188  
FNUS73 KEAX 231155  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COREOPSIS...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
655 AM CDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CURRENT CONDITIONS NEAR THE BURN SITE ARE A TEMPERATURE OF 57 DEGREES,  
A RH OF 65 PERCENT, AND SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. WINDS WILL  
TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE UP TO AROUND 15 MPH AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES.  
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH IN THE NOON TO 1 PM TIME FRAME, TURNING WINDS TO  
NORTHWESTERLY, WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 35  
PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 10 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 10  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13  
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........59 55 63 55 80 73 75 69 65 44 46  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 0 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 55 58 64 66 67 68 69 71 72 72  
RH..............66 66 64 56 54 54 52 51 46 41 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW W W NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 20 16 15 13 10 10 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 30 24 23 18 15 15 14 15 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.0 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W NW NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 22 23 21 17 14 14 15 15 13  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 24 34 23 8 9 12 16 26 16 17 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 71 68 62 59 56 54 52 51 50 47 47  
RH..............37 36 39 46 51 53 54 56 59 58 65 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 12 13 12 12 10 10 12 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW N N N N NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 8 8 8 8 10 13 13 13 13 13  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7  
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 50 44 54 35 31 26 21 22 23 24 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 49 53 59 64 66 68 69 70 71 70  
RH..............63 65 63 59 51 43 40 36 35 32 31 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE E E E NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 10 10 13 12 12 13 13 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.8 5.3 5.5 5.3 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 13 13 13 12 9 8 8 8 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...WILLIAMS  
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411923.0/EAX  
.DELDT 04/23/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DEON_STEINLE@FWS.GOV  
 
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