886
FXUS66 KOTX 032121
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
221 PM PDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH
70S TO LOW 80S.
- DRY WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
SYNOPSIS
TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER THROUGH MONDAY, INTO THE 70S AND LOW
80S. SLIGHTLY BREEZY MONDAY AFTERNOON. IT WILL REMAIN DRY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN A FRONTAL PASSAGE
BRINGS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT TO SATURDAY: THE DRY AND MILD WEATHER REMAIN MOST
DOMINANT UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND IS DAMPENED BY A SYSTEM TRACKING INTO B.C.
MONDAY, BEFORE REBUILDING INTO THURSDAY. EXPECT VARIABLE MID TO
HIGH CLOUDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE OVER THE BASIN MONDAY PM
WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH. A SYSTEM MOVES IN BETWEEN FRIDAY AND
NEXT SATURDAY. THIS BRINGS A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO THE CASCADES
FRIDAY, EXPANDING TO NORTHERN AND EASTERN WA AND ID FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY; POPS ARE LARGELY 20%, WITH 30% AROUND THE
MOUNTAINS. WINDS ARE ALSO FORECAST TO INCREASE FOR NEXT FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. THE FORECAST CURRENTLY SHOWS GUSTS STRONGEST
FRIDAY OUT OF THE WEST AT 25-35 MPH, STRONGEST OVER CENTRAL WA.
LOWS ARE MOSTLY IN THE 40S, SOME 50S NEAR WENATCHEE, DEEP BASIN
AND L-C VALLEY AND UPPER 30S MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. HIGHS THROUGH
THURSDAY ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 70S TO MID-80S, WITH MONDAY
THE WARMEST DAY. FRIDAY IS FORECAST TO SEE SLIGHTLY COOLER
READINGS, IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S. THEN NEXT SATURDAY HIGHS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO 60S. HOWEVER THERE IS A
GREATER UNCERTAINTY BY THEN WITH MODELS SHOWING A 10 DEGREES
SPREAD BETWEEN 25TH AND 75TH PERCENTILE; SOME SOLUTIONS SHOW
HIGHS BARELY GETTING INTO THE 50S AND OTHERS PUSH HIGHS INTO
THE 70S. SUFFICE TO SAY, CONFIDENCE IN THOSE DETAILS LOWER THAN
AVERAGE. /SOLVEIG
AVIATION
18Z TAFS: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS.
KGEG, KCOE, AND KPUW WILL SEE EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS OF 8-12 KTS
THIS MORNING BECOMING LIGHTER IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH CIRRUS
CLOUDS PASSING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING WILL PUSH OUT BY
THE AFTERNOON.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE
FOR VFR CONDITIONS.
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS, PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 45 78 48 78 47 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 46 77 49 76 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
PULLMAN 47 79 48 77 47 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
LEWISTON 51 82 54 83 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COLVILLE 40 78 41 77 41 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
SANDPOINT 43 74 45 73 44 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
KELLOGG 47 79 49 75 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOSES LAKE 48 80 47 81 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 55 79 56 80 53 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OMAK 49 79 50 77 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...NONE.
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