437  
FXUS62 KTBW 010137  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
937 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2016  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE IS RIDGING ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA AS A MID-LEVEL  
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE EASTERN US TO THE WEST OF THE STATE. THE  
TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER THE STATE THROUGH SATURDAY  
MORNING, WITH SW FLOW AND RIDGING ACROSS SOUTH FL CONTINUING AT  
THE SURFACE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS  
EVENING. MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR  
THE COAST WITH THE SW FLOW INCREASING THE RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS.  
TEMPERATURES ARE ON TRACK TO FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S  
INLAND, AND IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 NEAR THE COAST. NO UPDATES  
PLANNED AS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS THIS  
EVENING AND MAY SEE BRIEF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WITH ANY STORMS  
THAT MOVE OVER THE TERMINALS. VFR CONDITIONS OTHERWISE AND VFR  
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. VCTS  
THEN POSSIBLE FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
BUOYS SHOWING GENERALLY W/SW FLOW ACROSS THE WATERS WITH SPEEDS  
AOB 10 KNOTS. SEAS ARE 2 FEET OR LESS. WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING  
ACROSS SOUTHERN FL, LIGHT SW FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS  
THE WATERS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THE  
UPDATE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 78 88 79 90 / 10 50 20 40  
FMY 76 90 77 92 / 30 40 10 30  
GIF 75 89 76 93 / 50 60 30 50  
SRQ 76 87 78 90 / 10 40 20 30  
BKV 73 88 74 90 / 20 50 20 40  
SPG 79 88 80 90 / 10 40 20 30  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...24/HUBBARD  
UPPER AIR...007/DOUGHERTY  
DECISION SUPPORT...05/CARLISLE  
 
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