746
FXUS62 KMFL 261041
AFDMFL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
641 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
MID-LVL RIDGING WILL BUILD TOWARDS THE AREA OVER THROUGH SATURDAY
MAINTAINING THE DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NE US WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND RESULTING IN BREEZY
EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING OVER OUR AREA. THE DRY MID-LVLS AND DYNAMIC
SUBSIDENCE SHOULD KEEP US MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD, ALTHOUGH SOME
QUICK MOVING SHALLOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST COAST AND
ATLANTIC WATERS, PARTICULARLY ON SATURDAY AS EASTERLY FLOW/COASTAL
CONVERGENCE INCREASES. TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE
CHARACTERISTIC OF A STRONG EASTERLY REGIME WITH THE WARMEST HIGHS
(GENERALLY UPPER 80S) OVER THE INTERIOR/WEST COAST WITH COOLER HIGHS
(GENERALLY LOW TO MID 80S) OVER THE EAST COAST. THE REVERSE WILL BE
TRUE WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS WITH MILDER READINGS (LOW 70S) OVER THE EAST
COAST AND 60S OVER THE INTERIOR/WEST COAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
MID-LVL RIDGING WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, DISPLACING THE STORM TRACK WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.
AT THE SURFACE (INITIALLY STRONG) HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
WILL BE THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST SUPPORTING BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD, ALTHOUGH THE HIGH WILL GRADUALLY BE WEAKENING INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH WINDS . GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL GIVEN THE
INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE, ALTHOUGH SOME QUICK-MOVING SHALLOW COASTAL
CONVERGENCE GENERATED SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED OUT OVER THE EAST COAST AND
ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE FAIRLY STATIC
SUNDAY/MONDAY (SIMILAR TO SATURDAY), AND THEN INCREASE A COUPLE DEGREES
INTO THE MID-WEEK PERIOD AS EASTERLY FLOW WEAKENS SOMEWHAT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 638 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE 12Z TAF CYCLE AT ALL
SITES. EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE TO 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 20-25
KTS FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A WESTERLY
GULF SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED AT KAPF AFTER 20Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
EASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND,
PARTICULARLY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
INCREASING EASTERLY (ONSHORE) FLOW AND SURF WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS FOR THE EAST COAST BEACHES TODAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MIAMI 81 72 81 72 / 0 0 10 10
WEST KENDALL 83 68 82 70 / 0 0 10 0
OPA-LOCKA 83 70 82 71 / 0 0 10 10
HOMESTEAD 81 71 81 72 / 0 10 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 80 72 80 72 / 0 0 10 10
N FT LAUDERDALE 81 71 81 72 / 0 0 10 10
PEMBROKE PINES 84 70 84 72 / 0 0 10 10
WEST PALM BEACH 81 70 81 69 / 0 0 10 10
BOCA RATON 81 70 82 71 / 0 0 10 10
NAPLES 88 67 87 69 / 0 0 0 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-
173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY
FOR AMZ630-650-651-670-671.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CARR
LONG TERM....CARR
AVIATION...SIMMONS
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