639
FXUS66 KPQR 011325 AAA
AFDPQR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
625 AM PDT WED JUL 1 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION AND PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES.
SYNOPSIS
COOL ONSHORE FLOW AND PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER WILL
MAINTAIN BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN. A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND DEVELOPS FRIDAY INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH MOST INLAND
VALLEY LOCATIONS LIKELY WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES EACH DAY FROM JULY 4-7 (70-90% CHANCE, EXCEPT IN THE
COWLITZ VALLEY AND ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA WHERE HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S ARE THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME).
DISCUSSION...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
THE WEATHER PATTERN
OBSERVED OVER THE AREA OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS REMAINS UNCHANGED, WITH
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY EXPECTED TO BE A REPEAT OF WHAT WAS OBSERVED
YESTERDAY AS MOIST ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES AND MAINTAINS COOL AND
CLOUDY CONDITIONS. SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING DEPICTED OVERCAST SKIES ACROSS ALL OF NORTHWEST OREGON AND
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FROM THE COAST TO THE CASCADE CREST, WHILE
SURFACE WEATHER OBSERVATIONS DEPICTED LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AROUND
5 MPH OR LESS ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S. SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY, SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY
ASIDE FROM SOME LIMITED BREAKS OF SUN IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, ESPECIALLY TO THE WEST OF THE I-5 CORRIDOR IN THE WILLAMETTE
VALLEY. THIS IS ALSO WHEN BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH AN
INCOMING SEA BREEZE FRONT, SUSTAINED AROUND 8-13 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 15-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
CENTRAL COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE AND UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY AS WESTERLY
WINDS INCREASE THROUGH THE GORGE. GIVEN THE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER IN
PLACE, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE FOR EARLY JULY.
FORECAST HIGHS RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR MOST LOCATIONS,
EXCEPT AROUND 70 DEGREES IN EUGENE-SPRINGFIELD.
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL
WEATHER PATTERN ON THURSDAY AS WELL, ASIDE FROM SLIGHTLY MORE SUN
BREAKS. AS SUCH, TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM A BIT ON THURSDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S, EXCEPT AT THE COAST WHERE HIGHS WILL
REMAIN IN THE 60S. CONDITIONS TREND SUNNIER AND WARMER FRIDAY INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW TRANSITIONS FROM
NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY AND 500 MB HEIGHTS BEGIN TO INCREASE A BIT.
BY FRIDAY, WIDESPREAD HIGHS AROUND 75-80 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED FOR
INLAND VALLEYS. HIGHS WILL LIKELY WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S FOR
JULY 4-7 (70-90% CHANCE EACH DAY, EXCEPT IN THE COWLITZ VALLEY AND
ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA WHERE HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ARE THE
MOST LIKELY OUTCOME). DESPITE WARMER TEMPERATURES INLAND, THE COAST
WILL STAY STUCK IN THE 60S EACH DAY DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW.
ASIDE FROM A FEW STRAY SPRINKLES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN TODAY, NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED JULY 1-7. -23
AVIATION
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON THIS MORNING FROM THE
COAST TO THE CASCADE CREST. AS OF 13Z WEDNESDAY, CEILINGS HAVE
GENERALLY REMAINED AT LOW-END VFR THRESHOLDS AROUND 4000-5000
FEET, EXCEPT AT THE COAST WHERE MVFR CEILINGS ARE MORE
PREDOMINANT. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY, HOWEVER
BRIEF CEILING DROPS DOWN TO 3000-3500 FEET CANNOT BE COMPLETELY
RULED OUT FOR INLAND TAF SITES BETWEEN 14-18Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW A DIURNAL PATTERN THAT IS SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY, WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 KT OR LESS THIS
MORNING BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 7-12 KT BY THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 15-20 KT ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AT ALL TERMINALS BY 00-02Z
THURSDAY WITH AN INCOMING SEA BREEZE, EXCEPT AT KTTD AND KUAO
WHERE THE SEA BREEZE FRONT WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH.
KPDX AND APPROACHES...LOW-END VFR CEILINGS AROUND 4000-5000 FEET
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. THERE IS A 40-60% CHANCE
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF CEILINGS AS LOW AS 3000-3500 FEET BETWEEN
14-17Z WEDNESDAY, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO REFLECT
THIS IN THE TAF GIVEN RECENT OBSERVATIONS HAVE REPORTED CEILINGS
A BIT HIGHER THAN INITIALLY EXPECTED. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KT
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 15-18 KT AROUND 02Z THURSDAY WITH AN INCOMING SEA BREEZE FRONT.
WINDS SHOULD BECOME LESS GUSTY AFTER 06Z THURSDAY. -23
MARINE
BUOY OBSERVATIONS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING SHOWED THE
CONTINUATION OF STEEP SEAS AROUND 7 TO 8 FEET AT 9 SECONDS DUE TO
A PERSISTENT FRESH NORTHWEST SWELL. NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE
AROUND 5 TO 15 KT, WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON, BRINGING IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
SEAS FALL TO 4-6 FEET BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN HOLD STEADY
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
MEANWHILE, PREDOMINATELY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH WIND SPEEDS BECOMING EVEN WEAKER EACH DAY.
A THERMALLY INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH WILL BUILD NORTHWARD UP THE
SOUTH OREGON COAST OVER THE WEEKEND, BRINGING INCREASING NORTHERLY
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KT. AS IS OFTEN THE CASE DURING THIS
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN, WIND SPEEDS WILL BE STRONGEST DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS EACH DAY WITH DAYTIME HEATING.
ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE
MUCH, THE INCREASING WINDS WILL RESULT IN CHOPPIER SEAS. -23
PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
PZZ271>273.
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