899  
FNUS73 KEAX 101602  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINTAIL SOUTH...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
1102 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE IS A WEAK, NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE  
BURN SITE, BETWEEN ST. JOSEPH AND KCI AIRPORT CURRENTLY. THIS IS  
CURRENTLY RESULTING IN A LIGHT EAST NORTHEAST TO NORTHEAST WIND.  
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE  
MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. AS IT'S MOVING THROUGH THE BURN  
SITE, WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. AS  
IT LIFTS NORTH OF THE BURN SITE, LIKELY BY MID AFTERNOON, WINDS  
WILL TREND MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY. WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE  
5 TO 10 MPH RANGE ONCE THEY TURN IN THIS DIRECTION AND THERE MAY  
BE A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-8000 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
5400-5600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 11 10 18 27 47 51  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 82 84 86 86 87 86  
RH..............39 40 41 39 40 39 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST. 6 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 6.6 8.0 7.7 6.7 5.6 5.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 18 20 21 22  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1600 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 40 27 21 16 16 40 46 51 56 61 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 83 80 76 73 72 71 69 68 67 66 65  
RH..............41 44 49 56 62 61 61 63 65 68 70 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 4.7 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 22 22 21 22 23 25 25 25 24 22  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........64 66 63 57 54 54 52 51 56 64 68 72  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 66 68 72 77 81 84 87 88 89 89 89  
RH..............73 73 70 64 56 49 44 40 39 38 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 10 12 13 14 13 13 12 12 11 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 14 17 18 19 18 18 17 17 16 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.5 5.1 5.7 6.1 6.1 5.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 18 20 21 20 17 16 16 16 16 17  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...BOWMAN  
REQUESTED BY...SAQM VANOURNEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1809641.0/EAX  
.DELDT 05/10/18  
.EMAIL SAM_VANOURNEY@FWS.GOV  
 
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