984  
FNUS73 KEAX 232242  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
542 PM CDT THU MAR 23 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE STRONG AND GUSTY NATURE OF THE WINDS THIS  
AFTERNOON SHOULD DECREASE SOME OVERNIGHT BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN 10  
TO 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS OF 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1100 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 36 TO 44 MPH INCREASING TO 44 TO 49 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........44 26 26 27 28 32 41 45 48 54 61 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 74 72 71 69 68 66 65 65 65 64 63  
RH..............41 42 42 44 45 49 52 56 56 56 58 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 10 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 11 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.36 37 40 44 46 48 49 49 48 46 44 44  
HAINES INDEX....4 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT INCREASING TO 33 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 TO 44 MPH DECREASING TO 26 TO 32 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 76 77 80 83 86 89 90 89 86 84 82  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............62 62 63 65 67 69 71 72 72 71 70 70  
RH..............60 60 60 60 56 53 51 51 51 55 57 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 15 16 15 14 13 13 13 13 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 30 30 30 25 25 25 25 25 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.8 3.4 4.3 5.0 5.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.44 44 43 40 39 37 35 32 30 29 28 26  
HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...BOWMAN  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS NICHOLS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1705092.0/EAX  
.EMAIL CHRIS.NICHOLS@MDC.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MO Page
The Nexlab KS Page Main Text Page