946
FNUS73 KMPX 191037
FWSMPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR TWIN LAKES RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
537 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 19.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FOR THE TWIN LAKE RX BURN, SKIES WILL BE OVERCAST TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 40S BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THERE IS A RELATIVELY LOW CHANCE FOR SCATTED SPRINKLES FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF TODAY. NW WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY WITH SUSTAINED
20FT WILL HOLD STEADY AT OR ABOUT 15 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 23-25
MPH. RH VALUES WILL START OFF IN THE MID 70 PERCENTS AND THEN FALL
INTO THE UPPER 50 PERCENTS THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 16
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /49600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /90200 KNOT-FT/.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4300 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC PC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 45 45 46 47 49 48 49 49 49 48 45
RH..............76 73 73 68 65 61 60 58 58 56 58 63
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 14 13 9 6
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 24 24 24 23 23 21 20 14 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.1 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5 3.1 2.5 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 22 24 24 24 24 23 22 18 16 12
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES IN
THE EVENING. AREAS OF FROST AFTER 3 AM.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (86300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 12
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (49800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...DUNLEAVY
REQUESTED BY...BEN CARLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614002.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.CARLSON@TNC.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page