879
FXUS63 KMPX 261140
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
640 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY WITH A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
- CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 249 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT, BUT CLOUD COVER STREAMING SOUTHWARDS OUT
OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA WILL LEAD TO A MOSTLY CLOUDY MORNING &
AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH
WIND GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH EXPECTED THROUGH SUNSET. CYCLONIC FLOW &
COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL RESULT IN PRIME CONDITIONS FOR WIDELY
SCATTERED DIRUNALLY-DRIVEN RAIN SHOWERS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON, ALTHOUGH THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY LIMIT HOW MUCH
PRECIP WE ACTUALLY SEE. BEST CHANCES FOR A BRIEF RAIN SHOWER
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN.
HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY LEADING TO
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. A MORE
ACTIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN DEVELOPS OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE JET
STREAM STRENGTHENS ALONG THE US- CANADA BORDER & A NUMBER OF
SHORTWAVES TRAVERSE THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST. THESE LOOK TO BE
RELATIVELY WEAK OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN THIS
WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. A STRONGER WAVE LOOKS POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT
STILL LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE TRACK/TIMING & LOCATION OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN POTENTIAL.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 637 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST HAS BEEN TO REMOVE THE MENTION OF
MVFR CEILINGS THIS MORNING. STRATUS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ACROSS AREA TERMINALS THIS MORNING, BUT CURRENT OBSERVATIONS
HAVE BEEN MOSTLY VFR, ALTHOUGH SOME BRIEF PATCHES OF MVFR CAN'T
BE RULED OUT THROUGH THE MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE
THROUGH MID MORNING WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS CONTINUING THROUGH
SUNSET. CLEAR SKIES & LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT.
KMSP...STRATUS ARRIVES BETWEEN 8-9 AM, ALTHOUGH CEILINGS LOOK TO
BE PREDOMINATELY VFR. CAN'T RULES OUT SOME BRIEF PATCHES OF
CEILINGS BETWEEN 2000-3000 FT.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
THU...VFR. WIND NW 5-15 KTS.
FRI...VFR. CHC TSRA LATE NIGHT. WIND SW 5 KTS.
SAT...VFR. CHC -TSRA. WIND S 10-15G20 KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...ETA
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