637
FXUS63 KICT 081951
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
251 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLY MILD DAYS/COOL NIGHTS THRU THE END OF THE WEEK.
- MODEST CHANCES FOR RAIN/STORMS RETURN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2024
CHAMBER OF COMMERCE TYPE WEATHER EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH
SEASONABLY MILD DAYS AND A RELATIVELY TAME KANSAS WIND. SURFACE
CONVECTION HAS EXITED STAGE RIGHT AT MID-AFTERNOON AS THE COLD
FRONT HAS MOVED OUT OF OUR SOUTHEAST KANSAS COUNTIES. A
SECONDARY WEAK FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTH FROM NEBRASKA AND
REINFORCE THE MODESTLY COOLER/DRIER (YET SEASONABLY MILD) AIR
ACROSS THE AREA FOR THURSDAY AS SORT OF A COL DEVELOPS ALOFT
OVER NEBRASKA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BETWEEN THE UPPER TROF
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND UPPER LOW OVER THE CANYONLAND REGION
OF EASTERN UTAH. THE SEASONABLY MILD DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS LOOK
TO PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT WARM-UP BY SATURDAY
UNDER WEAK RIDGING ALOFT, BETWEEN ANOTHER TROF MOVING ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES AND UPPER LOW CENTER WOBBLING FROM THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION WEST INTO A PORTION OF THE GREAT BASIN. THE
WESTERN CONUS UPPER LOW/TROF LOOKS TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD
TOWARD AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING
MODEST RAIN/THUNDER CHANCES TO THE AREA AGAIN. UPPER FLOW AND
INSTABILITY COMBO APPEAR RATHER MODEST AS WELL, SO RISK FOR
ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION/SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS LOW AS WELL.
DARMOFAL
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2024
THERE ARE MINIMAL AVIATION CONCERNS THROUGH THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. A BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
FLINT HILLS. ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE STAYED IN THE FAR
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE AND AWAY FROM KCNU WHICH IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THERE ARE BREEZY WINDS BEHIND
THE BOUNDARY WHICH WILL LAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
SUBSIDING AROUND 0Z. THURSDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE BREEZY AS WELL.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KED
AVIATION...VJP
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