471
AXUS73 KMKX 211631
DGTMKX
WIC021-025-027-039-045-047-049-055-059-065-077-079-089-101-105-
111-117-127-131-133-281645-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1131 AM CDT THU OCT 21 2021
...DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE AS IS FOR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
WISCONSIN...
.SYNOPSIS:
THE OCTOBER 19TH DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS THAT GENERALLY CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN REMAIN UNCHANGED. THERE REMAINS SEVERE
DROUGHT (D2) ACROSS KENOSHA COUNTY, EASTERN RACINE COUNTY AND FAR
SOUTHEASTERN WALWORTH COUNTY AS THE AREA IS NOW OUT OF EXTREME
DROUGHT (D3). MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONTINUES ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN PRIMARILY ALONG THE WI/IL BORDER, AS WELL AS SOUTHERN
LAFAYETTE, GREEN, WAUKESHA AND MILWAUKEE COUNTIES, MUCH OF ROCK
AND WALWORTH COUNTIES, NORTHERN DANE COUNTY, SOUTHERN COLUMBIA
COUNTY, WESTERN RACINE COUNTY, AND VERY SMALL PARTS OF SAUK,
DODGE, AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. THE ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) AREAS HAVE
MOSTLY REMAINED INCLUDING MOST OF SAUK AND IOWA COUNTIES,
NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTY, SOUTHWEST PARTS OF DODGE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES, NORTHERN LAFAYETTE, GREEN, ROCK, WAUKESHA AND MILWAUKEE
COUNTIES, AS WELL AS SOUTHERN DANE COUNTY AND MUCH OF JEFFERSON
COUNTY.
.PRECIPITATION:
PRECIPITATION IN THE WEEK ENDING ON OCT 19TH WAS 0.05 TO 0.5
INCHES IN THE MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT AREAS. THIS WAS
APPROXIMATELY 10% TO 75% OF NORMAL FOR THESE AREAS FOR THE WEEK.
AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND NORTHEAST RECEIVED LESS, CLOSER TO 5% OF
NORMAL THOUGH THESE AREAS ARE NOT MUCH OF A DROUGHT CONCERN. SINCE
THE BEGINNING OF SEPTEMBER PARTS OF THE REGION REMAIN BELOW NORMAL
WITH A DECENT PORTION OF THE REGION REMAINING RIGHT AROUND NORMAL.
IN ADDITION, 90 DAY PRECIPITATION REMAINS SIMILAR WITH MUCH OF
THE AREA JUST BELOW OR ABOVE NORMAL WITH SOME SPOTS TO THE SOUTH
HAVING A BIT HIGHER DEFICIT. OUR LONGER TERM DEFICITS (SINCE MARCH
1ST) ARE A BIT HIGHER BEING 6 TO 15 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH
OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.
HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS:
28 DAY STREAMFLOW FOR SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
WISCONSIN ARE IN THE 10-24TH PERCENTILE. MUCH OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN IS IN THE 25-75TH PERCENTILE, WHICH IS THE NORMAL RANGE.
THERE ARE A FEW SPOTS THAT ARE BELOW NORMAL ELSEWHERE BUT
GENERALLY STREAMFLOWS REMAIN NORMAL OR CLOSE TO NORMAL.
.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS:
AS OF OCT 19TH IN SOUTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN 4% OF TOPSOIL IS RATED
VERY SHORT, 18% IS RATED AS SHORT, AND 77% IS RATED AS ADEQUATE.
IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN 2% OF TOPSOIL IS RATED VERY SHORT, 17%
SHORT, AND 79% ADEQUATE. IN SOUTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN 20% OF SUBSOIL
MOISTURE IS RATED VERY SHORT, 17% SHORT AND 62% ADEQUATE. IN
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN 4% OF SUBSOIL MOISTURE IS RATED VERY SHORT,19%
SHORT, AND 75% ADEQUATE.
.DROUGHT MITIGATION ACTIONS: NONE REPORTED.
.LOCAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK:
THE PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK IS LOOKING A BIT WETTER IN THE NEAR TERM
AS EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD FEATURE INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES
IN ADDITION TO THE 6 TO 10 CPC OUTLOOK SUGGESTING WETTER CONDITION
BEING MORE FAVORABLE. THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK IS MORE UNCERTAIN
WITH NEITHER WETTER OR DRIER CONDITIONS BEING CONSIDERED MORE
FAVORABLE. THE 3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK CONTINUES TO LOOK UNCERTAIN AT
THIS POINT WITH EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION. MEANWHILE THE NEW 1 (NOVEMBER) AND 3 (NOV-DEC-JAN)
MONTH OUTLOOKS SUGGEST FAVORABILITY TOWARDS WETTER CONDITIONS.
.NEXT ISSUANCE DATE:
THE NEXT OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED OCT 28ST AFTER THE RELEASE OF THE
UPDATED DROUGHT MONITOR.
.RELATED WEBSITES: THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES WERE REFERENCED TO
ACCESS INFORMATION FOR THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT:
UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTPS://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
UNITED STATES DROUGHT PORTAL: HTTPS://DROUGHT.GOV
USDA: HTTPS://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY WISCONSIN: HTTPS://WATER.USGS.GOV
U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS: HTTPS://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL
WILDLAND FIRE ASSESSMENT SYSTEM, U.S. FOREST SERVICE:
HTTPS://WWW.WFAS.NET
WI DNR: HTTPS://WWW.DNR.WI.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: HTTPS://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV MIDWEST
REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER: HTTPS://MRCC.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU WISCONSIN
STATE CLIMATOLOGY OFFICE: HTTPS://WWW.AOS.WISC.EDU/~SCO/
.ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT
INVOLVING NOAA`S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL
CENTERS
FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION, THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE, STATE AND REGIONAL CLIMATOLOGISTS, AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM THE NWS, AND FEDERAL AVIATION
ADMINISTRATION (FAA) OBSERVATION SITES, STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION
SERVICES, USACE AND USGS.
.CONTACT INFORMATION:
NWS MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN
N3533 HARDSCRABBLE RD
DOUSMAN, WI 53118
PHONE: 262-965-2074
EMAIL: NWS.MILWAUKEE@NOAA.GOV
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