810  
FXUS64 KMOB 300451  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1151 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016  
   
DISCUSSION
 
UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
06Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO PREVAIL  
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THERE IS THE  
POSSIBLITY FOR SOME PATCHY MVFR TO IFR FOG DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT  
AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, MAINLY AWAY FROM THE COAST. LEFT VFR  
VISIBILITY IN THE TAF'S WITH THIS ISSUANCE, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA SHOULD ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP  
THURSDAY. INCLUDED VCTS MENTION IN THE LOCAL FORECASTS STARTING  
AROUND 18Z, WITH PROB30 GROUPS AT KMOB/KBFM AND A TEMPO AT KPNS  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS  
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER TSRA. /21  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 957 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016/  
 
DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION FOR LAND AREAS BELOW.  
 
UPDATE...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS  
LARGELY DIMINISHED ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. SATELLITE  
IMAGERY STILL SHOWS PLENTIFUL MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER STRETCHING  
ACROSS THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF A WEAK BOUNDARY THAT CONTINUES TO  
SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MS AND AL. A VERY MOIST  
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH PRECIPITABLE  
WATER VALUES RANGING FROM AROUND 1.5-1.75" INLAND AND CLOSE TO 2.0"  
NEAR THE COAST. WE HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO LOWER POPS TO SLIGHT  
CHANCE ACROSS INLAND AREAS TONIGHT, BUT WILL STILL KEEP A CHANCE  
NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER AIRMASS.  
THE HRRR, IN ADDITION TO THE GFS, ECMWF AND NAM ALSO INDICATE  
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO INCREASE OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT/TOWARD  
SUNRISE, SO HAVE RAISED POPS DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OVER THE  
COASTAL WATERS. ALL OTHER FORECAST ELEMENTS LOOK ON TRACK. /21  
 

 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:  
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB  
 
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