119  
FNUS71 KLWX 041953  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH RIVER RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
353 PM EDT SAT APR 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE  
SHIFTS OFFSHORE. CURRENT CONDITIONS AS OF 3:15PM SHOW SOUTH WINDS  
BLOWING 2 MPH, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S, AND RH VALUE OF 45 PERCENT.  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING  
FROM BLOWING AROUND 5 MPH TO 10 - 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. A STRONG COLD  
FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT, BRINGING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONALLY, WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE  
FRONT AND ARE EXPECTED TO GUST UP TO 30 MPH. MUCH COOLER  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK  
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 42 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20  
TEMP............82 78 74  
RH..............37 42 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 6.0 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 22  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..96 97 105  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD VGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (75800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (7100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........49 42 45 47 60 54 56 64 70 81 71 87  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............73 69 66 64 63 62 61 60 60 58 57 57  
RH..............49 57 65 73 75 78 81 84 84 93 96 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 29 29 31 32 32 32 31 31 30 32 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 20 17 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..76 28 13 9 12 8 7 8 10 8 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT  
EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT  
LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT  
DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 12 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 25  
TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 90 93 95 92 94 94 91 90 72 56 28  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............30 60 90 90 80 40 10 10 10 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 57 58 57 56 58 56 58 57 57 56 55  
RH..............100 93 93 93 93 83 83 72 64 59 57 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 13 13 12 13 13 13 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.33 32 30 29 30 30 28 28 28 28 29 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 22 16 17 20 23 24 25 24 25 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 13 22 19 21 22 35 46 55 54 61 70  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...STUCK  
REQUESTED BY...AARON STROBEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608967.1/LWX  
.DELDT 04/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV,COLTEN.MOOR@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV  
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