400
FXUS63 KMPX 050926
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
426 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FROST ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA & WESTERN WISCONSIN
THROUGH SUNRISE.
- WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 80
DEGREES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 415 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, & HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD HAVE ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MINNESOTA & WESTERN WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING. A
FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 AM, WITH FROST MOST
LIKELY IN RURAL LOW-LYING AREAS THROUGH SUNRISE. TEMPERATURES
REBOUND QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE,
WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 60S THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER
LEVEL FORCING INCREASES LATE THIS AFTERNOON & EVENING FROM A
COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING JETSTREAK & WEAK RIPPLE OF
VORTICITY PASSING THROUGH NORTHERN MINNESOTA. ENOUGH FORCING
LOOKS TO BE PRESENT TO GENERATE SOME SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS THIS EVENING, PRIMARILY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 ACROSS
CENTRAL MINNESOTA & WEST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AS
SHORTWAVE RIDGING BRIEFLY BUILDS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST, &
BREEZY DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS LEAD TO DEEP SURFACE MIXING. HIGHS IN
THE LOW 80S LOOKS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA & COULD
REACH 80 INTO THE TWIN CITIES METRO. COOLER AIR RETURNS
FOLLOWING A FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY NIGHT BRINGING A MODEST
COOL- DOWN FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, ALTHOUGH HIGHS WILL
REMAIN RIGHT NEAR SEASONAL NORMS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHERLY FLOW THEN RETURNS FOR NEXT WEEKEND, ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S. DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO
PERSISTS INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING GENERALLY
PREDOMINATES OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE
DAY. CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT PROGRESSIVELY INCREASE TO AROUND 10
KTS BY LATE MORNING. GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
WESTERN MINNESOTA. DIRECTIONS WILL GENERALLY BE NORTHERLY
OVERNIGHT, BUT SWITCH TO SOUTHEASTERLY & THEN MORE SOUTHERLY
THROUGH THE MORNING & AFTERNOON.
KMSP...A FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. WIND SW 10-20 KTS.
WED...VFR. WIND NW 10-20 KTS.
THU...VFR. WIND W 10-15 KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR BENTON-CHISAGO-
ISANTI-KANABEC-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-TODD.
WI...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR BARRON-CHIPPEWA-
EAU CLAIRE-POLK-RUSK.
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...ETA
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