404  
FNUS71 KLWX 261607  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSEHEAD FIRE...SHEN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
1207 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEPART OFFSHORE TODAY, RESULTING IN A WARMING  
TREND AND PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT  
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL BRING GREATER CHANCES OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE  
FRONT MAY BE SLOW TO MOVE THROUGH, SO SOME SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS  
OVER THE WEEKEND.  
 
RHS EACH DAY REMAIN IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S AT THE LOWEST, WITH  
EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED EACH DAY.  
 
FOR THE AREAS THAT DO MANAGE TO GET THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY,  
THEY COULD PICK UP AN INCH OR SO OF RAINFALL, BUT DOUBT WE SEE  
THAT OVER ANY WIDESPREAD AREA.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 51 65 68 56 56  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M M M  
TEMP............79 82 84 84 86 84  
RH..............47 43 40 41 39 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 15 15 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 9 9 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 5.3 5.8 5.9 6.0 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 13 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 64 70 65 66 61  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD GD GD GD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........69 59 62 49 65 69 80 83 73 51 47 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............82 81 76 73 73 72 71 70 70 69 68 67  
RH..............44 47 56 64 66 71 73 78 78 81 84 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 13 12 12 12 10 12 10 9 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 7 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 8 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...CTP  
REQUESTED BY...Q. ROBINSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620603.0/LWX  
.DELDT 08/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHEN_COMMUNICATIONS@NPS.GOV  
 
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