488
FXUS61 KLWX 221530
AFDLWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1030 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2025
SYNOPSIS
LOW PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO AREA FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TO OUR NORTHWEST DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, CAUSING A
STRONG COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 10 AM, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE
ORIENTED FROM SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA NORTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN
MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. SHOWERS ARE ONGOING AHEAD OF
THIS DISTURBANCE, WITH THE STEADIEST RAIN NOW EXTENDING FROM
CENTRAL VIRGINIA EASTWARD TO SOUTHERN MARYLAND. ON AND OFF
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS,
WITH CONDITIONS DRYING OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCE MOVES OFF TO OUR EAST. EVEN AFTER THE RAIN DEPARTS,
SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY, ALTHOUGH A FEW BREAKS IN THE
CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY OCCUR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE 50S FOR MOST, WITH UPPER 40S
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND AROUND 60 DEGREES IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA.
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH, AND MAY GUST TO 10-20 MPH AT
TIMES.
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL DECREASE AND
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP BACK INTO THE 30S.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY PROVIDING
QUIET WEATHER. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 60S SUN AND COOLER ON
MONDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND
ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING. SOME LIGHT RAIN
WILL GRADUALLY WORK ACROSS THE AREA WITH A LIGHT INTENSITY.
HIGHS TUESDAY WILL BE SEASONABLE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 50S.
AFTER THE WARM FRONT MAKES ITS WAY TO OUR NORTH AND EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE MOVES BY WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST, A COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW
WEDNESDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY. A FEW ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE
ABOUT THE REGION MIDDAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
COLDER AND DRIER AIR SLIDES INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE WARMER OF THE EXTENDED
DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 50S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO MIDDLE 60S
ELSEWHERE.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND
BRING REINFORCING COLDER AIR FROM THE NORTHWEST. DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD BRING A CHANCE FOR
LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGHS
THURSDAY WILL BE COLDER THAN WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 30S
IN THE MOUNTAINS TO LOWER 50S IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND. HIGHS FRIDAY
WILL BE CHILLY. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 30S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S.
AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
LIFR CIGS THIS MORNING WITH AREAS OF RAIN. CIGS WILL BE SLOW
TO IMPROVE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AS CLOUDS PERSIST ALL DAY.
VFR CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IF LIGHT RAIN IS
PERSISTENT OR MODERATE IN INTENSITY THEN MVFR CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS WEDNESDAY, BECOMING
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MARINE
SCA ISSUED FOR TODAY AS WINDS STRENGTHEN IN THE WAKE OF A
FRONTAL PASSAGE. SCA AGAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
NO MARINE HAZARDS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS
SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS SOUTHWEST
BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ533-
534-537-541-543.
SYNOPSIS...LFR
NEAR TERM...KJP
SHORT TERM...LFR
LONG TERM...KLW
AVIATION...LFR/KLW
MARINE...LFR/KLW
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