336  
FNUS71 KLWX 041514  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TONSLER PARK SPECIAL EVENT...CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE EM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
1114 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JULY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DANGEROUS HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEAT INDICES  
AROUND 110 DEGREES. SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO  
THIS EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 3 PM AND 6 PM  
THIS AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE DUE TO THE INTENSE HEAT AND HUMIDITY.  
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SEVERE STORMS WITH THE  
MOST LIKELY TIME BETWEEN 3 PM AND 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AFTER 6 PM, BUT AN ISOLATED  
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH THIS EVENING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING AND BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY  
THIS AFTERNOON (40-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 50 60 67 80  
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 30 40 50 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 30 40 50 40  
TEMP............100 101 101 100 98  
RH..............42 41 41 41 43  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S W SW W  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 5 6 7 8  
SURFACE WND GST.9 12 13 14 14  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........80 70 63 51 52 44 45 53 65 43 34 29  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT ISO ISO SCT ISO ISO ISO PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW FOG  
TSTM COV........SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 20 20 30 20 20 20 10 10 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 40 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 0 0 0  
TEMP............96 92 89 85 83 81 79 78 77 76 75 75  
RH..............46 52 57 65 67 72 77 79 82 82 84 84  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SE E SE SE NE N S NW SW SW N  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 6 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0  
SURFACE WND GST.14 13 12 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...LASORSA  
REQUESTED BY...JOHN OPRANDY EM COORDINATOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2616632.0/LWX  
.DELDT 07/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL OPRANDYJ@CHARLOTTESVILLE.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab MD Page
The Nexlab WV Page
Main Text Page