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FLUS44 KMOB 271213
HWOMOB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
612 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-281200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
612 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
DAY ONE
TODAY AND TONIGHT
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL CREATE POTENTIAL PROBLEMS
FOR THE NAVIGATION OF SMALLER MARINE CRAFT. CONDITIONS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE THROUGH THE DAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE GULF COAST.
DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK OF
WILDFIRE.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT OVER THE INTERIOR ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR
FREEZING.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE WEEKEND.
A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST LATER IN THE DAY MONDAY AND WILL
BE THE SOURCE REGION FOR THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA.
ON THE FRONT...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO FORM OVER THE
WESTERN GULF LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
THERE ARE A VARIETY OF SOLUTIONS AMONGST THE WEATHER MODELS...ON
PLACEMENT...STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR THE LOW TO LIFT NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND TUESDAY NIGHT AND OUT OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK...THE
PREDOMINANT WEATHER CHARACTER LOOKS TO BE RAIN WITH ONLY A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE RAINS COULD BE LOCALLY
HEAVY.
IF THE LOW COMES IN MORE TO THE WEST...THEN ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY
COULD RECOVER ENOUGH ALONG WITH BETTER MOISTURE TO SUPPORT A HIGHER
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AND GIVEN THIS TO OCCUR SEVERAL DAYS OUT...THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE PREDICTABILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE EVENT
DRAWS CLOSER IN TIME...MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS WILL BECOME AVAILABLE.
STAY TUNED.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL NOT BE NEEDED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
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