933
FXUS63 KMKX 111612
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1012 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW MAY JUST CLIP AREAS SOUTHWEST OF MADISON TONIGHT.
ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UNDER A HALF OF AN INCH EXPECTED.
- LIGHT SNOW MAY OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH THE
PASSAGE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT.
- AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND, WITH WIND CHILLS
AS COLD AS 15 BELOW TO 30 BELOW ZERO FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING HOURS.
- NEXT WEEK TEMPS RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL WITH DAYTIME TEMPS
AROUND OR ABOVE FREEZING.
UPDATE
ISSUED 1000 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE PRIOR FORECAST OTHER THAN LOWER CLOUDS
HOLDING FIRM IN SOUTHWESTERN WI AND NOT LOOKING TO GO ANYWHERE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. STILL EXPECTING LIGHT SNOW TO CLIP
SOUTHWESTERN WI THIS EVENING AS A LOW TRACKS FROM THE LOWER
MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY AND UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO FRIDAY.
WITH MOST OF THE UPPER-LEVEL FORCING STAYING OUT OF THE AREA,
STILL EXPECTING TO SEE A DUSTING TO AROUND HALF OF AN INCH OF
SNOW FOR AREAS SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM THE WI DELLS THROUGH
LAKE GENEVA. LOOKING AT UPSTREAM OBS AND RADAR TRENDS, MIGHT
SEE LIGHT SNOW BEGIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THE BETTER
CHANCES REMAIN THIS EVENING AND GENERALLY ENDING AROUND
MIDNIGHT. OVERALL, NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF IMPACTS FROM THIS
ACTIVITY.
WAGNER
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 315 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT:
STUBBORN LOW CLOUDS MAY HANG ON ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN THROUGH EARLY TO MID-MORNING. MODELS KEEP TRYING TO
SHOW THE CLEAR SLOT EXPANDING FARTHER INTO THE FORECAST AREA,
BUT SATELLITE TRENDS DON'T REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE HOURS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE BACK EDGE OF THE
CLOUDS NEAR EAU CLAIRE THIS MORNING TO SEE IF THERE IS A
SIGNIFICANT SOUTHWARD PUSH. THESE CLOUDS HAVE KEPT TEMPS FROM
FALLING AS MUCH AS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING, SO WILL CONTINUE TO MODIFY SHORT TERM TEMPS TO MATCH
THE SLOWER EXIT OF THE CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPS MAY HAVE TO BE
UPDATED FOR TODAY IF THE CLOUDS HANG ON THROUGH EARLY TO MID-
MORNING, AS TEMPS ARE TRENDING TOWARDS STARTING OUT WARMER AT
DAYBREAK THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT
QUIET WEATHER TODAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE, WITH LIGHT WINDS
THROUGH TONIGHT.
IT SILL LOOKS LIKE THERE COULD BE A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW SOUTHWEST
OF MADISON THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TONIGHT, THOUGH SOME FORECAST
MODELS KEEP THE SNOW COMPLETELY SOUTHWEST OF THE STATE. IF THE
SNOW DOES SNEAK INTO SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN, ONLY A DUSTING TO A
HALF AN INCH IS EXPECTED.
DDV
LONG TERM
ISSUED 315 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
MODELS STILL SUGGESTING A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COLDER TEMPS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS
WAVE, WITH HIGHS LIKELY NOT GETTING OUT OF THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVER THE WEEKEND. LOWS WILL BE BELOW ZERO AT NIGHT, WITH WIND
CHILLS OF 15 TO 30 BELOW. COLD WEATHER HEADLINES WILL BE
POSSIBLE BOTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH THE COLDEST
WIND CHILLS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. ANOTHER
WAVE MAY CLIP THE AREA ON SATURDAY, WITH MORE SNOW CHANCES
POSSIBLE, THOUGH LATEST FORECAST MODELS LARGELY KEEP THE SNOW
SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE.
WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY ON THE BACK
SIDE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN WARMING TEMPS EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH HIGHS BACK AROUND NORMAL BY TUESDAY.
DDV
AVIATION
ISSUED 1010 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025
SOUTHERN WI IS DISSECTED GENERALLY ALONG I-94 CORRIDOR BETWEEN
LOWER MVFR CEILINGS BETWEEN 1-2KFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TO THE NORTHEAST. EXPECTING THIS PATTERN
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH MSN CEILINGS POTENTIALLY
BOUNCING IN BETWEEN CATEGORIES AS IT SITS ON THE EDGE OF THIS
STRATUS DECK. AREAS SOUTHWEST ARE ALSO LOOKING TO SEE A FEW
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING AS WELL, BUT ACCUMULATIONS AND
RATES ARE LOOKING LIGHTER WITH ONLY A DUSTING TO AROUND HALF AN
INCH THROUGH THE EVENING AND ENDING BY 06Z. OTHERWISE, WILL SEE
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS SPREAD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN AREAS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON, BUT REMAIN ABOVE MVFR LEVELS AND REMAIN DRY
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHTER UNDER 10 KNOTS AND VARY FROM
THE NORTHWEST TO WESTERLY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
WAGNER
MARINE
ISSUED 315 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE AROUND 30.1 INCHES MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. A
PERIOD OF WEST TO NORTHWEST GALES MAY RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
DURING THIS PERIOD AS THE COLDER AIRMASS MOVES IN.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AROUND 30.8 INCHES WILL THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY AND TO THE SOUTH EARLY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
WINDS MAY RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE EXITING HIGH.
DDV
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
VISIT US AT WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, X, AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
WWW.X.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page