189
FNUS73 KDLH 142052
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNKEN LAKE MONITORING 1/3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
352 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
LOW POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS (10 PERCENT) THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING, WITH LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED AND MIN RH AROUND 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS OF
7-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH DECREASE TO AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE
NORTHEAST TONIGHT. WINDS GRADUALLY BACK TO NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, WHILE REMAINING LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TUESDAY WILL
SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM TO AROUND 50 DEGREES WITH MIN RH
DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A LOWER
HUMIDITY AIRMASS WORKS INTO THE REGION.
RAIN-FREE WEATHER AND INCREASINGLY GUSTY WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH DEVELOP FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH THE
STRONGEST GUSTS ON THURSDAY. MIN RH BOTH DAYS COULD ALSO DIP INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 20S AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM TO AROUND 60 ON
WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE MID 60S ON THURSDAY. WE WILL NEED TO WATCH
WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY CLOSELY FOR NEAR-CRITICAL TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITION POTENTIAL GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS, WARM TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (44200-57900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10
LAL.............1 1
TEMP............44 42
RH..............52 55
20 FT WIND DIR..N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14
HAINES INDEX....3 3
SDSPL KT-FT/100058 51
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7100-26800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............41 35 33 32 32 31
RH..............58 82 96 100 98 99
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 7 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 12 9 7
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 400 300 500 400 300
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 13 N 13 NE 13 E 12 E 10 NE 8
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/100027 5 5 6 5 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100-10300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............30 30 36 43 47 50
RH..............100 99 85 58 44 39
20 FT WIND......NE 4 NE 4 NE 3 N 2 NW 2 W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 3 3 5
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 1000 1700 2500 2600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 6 NE 6 NE 3 N 3 NW 5
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 5 5 8 10
FORECASTER...CORY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE KLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423798.13/DLH
.DELDT 10/14/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.KLICK@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page