102  
FNUS54 KMEG 190818  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A CONTINUATION OF  
RAIN FREE WEATHER TO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. SHOWER  
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA ESPECIALLY  
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND  
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
A REINFORCING COLD FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR  
INTO THE AREA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL  
AVERAGE BETWEEN 35 TO 40 PERCENT.  
 
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192330-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-  
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 79 (+4) 51 (+4) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (0) 85 (-5) 38  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 3-7 SE 2-6 S 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 943 911  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3093 2989  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1030 999  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3380 3277  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 S 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 S 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3090 4995  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 S 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 S 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 4 24  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4 4  
STABILITY B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192330-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+2) 51 (+3) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (-1) 86 (-5) 39  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 940 1073  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3083 3520  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1002 1135  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3289 3725  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 2 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 3 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2004 4540  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 72  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 S 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 S 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 4 19  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4 4  
STABILITY B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. ARE    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-192330-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE ARE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+2) 48 (+5) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (0) 89 (-7) 38  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 848 686  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2782 2250  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 972 810  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3190 2657  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 3 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 6 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2916 3240  
CATEGORY DAY 2 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 S 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 S 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 4 17  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4 4  
STABILITY B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH LATE IN THE EVENING.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-192330-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+4) 48 (+5) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-2) 90 (-6) 38  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 2-ARE 6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 796 728  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2613 2388  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 921 853  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3023 2799  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 2 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 3 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1842 3412  
CATEGORY DAY 1 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 S 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 S 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 4 16  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4 4  
STABILITY B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH LATE IN THE EVENING.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192330-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+2) 50 (+4) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 34 (0) 90 (-3) 38  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 885 989  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2905 3245  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 958 1061  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3143 3481  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 2 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 3 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1916 4244  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 71  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 3 SE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 8 SE 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 4 18  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4 4  
STABILITY B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192330-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
318 AM CDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+3) 48 (+4) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 92 (-3) 36  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 781 871  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2563 2856  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 909 996  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2982 3268  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 2 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 3 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1818 3984  
CATEGORY DAY 1 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 SE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 8 SE 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 8 3 15  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4 4  
STABILITY B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE  
IN THE EVENING.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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