715  
FXUS64 KMOB 242356  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
656 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016  
   
DISCUSSION
 
UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
00Z ISSUANCE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SW ALABAMA AND SCATTERED  
OVER SE MISSISSIPPI SHOULD DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. VFR  
CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL ACROSS THE FLYING AREA THROUGH MID  
MORNING. BY MID MORNING DEVELOPING CUMULUS CLOUD FIELDS WILL CREATE  
PATCHY MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR  
IFR IN AND AROUND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
SHOULD ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST IN THE MORNING AND  
GRADUALLY SPREAD INLAND DURING THE DAY. /08  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 334 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/  
 
NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH MONDAY/...AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING  
EASTWARD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES  
AND WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL DIVIDE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER REGION  
AS AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA  
MOVES EAST. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF  
OF MEXICO BY THE END OF THE NEAR TERM, WITH AN INVERTED UPPER  
TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
STATES. MEANWHILE A SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN FIXED ACROSS THE  
WESTERN ATLANTIC AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO KEEPING A LIGHT SOUTHERLY  
WIND FLOW AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION.  
 
THE ISOLATED TO LOW-END SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS FORMING ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON WILL  
CONTINUE TO MIGRATE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.  
MAINTAIN ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH  
10 PM FOLLOWED BY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT, WITH THE  
EXCEPTION OF ISOLATED COVERAGE IMPINGING ALONG THE COAST AGAIN LATE  
TONIGHT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL AGAIN OCCUR ALONG THE COAST NEAR A DEVELOPING SEABREEZE AND  
EXPAND NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY.  
 
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 72 TO 77 DEGREES. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM 90 TO 95 DEGREES INLAND AREAS  
WITH UPPER 80S AT THE BEACHES. HEAT INDICES MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM  
100 TO 105 DEGREES. /22  
 
SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...THE UPPER LOW  
WILL OPEN UP INTO AN INVERTED TROF OVER THE NORTHERN GULF ON TUESDAY  
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY.  
HIGHER THAN NORMAL RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS THE TROF  
MOVES WESTWARD. THE ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND ASSOCIATED RAIN WILL KEEP  
TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO  
MID 70S INLAND TO UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST. /13  
 
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL  
RIDGING WILL REBUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS  
WILL RETURN THE GULF COAST TO A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN. AS  
RAIN COVERAGE DECREASES, TEMPS WILL INCREASE BACK INTO THE LOW TO  
MID 90S. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE  
EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. /13  
 
MARINE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN  
ATLANTIC INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS  
WILL RESULT IN A LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE ONSHORE WIND FLOW WITH  
SEAS NEAR 2 FEET. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
OCCUR EACH DAY THIS WEEK. /22  
 

 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:  
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB  
 
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