQR 160041
FWSPQR
SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN2LEARNOC...CLACKAMAS FIRE DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
541 PM PDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN COOL AND SHOWERY
CONDITIONS SAT. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE SAT AFTERNOON,
WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR HEAVIER SHOWERS (20-30% CHANCE
OF GUSTS OVER 20 MPH). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SAT AFTERNOON
AND EVENING COULD PRODUCE BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 30
MPH. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN SUN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.26 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56 TO 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 TO 66 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 10 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57 62 72 79 84 84 82 81 84 84
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY DEF LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW RN
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 60 70 80 80 70 70 80 60
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 15
TEMP............47 48 50 51 52 54 55 55 56 55
RH..............90 87 83 79 76 73 70 68 65 66
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 12 12 12 13 12 12 11 9
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 18 17
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 8
SURFACE WND GST.17 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 18 17
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 16 14 15 12 13 15
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40 TO 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 TO 93 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........84 84 79 79 79 68 68 68 59 59 59 90
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).15 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 54 52 50 48 47 46 46 44 44 44 43
RH..............65 66 69 76 79 83 82 84 88 90 92 92
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 12 12 12 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SURFACE WND GST.17 17 12 12 12 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
SUNDAY
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63 TO 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 TO 49 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 45 45 47 50 52 54 57 59 60 62 63
RH..............91 91 91 87 80 73 67 62 57 52 49 47
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW N N N N
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
SURFACE WND GST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W NW NW NW N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9
FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...SAM MCCULLOUGH (BATTALION CHIEF OF TRAINING)
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2613565.0/PQR
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMUEL.MCCULLOUGH@CLACKAMASFIRE.COM
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