302
FNUS71 KRNK 152152
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
552 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE WEATHER GENERALLY LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY AND CALM, WITH SUNNY SKIES THROUGH
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. SOME UPPER LEVEL SMOKE OVERHEAD HAS LED TO REDUCED
HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA THAN WHAT WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. WITH
DRY AIR IN PLACE, MINIMUM RH VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS LOOK TO DROP
INTO THE LOW 40S TO UPPER 30S OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST/NORTHWEST AT AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS,
BUT LOOK TO TRANSITION TO EASTERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY BY FRIDAY WHILE MAINTAINING
LIGHT WINDS AT 5 MPH OR LESS. OVERALL THERE ARE NO CONCERNS FIRE WEATHER WISE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS DISPERSION LEVELS LIKELY WILL BE IN IDEAL
VALUES GIVEN THE LIGHT WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0
TEMP............72
RH..............70
20 FT WIND DIR..NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2
20 FT WIND GUST.6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..N
MIXNG WIND SPD..5
LVORI...........3
ADI.............2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3
TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (23700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2 TO 33.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........14 21 31 41 47 33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............72 76 83 87 89 91
RH..............71 69 56 49 43 41
20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 2 NW 1 W 1 SW 2 SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 2200 4600 5600 5900
MIXING WIND......N 5 N 5 E 5 SE 5 SW 3 SW 5
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2
ADI.............2 4 13 24 24 30
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 10 19 19 24
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 27.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........30 37 41 44 23 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 85 81 78 76 74
RH..............43 53 61 64 68 69
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 N 2 N 2 NE 3 NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 8 13
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 400 500 500 400 500
MIXING WIND......W 5 W 6 W 5 W 5 N 6 N 5
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3
ADI.............27 3 2 2 3 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.22 2 2 2 3 2
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (19000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 27.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........40 38 31 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 10
TEMP............73 77 84 87
RH..............66 56 46 43
20 FT WIND......NE 5G13 NE 3G8 E 2G5 SE 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1800 4100 6100
MIXING WIND......N 6 NE 9 NE 5 E 2
LVORI...........3 2 2 2
ADI.............3 20 22 18
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 15 18 14
FORECASTER...BUNKER
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.6/RNK
.DELDT 07/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV
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