118
FXUS63 KMPX 020801
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
301 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON &
EVENING, WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING LESS THAN 0.10.
- DRY WEATHER PERSISTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 257 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT HAVE ALLOWED FOR
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 30S ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA THIS MORNING, WITH SOME PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN
RURAL LOW- LYING AREAS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA WHERE TEMPERATURES
BRIEFLY FALL INTO THE MID 30S. OTHERWISE, HIGHS TODAY WILL
GENERALLY REACH AROUND 60 TO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS CENTRAL &
EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN UNDER SUNNY SKIES.
SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S,
WITH WESTERN & SOUTHERN MINNESOTA POTENTIALLY REACHING AROUND
70. A FEW SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS COMES SATURDAY EVENING AS THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH EASTERN MINNESOTA & WESTERN WISCONSIN.
MOISTURE & FORCING BOTH LOOK WEAK, SO MANY LOCATIONS MAY STAY
DRY AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 0.1-0.25" OR LESS.
SHOWERS END SATURDAY EVENING WITH MOST OF THE AREA DRY BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT.
COOLER NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS BEHIND THE FRONT SUNDAY WITH
HIGHS FALLING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S, FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER
DRY & SEASONABLE DAY MONDAY. UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING THEN BUILDS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS AS WARMER PACIFIC AIR SPREADS INTO THE
REGION, BEGINNING A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND TUESDAY. HIGHS
SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY, WITH
EVEN CENTRAL MINNESOTA LIKELY APPROACHING 70. THE PATTERN
REMAINS QUIET WITH NO MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL CLOUDS LATE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON & EVENING. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT
WITH A WIND SHIFT TO SOUTHEASTERLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SPEEDS
REMAIN AROUND 5 KTS OR LESS.
KMSP...WINDS FLIP FROM NORTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY LATE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING, MOST LIKELY BY 5-6 PM.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR, CHC P.M. -SHRA. WIND S 10-15KTS.
SUN...VFR. WIND NW 5-10KTS.
MON...VFR. WIND SE 5 KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...ETA
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