985  
FXUS63 KGID 280000  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
700 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 319 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
CURRENT STRATUS HAS BEEN SLOW TO ERODE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THE  
WESTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS HAVE SEEN A LITTLE SUN THIS AFTERNOON.  
THE SOUTHEAST MAY STRUGGLE TO GET MUCH SUN UNLESS IT ERODES A LITTLE  
FASTER. THE CLOUDS HAVE ALSO IMPACTED TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON  
AND WILL LIKELY COOL THINGS OF A LITTLE.  
 
WITH THE STRATUS NOT GOING AWAY, THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME MORE  
STRATUS AND SOME FOG TONIGHT. WITH THE SURFACE HIGH GRADUALLY MOVING  
TO THE EAST, THERE WILL BE A MORE EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS  
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.  
 
LATE TONIGHT THERE WILL BE AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT APPROACHES FROM  
AN UPPER LOW ON THE HIGH PLAINS. SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOULD MOVE INTO  
THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT. ON TUESDAY, THE  
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN  
PLAINS. THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SPREADS TO THE EAST AND MUCH OF  
THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD GET SOME PRECIPITATION BY LATE AFTERNOON.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 319 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH  
THURSDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BRING CHANCES FOR  
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE FROM TUESDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE FAIRLY  
WIDESPREAD AND THERE SHOULD BE SOME BENEFICIAL RAIN FOR MOST. BY  
THURSDAY, THE UPPER LOW IS MOVING TO THE EAST AND PRECIPITATION  
SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
 
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY THERE IS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVING  
THROUGH THE AREA AND A SURFACE HIGH DRIFTS THROUGH. THIS PERIOD  
SHOULD BE DRY, EVEN IF THERE ARE SOME CLOUDS AROUND THE AREA.  
 
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THERE IS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW  
THAT MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN  
PLAINS. THE MODELS HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THEM THAT COULD LEAD TO  
SOME CHANGES IN THE WEATHER. THE ECMWF HAS MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE THAT  
MOVES THROUGH A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE GFS WITH A CUT OFF LOW IN THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS THAT IS SLOWER. THERE ARE STILL SOME GOOD CHANCES  
FOR SOME PRECIPITATION, BUT WITH THE MODEL DIFFERENCES, THERE IS A  
LITTLE UNCERTAINTY. THAT UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY THROUGH  
MONDAY. CURRENTLY HAVE FOLLOWED MORE OF THE ECMWF WITH THE OPEN WAVE  
THAT GIVES A BREAK DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY, THEN BRINGS IN ANOTHER  
WAVE MONDAY.  
 
THROUGH THE PERIOD, TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE  
OF NORMAL OR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A COUPLE OF THE NIGHTS MAY BE A  
LITTLE ON THE COOLER SIDE AND THERE COULD BE A MIX OF SNOW. HAVE  
TRIED TO KEEP THIS TO A MINIMUM SINCE IT HAS BEEN SO WARM IT MAY BE  
A BIT OF A CHALLENGE TO GET MUCH SNOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 657 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017  
 
BIGGEST ISSUE WILL BE CHANCE OF FOG. BEING ON THE WEST EDGE OF  
STRATUS AND LIGHT WIND WILL PUT US IN A POSITION OF POTENTIAL  
LOWER FOG THAN IN THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY,  
AND VISIBILITY MAY NEED LOWERED, DESPITE SOME MODELS NOT PICKING  
UP ON ANY DENSE FOG.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...JCB  
LONG TERM...JCB  
AVIATION...HEINLEIN  
 
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