561  
FXUS63 KSGF 220655  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
1255 AM CST WED NOV 22 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL SLOWLY SETTLE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE  
OZARKS. THE LOW AND MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY  
DRY, HOWEVER SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL ONCE AGAIN MAKE AN  
APPEARANCE AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS  
EVENING. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS ONLY WARMING  
INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S.  
 
AFTER LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TODAY, LIGHT SOUTH WINDS ARE THEN  
EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT. DESPITE THE SOUTH WIND, WE HAVE LEANED  
TOWARDS THE COOL SIDE OF MODEL GUIDANCE OVER MOST AREAS WITH DEW  
POINTS IN THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER TWENTIES. LOWS SHOULD RANGE  
FROM THE MIDDLE 20S OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS TO THE LOWER 30S BACK  
TOWARDS I-49.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST WED NOV 22 2017  
 
QUIET WEATHER WILL PERSIST FROM THANKSGIVING THROUGH THE UPCOMING  
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES LOOK MILD, ESPECIALLY FOR FRIDAY WITH HIGHS  
GETTING WELL INTO THE 60S. ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT WILL PASS  
THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER  
(BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL) TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  
 
GLOBAL MODELS THEN INDICATE A STRONGER TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE  
ROCKIES EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE SHOULD SEE ANOTHER WARMING TREND AHEAD  
OF THIS TROUGH ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. IF  
"QUALITY" MOISTURE CAN RETURN IN TIME AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH AND  
ASSOCIATED SURFACE FORCING, WE MAY ACTUALLY SEE A CHANCE FOR RAIN  
SHOWERS BY NEXT TUESDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CST TUE NOV 21 2017  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
PROVIDING VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT  
SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...SCHAUMANN  
LONG TERM...SCHAUMANN  
AVIATION...FOSTER  
 
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