552  
FNUS73 KMPX 150133  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BHAGYUM RX...RED ROCK FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
833 PM CDT WED APR 14 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EXPECT CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S ON THURSDAY  
MORNING, WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM  
INTO THE MID 40S, WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 60 PERCENT.  
 
REMARKS: TO GET THE CORRECT IGNITION TIME, ENTER YOUR IGNITION TIME  
IN THE "FORECAST STARTING" BOX ON THE SPOT REQUEST PAGE.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44.  
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22600-43200 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
TEMP............34 35 36 37 38 40 41 43 44 44 44 44  
RH..............89 85 82 79 79 73 70 65 62 62 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 16 17 16 16 15 15 12 15 15 15  
MIXING WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N NW N N  
MIXING WIND SPD.18 16 16 17 16 16 15 15 12 15 15 15  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 23 26 32 35 38 37 40 33 43 42 41  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN  
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.  
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-800 FT AGL  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-36300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
TEMP............44 42 39 38 38 37  
RH..............65 73 85 89 89 92  
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 6 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 1400 1200 800 700 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15 N 14 N 9 N 8 N 9 N 9  
MIXING WIND.....N 15 N 14 N 9 N 8 N 9 N 9  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100036 17 10 6 6 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHMIT  
REQUESTED BY...MARK A PLANTZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2109121.0/MPX  
.EMAIL MARK.PLANTZ@REDROCKFIRE.COM  
 
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