051  
FNUS73 KTOP 241714  
FWSTOP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLE CREEK NORTH...US FISH/WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
1214 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON AND A COLD FRONT  
MOVING EASTWARD WILL PASS THROUGH THE FIRE AREA AROUND 3-6 PM.  
THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP  
TO 15 KT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY  
AFTER 7 PM. THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE OVERNIGHT  
BETWEEN 12 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE  
FROM 0.25-0.60 INCHES.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.  
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5000 FT AGL  
INCREASING TO 7000-7400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL  
TOWARD EVENING DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL TOWARD  
EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM  
SKY (%).........18 39 73 73 81 80  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............69 73 73 70 65 59  
RH..............33 27 26 31 43 64  
20 FT WIND......N 3 N 7 N 8 N 8 N 9 NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 60  
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.  
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE  
EVENING. RAIN LIKELY LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.  
RH..................MIN 69 PERCENT.  
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN  
LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90  
PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3200 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SANDERS  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN DUNBAR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1807656.0/TOP  
 
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