576
FNUS75 KEPZ 161519
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR NOGAL RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
919 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2009
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NOGAL RX...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
915 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2009
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 MDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS
DISCUSSION
DRY WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE JUST TO THE
SOUTH...WILL BRING ANOTHER DAY WITH NO SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR THE BURN SITE. HIGH BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST
MONDAY. THIS BEHAVIOR AND REDUCTION OF STRONG WESTERLIES ALOFT WITH
EXITING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER ROCKIES...WILL ALLOW SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE TO CIRCULATE SOME ADDITIONAL MOISTURE UP FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO LATER MONDAY. AS A RESULT LOOK FOR SLIGHT CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BURN SITE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
STORMS WILL BE FAIRLY HIGH BASED...WITH DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS AS THE MAIN THREATS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT IN THE MORNING....INCREASING AND BECOMING
WEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFTER
SUNDOWN...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT IN THE MORNING....INCREASING AND BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
TO 13 MPH.
REQUESTED BY...NMADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, USFWS, BIA).
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