471  
FNUS71 KLWX 231243  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK LINE NORTH RIVER...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
843 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1415 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
EXPECT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT. GUSTS OF  
20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE VALLEY FLOOR WITH 30 TO 40  
MPH (LOCALLY HIGHER) ALONG THE RIDGES. SKIES WILL TREND PARTLY TO  
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO START BEFORE BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE  
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE WITHIN A WELL  
MIXED ENVIRONMENT.  
 
COOLER (NEAR NORMAL) TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TUESDAY INTO  
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTING OFFSHORE WILL RESULT IN SOUTHERLY  
RETURN FLOW BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AFTER A COUPLE OF DRY DAYS,  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO 35 TO 40 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON, WITH  
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES AROUND 70 PERCENT TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY  
MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS IS VERY LOW - LESS THAN 10  
PERCENT. WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH 20 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 7  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 31 MPH BECOMING NORTH 14 TO 21  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 15 25 16 16 21 23 35 28 29 36 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 38 35 33 31 29 28 26 25 24 23 23  
RH..............50 57 59 61 61 63 63 65 68 65 71 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 16 15 15 14 14 13 10 9 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 30 29 29 28 28 25 22 20 18 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 31 29 29 29 29 28 25 21 20 17 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..91 84 63 57 57 52 42 38 28 22 15 8  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD FR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5  
TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (19800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 55 49 59 48 36 31 26 21 22 22 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 22 24 26 30 35 39 42 45 46 47 47  
RH..............62 68 60 55 46 38 32 29 27 27 28 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE E E SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE E SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 9 8 7 5 5 5 6 6 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 4 4 6 8 7 9 10 14 16 20 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...BELAK  
REQUESTED BY...AARON STROBEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607146.2/LWX  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.P.STOBEL@USDA.GOV,VAVIC@FIRENET.GOV  
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