624
FNUS71 KLWX 120116
FWSLWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE DEVIL STAIRS SAR...SHENANDOAH NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
916 PM EDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CONDITIONS ARE DRY NOW AS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED WELL EAST OF
THE AREA. WINDS ARE LIGHT TO CALM AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND WIND
SHELTERED LOCATIONS, BUT LIKELY TO INCREASE TOWARD THE RIDGETOP
LATER THIS EVENING (GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH).
A STRONG COLD FRONT STARTS MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WITH PASSING
SHOWERS ARRIVING AT THE SAR LOCATION AFTER MIDNIGHT. A THUNDERSTORM
OR TWO COULD ACCOMPANY THE INITIAL ROUND OF SHOWERS.
THESE SHOWERS WILL BECOME A STEADY COLD DRAIN BY 4-6AM THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DROP DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING, WITH TEMPS IN THE 30S BY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. THIS IS GOING TO CAUSE RAIN TO TURN TO
TRANSITIONS TO SNOW BETWEEN 8AM-10AM, BEFORE COMING TO AN END BY
MID AFTERNOON. ABOVE 2000 FEET THERE COULD BE 1-2" OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION.
BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AT THE SAR LOCATION STARTING LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 40-50 MPH FOR
MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON, THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING, BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 18 TO 22 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH.
TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 54 67 71 68 66 77 87 89
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO CHC SCH CHC LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 20 20 30 20 30 60 80
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............68 67 67 65 64 63 60 57 52
RH..............61 63 61 65 65 67 72 80 80
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W NW
SURFACE WND SPD.18 21 21 22 21 17 17 18 22
SURFACE WND GST.31 33 35 36 37 35 35 36 40
FORECASTER...RODRIGUEZ
REQUESTED BY...RNGR L TUCKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2605475.0/LWX
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHEN_COMMUNICATION@NPS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page