715
FNUS73 KMPX 161504
FWSMPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR EDWARDS RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1004 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
..NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY
DISCUSSION
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
LATE MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. RH'S WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20-25
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS MIXING INCREASES. BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO GUST TO 20-25 MPH. AS AN ADDITIONAL NOTE, WE
HAVE ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING JUST NORTH OF THIS SPOT LOCATION
ACROSS DOUGLAS & TODD COUNTIES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /67900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /98400 KNOT-FT/.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5600 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63 66 67 69 71 71 72 73 70 68 62 59
RH..............41 36 33 29 27 24 24 23 25 29 37 43
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 15 15 14 12 12 10 10 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.21 23 23 24 23 20 15 15 16 15 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.7 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.3 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 20 18 15 12 10 10 12 14 14
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE EAST 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (47400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 14 TO
22 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS 18 TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (56600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 22 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...STRUS
REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613812.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KYLE_AVESING@FWS.GOV
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