981
FNUS71 KLWX 010920
FWSLWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELKHORN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
520 AM EDT WED APR 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A FRONTAL SYSTEM SLOWLY APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEAST WILL DROP INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. NEAR RECORD WARM
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT. EVEN THOUGH DEW
POINTS WILL ALSO BE RISING, THE LARGE SPREAD WITH THE TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH AROUND 50. WINDS WILL BE WEST
TO SOUTHWEST BUT NOT QUITE AS GUSTY AS RECENT DAYS. SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHEAST ARE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT AS THE FRONT DROPS SOUTH.
THE FRONT WILL STALL NEARBY OR OVERHEAD THROUGH THURSDAY,
INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WILL
ALSO BE A LARGE CONTRAST IN TEMPERATURES FROM NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT BUT
WITH VARIABLE DIRECTIONS GIVEN THE FRONT NEARBY. RH WILL ALSO BE
NOTABLY HIGHER GIVEN ONSHORE FLOW.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...41 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (84700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 53 54 49 59 56 60 48 76 70 73 68
WEATHER COV..... ISO NUM SCT NUM SCT
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 60 50 60 50
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 40 40 40
TEMP............59 59 58 62 67 72 74 75 76 77 76 75
RH..............83 83 90 84 70 61 59 54 52 50 54 55
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 17 18 20 21 21 20 18 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.6 3.3 4.2 4.7 4.7 5.1 4.5 3.6 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 18 23 22 21 18 18 20 18 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 8 26 66 79 85 75 81 76 58 51
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...39 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........69 57 52 49 47 31
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE FOG FOG
TSTM COV........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CWR.............50 40 30 10 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).40 20 20 10 0 0
TEMP............74 68 65 62 60 60
RH..............59 70 78 84 87 90
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 3 SW 2 W 2 W 2 W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 12 10 8 7
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 600 400 400 400 300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 12 W 12 W 12 W 12 W 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 6 4 4 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (75300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........28 35 46 69
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....FOG RN/FG RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE
CWR.............0 20 20 50
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 20 30
TEMP............59 61 74 77
RH..............90 93 66 56
20 FT WIND......W 1G6 SW 2G9 S 6G15 S 8G18
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1200 3200 5400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 12 SW 12 S 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 12 32 75
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD
FORECASTER...HOFMANN
REQUESTED BY...AARON STROBEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608775.0/LWX
.DELDT 04/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV,COLTEN.MOOR@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV
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