522  
FNUS71 KLWX 300826  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWORD...MARYLAND DNR FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
426 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON MARCH 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN POSITIONED OFFSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY. A  
QUICK WARM UP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WHILE GUSTY  
SOUTHERLY OR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
(PEAKING IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DURING EACH AFTERNOON, BUT  
CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHTS ON EXPOSED RIDGELINES), THE  
ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO STEADILY MOISTEN. THUS, CRITICALLY LOW RH IS  
UNLIKELY IN THE COMING DAYS. WEAK DISTURBANCES COULD BRING SOME  
SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT WETTING RAINS ARE UNLIKELY.  
 
A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL EVENTUALLY DROP  
SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY, BRINGING REPETITIVE CHANCES FOR  
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS IT  
STALLS NEARBY. THE FRONT LIKELY RETURNS NORTH THIS WEEKEND.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS POSSIBLE, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........80 63 62 60 51 43  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO  
CWR.............40 40 40 30 30 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 10  
TEMP............59 58 58 58 56 57  
RH..............78 80 80 80 83 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 14 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 14 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 7 6 6 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 41 37 37 43 49 52 55 58 55 52 48  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............57 57 59 62 67 72 74 76 78 79 79 79  
RH..............80 83 78 75 68 59 57 54 50 49 49 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 14 16 20 20 21 21 21 21 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.6 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S SW SW W W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 13 17 20 25 25 24 22 21 21 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 6 19 36 79 100 105 95 90 86 71  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD GD GD GD GD  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (48000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 46 40 42 44 47 50 53 56 56 57 58  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............77 75 71 69 68 67 66 65 65 64 63 62  
RH..............50 54 59 61 65 68 70 70 70 73 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 16 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..48 23 7 4 5 7 7 7 7 6 7 6  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOFMANN  
REQUESTED BY...AARON COOK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608460.0/LWX  
.DELDT 03/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.COOK@MARYLAND.GOV  
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