302
FXUS63 KMKX 042027
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
227 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2022
SHORT TERM
(ISSUED 227 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2022)
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT:
AFTER TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S, TEMPERATURES WILL
QUICKLY FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL
INITIALLY BE CLEAR, BUT HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH OVERNIGHT LOWS
BY MIDNIGHT OR SO, AND THEN HOLD STEADY OR EVEN RISE A DEGREE OR
TWO BY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE FAIRLY MILD TOMORROW, BEFORE SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR BUILDS IN BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT. ONE OR MORE
BANDS OF LIGHT SNOW ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT
DURING THE DAY, MOSTLY NORTH OF I-94. ACCUMULATION WILL BE VERY
MINOR, AND LIKELY CONFINED TO ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES GIVEN
MARGINAL SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S BEHIND THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT.
BOXELL
LONG TERM
(ISSUED 227 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2022)
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
A WEAK WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY, POSSIBLY
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX TO THE
REGION. FORCING WILL BE WEAK AND MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED, SO
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH.
WEDNESDAY IS LOOKING FAIRLY QUIET, BEFORE A MORE ROBUST SYSTEM
POTENTIALLY APPROACHES THE MIDWEST LATE IN THE WEEK. LOTS OF
UNCERTAINTY AT THIS POINT WITH TIMING, TRACK, AND STRENGTH OF THE
SYSTEM, WITH ENSEMBLES SUGGESTING A VERY WIDE RANGE OF POTENTIAL
SCENARIOS. IT'S STILL FAR TOO EARLY TO SPEAK TO ANY PARTICULARS,
BUT THIS IS A TIME PERIOD WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON OVER THE COMING
DAYS.
OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED ARE FAVORED TO
GENERALLY BE AROUND AVERAGE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWS IN THE
20S.
BOXELL
AVIATION
(ISSUED 227 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2022)
VFR WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT, WITH HIGH CLOUDS BUILDING INTO THE AREA
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST, WITH
A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS AT TIMES.
CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, WITH
POCKETS OF MVFR POSSIBLE BY AFTERNOON. ONE OR MORE BANDS OF LIGHT
SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE, THOUGH MAINLY NORTH OF THE TERMINALS
(WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SHEBOYGAN). WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST UNTIL MONDAY EVENING, WHEN THEY SWITCH TO A
NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION.
BOXELL
MARINE
(ISSUED 227 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2022)
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND
WEAKEN A BIT TODAY INTO TONIGHT, AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS
EVENING TONIGHT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH AND APPROACHING LOW,
WITH GALE FORCE WINDS LIKELY IN THE NORTH THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
OPEN WATERS, WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE
NEARSHORE.
WINDS WILL THEN BECOME LIGHTER MONDAY INTO MID-WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS BACK IN TO THE REGION.
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK, THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES. DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM,
STRONGER WINDS COULD BE A POSSIBILITY LATE IN THE WEEK.
BOXELL
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-LMZ565-LMZ567-
LMZ868...6 PM SUNDAY TO 3 AM MONDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646...5 PM SUNDAY
TO 3 AM MONDAY.
VISIT US AT WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, TWITTER, AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page