725
FNUS54 KMEG 041938
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS
AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS
THE MIDSOUTH. THIS FRONT WILL STALL OVER EASTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTH
MISSISSIPPI ON SATURDAY PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. BY SUNDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS SOMEWHAT DRIER CONDITIONS MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH.
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-051115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 30 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-4) 89 (+11) 70 90
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+5) 48 (-23) 93 50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 2380 2748
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7809 9016
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 2466 2834
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 8091 9298
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 SW 1
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 SW 2
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7398 2834
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 2 SW 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 4 SW 6
DISPERSION INDEX 9 25 8 18
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY D D D D
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-051115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 40 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (-2) 89 (+5) 71 89
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+7) 54 (-7) 95 52
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 2-6 S 2-6 SW 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.20 0.22 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 2 2
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 2935 3084
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 9628 10119
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 2997 3146
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 9832 10323
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 W 1
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 W 1
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8991 3146
CATEGORY DAY 4 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 86
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 2 SW 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 4 SW 5
DISPERSION INDEX 20 28 9 18
LASI 3 3 3 4
STABILITY D D D D
STAGNATION INDEX 1 2 2 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-051-051115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...NORTHERN WEST TENNESSEE
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-7) 87 (+5) 66 89
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+21) 51 (-9) 97 49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 2-6 LGT/VAR SW 3-7
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.16 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 2207 2741
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7240 8993
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 2327 2861
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 7634 9386
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 SW 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 SW 3
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6981 5722
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 83
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 2 SW 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 5 SW 5
DISPERSION INDEX 13 24 6 14
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY D D D D
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-051115-
CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE-
MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...SOUTHERN WEST TENNESSEE
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 30 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-4) 89 (+5) 68 89
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+13) 50 (-7) 99 51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR W 2-6 LGT/VAR S 3-7
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.27 0.13 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 2293 2729
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7523 8954
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 2416 2851
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 7926 9354
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 SE 1
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 SE 2
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7248 2851
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 83
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 S 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 6 S 6
DISPERSION INDEX 15 26 9 12
LASI 3 3 3 4
STABILITY D D D D
STAGNATION INDEX 1 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-051115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 50 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-2) 87 (-2) 70 89
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+10) 58 (+5) 97 53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 2-6 S 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 3-7 SW 4-8 S 2-6 SW 4-8
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.48 0.30 0.15 0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 3 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 2839 2769
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 9314 9083
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 2911 2840
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 9550 9319
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 NW 1
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 NW 2
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8733 2840
CATEGORY DAY 4 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 W 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 6 W 5
DISPERSION INDEX 20 29 12 19
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY D D D D
STAGNATION INDEX 1 2 1 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-051115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
238 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2008
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 50 40 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-3) 88 (0) 68 89
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+22) 55 (+4) 99 53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 3-7 LGT/VAR SW 3-7
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.59 0.27 0.11 0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 3 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 2313 2329
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7588 7641
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 2438 2453
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 7999 8048
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 2 S 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 5 S 3
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4876 4906
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 82
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 4 SW 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 9 SW 6
DISPERSION INDEX 19 32 8 18
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY D D D D
STAGNATION INDEX 0 3 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
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