953  
FNUS73 KGID 021256  
FWSGID  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FT. KEARNEY COMPLEX...PLATTE RIVER RECOVERY IMPLEMENTATION PROGRAM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
756 AM CDT THU NOV 2 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON NOVEMBER 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE WIND WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTH NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT  
THE DAY TIME HOURS WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 13 TO 18 MPH AND SOME  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
 
THE WIND WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND BECOME MORE EASTERLY AS  
WE HEAD THROUGH TONIGHT. THE WIND WILL THEN SHIFT FROM EASTERLY  
FRIDAY MORNING TO SOUTHEASTERLY BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN  
FAIRLY LIGHT AT 5 TO 15 MPH. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE  
TONIGHT AND WITH SOME WARM ADVECTION THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY  
FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AS THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES  
ON FRIDAY THERE COULD BE SOME DRIZZLE THAT SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA  
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50 AT 3 PM.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT 3 PM.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3800 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT  
AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........68 63 57 53 48 44 41 39 36 35 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 36 37 40 43 46 49 50 50 49 46  
RH..............96 96 92 82 73 65 58 56 56 58 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 12 10 10 10 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.5 2.6 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14 12 9  
HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31 AT 6 AM FRIDAY.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM  
SKY (%).........34 38 42 45 48 51 54 57 61 64 65 66  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 41 38 37 36 35 34 34 33 32 31 31  
RH..............73 79 85 89 89 92 92 89 92 92 96 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 3 3 5 7  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FOG LATE IN  
THE MORNING. PATCHY DRIZZLE LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48 AT 3 PM.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT AT 3 PM.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-2700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........66 68 75 83 79 80 73 78 74 72 75 78  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG DZL DZL DZL  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............31 31 33 34 37 40 43 46 48 48 47 45  
RH..............100 100 96 92 82 76 67 63 60 63 68 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 12 14 15 16 16 15 14 14 13  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...WESELY  
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM ROLLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1718310.0/GID  
 
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