646  
FXUS63 KSGF 302338  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
638 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017  
 
UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY SITUATED OVER SOUTHCENTRAL KANSAS WITH  
THE SURFACE LOW ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER NEAR JEFF CITY WITH THE  
OCCULED SURFACE LOW BACK IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. SURFACE FRONT  
EXTENDS FROM VERSAILLES TO GAINESVILLE AS DEFINED BY RADAR. SOME  
LIGHT RAIN IS PRESENT ALONG THE FRONT BUT LITTLE IF ANY  
ACCUMULATION IS FORECAST. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED  
TO EXPIRE AT 7 PM.  
 
DRY SLOT CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE AREA. AS THE LOW CONTINUES  
MOVING NORTHEAST TONIGHT...COULD SEE SOME RESIDUAL RAIN ASSOCIATED  
WITH THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE BUT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. AS  
THE LOW HEADS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...CLOUDS  
SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE. LOWS TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE  
40S WITH HIGHS MONDAY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017  
 
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY SHOULD BE PLEASANT WITH TEMPERATURES  
CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. NEXT WEATHER MAKER BEGINS TO APPROACH  
THE REGION ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA  
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WITH ALL THE RAIN THAT WE HAVE HAD IN THE  
PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS...SOILS ARE NOW COMPLETELY SATURATED.  
WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2" ARE BEING  
FORECAST...THIS SYSTEM WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.  
 
ONCE THIS SYSTEM GETS THROUGH...IT LOOKS LIKE THE REMAINDER OF THE  
FORECAST WILL BE DRY. IT WILL BE A BIT COOLER AS THE AREA WILL BE  
IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017  
 
PILOTS CAN EXPECT CEILINGS TO GRADUALLY LOWER TONIGHT INTO THE  
MVFR CATEGORY. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. CLOUD  
COVER WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE CEILINGS LIFT AND  
SCATTER OUT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUST SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY  
WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH FREQUENT SURFACE WIND  
GUSTS OVER 20 KTS.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ055>058-  
066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.  
 
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ073-097-101.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...GAEDE  
LONG TERM...GAEDE  
AVIATION...FOSTER  
 
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