755  
FNUS71 KLWX 222346  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAINY DAY SAR...SHENANDOAH NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
746 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 EDT ON MAY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW MAY GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH AT TIMES THIS  
EVENING, ALTHOUGH OVERALL WINDS WILL LIKELY BE RELATIVELY LIGHT  
WITH EVEN GUSTS LESS THAN 15 MPH. OTHERWISE, LOW CLOUDS AND  
OCCASIONAL FOG WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT TO AT TIMES MODERATE RAIN ARE  
EXPECTED. VISIBILITY MAY BE RATHER VARIABLE IN FOG AND RAIN.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AND PERIODS  
OF RAIN.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........100 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 70 60 60 60 70 80 90 90  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............48 48 48 48 48 48 47 47 47 47  
RH..............100 100 96 93 93 93 96 93 93 93  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E E NE NE E  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.14 15 14 13 13 13 14 13 14 14  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND PATCHY FOG.  
VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDER.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 99 99 100 100 99 100 99 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 90 90 90 90 80 90 90 80 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10  
TEMP............47 47 48 48 48 49 49 50 50 51 51 52  
RH..............96 96 96 96 100 96 100 100 100 100 100 96  
SURFACE WND DIR.NE E E NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.9 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST.15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN AND  
FOG MUCH OF THE NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........99 99 99 97 98 98 97 97 94 97 95 92  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 80 80 80 80 80 70 60 70 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 52 52 53 53 53 53 54 55 55 55 56  
RH..............100 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 100 100 96  
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 3  
SURFACE WND GST.12 13 13 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 7  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN  
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING MORE SHOWERY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 79 76 77 77 77 75 73 71 72 73 74  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............56 57 57 58 58 59 61 63 65 65 66 66  
RH..............100 96 100 96 96 96 93 90 87 90 90 93  
SURFACE WND DIR.NW N NE NE E SE SE SE S S SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
SURFACE WND GST.6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOFMANN  
REQUESTED BY...J. BRITT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2614319.0/LWX  
.DELDT 05/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHEN_COMMUNICATION@NPS.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab MD Page
The Nexlab WV Page
Main Text Page