703
FNUS72 KJAX 231851
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE CHARLES 29...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
251 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1441 EDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE COMBINATION OF A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS ARE
CURRENTLY DEVELOPING NEAR THE WILDFIRE AND SHOULD MOVE OVER THE FIRE
BEFORE 400 PM. SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG AND PRODUCE STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN. A RETURN TO MAINLY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS IS
EXPECTED THURSDAY ONWARD.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....72.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........82 84 84 85 83 83
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86 82 78 77 75 74
RH..............59 67 76 79 84 84
20 FT WIND......W 3 W 2 SW 1 S 2 S 2 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1600 1600 900 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 S 5 S 5 S 3 S 3 S 3
LAL.............4 3 3 3 3 3
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........83 84 84 74 58 58
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73 75 82 87 89 88
RH..............90 87 72 59 54 55
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 400 5100 5100 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 8 S 8 SW 9 W 9 W 9
LAL.............3 1 1 1 3 3
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20080723.LAKEC.01/JAX
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