397  
FNUS73 KSGF 160025  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 147...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
725 PM CDT SAT APR 15 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2000 CDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING WITH INCREASING CLOUDS  
BEGINNING LATE THIS EVENING. CURRENT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EARLY THIS  
EVENING RANGE IN THE 50-55 PERCENT RANGE AND WILL INCREASE TO 85-90  
PERCENT RANGE OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
15 MPH EARLY WITH GUSTS DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET.  
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA  
AFTER 3 AM AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT REQUEST...MIN 63.  
RH..................57 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 87 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 2100-4000 FT  
AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /17300 KNOT-FT/ AT REQUEST. MIN...POOR  
/5300 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM  
SKY (%).........50 41 37 42 42 52 59 70 75 81 86  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 72 70 69 68 67 66 65 64 64 64  
DEWPOINT........58 58 58 58 58 59 58 58 58 58 58  
RH..............57 61 66 68 70 75 75 78 81 81 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.6 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/100017 16 17 14 13 11 9 8 7 6 5  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3500-13100 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........88 89 94 96 97 98 98 97 95 93 90 86  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............63 64 66 66 68 69 71 71 71 71 71 70  
DEWPOINT........58 59 60 61 61 61 61 61 61 60 60 60  
RH..............84 84 81 84 78 76 71 71 71 68 68 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW W SW SW S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 3  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10006 7 9 10 11 12 13 13 12 9 6 4  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...52 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1500-2800 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM  
SKY (%).........83 82 80 82 83 86 88 88 90 91 93 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............69 67 65 64 63 62 62 61 60 59 58 58  
DEWPOINT........60 59 57 57 57 57 57 57 56 56 56 56  
RH..............73 73 75 78 81 84 84 87 87 90 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SE SE E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10002 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...60 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.  
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
DURING MID MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3100 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (2900-10000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........97 97 97 97 96 95 94 92 87 85 84 81  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 40 40 40 40 40 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............59 60 61 63 66 68 70 71 72 72 72 71  
DEWPOINT........56 56 56 57 58 59 60 60 59 59 59 59  
RH..............90 87 84 81 75 73 71 68 64 64 64 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE E E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE S SW SW W W W SW SW S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 3 2 2 3  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10003 4 5 6 7 9 10 10 8 6 7 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...GAEDE  
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1706904.0/SGF  
.EMAIL MOMOCDISPATCH@FS.FED.US  
 
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