053
FNUS71 KLWX 151933
FWSLWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANSON PILE...NATURE WORKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
333 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
THE MID-WEEK PATTERN BRINGS A RETURN OF THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY AND
WINDS TURN MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY IN NATURE. WEDNESDAY'S
TEMPERATURES PUSH INTO THE MID 80S WITH DEEP MIXING LAYERS ON THE
ORDER OF 8,000 TO 8,500 FEET. AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 15 TO PERHAPS
20 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS PEAK IN VERTICAL MIXING.
A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LOOMS ON THURSDAY AS THE NEXT COLD
FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. OUTSIDE OF ANY
DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, THE WIND FIELDS WILL BE
QUITE ROBUST FOR THE TIME OF YEAR. EXPECT WINDS THROUGH THE DAY
WHICH WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH, POSSIBLY HIGHER DURING THE
AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE
CALIBER WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 55 TO 65 MPH. SOME RAIN SHOWERS
LINGER INTO FRIDAY BEFORE QUIETER WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND
GIVEN APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS UP TO
15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (108800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 31 28 27 26 25 27 29 31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 73 76 79 80 82 83 85 85
RH..............70 64 58 52 49 44 41 39 39
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 13 15 16 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 3.1 5.0 5.9 6.2 6.4 7.5 8.4 8.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 28 45 59 68 77 97 109 99
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD VGD GD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........33 36 36 39 46 53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............83 78 71 66 65 65
RH..............43 52 66 78 81 78
20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 3 S 1 S 1 S 3 S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.13 8 5 5 8 15
MIX HGT (FT)....6600 500 M M M M
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 SW 6 M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..66 2 M M M M
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR M M M M
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18 TO 22 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 39 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........55 56 62 64
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE
CWR.............10 30 30 50
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 20 40
TEMP............68 78 88 91
RH..............73 62 52 47
20 FT WIND......S 12G21 SW 15G26 SW 18G33 W 22G39
MIX HGT (FT)....M M M M
TRANSPORT WIND..M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..M M M M
VENTRATE CAT....M M M M
FORECASTER...RUBIN-OSTER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES REMUZZI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2615551.0/LWX
.DELDT 06/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES@NATUREWORKSLLC.NET
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