483  
FXUS63 KDLH 100755  
AFDDLH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
255 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.  
 
- GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY GUSTING 20-30 MPH.  
ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS, BUT FROM THE SOUTHEAST, WILL  
OCCUR SUNDAY DAYTIME BEFORE SHIFTING NORTHWESTERLY INTO  
MONDAY.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 223 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THIS MORNING AS A COLD  
FRONT PASSES OVERHEAD IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. EXPECT THESE COOLER  
WINDS TO CREATE SOME GUSTY WINDS TO 25 MPH TODAY, ESPECIALLY  
THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON TODAY. THESE GRADIENT WINDS MAY GUST TO 35  
MPH OVER COOK COUNTY INTO MID-AFTERNOON THOUGH TODAY. AS THE  
QUICKLY-PASSING COLD AIR ADVECTION PASSES THROUGH THE ARROWHEAD,  
A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE INTO COOK COUNTY THIS MORNING.  
LAKE-ENHANCED RAIN SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE INTO THE WI/UP  
STATELINE LAKE EFFECT BELT OF ASHLAND AND IRON COUNTIES  
LINGERING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY SETTLES OVER THE REGION THIS EVENING AND  
CREATES CALM WINDS AND NEAR-FREEZING TO UPPER-30S OVERNIGHT LOW  
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. A LOW-LEVEL JET BUILDS OVER THE NORTHERN  
US GREAT PLAINS SATURDAY AND RESULTS IN INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY  
WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER NORTH-CENTRAL MINNESOTA. GUSTS TO  
25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW FOR THE BRAINERD LAKES REGION.  
WITH A DEEPENING SURFACE TO LOW-LEVEL STACKED LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM WITH A SUPPORTING MID-LEVEL OPEN WAVE OVER THE NORTHERN  
US ROCKIES, THAT LOW-LEVEL JET SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO THE  
NORTHLAND SATURDAY NIGHT TO KEEP THE REGION MIXED OUT AND SEEING  
ELEVATED WINDS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS MAY ALSO CREATE A  
20-40% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FOR THE BRAINERD LAKES TO  
KOOCHICHING COUNTY REGION EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
SUNDAY MORNING ANOTHER PERIOD OF MORE WIDESPREAD GUSTY WINDS  
WILL SETUP. EXPECT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING 25 TO 35 MPH  
ACROSS THE REGION, PENDING HOW DEEP THE MIXED LAYER CAN REACH.  
SUNDAY WILL ALSO FEATURE WARM TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 70 F IN  
PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL MN AND ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.  
 
AS THE SURFACE TO MID-LEVEL STACKED LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS  
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT, MORE WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE  
RAIN SHOWER CHANCES BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. AS THESE COLD FRONT  
ASSOCIATED RAIN SHOWERS EXIT THE REGION MONDAY MORNING, WRAP-  
AROUND COLD AIR ADVECTION IS VERY LIKELY TO RESULT IN CONTINUED  
GUSTY WINDS INTO MONDAY. THESE WOULD NOW BE FROM THE WEST TO  
NORTHWEST THOUGH WITH A 30-40% CHANCE OF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH  
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.  
 
BROAD RIDGING SETS UP OVER THE CENTRAL US EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK  
AND KEEPS MEAN WESTERLY AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE  
REGION. AN OUT-THERE WEAK SHORTWAVE COULD CREATE A FEW RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS ARE VERY  
UNLIKELY (80% CHANCE).  
 
 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1233 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT WESTERLY 08-11Z AND THEN  
FURTHER SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY BY SUNRISE TODAY AS AN AREA OF  
COLD AIR ADVECTS INTO THE REGION. ALONG WITH THAT WIND SHIFT  
EXPECT A 6 HOUR PERIOD OF GUSTY 20-30 KNOT WINDS THIS MORNING TO  
EARLY AFTERNOON. COOK COUNTY IN THE ARROWHEAD MAY SEE A FEW  
GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS TODAY, ALONG WITH SOME MORNING AND AFTERNOON  
WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. THE NORTHWEST WISCONSIN LAKE  
EFFECT BELT TERMINALS NEAR THE WI/UP STATELINE ALSO HAS THIS  
DAYTIME SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE  
MOVING IN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING QUICKLY DECREASES WIND  
SPEEDS BY LATE AFTERNOON TODAY FOR LIGHT AND VARIABLE FRIDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
 
   
MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/  
 
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025  
 
NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY WILL GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY,  
ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT  
POTENTIAL THOUGH FOR GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS NORTH OF TACONITE HARBOR  
ALONG THE NORTH SHORE INTO MID-AFTERNOON. A WIND SHIFT WILL  
OCCUR EARLY SATURDAY TO EASTERLY, STRONGEST AT THE HEAD OF THE  
LAKE. LOW PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS LATER  
SATURDAY TO CREATE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY EVENING.  
SUNDAY WILL ALSO FEATURE EVEN STRONGER EASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF  
THE RAINFALL, GUSTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS. WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE  
RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AS  
WINDS AGAIN SHIFT TO WESTERLY.  
 
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA  
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.  
 
 
   
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
MN...NONE.  
WI...NONE.  
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ121-  
140-145>148-150.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR  
LSZ141>144.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...NLY  
AVIATION...NLY  
MARINE...NLY  
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