127  
FXUS63 KDDC 080616  
AFDDDC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
1216 AM CST THU DEC 8 2016  
   
..UPDATED AVIATION SECTION
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 302 PM CST WED DEC 7 2016  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO WESTERN KANSAS LATE TONIGHT  
AND THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. TEMPERATURES  
SHOULD FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS TO  
AROUND 12 IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE FROM  
-5 TO -12 TOWARD MORNING IN WESTERN KANSAS. WITH ARCTIC HIGH  
PRESSURE IN PLACE, TEMPERATURES AREN'T EXPECTED TO GET OUT OF THE  
20S ON THURSDAY.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 302 PM CST WED DEC 7 2016  
 
AFTER A VERY CHILLY MORNING ON FRIDAY, A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL  
COMMENCE. HIGHS WILL RISE INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S BY SATURDAY.  
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS  
BY SUNDAY. THERE IS ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM  
AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SNOW BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS. BUT IF  
THE SYSTEM IS EVEN FASTER MOVING THEN NO PRECIPITATION WOULD  
OCCUR.  
 
A VERY COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS BY TUESDAY AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA BY  
WEDNESDAY. WESTERN KANSAS WILL BE ON THE WESTERN END OF THE  
ASSOCIATED ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SO THAT THE COLD SHOT  
SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 20S ON  
WEDNESDAY BEFORE MODERATING LATER IN THE WEEK. CHANCES OF  
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION LOOK VERY LOW THROUGH DECEMBER 17TH.  
 
&  
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 500 PM CST WED DEC 7 2016  
 
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATER THIS EVENING. VFR WILL THEN  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PD. NW-NE WINDS @ 5-15 KT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CST WED DEC 7 2016  
 
HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS REGION  
THIS TAF PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF THE  
DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENT REGIME. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE  
FORECAST.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
DDC 8 28 10 35 / 10 0 0 0  
GCK 4 25 9 38 / 10 0 0 0  
EHA 6 27 14 45 / 0 0 0 0  
LBL 7 28 13 42 / 0 0 0 0  
HYS 6 24 7 32 / 10 0 0 0  
P28 12 29 10 35 / 10 0 0 0  
 

 
   
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...FINCH  
LONG TERM...FINCH  
AVIATION...RUSSELL  
 
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