769  
FNUS73 KTOP 101945  
FWSTOP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNCONTROLLED BURN...LOCAL/COUNTY OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
145 PM CST SUN DEC 10 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1400 CST ON DECEMBER 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS COFFEY COUNTY  
THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS REMAIN SUSTAINED BETWEEN 15-20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 25 MPH. AFTER SUNSET THE WINDS SHOULD  
DECREASE TO 5-10 MPH. A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE WEST OR EVEN SOUTHWEST  
IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, ALTHOUGH REMAINING BELOW 10 MPH. RH VALUES  
REMAIN IN THE UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE COUNTY. STEADILY INCREASING  
VALUES ARE EXPECTED AFTER SUNSET WITH RH'S IMPROVING TO THE LOWER  
30 PERCENT RANGE BY 6 PM. VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER IS  
EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN  
INCREASE TO SUSTAINED 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30-35 MPH BY MIDDAY  
MONDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES LOOK TO REACH THE UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30  
PERCENT.  
   
REST OF PERIOD 1
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM  
SKY (%).........4 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 7 12 18 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 57 56 52 47 44 42 40 38 36 35 34  
RH..............24 24 25 29 35 39 43 46 52 56 61 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 39 TO  
41 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 39 TO  
41 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BAERG  
REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL STUKEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1719785.0/TOP  
 
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