335  
FXUS62 KTBW 250057  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
857 PM EDT THU MAY 24 2018  
   
EVENING UPDATE
 
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH WILL  
GRADUALLY MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY  
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE, WE WILL  
REMAIN RELATIVELY WARM OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID  
70S MOST AREAS.  
 
THE ONLY CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST WERE TO TWEAK RAIN  
CHANCES TO INDICATE WHERE ONGOING ACTIVITY WAS LOCATED. ALSO  
ADJUSTED OVERNIGHT LOWS SLIGHTLY. THE FORECAST IS LARGELY ON  
TRACK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION (00Z TAFS)
 
 
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH LIGHT EAST/SOUTHEAST  
WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE IN SOME AREAS. SHOWERS AND STORMS  
TO DEVELOP AGAIN 18Z TO 20Z FRI SPREADING WEST AND  
IMPACTING MOST TERMINALS THROUGH 00Z SAT.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING OFFSHORE TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN  
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING. OTHERWISE GENERALLY LIGHT  
EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND SATURDAY AS STORMS DEVELOP INLAND A  
PUSH OFFSHORE DURING THE EVENING HOURS. WE CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE TROPICS FOR POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT WITH A  
DISTURBANCE AS IT LIFTS NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  
REGARDLESS, WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY AND  
INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS ARE A GUARANTEE FROM LATE SATURDAY  
THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS MAY EVEN APPROACH GALE FORCE AT TIMES  
LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. CONTINUE TO CHECK THE  
FORECAST FREQUENTLY AS IT IS LIKELY TO CHANGE. LIGHTER WINDS  
AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BUILD BACK IN FOR THE  
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK, THOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS  
AND STORMS WILL LINGER.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 74 86 72 80 / 30 80 30 80  
FMY 72 84 72 81 / 20 70 80 80  
GIF 72 87 72 81 / 20 50 30 70  
SRQ 72 85 72 80 / 20 60 60 80  
BKV 70 87 70 81 / 60 80 40 70  
SPG 74 85 73 81 / 30 70 40 80  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...84/AUSTIN  
UPPER AIR...42/NORMAN  
DECISION SUPPORT...09/RUDE  
 
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