163  
FNUS73 KDLH 161207  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY BEAR PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
607 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON DECEMBER 16.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE TODAY, AND HIGH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S THIS AFTERNOON, AHEAD OF A CLIPPER MOVING  
THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA. A COLD FRONT ARRIVES THIS EVENING, TURNING  
WINDS TO THE WEST THEN NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING OF 25-35MPH ARE POSSIBLE. DO NOT EXPECT MEASURABLE  
PRECIPITATION TODAY OR TONIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS DIMINISH QUICKLY EARLY  
WEDNESDAY MORNING, AND TURN TO THE SOUTH.  
 
AHEAD OF A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM ARRIVING WEDNESDAY EVENING, WINDS  
WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF  
25-30MPH POSSIBLE. A LIGHT WINTRY MIX ARRIVES WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10700-23700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............26 29 32 34 36 36 36 35  
RH..............81 78 75 78 79 85 89 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 24 24 22 20 17 16 17  
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 20 24 20 16 13 12 11  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
DRIZZLE LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5500-16900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE DRZL NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10  
TEMP............34 34 26 20  
RH..............96 89 92 96  
20 FT WIND......W 9G26 W 10G26 W 9G27 W 7G22  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 700 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 W 20 NW 20 NW 16  
SDSPL KT-FT/100011 11 13 9  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6  
TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 18  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,  
THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3900-20200 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............14 14 23 26  
RH..............100 100 84 81  
20 FT WIND......W 4G13 SW 4G9 S 6G15 S 8G22  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 1100 1300  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 8 S 14 S 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 13 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOLLY  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SCHARENBROCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527524.0/DLH  
.DELDT 12/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.SCHARENBROCK@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.MATTMILLER@USDA.GOV  
 
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