182  
FNUS73 KDLH 171530  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SEAGULL PILE RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
1030 AM CDT THU OCT 17 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 17.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST...  
PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GRADUALLY DECREASING CLOUDS TODAY WITH A MIXTURE OF SUNSHINE AND  
CLOUDS AT THE BURN LOCATION BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS AROUND 5 MPH  
OUT OF THE SOUTH TODAY OFF OF LAKE SUPERIOR, OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS  
HIGH AS 10 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. WITH THE CLOUDS IN  
PLACE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY FALL TO AROUND 55 TO 60  
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 TO 60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8400-25600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 44 45 46 45 45 44  
RH..............73 68 60 56 58 65 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 10 10 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.6 4.0 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 6 6 7 7 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 14 20 21 26 23 24  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
11 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2400-19000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 35 33 33 34 34  
RH..............76 92 96 96 92 96  
20 FT WIND......S 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 11 11 11 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 300 1700 1100 600 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 10 S 13 S 10 SE 9 SE 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100019 3 19 10 5 2  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (56800  
KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 38 45 50 52 51  
RH..............96 92 79 66 59 66  
20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 21 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 800 1900 2200 2300 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 17 SE 25 S 28 S 29 SE 28  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 12 41 53 57 56  
 

 
FORECASTER...BILL/JOSH  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS KRAMER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1917468.0/DLH  
.DELDT 10/17/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.25  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.M.KRAMER@USDA.GOV  
 
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