319  
FNUS73 KMPX 221227  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JORGENSON EAST...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
727 AM CDT MON OCT 22 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AND BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS  
THIS AFTERNOON WILL GUST TO 25-30 KTS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.  
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1400 FT  
AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 31  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 31  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/37000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (68600  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
TEMP............37 38 39 43 47 50 51 51 50 48 45  
RH..............70 65 62 55 49 46 44 42 42 46 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 11 11 12 13 14 14 13 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 17 18 18 19 20 22 22 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.4 2.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.1 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 22 24 28 29 30 31 31 31 30 29  
MIXING WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
MIXING WIND SPD.18 22 24 28 29 30 31 31 31 30 29  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 5 37 69 100 105 110 116 104 93  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 28.  
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 20 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (33700-82000 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
TEMP............43 38 35 32 29 28  
RH..............55 70 78 85 92 96  
20 FT WIND......NW 9 N 7 N 6 N 6 N 6 N 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1600 700 700 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 26 N 20 N 13 N 10 N 10 N 10  
MIXING WIND.....NW 26 N 20 N 13 N 10 N 10 N 10  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100082 34 8 6 4 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.  
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500-3000 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7400-21300 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
TEMP............29 31 37 42 45 43  
RH..............88 85 67 55 49 53  
20 FT WIND......N 5 N 5 N 5 NW 5 N 5 N 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1800 2500 3000 3000 2200  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 9 N 9 N 8 N 8 N 7  
MIXING WIND.....N 10 N 9 N 9 N 8 N 8 N 7  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 14 19 21 20 15  
 

 
FORECASTER...KECLIK  
REQUESTED BY...MILLETTE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1817204.0/MPX  
.EMAIL PHIL_MILLETTE@FWS.GOV  
 
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