456  
FNUS71 KLWX 012031  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT POND DAY USE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
431 PM EDT WED APR 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 EDT ON APRIL 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AS OF 420 PM THERE IS A THUNDERSTORM LOCATED A FEW MILES TO THE SOUTH  
OF THE SPOT FORECAST LOCATION. AS OF NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE THE BULK OF  
THE STORM SHOULD PASS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOCATION, BUT A BRIEF  
PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE, ALONG WITH A BRIEF SURGE IN  
SOUTHERLY WINDS AS THE OUTFLOW FROM THE STORM MOVES TOWARD THE  
LOCATION. AN BRIEF DECREASE IN TEMPERATURE AND UPTICK IN RH MAY ALSO  
ACCOMPANY THE STORM'S OUTFLOW. AFTER THAT STORM PASSES, IT LOOKS THERE  
MAY BE A LULL IN ACTIVITY THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING, WITH ANOTHER  
ROUND OF SHOWERS OR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POTENTIALLY MOVING IN AROUND  
OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE WILL BE ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...32 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EDT) 5PM  
SKY (%).........81  
WEATHER COV.....WID  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........SCT  
CWR.............50  
CHC OF THDR (%).30  
TEMP............77  
RH..............37  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..51  
VENTRATE CAT....FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED TO  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY A THUNDERSTORM.  
PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING, INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT  
AROUND MIDNIGHT, DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATER IN THE  
NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........84 67 70 76 68 64  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD  
CWR.............30 30 60 50 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 30 20 0 0  
TEMP............72 66 64 63 61 60  
RH..............44 58 65 70 84 84  
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 NW 3 SW 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 12 10 9 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 200 200 200 300 100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 9 SW 10 SW 9 W 7 W 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 2 2 2 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 TO 70 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16  
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (61500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........61 45 27 78  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY S CHC LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE  
CWR.............10 0 20 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 40  
TEMP............59 61 71 75  
RH..............87 87 66 60  
20 FT WIND......SW 3G8 S 3G9 S 6G15 S 8G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 700 2900 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 SW 8 SW 12 S 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 5 29 60  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR  
 

 
FORECASTER...PALLOZZI  
REQUESTED BY...COLLETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608825.0/LWX  
.DELDT 04/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV,JAY.COLLETT@USDA.GOV  
 
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