386  
FXUS63 KSGF 221057  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
557 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018  
   
..UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 241 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018  
 
THE AREA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN A DEEP TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS  
AND RIDGING TO THE WEST. THIS WILL KEEP A NORTHERLY LOW AND UPPER  
LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL  
MAKE FOR ANOTHER WARM BUT PLEASANT DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND  
THE MISSOURI OZARKS WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN MIDDLE 80S TO  
AROUND 90 THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT, WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 60S  
AND PERHAPS NEAR 60 IN SOME OF THE COOLER LOCATIONS ACROSS THE  
EASTERN OZARKS.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 241 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018  
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD SOUTH  
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK, KEEPING THE WESTERN RIDGE  
WEST OF THE AREA. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THIS  
PATTERN THROUGH MID WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 80S  
TO THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK.  
 
THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE TOWARD THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO  
THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER LOW TO THE EAST WILL OPEN UP AND BEGIN TO  
TRANSLATE EASTWARD, WHILE ANOTHER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER CANADA AND  
DROPS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION, WITH ITS INFLUENCE EXTENDING  
SOUTHWARD INTO MISSOURI. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING A SURFACE  
BOUNDARY SAGGING INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY  
AND THEN INTO THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES  
WILL INCREASE DURING THIS TIME FRAME, AND AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS  
LIKE THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL COME FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
TEMPERATURES STILL LOOK SEASONAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN  
THE 60S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 557 AM CDT SUN JUL 22 2018  
 
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ONLY A FEW  
HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF  
THE NORTH AT LESS THAN 12 KNOTS  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...RABERDING  
LONG TERM...RABERDING  
AVIATION...RABERDING  
 
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