386
FXUS63 KSGF 221057
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
557 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018
..UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 241 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018
THE AREA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN A DEEP TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS
AND RIDGING TO THE WEST. THIS WILL KEEP A NORTHERLY LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
MAKE FOR ANOTHER WARM BUT PLEASANT DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
THE MISSOURI OZARKS WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN MIDDLE 80S TO
AROUND 90 THIS AFTERNOON.
CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT, WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 60S
AND PERHAPS NEAR 60 IN SOME OF THE COOLER LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
EASTERN OZARKS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD SOUTH
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK, KEEPING THE WESTERN RIDGE
WEST OF THE AREA. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THIS
PATTERN THROUGH MID WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 80S
TO THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK.
THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE TOWARD THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER LOW TO THE EAST WILL OPEN UP AND BEGIN TO
TRANSLATE EASTWARD, WHILE ANOTHER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER CANADA AND
DROPS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION, WITH ITS INFLUENCE EXTENDING
SOUTHWARD INTO MISSOURI. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING A SURFACE
BOUNDARY SAGGING INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AND THEN INTO THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE DURING THIS TIME FRAME, AND AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL COME FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES STILL LOOK SEASONAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN
THE 60S.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 557 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ONLY A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF
THE NORTH AT LESS THAN 12 KNOTS
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
SHORT TERM...RABERDING
LONG TERM...RABERDING
AVIATION...RABERDING
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