565  
FNUS71 KLWX 291439  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRVINE RX...MARYLAND DNR FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
1039 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR IN THAT THE AREA WILL BE  
POSITIONED BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST AND A FRONTAL  
ZONE OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY SOUTH  
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH DAY, PERHAPS A LITTLE STRONGER MONDAY  
COMPARED TO TUESDAY. THE FORECAST IS STILL A BIT IN FLUX, AND  
THE TABLES BELOW ARE BASED ON SATURDAY EVENING'S MODEL DATA.  
HOWEVER, MORE RECENT DATA IS TRENDING TOWARD HIGHER CHANCES  
FOR SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES ON MONDAY ALONG WITH  
MORE CLOUDS. HOWEVER, IF RAIN WERE TO OCCUR, AMOUNTS WOULD  
LIKELY BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. WHILE A STRAY SHOWER  
CAN'T BE RULED OUT TUESDAY, I THINK BASED ON THE CURRENT  
DATA THAT IT WILL MORE LIKELY REMAIN DRY. THE OTHER DECISION  
POINT IS THAT TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS WILL CONTINUE TO  
TREND UPWARD. HOWEVER, RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY BE A BIT  
LOWER ON TUESDAY AS AIR TEMPERATURES RISE TO NEAR 80F.  
 
I MODIFIED THE START TIME OF THE FORECAST TO 8 AM MONDAY SO  
THE TABLES BELOW REFLECT BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (81000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 42 51 59 58 57 58 58 59 59  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 51 55 57 61 63 64 66 67 67  
RH..............68 63 59 59 51 52 52 50 50 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 10 12 13 13 13 13 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 20 22 22 22 22 22 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 18 21 22 22 23 24 24 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 20 23 32 42 53 66 78 81 76  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (51300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 53 54 56 58 59 58 57 55 55 54 54  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 64 63 62 61 61 61 61 60 60 59 59  
RH..............54 60 60 65 67 70 70 70 72 72 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 17 15 14 14 15 16 16 17 17 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..51 23 7 3 3 6 7 8 10 11 11 12  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (108700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (109500  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 51 49 44 38 32 33 34 34 36 37 39  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............58 59 60 62 66 69 72 75 77 78 79 78  
RH..............77 75 72 70 63 61 55 52 48 48 47 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 13 13 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 17 18 21 22 22 22 23 24 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.7 5.2 5.3 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 17 18 21 22 22 23 24 25 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 12 13 18 25 39 57 75 93 109 117 110  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON WOLFE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608341.0/LWX  
.DELDT 03/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHANNON.WOLFE@MARYLAND.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab MD Page
The Nexlab WV Page
Main Text Page