113
FNUS54 KEPZ 241329
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS
DISCUSSION
DRY SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...THUS KEEPING THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF THE
RIO GRANDE. AS HAS BEEN THE PATTERN FOR THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH STORMS THAT DEVELOP.
FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK REMNANT MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE DOLLY
REMAINS PROJECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION. THIS HAS BEEN SHOWN
FOR SEVERAL MODEL RUNS NOW SO HAVE INCREASED CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ON SATURDAY. SHOULD EVERYTHING PAN OUT AS CURRENTLY SHOWN...THERE COULD
BE PROBLEMS WITH FLOODING. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON SUBSEQUENT MODELS RUN FOR
ANY CHANGE.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-241900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....68-73.
BELOW 7500 FT....84-89.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....34-38 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....29-34 PCT.
24 HR TREND......5 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 8 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (67500 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....49-54.
BELOW 7500 FT....50-55.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....89-94 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....81-86 PCT.
24 HR TREND......3 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 8 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....71-76.
BELOW 7500 FT....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....38-43 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....35-40 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (82600 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52 TO 57. HIGHS 76 TO 81. 20-FT WINDS
EAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 48 TO 53%.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 77 TO 82. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
MINIMUM RH 43 TO 48%.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 75 TO 80. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM
RH 40 TO 45%.
NMZ111-241900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
SOUTHERN DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PCT.
24 HR TREND......12 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST TO SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (88200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PCT.
24 HR TREND......14 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 12 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (65400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S. 20-FT WINDS NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 43 TO 48%.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 30 TO 35%.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. 20-FT WINDS
WEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 27 TO 32%.
NMZ112-241900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112
SOUTHCENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-LNZ-
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PCT.
24 HR TREND......1 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST TO SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (86100 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PCT.
24 HR TREND......3 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 21 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 21 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (86800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 64 TO 69. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
20-FT WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 34 TO 39%.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 65 TO 70. HIGHS 87 TO 92. 20-FT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM
RH 30 TO 35%.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 66 TO 71. HIGHS 88 TO 93. 20-FT WINDS
WEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 25 TO 30%.
NMZ113-241900-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75.
BELOW 7500 FT....83-88.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....36-41 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....29-34 PCT.
24 HR TREND......3 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (59500 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50.
BELOW 7500 FT....57-62.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....83-88 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....79-84 PCT.
24 HR TREND......5 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 16 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
ABOVE 7500 FT....68-73.
BELOW 7500 FT....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........
ABOVE 7500 FT....41-45 PCT.
BELOW 7500 FT....36-41 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (80800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 75 TO 80. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 43 TO 48%.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 55 TO 60. HIGHS 78 TO 83. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RH 38 TO 43%.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 77 TO 82. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM
RH 35 TO 40%.
TXZ055-241900-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PCT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-25 PCT.
24 HR TREND......1 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 9 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (104400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-68 PCT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-36 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 21 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (95400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. 20-FT WINDS
EAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 37 TO 42%.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
MINIMUM RH 30 TO 35%.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 90S.
20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 24 TO 29%.
TXZ056-241900-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
729 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2008
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PCT.
24 HR TREND......1 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (99900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PCT.
24 HR TREND......15 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 23 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (101000 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 82 TO 87. 20-FT WINDS
EAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 41 TO 46%.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91. 20-FT WINDS
SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 30 TO 35%.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS
89 TO 94. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 26 TO 31%.
FCSTR - 23
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