434  
FNUS71 KLWX 032258  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH RIVER...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
658 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 EDT ON APRIL 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THIS EVENING, ALLOWING  
NEAR RECORD WARMTH HEADING INTO THE START OF THE WEEKEND. A  
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON SUNDAY, BRINGING WIDESPREAD  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES  
ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK AS HIGH  
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.  
 
WINDS DECREASE A BIT OVERNIGHT WITH HUMIDITY VALUES RECOVERING BACK  
TO NEAR 70 PERCENT. THESE VALUES WILL FALL AROUND 35 PERCENT SATURDAY  
AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES. WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN  
CHANCES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH A QUARTER TO A HALF AN INCH EXPECTED AREAWIDE.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MIN 58.  
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR  
/1800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........81 77 70 59 50 51 57 39 36 30 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 68 67 65 64 63 62 62 60 60 60  
RH..............49 57 56 60 63 62 67 65 72 72 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 14 13 13 14 14 15 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.  
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 TO 20  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........37 23 15 29 45 45  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............59 61 70 76 78 79  
RH..............72 70 55 46 40 39  
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 6 SW 7 SW 9 S 12 S 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 16 20 23 24  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 1500 4400 5100 5000  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 12 SW 9 S 13 S 17 S 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 12 48 77 80  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (19200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........49 63 65 80  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CWR.............20 10 10 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 0  
TEMP............74 65 61 59  
RH..............46 73 84 87  
20 FT WIND......S 13G25 S 13G28 SW 15G29 SW 15G32  
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1100 1100 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 SW 23 SW 24 SW 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..64 22 23 21  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................70 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.  
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH BECOMING AROUND 14 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (74900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........86 91 70  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............70 80 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0  
TEMP............57 58 58  
RH..............96 86 59  
20 FT WIND......SW 15G32 W 13G29 W 14G29  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1500 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 W 23 W 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 31 65  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD  
 
 
FORECASTER...ROSA  
REQUESTED BY...COLLETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608956.0/LWX  
.DELDT 04/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.P.STROBEL@USDA.GOV,JAY.COLLETT@USDA.GOV  
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