380
FXUS63 KMPX 182250
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
550 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEK.
- CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE NOT IN THE FORECAST UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 149 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
IT'S A VERY NICE END TO THE WEEKEND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AREAWIDE. WE'LL CONTINUE TO WARM UP
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AS GUSTY WINDS MIX DOWN WARMER AIR JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE. THIS QUIET AND WARM WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES
THE CENTRAL US.
IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO TRACK OUR AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
THROUGHOUT THE MONTH AS THIS ABNORMALLY WARM WEATHER
CONTINUES. EVEN WITH OUR RECENT COOLDOWN, MSP IS ON TRACK TO BE
THE WARMEST OCTOBER ON RECORD. AS OF OCT 17TH, OUR AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE THIS MONTH HAS BEEN 59.3F AND THE ALL TIME MONTHLY
RECORD IS 59.2F FROM 1947. FOR ST CLOUD, THE RECORD IS 58.2F
(1900) AND IT IS AT 54.3F THROUGH OCT 17TH. FOR EAU CLAIRE, THE
RECORD IS 59.2F (1947) AND IT IS AT 56.1F THROUGH OCT 17TH.
BY THIS WEEKEND, A LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER
THE WESTERN US AND PRODUCE A COUPLE CHANCES FOR RAIN AS IS MOVES
EASTWARD. AMOUNTS IN OUR AREA CONTINUE TO LOOK UNIMPRESSIVE AND
THE LATEST NBM POPS PEAK AROUND 30 TO 50 PERCENT ON SATURDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 546 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
SOLID VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS DURATION. SW WINDS
AROUND 5 KTS AT INITIALIZATION TO GO LIGHT/VARIABLE OVERNIGHT
THROUGH SUNRISE, THEN PICK UP FROM THE E TO SE IN THE 5-10KT
RANGE.
KMSP...NO ADDITIONAL CONCERNS.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. WIND SSE 10G20 KTS.
WED...VFR. WIND SW 5-10 KTS.
THU...VFR. WIND SE 5-10 KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BED
AVIATION...JPC
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