757  
FNUS71 KLWX 141205  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEN BIG MEADOWS BONEYARD PILE RX...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
705 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS  
WESTERLY TODAY WITH GUSTS UP TO ABOUT 15-20 MPH.  
 
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH TO THE SUNDAY INTO  
MONDAY, POSSIBLY BRINGING WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL PRECIPITATION.  
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (46400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 8 9 12 14 17 27 27 28 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 33 37 40 42 45 47 47 47 45  
RH..............66 63 61 57 53 49 47 47 47 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 18 18 17 17 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.7 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 13 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 7 19 29 38 42 46 41 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........57 71 68 82 68 87  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 38 36 35 36 36  
RH..............57 67 69 75 72 72  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 W 9 W 9 W 9 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 W 7 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 0 0 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........95 94 91 92  
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 60 60 80  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 38 41 40  
RH..............72 76 79 92  
20 FT WIND......W 8G14 SW 7G12 S 6G12 SE 6G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 7 SW 6 SE 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...BELAK  
REQUESTED BY...LANE GIBBONS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602353.3/LWX  
.DELDT 02/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LANE_GIBBONS@NPS.GOV  
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