851  
FNUS73 KMPX 211340  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMSC RX BURNS...OTHER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
840 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
IT WILL BE ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY, WITH HIGHS GETTING UP  
INTO THE MID 70S, OR NEARLY 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. DESPITE THE  
WARMTH, DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TODAY TO LIMIT THE  
AFTERNOON RH DROP TO ONLY AS LOW AS 40 PERCENT. WINDS WILL ALSO BE  
LIGHT TODAY, WITH SPEEDS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER 5 MPH, WITH DIRECTIONS  
VARIABLE BETWEEN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.  
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/15200 KNOT-FT/.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 62 66 70 72 73 74 73 70 67 61 60  
RH..............60 55 49 44 41 41 40 43 48 57 70 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 6 6 5 7 6 6 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3  
TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (32800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO  
12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER  
REQUESTED BY...FDA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2624239.0/MPX  
.DELDT 10/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FERINDAVIS.ANDERSON@SHAKOPEEDAKOTA.ORG  
 
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