227
FNUS71 KLWX 140717
FWSLWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CS FARM E...VDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
317 AM EDT TUE APR 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MID WEEK. AS A
RESULT, VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH AN ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER RISK DUE TO MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY
AFTERNOON WINDS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FRIDAY AND MAY BRING A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS, BUT WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS ARE NOT
EXPECTED. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA AT THE START
OF NEXT WEEK AND OFFERS THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IN MORE THAN A
WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 89.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO
AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /90800 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (112000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 43 30 33 22 38 26 27 19 25 20 23
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............63 64 65 69 73 78 82 85 87 89 89 88
RH..............56 54 54 49 44 37 35 35 34 33 32 34
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 21 23 25 26 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 2.3 3.2 3.7 6.5 7.5 7.9 8.2 7.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 7 8 13 13 12 16 17 18 20 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 4 8 25 35 38 91 112 126 140 136
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (82400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........15 13 19 32 25 21 17 18 18 10 27 11
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............87 85 82 79 77 75 73 73 72 71 69 68
RH..............34 35 38 41 43 46 49 49 53 53 59 61
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..13 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.23 12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 12 10 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..82 12 9 7 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (122800
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21 10 10 7 13 19 23 26 30 31 31 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0
TEMP............68 68 71 74 79 84 87 90 91 92 92 91
RH..............59 61 55 50 44 38 35 32 30 28 27 27
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 8 9 10 10 12 13 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 7 9 10 12 12 21 23 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.7 2.9 3.8 4.8 6.1 7.3 8.2 8.4 7.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 8 10 9 10 13 15 17 20 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 5 12 26 31 43 67 95 123 144 133
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD
FORECASTER...ROSA
REQUESTED BY...TYLER HILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610240.0/LWX
.DELDT 04/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TYLER.HILL@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV, SHAWN.SMITH@NOAA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page