795  
FNUS73 KTOP 221428  
FWSTOP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LANDS DEPT RX BURN PT 21...BIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
928 AM CDT WED MAR 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. WINDS WILL  
ESE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AT 10 TO 15 MPH, WITH AN  
OCCASIONAL GUSTS UPWARDS OF 20 MPH. WITH THE CLOUD COVER EXPECTED  
TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA, MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN  
THE 30S THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING  
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE ESE THROUGH THE  
OVERNIGHT WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH, WITH A FEW GUSTS UPWARDS OF  
20 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY, SUSTAINED AT  
15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 30 MPH.  
   
PERIOD 1
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
8 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 22 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM  
SKY (%).........68 64 65 66 70 74 78 83 88 93 94 94  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 45 48 50 53 54 55 55 55 54 52 51  
RH..............46 41 39 36 33 34 34 35 35 36 39 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 28 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF DRIZZLE  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 44 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BAERG  
REQUESTED BY...JASON DAVIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1704910.0/TOP  
 
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