399  
FXUS64 KMAF 252334  
AFDMAF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
634 PM CDT SAT MAR 25 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTHERLY  
WINDS TONIGHT WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY MORNING, AND THEN  
TO THE WEST BY AROUND 17-18Z. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AFTER  
15Z, WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30KT POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT  
ALL TERMINALS. WHILE SOME BLOWING DUST MAY BE POSSIBLE,  
PARTICULARLY AFTER 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HAVE NOT INCLUDED MENTION  
AT THIS TIME.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 147 PM CDT SAT MAR 25 2017/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
HAVE BRIEF UPPER RIDGING OVER THE AREA TODAY BEFORE AN UPPER TROUGH  
MOVING ACROSS CA/NV TODAY MOVES OVER THE REGION SUNDAY. WILL GET  
ANOTHER DOSE OF BRIEF RIDGING MONDAY BEFORE A STRONGER TROUGH MOVING  
OUT OF CA DEVELOPS INTO A CUT OFF LOW OVER SOUTHERN NV LATER THAT  
DAY. BY EARLY TUESDAY THIS LOW WILL BE OVER AZ AND WOBBLE INTO NM  
EARLY WEDNESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY THIS LOW WILL PASS OVER TX AND INTO  
OK BY EARLY THURSDAY. NOW HAVE ANOTHER TROUGH FRIDAY THAT MODELS  
SHOW DIVING OUT OF THE NW AND MOVING DOWN ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN  
DEVELOPING INTO A CLOSED LOW NEAR THE 4 CORNERS REGION. THESE TWO  
LOWS COULD BE WX PRODUCER FOR THE AREA.  
 
HAVE CLEAR SKIES TODAY IN POST FRONTAL CONDITIONS. HAD A COOL START  
TO THE MORNING BUT WITH SUNNY SKIES AND A SOUTH WIND TEMPS WARMING  
UP QUICKLY. MARFA... ALPINE... FORT DAVIS... AND TATUM ALL GOT DOWN  
INTO THE 30S THIS MORNING. IT MAY BE WINDY SUNDAY AS UPPER TROUGH  
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION... WILL CONTINUE THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK WILL BE COOLER THAN  
MOST OF LAST WEEK AS A SERIES OF FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...  
ONE EARLY MONDAY AND ANOTHER EARLY THURSDAY.  
 
WILL HAVE STORM CHANCES BACK IN THE FORECAST AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGHS  
TUE/WED AND AGAIN FRI/SAT. EXPECT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE  
STRONG TO SEVERE BUT STILL A WAYS OUT.  
 
FIRE WEATHER...  
STORM SYSTEM NOW ALONG THE WEST COAST IS FORECAST TO TRACK QUICKLY  
ACROSS THE ROCKIES TONIGHT AND INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SUNDAY. A  
STOUT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW COMBINED  
WITH DEEP MIXING OF 700 MILLIBAR WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS WILL ALLOW  
FOR SURFACE WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTY ACROSS MUCH OF  
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MID SUNDAY  
EVENING. IN ADDITION WESTERLY WINDS WILL PROMOTE DOWNSLOPE WARMING AND  
DRYING WITH MIN RH/S DROPPING TO 5 TO 15 PERCENT. THERE WILL BE A PERIOD  
OF CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON  
BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE CLOUDS WILL BE THIN. WILL  
GO AHEAD AND EXPAND EASTWARD THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO NOW INCLUDE  
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SUNDAY.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
BIG SPRING 52 82 46 81 / 0 0 0 0  
CARLSBAD 49 83 45 81 / 0 0 0 0  
DRYDEN 54 90 54 89 / 0 0 0 0  
FORT STOCKTON 54 86 50 84 / 0 0 0 0  
GUADALUPE PASS 50 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0  
HOBBS 46 76 42 78 / 0 0 0 0  
MARFA 37 76 38 78 / 0 0 0 0  
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 53 83 47 82 / 0 0 0 0  
ODESSA 53 82 47 81 / 0 0 0 0  
WINK 51 84 45 83 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING  
FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  
 
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.  
 
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING  
FOR ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CRANE-DAVIS/APACHE  
MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-GAINES-GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE  
MOUNTAINS-HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-  
MITCHELL-PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-  
SCURRY-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER.  
 
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  
 

 
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab NM Page Main Text Page