517  
FXUS64 KMOB 242333 AAA  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
633 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014  
   
AVIATION
 
 
25.00Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 26.00Z. A LIGHT NORTHERLY  
WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 26.00Z 32/EE  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
MADE MINOR TWEAKS MOSTLY TO THE INSHORE WATERS INCREASING  
WINDS SLIGHTLY FOR COLD AIR DRAINAGE EARLY SAT MORNING. 32/EE  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 353 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/  
 
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND SATURDAY)...AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY  
INDICATES THE AXIS OF THE UPPER SHORTWAVE IS MOVING EAST OF THE AREA.  
DUE TO THE VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE...IT WAS BARELY ABLE TO CAUSE A FEW  
CLOUDS. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS  
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY NORTHWEST  
FLOW ALOFT AND WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING TO OUR WEST...A COOL  
AND DRY NORTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE. AS A  
RESULT...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH  
SATURDAY. TEMPS WILL AGAIN FALL INTO THE LOW AND MID 40S INLAND  
TONIGHT TO UPPER 50S ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL WARM A  
COUPLE OF DEGREES TO AROUND 80 IN MOST LOCATIONS. 13/JC  
 
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...RIDGING AT BOTH THE SFC AND  
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY  
SFC FLOW WILL TURN MORE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BUT REMAIN LIGHT AS THE SFC  
RIDGE SLIDES EAST TO THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW ATMOSPHERIC  
MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST PART OF  
THE WEEKEND ESPECIALLY WITH REGARD TO DAYTIME HIGHS. ON SUNDAY LOOK  
FOR MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S OVER INTERIOR ZONES...UPPER 70S  
AND LOWER 80S AT THE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS SIMILAR BOTH SATURDAY  
NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...LOW TO MID 50S INTERIOR AND UPPER 50S (AND  
EVEN A FEW LOWER 60S) COASTAL. SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH  
THE PERIOD. 12/DS  
 
LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...NO CHANGES MADE TO LONGER TERM  
FCST THIS AFTERNOON. STILL LOOKING AT AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE DURING  
THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER FRONTAL BOUNDARY DROPS  
SOUTH IN THE GULF COAST STATES. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL BE  
EXPECTED. PRECIPITABLE WATERS ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB TO 1.25-1.5  
INCHES BY MIDWEEK...BUT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS ARE STILL FORECAST TO  
REMAIN FAIRLY DRY. SO WHILE HUMIDITY LEVELS INCREASE THROUGH THE  
COURSE OF THE WEEK...WILL ONLY INTRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
WED/THU AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW TRANSITIONS TO SEMI-ZONAL. ANY COLD FRONT  
PASSAGE LOOKS TO BE DELAYED TO JUST BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
12/DS & 34/JFB  
 
AVIATION...  
25.00Z ISSUANCE...  
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST UNDER LIGHT NORTHERLY  
FLOW. 13/JC  
 
MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY  
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW A NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH MUCH OF  
THE WEEKEND TO BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH  
MIDWEEK. 13/JC  
 
FIRE WEATHER...NO HEADLINES. RED FLAG CRITERIA ABOVE CRITICAL  
LEVELS. 12/DS  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
MOBILE 76 51 80 58 83 / 00 00 00 00 00  
PENSACOLA 76 55 80 60 82 / 00 00 00 00 00  
DESTIN 75 59 79 66 79 / 00 00 00 00 00  
EVERGREEN 75 44 80 51 84 / 00 00 00 00 00  
WAYNESBORO 76 46 82 51 85 / 00 00 00 00 00  
CAMDEN 76 44 80 51 85 / 00 00 00 00 00  
CRESTVIEW 76 42 81 49 84 / 00 00 00 00 00  
 

 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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