361  
FXUS62 KTBW 150025  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
725 PM EST THU DEC 14 2017  
   
UPDATE
 
 
A NEAR ZONAL FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE ALOFT OVER THE REGION THIS EVENING  
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST EXTENDING BACK OVER THE  
FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS OVERALL SETUP IS SUPPORTING A LIGHT SOUTH TO  
SOUTHWEST LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. SHOULD BE ANOTHER  
QUIET OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH MILDER TEMPERATURES TOMORROW MORNING  
COMPARED WITH THIS MORNING. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG IN CERTAIN  
LOCATIONS TOWARD SUNRISE, BUT THINKING THIS WILL ONLY BE SHALLOW  
GROUND FOG IN SOME OF THE MORE FOG-PRONE LOCATIONS OR JUST OUR FAR  
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS MODEL GUIDANCE REALLY IS NOT PICKING UP ON IT,  
SO WILL NOT INCLUDE ANY MENTION FOR THIS EVENING. WE SHOULD AGAIN SEE  
ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING WITH THE  
INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. OVERALL, THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK  
WITH JUST A FEW MINOR TWEAKS MADE.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTH  
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT AND IN THE MORNING WILL BECOME MORE  
WESTERLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDINESS CAN AGAIN BE  
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING FROM MAINLY KSRQ  
NORTHWARD, BUT SHOULD REMAIN VFR.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE STATE WILL EXTEND BACK OVER THE REGION  
INTO FRIDAY, WITH MAINLY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS IN PLACE OVER THE  
WATERS. A WEAK FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA, WITH WINDS  
BECOMING NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN FOR SUNDAY. OVERALL, NO HEADLINES ARE  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 61 75 57 73 / 10 10 0 0  
FMY 55 76 57 77 / 0 10 0 0  
GIF 55 76 54 73 / 10 10 0 0  
SRQ 60 74 57 72 / 10 10 0 0  
BKV 55 75 51 71 / 10 10 0 0  
SPG 61 74 57 72 / 10 10 0 0  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...05/CARLISLE  
 
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