874  
FXUS63 KICT 222329  
AFDICT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
529 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 215 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017  
 
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA TODAY IS  
PROGGED TO MOVE EAST AND NORTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.  
THROUGH TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA  
IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES. THIS  
WILL LEAD TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING AS WIND SPEEDS DROP OFF WITH  
LOWS FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR SOME LOCATIONS.  
 
MON-TUE...A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS ON MON  
WHILE ANOTHER VIGOROUS TROUGH BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT  
BASIN/SOUTHWEST STATES. LOW PRESSURE IS PROGGED TO DEEPEN OVER THE  
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS RESULTING IN BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS MUCH  
OF KANSAS ON MON INTO EARLY TUE. THIS WILL HELP DRIVE TEMPERATURES  
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S ON MON. THE MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE  
OVER THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF NEBRASKA ON TUESDAY.  
MEANWHILE, A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SOUTH OF THE LOW MOVING ACROSS  
KANSAS DURING THE DAY ON TUE. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WIDE RANGE OF  
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOW 60S OVER SOUTHEAST KS TO THE UPPER  
40S ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL KS. OTHER THAN A FEW FLURRIES, THE BULK  
OF THE QPF IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.  
 
WED...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE  
WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WITH  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S FOR MOST LOCATIONS.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 215 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017  
 
DRY AND QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA  
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS SHUNTED WELL  
SOUTH OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR CLIMATE NORMALS  
THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 529 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017  
 
EXCEPT FOR SOME LINGERING MVFR CIGS EARLY THIS EVENING IN FAR  
SOUTHEAST KANSAS, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA  
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND  
BECOME LIGHT AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN  
KANSAS OVERNIGHT. SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED ON  
MONDAY ALONG WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS BY THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
KED  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
WICHITA-KICT 29 55 39 58 / 0 0 0 10  
HUTCHINSON 26 55 38 55 / 0 0 0 10  
NEWTON 28 54 39 55 / 0 0 0 10  
ELDORADO 26 55 40 58 / 0 0 0 10  
WINFIELD-KWLD 27 56 41 61 / 0 0 0 10  
RUSSELL 24 54 35 49 / 0 0 0 10  
GREAT BEND 24 54 36 51 / 0 0 0 10  
SALINA 26 54 37 53 / 0 0 0 10  
MCPHERSON 27 54 37 54 / 0 0 0 10  
COFFEYVILLE 30 55 41 63 / 0 0 0 10  
CHANUTE 29 53 39 61 / 0 0 0 10  
IOLA 29 52 39 60 / 0 0 0 10  
PARSONS-KPPF 29 54 40 62 / 0 0 0 10  
 

 
   
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...MWM  
LONG TERM...MWM  
AVIATION...KED  
 
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