178  
FNUS73 KSGF 161431  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKEVIEW BEND...MO DEPT NATURAL RESOURCES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
831 AM CST THU NOV 16 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON NOVEMBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY RESULTING  
IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TODAY. HIGHS WILL TOP  
OUT IN THE MIDDLE 50S AS AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DROPS TO AROUND  
30 TO 35 PERCENT.  
 
THE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL  
BEGIN TO PICK AND WILL BE GUSTY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.  
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............27.  
APPARENT TEMP.......28.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500-1900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/9000 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 7 7 6 5 5 6 6 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 41 45 48 51 53 54 52 51  
DEWPOINT........28 28 28 29 28 28 28 29 29  
RH..............75 59 51 47 41 38 36 41 42  
APARNT TMP (F)..35 41 44 46 51 53 54 52 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 3 3 5 6 6 6  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/10006 7 6 5 6 8 9 8 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
DRIZZLE. CHANCE OF DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.  
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32 INCREASING TO 36 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
APPARENT TEMP.......39.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1800-9700 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........13 22 26 31 40 54 61 68 74 81 83 85  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 30  
TEMP............48 46 45 44 44 44 44 45 45 45 46 46  
DEWPOINT........30 30 31 31 32 32 33 34 35 36 37 38  
RH..............51 53 58 60 62 62 65 65 68 70 71 73  
APARNT TMP (F)..45 43 42 40 39 39 39 40 40 39 41 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 7 8 10 14 16 17 17  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2  
VRATE KT-FT/10003 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 7 10 10 9  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.  
RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 55.  
APPARENT TEMP.......64.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH  
DURING MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (9300-36200 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........84 83 80 79 80 82 83 85 89 90 91 93  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............46 49 49 51 54 57 60 62 64 64 64 64  
DEWPOINT........40 42 43 45 47 50 52 53 54 55 56 56  
RH..............79 77 80 80 77 77 75 72 70 73 75 75  
APARNT TMP (F)..41 44 44 51 54 57 60 62 64 64 64 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 24 26 26 25 25 26 28 28 25 23  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10009 11 15 19 23 26 29 33 36 36 28 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...WISE  
REQUESTED BY...CINDY HALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1718909.0/SGF  
.EMAIL CINDY.HALL@DNR.MO.GOV  
 
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