355  
FNUS74 KEPZ 192112  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DARK...SAMRAMENTO RANGER DISTRICT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SANTA TERESA NM/EL PASO TX  
212 PM MST FRI JAN 19 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1500 MST ON JANUARY 19.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE EL PASO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  
 
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 5 PM MST  
SUNDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FRIDAY WILL BE DRY, MOSTLY SUNNY, AND WARMER. WINDS WILL REMAIN  
LIGHT AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BY AFTERNOON. A PACIFIC STORM  
SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE STATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY  
SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH THIS SYSTEM  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS  
WILL BE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL  
ALSO GENERATE A CHANCE OF LOWLAND RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS.  
AMOUNTS OVERALL WILL BE LIGHT WITH A POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES  
OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG  
ON SUNDAY WITH DRYING CONDITIONS WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.  
NEXT WEEK WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MST) 3 PM  
SKY (%).........3  
WEATHER COV.....NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
LAL.............1  
TEMP............52  
RH..............20  
20 FT WIND......W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15  
MIX HGT (FT)....1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13  
HAINES INDEX....5  
VENT RATE.......POOR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM  
SKY (%).........23 23 23 25 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............46 35 34 33 34 38  
RH..............27 36 36 39 38 34  
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 8 W 9 W 10 W 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 8 W 10 W 12 W 14 W 15  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4  
VENT RATE.......POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56-60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 34 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (92300  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MST) 5 AM 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........42 42 42 42  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............34 40 54 49  
RH..............43 36 24 33  
20 FT WIND......W 13G25 W 12G20 W 17G30 W 17G30  
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 3100 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 20 W 30 SW 35  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2  
VENT RATE.......POOR POOR GOOD GOOD  
 

 
FORECASTER...NOVLAN  
REQUESTED BY...WENDALL HOSUER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1800631.0/EPZ  
.EMAIL NMADC@FS.FED.US  
 
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