446  
FNUS71 KALY 221149  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOPLA RX FIRE...APB / NYS DEC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
749 AM EDT FRI SEP 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE  
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER  
THE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, PROVIDING DRY  
CONDITIONS AND CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL  
STORM JOSE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF CAPE COD, AND  
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH NO IMPACTS FOR  
EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. TEMPERATURES COULD  
REACH RECORD HIGH LEVELS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, AS THE RIDGE  
STRENGTHENS OVERHEAD.  
 
RH VALUES WILL DROP FROM THE 90S THIS MORNING TO 30-50 PERCENT  
THIS AFTERNOON, LOWEST WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY. WARMTH AND  
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE FOR THE WEEKEND, BUT RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 40-50 PERCENT DURING THE  
AFTERNOONS. HIGHS IN THE 80S WILL BE COMMON, POSSIBLY NEAR 90 IN  
THE WARMEST SPOTS ON SUNDAY.  
 
WINDS TODAY WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME  
HIGHER GUSTS, HIGHEST OVER WESTERN NEW ENGLAND, THE MID-HUDSON  
VALLEY, AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WINDS OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE  
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH OR LESS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...NONE  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...NONE  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...NONE  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 3000-3200 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...JPV  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1716136.0/ALY  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG,TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORGTHANK  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NY Page
The Nexlab VT Page
The Nexlab MA Page
The Nexlab CT Page Main Text Page