067  
FXUS63 KEAX 260422  
AFDEAX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
1122 PM CDT WED APR 25 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT WED APR 25 2018  
 
WHILE THIS RAINFALL IS NICE, AND MUCH NEEDED, THESE TEMPERATURES  
ARE NOT AS GREAT COMPARED TO THE LAST TWO DAYS. TEMPERATURES DID  
MAKE IT INTO THE 50S AND 60S EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT SINCE THE  
RAIN MOVED IN, TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED A FEW DEGREES. SO FAR,  
THOSE IN FAR WESTERN MO AND FAR EASTERN KS HAVE RECEIVED UP TO  
THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN WITH ANOTHER TWO TENTHS POSSIBLE  
BEFORE EVERYTHING IS SAID AND DONE. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE MOVING  
SOUTHEAST, REALLY ONLY IMPACTING THOSE SOUTH AND WEST OF  
KIRKSVILLE. THE RAIN SHOULD EXIT THE KC METRO AROUND SUNSET AND  
THE REST OF OUR AREA BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.  
 
THURSDAY SHOULD BE A PRETTY NICE SPRING DAY AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE AND  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. SOME CLOUDS WILL MOVE  
IN IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL GET INTO THE  
UPPER 60S. THURSDAY NIGHT, A WEAK BOUNDARY AND A QUICK MOVING  
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER MT, WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS  
THE MIDWEST. ALL MODELS DEPICT PRETTY DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE AS  
THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH, SO WITH THAT AND THE WEAK BOUNDARY, WE  
DON'T ANTICIPATE RAIN CHANCES ANYMORE.  
 
THE WELL-ADVERTISED UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH ARE STILL  
ON TRACK TO BRING US GORGEOUS WEATHER FOR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT  
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S FRIDAY  
AND SHOULD WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S, APPROACHING 80, BY MONDAY.  
 
ON MONDAY, WE SHOULD TRANSITION TO THE WARM SECTOR OF A DEVELOPING  
LOW. THIS WILL BE IN CONJUNCTION WITH A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING  
THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. WHILE THERE IS STILL TIME FOR THINGS TO  
CHANGE, THIS LOOKS TO BE OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR STORMS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT WED APR 25 2018  
 
THE IFR AND MVFR CEILINGS HAVE MOVED SOUTH OF THE AREA LEAVING  
ONLY POTENTIAL FOG THIS MORNING AS THE MAIN HAZARD. CURRENTLY THE  
SKIES ARE CLEARING OUT AND WINDS ARE LIGHT, BUT DRIER AIR IS  
PUSHING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS PUSH OF DRIER AIR  
SHOULD LIMIT ANY FOG FORMATION NORTH OF KANSAS CITY, BUT TO THE  
SOUTH WHERE THE DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN HIGHER FOG IS A CONCERN.  
CURRENTLY IXD IS GOING INTO IFR VISIBILITY CONDITIONS AND MAY  
EVEN DROP TO LIFR IN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. THIS DRY AIR WILL  
EVENTUALLY MAKE ITS WAY TO THE SOUTH AND START TO CLEAR OUT THE  
FOG JUST BEFORE SUNRISE SO THIS TREND IS IN THE IXD TAF. THIS FOG  
WILL BE SHALLOW AND SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY AT SUNRISE LEAVING VFR  
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE PERIOD.  
 

 
   
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...GRANA  
AVIATION...BARHAM  
 
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