258  
FNUS72 KMFL 172039  
FWSMFL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR C25 RX...US FWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL  
439 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON JUNE 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO  
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY AS AN AREA OF HIGHER MOISTURE  
MOVES INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL BE MORE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AT THE  
BURN SITE. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG DURING THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS CONTAINING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. ANY  
THUNDERSTORM THAT DOES DEVELOP ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BEGIN TO  
DIMINISH AS MONDAY EVENING PROGRESSES.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 85  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY  
TEMP............83 81  
RH..............69 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE  
20 FT WIND DIR..110 120  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..17 11  
LVORI...........3 4  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70  
LAL.............4 4  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE  
EVENING,...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL JUST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 2000,...THEN 1-8 STRIKES  
UNTIL 0200,...THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 6 MPH...DECREASING TO 0 TO 1 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........85 85 79 79 79 64 64 64 58 58 58 44  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............80 77 77 76 76 75 75 75 74 74 73 73  
RH..............79 86 88 89 91 92 94 94 96 97 98 98  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE N E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..120 120 120 120 120 000 090 090 090 090 090 090  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 1 1 1  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E NE N N E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1  
DISPERSION IDX..7 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1  
LVORI...........4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 40 40 40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY  
AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800,...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4100 FT  
AGL,...THEN INCREASING TO 4000-5100 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO  
1700-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3...INCREASING TO 18 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON,...THEN DECREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........44 51 51 45 64 64  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............73 75 84 89 91 83  
RH..............100 97 73 59 52 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..090 080 100 100 090 080  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 2500 4100 5100 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 1 E 1 E 3 E 5 NE 3 W 5  
DISPERSION IDX..1 2 13 22 18 16  
LVORI...........10 8 3 2 2 3  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 40 40  
LAL.............1 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...CARACOZZA  
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1811606.0/MFL  
 
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