227  
FXUS64 KTSA 301957  
AFDTSA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
257 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DEEP UPPER CYCLONE WAS SPINNING ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER WITH  
ISOLATED COLD-CORE SHOWERS IMPACTING PARTS OF NORTHEAST OK. THIS  
ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW  
PULLS AWAY. WILL MAINTAIN GOING WIND ADVISORY...WITH GUSTY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS DIMINISHING SOME BY MID-LATE EVENING.  
 
WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO MONDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES  
AND A BIT OF A WESTERLY BREEZE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL TAKE SHAPE  
ON TUESDAY...STRETCHING FROM SOUTHWESTERN OK INTO NORTHWEST AR. A  
BAND OF ELEVATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP  
TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT AS A FAST MOVING  
UPPER TROF DROPS INTO THE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SWING  
EAST OF THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS PASSES  
THROUGH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS DON'T APPEAR TO BE OVERLY  
EXCESSIVE...BUT A FEW SPOTS COULD GET ANOTHER INCH OR SO.  
 
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEK IS LOOKING WARMER  
AND DRY...WITH NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW BEING REPLACED BY MID-  
LEVEL RIDGING.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TUL 43 72 49 76 / 10 0 0 10  
FSM 46 72 49 81 / 10 0 0 10  
MLC 44 74 51 80 / 0 0 0 10  
BVO 42 70 46 74 / 10 0 0 10  
FYV 40 67 47 75 / 10 0 0 10  
BYV 42 64 50 74 / 20 10 0 10  
MKO 43 71 50 77 / 10 0 0 10  
MIO 41 66 46 73 / 20 0 0 10  
F10 44 72 50 77 / 10 0 0 10  
HHW 44 75 52 82 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ049-053>076.  
 
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ001-002-010-011-  
019-020-029.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...11  
LONG TERM....18  
 
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