587  
FNUS73 KMKX 171336  
FWSMKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD LAKE HAGAN FLOWAGE RC...WI DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
736 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 17.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IF CONDITIONS BECOME  
UNREPRESENTATIVE OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS/CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AMID FILTERED  
SUNSHINE. WITH ONLY MILD MIXING, MINRH VALUES ARE ONLY EXPECTED  
TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND 65%. WINDS WILL BE MODEST WITH BREEZES FROM  
15 TO 20MPH. GIVEN THE LOW MIXING HEIGHTS OF 1000 TO 1500FT AND  
MODERATE WINDS, SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TO BE POOR. HIGHS WILL  
BE IN THE LOW 50S. RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AROUND A  
0.25 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.  
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /13800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/30100 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 83 83 87 83 83 84 95  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 47 49 49 50 50 49 47  
RH..............79 74 71 71 68 66 71 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 10 10 11 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 17 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 18 18 21 22 23 22  
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 17 21 25 29 30 29 22  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........94 91 92 94 91 94 91 91 90 88 79 63  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............44 44 44 43 43 43 44 44 46 47 48 48  
RH..............82 82 86 96 96 100 100 100 100 89 96 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 25 23 24 23 24 22 23 22 22 22 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 21 20 21 21 23 21 22 22 22 20 15  
 

 
FORECASTER...CRONCE  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW MCCOMB  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602892.0/MKX  
.DELDT 02/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.MCCOMB@WISCONSIN.GOV  
 
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