626  
FNUS71 KLWX 280606  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PKIN RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
206 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 EDT ON MARCH 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND,  
THEN MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL STALL  
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA NEXT WEEK BRINGING REPETITIVE CHANCES FOR  
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
A DRY AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE OVER THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES DROP TO AROUND 20 PERCENT DURING THE MID TO LATE  
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY, AND 25-30 PERCENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IT IS  
POSSIBLE THAT RH COULD DROP TO THE UPPER TEENS FOR A TIME THIS  
AFTERNOON, DEPENDING ON HOW EFFICIENT MIXING IS. THE FIRE WEATHER  
THREAT SHOULD BE AT LEAST TAMPERED DUE TO THE WETTING RAINS FROM  
FRIDAY, BUT WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION AS WINDS WILL BE  
GUSTING AROUND 15-25 MPH THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
SUNDAY MIGHT BE THE MORE FIRE SENSITIVE DAY SINCE FINE FUELS WILL  
HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO DRY OUT. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AROUND 60F  
AND SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10-20 MPH ARE FORECAST SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (47200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 4 9 4 5 7 4 2 2 2 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 31 33 35 38 40 42 46 47 48 50  
RH..............61 66 58 52 48 44 41 32 30 27 24  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 22 20 21 18 18 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.0 3.7 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 23 25 23 22 22 22 21 18 17 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..47 60 83 88 92 99 103 101 91 87 81  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD GD GD GD VGD VGD GD GD GD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (55900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 5 5 6 8 5 4 4 6 7 12 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 46 43 41 39 37 36 35 34 34 33 33  
RH..............25 28 32 36 39 42 43 47 51 51 56 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE E E S S SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE E SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 7 5 5 3 2 3 5 6 7 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 12 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 4  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 23  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (76000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 31 33 46 37 27 29 32 35 39 44 48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 33 35 38 42 46 49 52 53 55 56 56  
RH..............56 56 54 54 48 43 40 38 38 35 34 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 12 14 17 20 21 22 22 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 17 21 23 23 22 21 21 22 22  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 9 19 34 51 62 67 68 72 76 71  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOFMANN  
REQUESTED BY...ADAM CHRISTIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608183.1/LWX  
.DELDT 03/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ADAM.CHRISTIE@USDA.GOV,KENDELL.REESE@USDA.GOV  
 
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