361  
FXUS63 KMKX 261938  
AFDMKX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 26 2024  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- HEAT RETURNS MONDAY WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE LOWER 90S  
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK  
 
- ON AND OFF THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BEGIN SUNDAY AND CONTINUE  
THROUGH THE WEEK.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
ISSUED 233 PM CDT FRI JUL 26 2024  
 
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY:  
 
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN AND THE EASTERN  
GREAT LAKES REGION. NORTHEAST MID LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THE MID LEVEL  
RIDGE OVER IOWA MAY PUSH SOME SMOKE ALOFT INTO EASTERN AND SOUTHERN  
WISCONSIN THIS EVENING CONTRIBUTING TO HAZY SKIES.  
 
IT WILL BE A BIT WARMER AND MORE HUMID ON SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S.  
 
MARQUARDT  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
ISSUED 233 PM CDT FRI JUL 26 2024  
 
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY:  
 
THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS EACH DAY.  
AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS TO THE EAST COAST, SOUTHERLY FLOW BEHIND  
IT WILL BRING A PUSH OF GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. PWS SURGE TO  
2 ON SUNDAY AND APPROACH 2 AT TIMES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.  
 
A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN  
SUNDAY AFTERNOON PROVIDING A SOURCE OF LIFT FOR SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS. NOT EXPECTING SEVERE WEATHER WITH SHEAR AROUND 20  
KNOTS AND LACK OF AN UPPER JET.  
 
A MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL SET UP WITH SHORTWAVES  
MOVING THROUGH AT TIMES DURING THE WEEK. INSTABILITY WILL  
REMAIN FOR CHANCES OF STORMS AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE AS SOUTHWEST 850MB FLOW ADVECTS HEAT IN  
FROM THE WEST. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL IN THE UPPER 80S ON MONDAY AND  
REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 90S MID WEEK.  
 
MARQUARDT  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
ISSUED 233 PM CDT FRI JUL 26 2024  
 
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT WINDS AND WILL  
DOMINATE. THERE WILL BE FEW CLOUD BASES AROUND 4000 FT SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING.  
 
MARQUARDT  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED 233 PM CDT FRI JUL 26 2024  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST AND LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH  
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOUTH WINDS MAY REACH  
20 KNOTS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS.  
 
MARQUARDT  
 

 
   
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WI...NONE.  
LM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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