189
FXUS63 KMKX 090844
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
244 AM CST SUN FEB 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- CLEARING SKIES TODAY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
- SMALL CHANCES (30-40%) FOR SNOW MONDAY NIGHT, WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY.
- ADDITIONAL SNOW POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY AND AGAIN NEXT
WEEKEND, BUT HIGHER POTENTIAL MAY BE SHIFTING TO OUR SOUTH.
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 244 AM CST SUN FEB 9 2025
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY:
THIN STRATUS WILL SCATTER OUT THIS MORNING AS DRY AIR BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. STEADY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED, WITH HIGHS
IN THE 20S.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, WITH DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS AND
SINGLE DIGITS, WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY RANGING FROM THE LOW 30S
OVER THE FAR SOUTH TO MID 20S OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
BOXELL
LONG TERM
ISSUED 244 AM CST SUN FEB 9 2025
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY:
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT, WITH A
30-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
AREA OF LOW AND MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS. QPF IS VERY LOW, JUST
A COUPLE HUNDRETHS OF AN INCH, AND DRY AIR WILL BE A CONCERN.
LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS EXPECTED.
MUCH COLDER AIR THEN BUILDS INTO THE AREA FOR TUESDAY, WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE TEENS TO AROUND 20.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY,
WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND HIGH
PLAINS. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO RIVER VALLEYS, AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME VARIABILITY,
ENSEMBLE MEANS HAVE SHIFTED SOUTH WITH THE STORM TRACK AT THIS
POINT. SOME SNOW IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME, WITH BETTER
CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN COMPARED TO NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION TO SYNOPTIC SNOW, THERE MAY
BE A WINDOW FOR LIGHT LAKE EFFECT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS WINDS TURN FROM EAST TO NORTHEAST TO NORTH, BEFORE
TURNING NORTHWESTERLY THURSDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS THEN PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
MIDWEST OVER THE WEEKEND. ENSEMBLE MEANS AGAIN FAVOR A STORM
TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. UNSURPRISINGLY, THERE'S STILL A
WIDE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS AT THIS DISTANCE, HOWEVER, WITH
INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE MEMBER LOW PRESSURE LOCATIONS RANGING FROM
THE DEEP SOUTH TO NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA. DETAILS WILL BECOME
MORE CLEAR IN THE COMING DAYS.
BOXELL
AVIATION
ISSUED 244 AM CST SUN FEB 9 2025
MVFR STRATUS WILL SCATTER AND CLEAR THIS MORNING, WITH VFR THEN
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
STEADY FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT.
BOXELL
MARINE
ISSUED 244 AM CST SUN FEB 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST, CENTERED OVER
SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA, WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE LAKE
TODAY. THE HIGH WILL APPROACH SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT,
RESULTING IN WEAKENING WINDS ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS. MODEST WEST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY, BEFORE BECOMING
EAST-NORTHEASTERLY BY WEDNESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE
SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
BOXELL
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
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