963  
FXUS63 KGID 210014  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
614 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 228 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017  
 
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE  
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES ARE OCCURRING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD  
FRONT...EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA DURING THE  
OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS  
TUESDAY. WITH THESE WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIRMASS IN  
PLACE...BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE RESULTING IN NEAR  
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE ELEVATED  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH A RELATIVE MILD EVENING IN STORE FOR MUCH  
OF THE LOCAL AREA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
CAN BE FOUND IN THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW.  
 
FOR TUESDAY...EXPECT AN ABRUPT SHIFT IN WINDS TOWARDS DAYBREAK AS  
THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.  
THE BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A RETURN TO  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TOMORROW AFTERNOON...MAKING FOR A RATHER  
BRISK DAY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. IN ADDITION...AS DETAILED BY THE  
PREVIOUS SHIFT...MODELS ARE INDICATING SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION  
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WITH THE  
PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...BUT WITH  
THE VERY DRY AIRMASS AT THE SURFACE...CANNOT IMAGINE MUCH MORE  
THAN A FEW FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES AROUND DAYBREAK. BECAUSE OF  
THIS...DID ADD THE MENTION OF BOTH THROUGH MID MORNING...WITH DRY  
AND SUNNY CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 228 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017  
 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH  
THE EXTENDED PERIODS. EXPECT HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT TO GIVE WAY TO A  
WEAK COLD FRONT LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WHICH WILL HELP TO  
KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS OVER THE  
UPCOMING WEEKEND. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...HOWEVER...EXPECT WELL  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...WHEN  
WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 WILL BE POSSIBLE. FOR NOW...IT  
APPEARS RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAND FOR  
FRIDAY...BUT THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH AS BOTH GRAND ISLAND  
AND HASTINGS RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE 24TH OF NOVEMBER IS  
72 DEGREES. JUST PAST THE CURRENT SCOPE OF THE EXTENDED...MODELS  
DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY...AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT  
AND PROGRESSION OF A WEST COAST STORM TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK TO SEE IF WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO FINALLY REALIZE A LITTLE  
PRECIPITATION LOCALLY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 558 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST  
VALID PERIOD. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH  
CLOUDS. THE WIND AFTER BECOMING LIGHT TONIGHT WILL BE RATHER  
BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTH ON TUESDAY.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 228 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017  
 
NEAR TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS  
AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM ORD NEBRASKA TO  
STOCKTON KANSAS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WHILE RH VALUES  
ARE BELOW THE CRITICAL THRESHOLD ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS  
AFTERNOON...WINDS ARE THE LIMITING FACTOR WITH ONLY A FEW SPOTS  
SPORADICALLY REACHING CRITICAL WIND OR WIND GUST CRITERIA. AS A  
RESULT...HELD OFF ON A HEADLINE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT CONDITIONS  
WILL LIKELY REMAIN CLOSE...AND POSSIBLY TEMPORARILY EXCEED  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...THROUGH ABOUT 5 PM CST.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...ROSSI  
LONG TERM...ROSSI  
AVIATION...WESELY  
FIRE WEATHER...ROSSI  
 
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